Insurance Supervision and
Regulation of Climate-Related Risks
Federal Insurance O˜ce,
U.S. Department of the Treasury
June 2023
Insurance Supervision and Regulation of Climate-Related Risks (June 2023)
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FEDERAL INSURANCE OFFICE, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS ............................. 1
II. U.S. INSURANCE SUPERVISION AND REGULATION OF CLIMATE-
RELATED RISKS............................................................................................................ 7
Climate-Related Risks and Insurance ............................................................................ 7
The Roles of the States, the NAIC, and FIO ................................................................ 12
Analysis of U.S. Climate-Related Insurance Supervision and Regulation .................. 13
Prudential Supervision and Regulation .................................................................. 15
Macroprudential Supervision and Regulation ........................................................ 33
Market Conduct Supervision and Regulation ........................................................ 44
Disclosure Initiatives .............................................................................................. 49
III. ADDITIONAL FIO CLIMATE-RELATED PRIORITIES ........................................... 56
Assessing Climate-Related Market Disruptions .......................................................... 56
Analyzing the Potential Transition Exposure of Insurers ............................................ 58
Reviewing Protection Gaps.......................................................................................... 60
Facilitating Disaster Mitigation and Resilience ........................................................... 61
Increasing Engagement ................................................................................................ 64
IV. CONCLUSIONS AND NEXT STEPS .......................................................................... 68
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GLOSSARY
CID
........
Connecticut Insurance Department
CID Climate Guidance
for CT Insurers
........
CID, Bulletin No. FS-44 (September 15, 2022)
Climate Risk RFI
........
Federal Insurance Office Request for Information on the
Insurance Sector and Climate-Related Financial Risks, 86 Fed.
Reg. 48,814 (August 31, 2021)
Disclosure Initiatives
........
The four disclosure initiatives discussed in this Report: CID
Climate Guidance for CT Insurers, NAIC Climate Risk
Disclosure Survey, NYSDFS Climate Guidance for NY Insurers,
and TCFD Framework
ERM
........
Enterprise Risk Management
Examiners Handbook
........
NAIC, Financial Condition Examiners Handbook (2022)
Executive Order 14030
........
Executive Order 14030 on Climate-Related Financial Risk, 86
Fed. Reg. 27,967 (May 25, 2021)
FAIR Plan
........
Fair Access to Insurance Requirements Plan
Federal Reserve
........
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
FEMA
........
Federal Emergency Management Agency
Financial Analysis
Handbook
........
NAIC, Financial Analysis Handbook Annual 2022/Quarterly
2023 (2023)
FIO
........
Federal Insurance Office
FLEC
........
Financial Literacy and Education Commission
FSOC
........
Financial Stability Oversight Council
FSOC Climate Report
........
FSOC, Report on Climate-Related Financial Risk 2021 (October
21, 2021)
GCC
........
Group Capital Calculation
GHG
........
Greenhouse Gas
IAIS
........
International Association of Insurance Supervisors
ICPs
........
Insurance Core Principles
IPPC
........
Insurance and Private Pensions Committee of the Organisation
for Economic Co-Operation and Development
LIGA
........
Louisiana Insurance Guaranty Association
MitFLG
........
Mitigation Framework Leadership Group
NAIC
........
National Association of Insurance Commissioners
NGFS
........
Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the
Financial System
NYSDFS
........
New York State Department of Financial Services
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NYSDFS Climate
Guidance for NY
Insurers
........
NYSDFS, Guidance for New York Domestic Insurers on
Managing the Financial Risks from Climate Change (November
2021)
ORSA
........
Own Risk and Solvency Assessment
ORSA Guidance
Manual
........
NAIC, NAIC Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA)
Guidance Manual
ORSA Model Act
........
Risk Management and Own Risk and Solvency Assessment
Model Act (NAIC 2012)
ORSA Summary Report
........
Confidential high-level summary of an insurer or insurance
group’s ORSA
P&C
........
Property and Casualty
PACTA
........
Paris Agreement Capital Transition Assessment
RBC
........
Risk-Based Capital
Report
........
FIO, Insurance Supervision and Regulation of Climate-Related
Risks (June 2023)
SEC
........
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
SIF
........
Sustainable Insurance Forum
TCFD
........
Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures
TCFD Framework
........
TCFD, Implementing the Recommendations of the Task Force
on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (October 2021)
Treasury
........
U.S. Department of the Treasury
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TABLE OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Examiners Handbook Possible Test of Controls Summary ..........................................27
Figure 2: Examples of Insurance-Focused Climate Scenario Analysis ........................................30
Figure 3: Summary of Selected Disclosure Initiatives .................................................................51
Figure 4: Strategy Disclosure Standards .......................................................................................53
Figure 5: Metrics and Targets Disclosure Standards ....................................................................54
Figure 6: U.S. Climate-Related Disaster Losses 2013-2022 ........................................................60
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I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS
The Federal Insurance Office (FIO) prepared this Report in response to Executive Order 14030
on Climate-Related Financial Risk, which calls on the Secretary of the U.S. Department of the
Treasury (Treasury) to direct FIO “to assess climate-related issues or gaps in the supervision and
regulation of insurers, including as part of the [Financial Stability Oversight Council’s] analysis
of financial stability, and to further assess, in consultation with States, the potential for major
disruptions of private insurance coverage in regions of the country particularly vulnerable to
climate change impacts.”
1
This Report addresses the first task by analyzing climate-related
issues and gaps in U.S. insurance supervision and regulation.
After undertaking this analysis, FIO concludes that there are nascent and important efforts to
incorporate climate-related risks into state insurance regulation and supervision. FIO commends
these initial efforts from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) and state
insurance regulators. However, these efforts are fragmented across states and limited in several
critical ways. FIO encourages state insurance regulators to build on their progress. As
highlighted in this Report, FIO will continue to prioritize climate-related work, in collaboration
with our state and federal partners, including state insurance regulators, the NAIC, and the
Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC).
FIO’s key findings and recommendations of this Report include:
Climate-related risks—including physical, transition, and litigation riskspresent new
and increasingly significant challenges for the insurance industry.
2
The oversight of
climate-related risks is therefore an emerging and increasingly critical topic for state
insurance regulators. Climate-related risks also warrant careful monitoring by financial
regulators, policymakers, and insurers.
State insurance regulators and the NAIC are increasingly focused on incorporating
climate-related risks into supervision and regulation, but in most cases their efforts
remain at a preliminary stage.
Current regulatory frameworks provide state insurance regulators with tools they can
adapt to better consider climate-related risks. The NAIC and some state insurance
regulators are beginning to incorporate climate-related considerations into their
regulatory tools.
All state insurance regulators should prioritize efforts to adapt their regulatory and
supervisory tools to incorporate climate-related risks. The NAIC and state insurance
regulators should also prioritize the creation of new and effective climate-related risk
tools and processes for use by state insurance regulators through, for example, the
1
Exec. Order No. 14030, 86 Fed. Reg. 27,967 (May 20, 2021) (Executive Order 14030). For more on FIO’s
statutory authorities, see Section II.B.
2
For a description of climate-related physical, transition, and litigation risks, see Section II.A.
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development of scenario analysis and increased use of the NAIC’s Catastrophe (CAT)
Modeling Center of Excellence.
More work is needed by state and federal regulators and policymakers, as well as by the
private sector and the climate science and research communities, to better understand the
nature of climate-related risks for the insurance industry, their implications for insurance
regulation and supervision, and for the stability of the financial system—including for
real estate markets and the banking sector.
FIO makes 20 recommendations in this Report. The report includes important context for each
recommendation, highlighting efforts that are already underway while also explaining how
implementation of the recommendation could improve management and supervision of climate-
related risks. The Report also proposes areas of focus for future work by state insurance
regulators and the NAIC.
In Section II, the Report provides background on the significance of climate-related risks for the
insurance industry and discusses the roles of the states, the NAIC, and FIO. Section II then
provides FIO’s assessment of U.S. climate-related supervision and regulation of insurance in
three categories: (1) prudential (sometimes referred to as microprudential), (2) macroprudential,
and (3) market conduct. Section II concludes by reviewing several climate-related disclosure
initiatives. Section III discusses additional FIO priorities concerning climate-related risks; how
insurance-related disaster mitigation efforts may increase the resilience of policyholders to
climate-related disasters; and how FIO is engaging with domestic and international stakeholders
on climate risk issues. Finally, Section IV outlines next steps for FIO’s work.
By section, FIO’s recommendations are as follows:
Section II.C Recommendations – Analysis of U.S. Climate-Related Insurance Supervision
and Regulation
1.
State insurance regulators and the NAIC should build on the initial steps they have taken
and expand their work on climate-related risks in order to promote increased regulatory
uniformity among the states in considering such risks. The NAIC also should identify best
practices in the state insurance regulatory community and encourage states to adopt these
practices.
2. State insurance regulators and federal authorities should continue encouraging insurers to
capture more granular, consistent, comparable, and reliable data on climate-related risks.
State insurance regulators and federal authorities also should continue identifying relevant
data that will improve the ability of insurers to quantify climate-related exposures and
otherwise fill data gaps with regard to climate-related risks and the insurance industry.
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Section II.C.1 Recommendations Prudential Supervision and Regulation
Risk Management and Internal Controls
3. All state insurance regulators should develop and adopt climate-related risk monitoring
guidance appropriate for their markets, which should include expectations for insurers to
incorporate climate-related risks into their annual financial planning, as well as into their
long- and short-term risk management processes, as some states have done.
Corporate Governance
4.
To encourage increased focus on the impact of climate-related risks on insurers’ strategic
planning and related processes, the NAIC and state insurance regulators should provide
guidance on and encourage insurers to implement climate risk monitoring, and to report to
regulators, in a uniform manner, on the impact of climate-related risks on their strategic
processes.
Reporting Data and Examinations
5. The NAIC should revise the Financial Analysis Handbook to recommend, and states
should require, that financial analysts and lead state analysts integrate climate-related
considerations into their analysis. Additionally, the NAIC should provide guidance, and
the NAIC and state insurance regulators should provide training, for financial analysts and
lead state analysts on how to evaluate assumptions and methodologies used in climate-
related forward-looking analysis.
6.
The NAIC and state insurance regulators, in coordination with the insurance industry,
should continue considering charges in Risk-Based Capital (RBC) formulas for floods,
convective storms, and other climate-related risks.
7. The NAIC should adopt, and state insurance regulators should implement, the proposed
enhancements to the Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) Guidance Manual (ORSA
Guidance Manual) and require insurers to incorporate climate-related risks into both
ORSAs and ORSA Summary Reports.
3
If an insurer does not consider climate-related
risks to be material to its business, its regulator should require the insurer’s ORSA
Summary Report to explain why and to include support for its rationale based on applicable
financial or quantitative measures.
3
NAIC, NAIC Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) Guidance Manual (December 2022),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/naic-orsa-guidance-manual-final_0.pdf (ORSA Guidance
Manual).
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8. The NAIC and state insurance regulators should adopt a single standard for defining
“materiality” for climate-related risks to be used in the ORSA Summary Report to provide
more comparable information. The NAIC and state insurance regulators should also adopt
a single standard for defining “materiality” for climate-related risks to be used in the NAIC
Climate Risk Disclosure Survey in order to obtain more consistent information across
disclosures.
4
9. The NAIC should finalize and adopt, and state insurance regulators should implement, the
proposed climate-related enhancements to the Financial Condition Examiners Handbook
(Examiners Handbook) to ensure that climate-related risks are considered in every financial
condition examination.
5
The NAIC should provide sample questions and other guidance
on when examiners should ask climate-related questions. The NAIC should monitor state
financial condition examinations to determine which climate-related questions provided in
the Examiners Handbook are asked and the types of responses provided to those questions,
and periodically summarize its findings in a public report.
Modeling
10. The NAIC should continue to refine the capabilities and role of the Catastrophe (CAT)
Modeling Center of Excellence by incorporating climate-related risk considerations so that
it can be used more effectively by state insurance regulators to enhance assessment and
supervision of insurers’ climate-related risks. To enable sharing of resources among state
insurance regulators, the Center should develop a platform for access to models,
methodologies, and related data. The NAIC should regularly produce public reports on key
findings identified by state insurance regulators using the Center to monitor climate-related
risks.
Scenario Analysis
11. The NAIC and state insurance regulators should prioritize their work on scenario analysis
for climate-related risks, initially as a capacity building exercise for large insurers. Future
NAIC work should include developing a pilot analysis with defined scenarios and
assumptions for insurers to run and submit to regulators, commensurate with an insurers
size, complexity, business activity, and risk profile.
4
NAIC, Proposed Redesigned NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey, 2022, 3,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/2022ProposedClimateRiskSurvey_0.pdf (Climate Risk
Disclosure Survey).
5
NAIC, Financial Condition Examiners Handbook (2022), available through
https://content.naic.org/cmte_e_fehtg.htm (Examiners Handbook).
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Section II.C.2 Recommendations – Macroprudential Supervision and Regulation
12. The NAIC should incorporate climate-related risks in future Macroprudential Risk
Assessments and these assessments should include additional detail on climate-related risks
specific to insurer underwriting and investments.
13. State insurance regulators and the NAIC should monitor the availability of reinsurance for
climate-related risks and consider whether market hardening or other constraints will
adversely affect insurer solvency.
14. The NAIC should encourage consideration of climate-related risks by participants in
supervisory colleges, and it should develop guidance to assist regulators when conducting
such supervisory college engagements.
15. State insurance regulators and the NAIC should increase their work with the National
Council of Insurance Legislators, state legislatures, and state guaranty associations to
improve their ability to quantify potential climate-related risks for state guaranty funds and
to better understand potential exposures from climate-related disasters for insurers,
policyholders, and state governments.
16. All state insurance regulators and the NAIC should monitor growth and other trends in
residual and surplus lines markets, and publicly report on how climate-related risks are
currently affecting, and in the future may affect, these markets.
Section II.C.3 Recommendations – Market Conduct Supervision and Regulation
17. The NAIC, state insurance regulators, the insurance industry, FIO, the Financial Literacy
and Education Commission (FLEC), and other partners should work together to increase
consumer education and outreach regarding what climate-related risks are (and are not)
commonly covered under personal lines of insurance and take steps to increase public
awareness of the nature and magnitude of climate-related risks. They also should continue
encouraging consumers to take advantage of educational and outreach programs in markets
vulnerable to climate change, including programs relating to the value of, and opportunities
for, pre-disaster mitigation investments in property resilience. Public-private partnerships
with the insurance industry can aid this educational effort.
18. State insurance regulators and the NAIC should continue using existing frameworks for
their post-disaster response efforts, including their focus on fair and efficient resolution of
claims. In addition, the NAIC and state insurance regulators should conduct more post-
disaster surveys to assess the claims resolution process, particularly with regard to whether
insurers are fulfilling their obligations in a fair and efficient manner.
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Section II.C.4 Recommendations – Disclosure Initiatives
19. The NAIC and state insurance regulators should support efforts to improve climate-related
disclosures by the insurance industry, as analytical capabilities and best practices further
develop. All state insurance regulators should adopt the NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure
Survey. The NAIC should continue monitoring responses to its Climate Risk Disclosure
Survey and publish an annual quantitative report summarizing the Survey results and
addressing how well the Survey is fulfilling its six purposes.
20. The NAIC should consider revising its Climate Risk Disclosure Survey over the next
several years to incorporate more prescriptive elements, including around quantitative
financial impacts, scenario analysis, and consistent metrics and targets, with the goals of
enhancing: (a) transparency about how insurers manage climate-related risks and
opportunities, (b) the identification of good practices and vulnerabilities, and (c) the
assessment of how climate-related risks are affecting the insurance industry.
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II. U.S. INSURANCE SUPERVISION AND REGULATION OF CLIMATE-RELATED
RISKS
This section begins with an overview of climate-related risks and the role of insurance. The
section then briefly describes the roles of the states, the NAIC, and FIO. It next analyzes U.S.
climate-related insurance supervision and regulation
6
across three key aspects: (1) prudential
(sometimes referred to as microprudential), (2) macroprudential, and (3) market conduct. The
section concludes with an analysis of climate-related disclosures.
Climate-Related Risks and Insurance
The connection between climate change and extreme weather events is well established.
7
As
noted in Executive Order 14030, climate-related disasters are increasing in frequency and
severity within the United States.
8
For example, Hurricane Ian in 2022 caused at least 157
deaths and an estimated $95.5 billion in damages.
9
Hurricane Ian was also one of 18 climate-
related disasters in the United States in 2022 that each cost over a billion dollars (adjusted for
inflation).
10
Additionally, nine of the ten costliest U.S. hurricanes have occurred since 2005, and
eight of the ten costliest U.S. wildfires have occurred since 2017, after adjusting for inflation.
11
Significant efforts are underway to limit the increase in the frequency and severity of future
climate-related disasters, including by reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This Report
considers the climate-related risks faced by the insurance industry, as well as how the U.S.
6
“Insurance regulation” describes the creation and implementation of the legal requirements with which the
insurance industry must comply, while “insurance supervision” describes the processes of monitoring and
examining the financial condition and market conduct of insurers, including observing and managing the impact that
these may have on financial stability. See, e.g., NAIC, NAIC, Financial Analysis Handbook Annual 2022/Quarterly
2023 (2023), 783, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/publication-fah-zu-financial-analysis-handbook.pdf
(Financial Analysis Handbook). State insurance commissioners may serve as both regulators and supervisors. This
Report generally uses the term “regulator” to encompass both regulatory and supervisory functions. “State
insurance regulators” collectively includes the regulators for all 50 states, the District of Columbia (DC), and the
territories.
7
See, e.g., U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP), Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I
(2017), Executive Summary & chapter 3,
https://science2017.globalchange.gov/downloads/CSSR2017_FullReport.pdf.
8
See Exec. Order No. 14030 (referencing the “intensifying impacts of climate change”). In this Report, “climate-
related disasters” refer to weather-related events that may increase in frequency or intensity due to climate change,
such as coastal and riverine flooding, drought, heat waves, hurricanes, and wildfire, as distinguished from non-
weather-related natural phenomena such as earthquakes and earthquake-related tsunamis. The term catastrophic
events,used elsewhere in this Report, may include both weather-related and non-weather-related events; similar
terms used by the insurance industry include “natural catastrophes” and “natural disasters.”
9
Aon, Weather, Climate and Catastrophe Insights (2023), 3-4, 9, 26, https://www.aon.com/getmedia/f34ec133-
3175-406c-9e0b-25cea768c5cf/20230125-weather-climate-catastrophe-insight.pdf.
10
U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters,” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
(NOAA), www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/billions/.
11
“Facts + Statistics: Hurricanes,” Insurance Information Institute (III), https://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/facts-
statistics-hurricanes; “Facts + Statistics: Wildfires,” III, https://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/facts-statistics-wildfires.
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insurance regulatory system is addressing these risks, and provides FIO’s recommendations for
how management of these risks could be improved.
The U.S. insurance industry is an important component of the U.S. financial system, and it faces
increasing financial risks due to the worsening effects of climate change. Climate-related
disasters may exacerbate property damages and business interruptions, thus impacting losses
under property and casualty (P&C) insurance coverage.
12
Climate-related disasters also may
lead to more workers’ compensation claims; impact life and annuity insurance lines through
effects on mortality, morbidity, and longevity of populations; and impair insurers’ investments in
real estate or in securities of businesses vulnerable to climate-related disasters. In addition to the
risks from climate-related disasters themselves, the ongoing efforts to shift to a carbon neutral or
net-zero economy by mid-century could potentially introduce risks for insurers, particularly
those that hold investments in high-carbon companies or sectors that are not prepared for the
transition to net-zero.
13
In short, climate-related risks present new and increasingly significant challenges for the
insurance industry that warrant careful monitoring by financial regulators, policymakers, and
insurance companies. The oversight of climate-related risks is also an emerging and increasingly
critical topic for state insurance regulators.
Climate-related risks can be grouped into three broad, generally applicable categories:
Physical risks are “the harm to people and property arising from acute, climate-related
disaster events such as hurricanes, wildfires, floods, and heatwaves as well as longer-term
chronic phenomena such as higher average temperatures, changes in precipitation
patterns, sea-level rise, and ocean acidification.”
14
Growth in climate-related physical
risks has implications for the solvency of insurance companies that are underwriting,
reinsuring, or investing in areas subject to increasingly frequent and severe climate-
related disasters. Insurers may choose to raise premiums in, or withdraw from, certain
markets facing increasing physical risks.
15
Transition risks refer to “stresses to certain institutions or sectors arising from the shifts
in policy, consumer and business sentiment, or technologies associated with the changes
necessary to limit climate change,” e.g., action associated with aligning activities with a
12
Homeowners insurance and property insurance for businesses are types of P&C insurance, both of which typically
exclude flood risk. The National Flood Insurance Program, administered by the Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA), provides most flood coverage. This Report focuses primarily on state insurance supervision and
regulation.
13
See, e.g., FSOC, Report on Climate-Related Financial Risk 2021 (October 21, 2021), 13, 109-117,
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/261/FSOC-Climate-Report.pdf (Climate Report).
14
FSOC, Climate Report, 12.
15
See, e.g., Christopher Flavelle, et al., “Climate Shocks Are Making Parts of America Uninsurable. It Just Got
Worse,” New York Times, May 31, 2023, https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/31/climate/climate-change-insurance-
wildfires-california.html?searchResultPosition=1.
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net-zero economy by mid-century.
16
Insurers, as an industry, are large institutional
investors and allocate a substantial amount of their investment portfolios to corporate
bonds and other long-term assets, as well as to equity securities, that can be exposed to
transition risks. Transition risks can manifest on insurers’ financial statements through
investment losses, reduced asset valuations, and through increased claims and liabilities.
Conversely, insurers may be able to capture and promote opportunities associated with a
net-zero transition, such as by underwriting or investing in low-carbon or zero carbon
technologies.
Litigation risks may “arise when parties are held liable for losses related to
environmental damage that may have been caused by their actions or omissions.”
17
Litigation risks are increasing worldwide, with the number of climate-related cases more
than doubling since 2015.
18
While sometimes characterized as a subset of transition risk,
litigation is recognized here as a distinct category given its relevance to insurers. Insurers
may face litigation risks both through cases brought directly against them (whether by
their own shareholders for alleged breaches of fiduciary duty for not addressing climate-
related risks or by policyholders for coverage disputes involving climate-related claims)
and through increased claims and adverse reserve development on various liability lines
that may face increased climate-related litigation, such as directors’ and officers’
insurance.
19
Climate-related risks can manifest in the form of other risks that insurers manage, including
credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk, underwriting risk, operational risk, and reputational risk.
Credit Risk
is “the risk that an entity may not meet its contractual financial obligations
as they come due and any estimated financial loss in the event of default or
impairment.”
20
Both transition risk and physical risk can create credit risk for insurers.
Insurers hold large investments in corporate bonds (over $2.5 trillion by year-end
2022).
21
The credit risk for insurers from such bonds may be exacerbated by the physical
and transition risks faced by the issuer and the potential for associated asset devaluation,
16
FSOC, Climate Report, 13.
17
Financial Stability Board (FSB), The Implications of Climate Change for Financial Stability (November 2020),
16, https://www.fsb.org/wp-content/uploads/P231120.pdf.
18
Joana Setzer & Catherine Higham, Global Trends in Climate Change Litigation: 2022 Snapshot (June 2022), 1,
https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/Global-trends-in-climate-change-litigation-
2022-snapshot.pdf.
19
See, e.g., FSB, The Implications of Climate Change for Financial Stability; International Association of Insurance
Supervisors (IAIS) & Sustainable Insurance Forum (SIF), Application Paper on the Supervision of Climate-related
Risks in the Insurance Sector (May 2021), https://www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/01/210525-Application-Paper-on-
the-Supervision-of-Climate-related-Risks-in-the-Insurance-Sector.pdf (Climate Application Paper).
20
Moody’s Investor Service, Rating Symbols and Definitions (December 22, 2022), 4, available through
https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=pbc_79004.
21
S&P Global Market Intelligence (S&P Global) data.
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reduced corporate profitability, or even counterparty failure.
22
Insurers are also large
investors in real estate assets, holding nearly $1 trillion in such assets as of year-end
2021.
23
Real estate may be vulnerable to credit risk if increases in the frequency and
severity of climate-related disasters lead to a decrease in borrowers’ ability to repay or
service their debt and/or to declines in real estate asset values.
24
Thus, transition and
physical risk in the larger economy potentially creates credit risk for insurers.
Market Risk is “the exposure to uncertainty due to changes in rate or market price of an
invested asset (e.g., interest rates, equity values).”
25
Insurers are exposed to market risk
primarily through their investments. Climate-related risks (including physical and
transition risk) can create or amplify market risks. For example, investment values may
be affected by climate-related policy changes or the threat of physical damage to assets.
This can result in realized investment losses, either from impairment changes or in the
event that assets need to be sold.
26
Liquidity Risk is “the exposure to adverse cost or return variation stemming from the
lack of marketability of a financial instrument at prices in line with recent sales.”
27
Historically, poor liquidity management has been one of the key factors underlying many
instances of insurers’ distress or failures, and distressed assets could be a source of
liquidity problems.
28
Physical and transition risk could impact climate-sensitive assets
(such as real estate, infrastructure, or timber), create uncertainty among key market
participants, and cause procyclical market dynamics in certain markets, including asset
fire sales, thus potentially heightening liquidity risk for insurers with exposure to those
investments. On the underwriting side, volatile claims experience from climate-related
disasters and increased claims payouts could potentially cause insurers to dispose of
assets supporting those liabilities on unfavorable terms.
29
22
Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS), Guide for Supervisors:
Integrating Climate-Related and Environmental Risks into Prudential Supervision (May 2020), 14,
https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/medias/documents/ngfs_guide_for_supervisors.pdf.
23
S&P Global data (including total commercial and residential real estate mortgage loans and mortgage-backed
securities).
24
“Mortgage Loan Lenders and Climate Risk,” Climate Check,
https://climatecheck.com/risks/governance/mortgage-loan-lenders-and-climate-risk.
25
“Market Risk,” Insurance Risk Management Institute (IRMI), https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-
definitions/market-risk.
26
See, e.g., New York State Department of Financial Services (NYSDFS), Guidance for New York Domestic
Insurers on Managing the Financing Risks from Climate Change (November 2021), 16,
https://www.dfs.ny.gov/system/files/documents/2021/11/dfs-insurance-climate-guidance-2021_1.pdf (Climate
Guidance for NY Insurers).
27
“Liquidity Risk,” IRMI, https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-definitions/liquidity-risk.
28
S&P, What May Cause Insurance Companies to Fail And How This Influences Our Criteria (June 2013), 3, 5,
https://www.yumpu.com/en/document/read/43017028/what-may-cause-insurance-companies-to-fail-standard-poors.
29
Prudential Regulation Authority, Enhancing Banks’ and Insurers’ Approaches to Managing the Financial Risk
from Climate Change (April 2019), www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/prudential-regulation/supervisory-
statement/2019/ss319.pdf?la=en&hash=7BA9824BAC5FB313F42C00889D4E3A6104881C44.
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Underwriting Risk arises from underestimated liabilities and/or underpriced policies
such that insurers face greater than expected losses.
30
Climate-related physical risks,
transition risks, and litigation risks can affect underwriting risks.
31
Insurance and
reinsurance underwriters need to factor into pricing how more frequent and severe
impacts from climate change could result in increasingly large insured property losses.
P&C insurers may also face increased claims in some liability lines for climate-related
lawsuits. Similarly, life insurers may need to consider the possibility of higher losses
because of increases in morbidity or mortality rates from climate-related disasters.
Operational Risk
may arise from human, process, or technological failures, as well as
from external events like cyber attacks or climate-related disasters.
32
Specifically, the
physical risk from climate-related disasters may have an adverse impact on insurers’
operations and business continuity.
33
For example, insurers located in areas susceptible
to climate-related disasters could experience extended power outages or the destruction
of facilities.
Reputational Risk
may arise if insurers experience negative publicity. Reputational risk
may be a form of transition and litigation risk, in that if insurers take actions that are
perceived as contributing to climate change, such as insuring or investing in carbon-
intensive sectors, they may face adverse reputational consequences.
34
Potential financial
consequences of reputational risk include reduced policyholder demand due to bad
publicity or increased legal fees, or higher settlements to avoid further negative publicity.
Such financial consequences, however, may be more indirect and harder to quantify than
the other risks discussed above.
The states, the NAIC, and FIO all have important roles to play in helping address climate-related
risks in the insurance industry.
30
See, e.g., “Underwriting Risk,” IRMI, https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-definitions/underwriting-risk.
31
See, e.g., Geneva Association, Climate Change Risk Assessment for the Insurance Industry (February 2021),
https://www.genevaassociation.org/sites/default/files/research-topics-document-
type/pdf_public/climate_risk_web_final_250221.pdf.
32
See, e.g., “Operational Risk,” IRMI, https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-definitions/operational-risk. See also
IAIS, Issues Paper on Insurance Sector Operational Resilience Draft for Public Consultation (October 2022),
https://www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/10/Issues-Paper-on-Insurance-Sector-Operational-Resilience.pdf.
33
See, e.g., NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 17; NGFS, Guide for Supervisors, 14.
34
See, e.g., NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 17; Munich RE, Sustainability Report 2021 (April 2022),
56, https://www.munichre.com/content/dam/munichre/contentlounge/website-
pieces/documents/munich_re_sustainability_report_2021.pdf/_jcr_content/renditions/original./munich_re_sustainabi
lity_report_2021.pdf.
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The Roles of the States, the NAIC, and FIO
The business of insurance in the United States is primarily regulated by the states, including the
District of Columbia and the territories.
35
Insurance laws are passed by state legislators, signed
into law by governors, and implemented by state insurance regulators, who also adopt and
enforce regulations and guidance for insurers domiciled or doing business within their states.
36
State insurance regulatory authority encompasses both prudential (or solvency) regulation, which
addresses insurers’ financial condition, as well as market conduct regulation, which addresses
consumer protection, access to insurance, rate and form reviews, and licensing, among other
things. Each of those regulatory areas fulfills important objectives to protect policyholders and
promote public confidence in insurance markets by ensuring that those markets are competitive,
solvent, and stable and offer products that are fairly priced, transparent, and readily available
from multiple companies.
37
The NAIC is a 501(c)(3) organization established by the states and governed by their chief
insurance regulators that provides guidance, data, tools, and other expertise and analysis for use
by state insurance regulators. The NAIC’s guidance on supervision includes handbooks on
financial analysis, examinations, and ORSA. For calculating the RBC requirement for an insurer
(which is the statutory minimum level of capital that an insurer must maintain), states coordinate
through the NAIC to ensures consistent methodology for setting capital requirements.
38
The
NAIC also develops model insurance laws and regulations reflecting the collective views of its
members, i.e., state insurance regulators.
The NAIC may designate some model laws and regulations as “accreditation standards” if its
members consider that they address matters of importance applicable to all states and that
adoption will assist the states in developing and maintaining a relatively uniform baseline of
fundamental insurance regulatory standards.
39
Such models can only become effective
regulatory tools when and to the extent that they are implemented by individual states, through
their respective legislative and administrative processes. The NAIC periodically reviews
whether an individual state meets the accreditation standards by enacting and enforcing laws and
35
See, e.g., NAIC & Center for Insurance Policy and Research (CIPR), State Insurance Regulation (2011),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/topics_white_paper_hist_ins_reg.pdf.
36
An insurer is “domiciled” in the state that issued its primary license. See “Insurance Companies by State,” III,
https://www.iii.org/publications/a-firm-foundation-how-insurance-supports-the-economy/a-50-state-
commitment/insurance-companies-by-state#.
37
See, e.g., NAIC, “NAIC Announces 2023 Regulatory Priorities", news release, February 13, 2023,
https://content.naic.org/article/naic-announces-2023-regulatory-priorities; “Macroprudential Supervision,” NAIC,
last updated February 1, 2023, https://content.naic.org/cipr-topics/macroprudential-supervision; NAIC, “Market
Conduct Regulation,” NAIC, last updated June 23, 2022, https://content.naic.org/cipr-topics/market-conduct-
regulation.
38
For more on RBC requirements, see Section II.C.1.c.ii.
39
NAIC, Financial Regulation Standards and Accreditation Program (August 2022),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/FRSA%20Pamphlet%208-2022%20.pdf (Accreditation
Pamphlet).
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regulations that are “substantially similar” to the designated models.
40
Although the NAIC’s
current accreditation process does not directly and explicitly include the consideration of
climate-related financial risk, some NAIC model laws and tools, as discussed in this Report,
incorporate climate-related financial risk considerations to varying extents. Currently, all 50
states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands are accredited.
41
While the primary regulators of the business of insurance are the states, Congress tasked FIO
with an important insurance industry oversight role. In addition to advising the Secretary of the
Treasury on major domestic and prudential international insurance policy issues and having its
Director serve as a non-voting member of FSOC, FIO is authorized to, among other things,
monitor all aspects of, and collect data and information on and from, the insurance industry.
42
From its first annual report in 2013, FIO has highlighted the devastating impact that natural
catastrophes, such as hurricanes, floods, and wildfires, can have on insurers, policyholders, and
other stakeholders.
43
FIO’s current climate-related priorities are discussed further in Section III.
Analysis of U.S. Climate-Related Insurance Supervision and Regulation
The discussion below addresses state climate-related prudential, macroprudential, and market
conduct supervision and regulation in turn, as well as certain state regulatory tools for addressing
insurance market disruptions and disclosure initiatives, much of which is developed or
coordinated through the NAIC. For all climate-related risk and resiliency issues, the NAIC’s
Climate and Resiliency Task Force serves as its coordinating body.
44
Presently, the NAIC is
considering modifications and enhancements to incorporate climate-related risk concepts into
several regulatory tools, discussed further below. FIO encourages the states and the NAIC to
continue these initiatives and to increase their focus on climate-related risks.
40
NAIC, Accreditation Pamphlet, passim.
41
“Accredited U.S. Jurisdictions,” NAIC, https://content.naic.org/cmte_f_accredited_states.htm. If a state loses
accreditation, it may result in some domiciliary insurers moving to an accredited state as well as damage to the
reputation of the state’s insurance regulatory program. See, e.g., NAIC, The NAIC Accreditation Program
(November 2021), https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/government-affairs-brief-accreditation-program.pdf.
42
31 U.S.C. § 313(e). For a more complete description of FIO and its authorities, see, e.g., FIO, Annual Report on
the Insurance Industry (September 2022), 1-3,
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/2022%20Federal%20Insurance%20Office%20Annual%20Report%20on
%20the%20Insurance%20Industry%20%281%29.pdf.
43
FIO, Annual Report on the Insurance Industry (June 2013), 9, 4749,
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO%20Annual%20Report%202013.pdf. For other FIO reports, see
“Reports and Notices,” Treasury, https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financial-markets-financial-institutions-
and-fiscal-service/federal-insurance-office/reports-notices. Reports relevant for climate-related risks include: FIO,
The Breadth and Scope of the Global Reinsurance Market and the Critical Role it Plays in Supporting Insurance in
the United States (2014), https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO%20-Reinsurance%20Report.pdf
(discussing the role of reinsurance for catastrophes); FIO, Report Providing an Assessment of the Current State of
the Market for Natural Catastrophe Insurance in the United States (2015),
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/Natural%20Catastrophe%20Report.pdf.
44
“Climate and Resiliency (EX) Task Force,” NAIC, https://content.naic.org/cmte_ex_climate_resiliency_tf.htm.
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In addition to the collective work of the states through the NAIC, some individual state insurance
regulators have taken meaningful steps to address climate-related risks. For example, the New
York State Department of Financial Services (NYSDFS) developed, and in 2021 adopted, the
first state insurance regulatory guidance on managing climate-related risks (NYSDFS Climate
Guidance for NY Insurers).
45
The NYSDFS Climate Guidance for NY Insurers builds on NAIC
guidance, international guidance, and public comments submitted in response to publication of
New York’s draft guidance.
46
The guidance states that NYSDFS “expects insurers to take a
strategic approach to climate risks that considers both current and forward-looking risks and
identifies actions required to manage those risks in a manner proportionate to the nature, scale,
and complexity of insurers’ businesses,” including with respect to governance, risk management,
scenario analysis, and disclosure.
47
Similarly, in September 2022, the Connecticut Insurance Department (CID) finalized a bulletin
outlining “Guidance for Connecticut Domestic Insurers on Managing the Financial Risks for
Climate Change” (CID Climate Guidance for CT Insurers).
48
Like the NYSDFS Climate
Guidance for NY Insurers, the CID Climate Guidance for CT Insurers outlines a regulatory
expectation that insurers “take a strategic approach to managing climate risks that consider both
current and future risks and identifies actions necessary to manage those risks in a manner
proportionate to the nature, scale, and complexity of insurers’ businesses.”
49
And, in November
2022, California released a Sustainable Insurance Roadmap comprising a four-part strategy to:
(1) strengthen financial oversight and transparency, (2) accelerate sustainable investment
strategies, (3) catalyze sustainable insurance product innovation, and (4) create resilient
communities.
50
In addition, three states—California, New York, and Vermont—have undertaken actions to
collect data on the investment exposures to climate-related risks of insurers operating in those
45
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers. As of 2020, New York P&C insurers accounted for about 7 percent
of the U.S. P&C market, while New York life insurers accounted for about 15 percent of the U.S. life insurance
market. See NAIC, State Insurance Regulation: Key Facts and Market Trends New York/2020 (2021), 6,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/publications-key-facts-market-trends-new-york.pdf.
46
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 2.
47
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 3-4. Governance, risk management, scenario analysis, and
disclosure are all discussed in this Report, below.
48
Connecticut Insurance Department (CID), Bulletin No. FS-44 (September 15, 2022), https://portal.ct.gov/-
/media/CID/1_Bulletins/Bulletin-FS-44.pdf (Climate Guidance for CT Insurers). As of 2020, Connecticut P&C
insurers accounted for 1.3 percent of the U.S. P&C market, while Connecticut life insurers accounted for about 2.8
percent of the U.S. life insurance market). See NAIC, State Insurance Regulation: Key Facts and Market Trends
Connecticut/ 2020 (2021), 6, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/publications-key-facts-market-trends-
connecticut.pdf.
49
CID, Climate Guidance for CT Insurers, 1.
50
California Department of Insurance, California Sustainable Insurance Roadmap (November 2022),
http://www.insurance.ca.gov/01-consumers/180-climate-change/upload/California-Sustainable-Insurance-Roadmap-
2022.pdf.
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states.
51
Additional actions that these and other state insurance regulators are taking on climate
risk are highlighted throughout this Report.
Recommendation 1: State insurance regulators and the NAIC should build on the initial steps
they have taken and expand their work on climate-related risks in order to promote increased
regulatory uniformity among the states in considering such risks. The NAIC also should identify
best practices in the state insurance regulatory community and encourage states to adopt these
practices.
The availability of data is an important issue facing regulators as they develop climate-related
insurance supervision and regulation. FIO has consistently noted the benefits of having high-
quality, consistent, comparable, and reliable data to support the assessment of climate-related
financial risk.
52
Regulators should prioritize their efforts towards identifying, defining, and
collecting climate-related data.
Recommendation 2: State insurance regulators and federal authorities should continue
encouraging insurers to capture more granular, consistent, comparable, and reliable data on
climate-related risks. State insurance regulators and federal authorities also should continue
identifying relevant data that will improve the ability of insurers to quantify climate-related
exposures and otherwise fill data gaps with regard to climate-related risks and the insurance
industry.
Prudential Supervision and Regulation
Prudential regulation of insurance focuses on protecting policyholders by seeking to ensure the
financial safety and stability of insurers and by supporting a strong and viable insurance
marketplace. Protecting policyholders (and insurers’ own investment portfolios) from the
financial impacts of climate-related risks is a component of insurers’ work. However, the degree
to which insurers can manage climate-related risks depends in part on the extent to which
climate-related risks can be adequately measured and integrated into applicable enterprise risk
management (ERM) and capital management processes. This section focuses on regulatory
requirements and guidance, including in examinations and reporting requirements, that are
relevant to how insurers manage their climate-related prudential risks through risk management
and internal controls, corporate governance, and operations. Further, this section describes how
regulators evaluate and monitor the financial health of insurers using financial analysis tools,
RBC, ORSA, and financial condition examinations. This section concludes with discussions of
modeling and scenario analysis in the context of climate-related risk supervision.
51
See, e.g., FSOC, Climate Report, 4243. See also California Department of Insurance, “Commissioner Lara
Holds Insurance Companies Accountable in Push for More Investment Solutions to Fight Climate Change,” news
release, April 18, 2022, https://www.insurance.ca.gov/0400-news/0100-press-releases/2022/release028-2022.cfm.
52
See, e.g., Federal Insurance Office Request for Information on the Insurance Sector and Climate-Related Financial
Risks, 86 Fed. Reg. 48,814 (August 31, 2021) (Climate Risk RFI).
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Risk Management and Internal Controls
State insurance regulators help set expectations for insurers’ establishment and implementation
of their own risk management policies, procedures, and internal controls. “Risk management” is
the set of internal processes carried out by an insurer’s board and management to support the
achievement of its objectives by identifying and addressing risks and their potential impact.
Internal controls” are an insurer’s internal procedures and policies that help safeguard its assets,
provide trustworthy financial reporting, facilitate compliance with rules and regulations, and
achieve efficient and effective operations. In setting expectations, state insurance regulators seek
to ensure that insurers have effective and documented risk management systems that reflect an
understanding of how material risks are managed within the insurers’ risk appetite limits.
53
(For
more on materiality, see Box 1.) Regulators also seek to ensure that these risk management
systems operate pursuant to effective and documented internal controls that incorporate
independent functions for risk management, compliance, actuarial, and internal audit.
54
In
particular, supervisory oversight of the internal audit functions of insurers may strengthen the
reliability of the data and other information that insurers provide to their regulators. State
insurance regulators evaluate risk management and internal control functions through mandated
annual reporting and through periodic examination of insurers, including coordination of risk-
focused financial examinations for multi-state insurers.
55
Climate-related risks fit within the existing prudential insurance regulation framework for
evaluating material risks. As discussed above, climate-related risks can impact other risks
insurers manage, including credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk, underwriting risk, operational
risk, and reputational risks. These risks are also key components of an insurer’s ERM processes
(and ORSA).
56
ERM frameworks, however, focus primarily on near-term estimates. Therefore,
while they may capture acute risks from extreme-weather events, they may omit climate-related
risks that manifest over a longer-time horizon yet are still reasonably foreseeable.
57
Regulators
may need to encourage insurers to expand their focus from near-term risks (corresponding with
insurers’ current business plans) to encompass a longer time horizon for climate-related risks.
58
53
See, e.g., NAIC, Financial Analysis Handbook, 851. Risk appetite is the aggregate level and types of risk an
insurer is willing to assume, within its capacity, to achieve its strategic objectives and business plan. IAIS, IAIS
Glossary (November 2019), 8, https://www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/01/191115-IAIS-Glossary.pdf.
54
See, e.g., IAIS & SIF, Climate Application Paper, 16.
55
For more on reporting and examinations generally, see Section II.C.1.c.
56
See Section II.A for more information on these risks. For more information on ORSA, see Section II.C.1.c.iii.
57
See, e.g., Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD), Implementing the Recommendations of
the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (October 2021), 70,
https://assets.bbhub.io/company/sites/60/2021/07/2021-TCFD-Implementing_Guidance.pdf (Framework)
(“Climate-related impacts can occur over the short, medium, and long term. Organizations can experience chronic,
gradual impacts (such as impacts due to shifting temperature patterns), as well as acute, abrupt disruptive impacts
(such as impacts from flooding, drought, or sudden regulatory actions).”).
58
See, e.g., Memorandum from Commissioner Birrane, Co-Chair of the Climate Resiliency (EX) Task Force leading
the Solvency Workstream to Kathy Belfi and Mike Yanacheak, Co-Chairs of the ORSA Implementation (E)
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Current state guidance regarding integration of climate considerations into insurers’ risk
management and internal control functions varies among the states. All states follow NAIC
guidance for financial analysis, financial condition examinations, and ORSA; but this guidance
does not currently require that insurers’ risk management processes explicitly address climate-
related risks.
59
Some individual states, however, have issued or are considering guidance for
their domestic insurers specifying measures directed to management of climate risk. For
example, the CID Climate Guidance for CT Insurers mentioned above states that “[t]he
Department expects an insurer to have a written risk policy adopted by its board describing how
the insurer monitors and manages material climate risks in line with its risk appetite
statement.
60
The NYSDFS Climate Guidance for NY Insurers also addresses risk management,
stating that it expects an insurer to have “a written risk policy adopted by its board describing
how the insurer monitors and manages material climate risks in line with its risk appetite
statement.
61
In 2021, Vermont’s Department of Financial Regulation announced plans to
develop guidance to address climate-related risks, including incorporation into ERM processes.
62
Recommendation 3: All state insurance regulators should develop and adopt climate-related
risk monitoring guidance appropriate for their markets, which should include expectations for
insurers to incorporate climate-related risks into their annual financial planning, as well as into
their long- and short-term risk management processes, as some states have done.
Corporate Governance
State insurance regulators require insurers to establish and implement corporate governance
frameworks that provide for prudent management of their business.
63
Insurers must establish
their individual policies and procedures for corporate governance against this backdrop of
established regulatory expectations and oversight.
The NAIC so far has not incorporated governance standards that address climate-related risks
into the relevant model act and regulations.
64
Subgroup, May 23, 2022, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-
files/Climate%20Referral%20to%20ORSA%20Subgroup.pdf (NAIC ORSA Referral Memorandum).
59
See, e.g., NAIC, Financial Analysis Handbook; NAIC, Examiners Handbook; NAIC, ORSA Guidance Manual.
60
CID, Climate Guidance for CT Insurers, 4.
61
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 1011.
62
Vermont Department of Financial Regulation, “DFR Releases Report Examining the Impacts of Climate Change
on Vermont’s Insurance Industry,” news release, June 28, 2021, https://dfr.vermont.gov/press-release/dfr-releases-
report-examining-impacts-climate-change-vermonts-insurance-industry.
63
See, e.g., NAIC, Accreditation Pamphlet, 11.
64
Neither the NAIC’s 2014 Corporate Governance Annual Disclosure Model Act,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/MDL-305.pdf , nor the NAIC’s 2014 Corporate Governance
Disclosure Model Regulation, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/MDL-306.pdf, mentions
climate-related risk. Compare IAIS & SIF, Climate Application Paper, 15 & 16.
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Some individual states, however, have already begun to take steps to set expectations about the
need for insurers to factor climate-related risks into their corporate governance. For example, the
CID Climate Guidance for CT Insurers states that “[a]n insurer’s board of directors is ultimately
responsible for overseeing the management of all risks, including climate risks,” and expresses
an expectation that the insurer’s board or committees must understand and oversee management
of climate-related risks, including the long-term nature of such risks.
65
Similarly, the NYSDFS
Climate Guidance for NY Insurers sets an expectation that an insurer’s board (or other governing
entity) must understand the distinctive nature of climate-related risks, including their long-term
impact beyond the standard three- to five-year business planning horizon, and also must oversee
the management of climate-related risks within the insurer’s overall business strategy and risk
appetite.
66
NYSDFS also expects each insurer to designate a member or committee of its board
as responsible for the oversight of the insurer’s management of climate-related risks.
67
Finally,
NYSDFS expects each insurer to designate one or more members of its senior management, or a
cross-functional committee of senior management, as responsible for the insurer’s management
of climate-related risks.
68
State insurance regulators also set the expectation that an insurer’s organizational structure,
policies, and procedures should generally be based on and take into account the strategic
direction and objectives established by the firm’s corporate governance framework.
69
However,
at present, NAIC materials on which state insurance regulators rely in setting such expectations,
such as the Financial Analysis Handbook and the Examiners Handbook, do not explicitly require
the integration of climate-related risks into an insurer’s organizational structure, policies, and
procedures.
70
The NYSDFS Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, by contrast, explicitly emphasizes that the
management of climate-related risks should be fully integrated into an insurer’s organizational
structure, policies, and procedures.
71
The NYSDFS guidance also encourages insurers to
consider implementing management compensation policies that align incentives with their
strategy for managing climate-related risks and with performance against climate metrics.
72
In
addition, the NYSDFS guidance encourages insurers to incorporate climate-related risks into
their planning, including how such risks affect the organization, how they impact the firm’s
65
CID, Climate Guidance for CT Insurers, 3.
66
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 9.
67
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 9.
68
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 10. For other examples of guidance incorporating climate-related
risks into corporate governance, see also IAIS & SIF, Climate Application Paper, 15.
69
See, e.g., NAIC, Examiners Handbook, 189 (stating that senior managers “guide the development and
implementation of internal control policies and procedures that address their units’ objectives and ensure that they
are consistent with the entity-wide objectives.”).
70
See NAIC, Financial Analysis Handbook; NAIC, Examiners Handbook.
71
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 11.
72
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 11. For other examples of guidance incorporating climate-related
risks into corporate governance, see also IAIS & SIF, Climate Application Paper, 16.
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business strategy and future solvency levels, and whether affected business areas should be
continued or adapted.
73
Recommendation 4: To encourage increased focus on the impact of climate-related risks on
insurers’ strategic planning and related processes, the NAIC and state insurance regulators
should provide guidance on and encourage insurers to implement climate risk monitoring, and to
report to regulators, in a uniform manner, on the impact of climate-related risks on their
strategic processes.
Reporting Data and Examinations
State insurance regulators have multiple tools (both quantitative and qualitative in nature) with
which to monitor and evaluate whether insurers are meeting prudential regulatory expectations,
including early identification of potentially troubled insurers. These tools include: (1) annual
and quarterly public financial filings by all legal entity insurers, facilitating a risk-focused
financial analysis process; (2) annual RBC filings, providing insight into insurers’ capital
structure and adequacy; (3) annual confidential ORSA summaries by certain medium and large-
sized insurers; and (4) periodic financial examinations which, depending on the relevant
organizational structure, may be conducted on a legal entity basis, or on the entire insurance
holding company group, or on groups of entities within the insurance holding company system.
74
This section discusses the extent to which these tools currently incorporate climate-related risks.
State insurance regulators have also developed tools to help assess risks faced by insurance
groups, including the Group Capital Calculation, the Enterprise Risk Report (Form F), the
Liquidity Stress Test, and regulatory cooperation through supervisory colleges. These are
discussed later in this Report.
75
i. Financial Filings and Financial Analysis Handbook
Licensed insurers must file both public and confidential financial information, generally
quarterly and annually, with the regulator of the state in which they are domiciled.
76
The NAIC
has developed guidance and tools to assist regulators in conducting uniform, risk-focused
reviews of insurer reporting, including statutory filings. The NAIC Financial Analysis
Handbook is a reference guide that, among other things, provides a framework for the annual
review of an insurer’s solvency and overall financial condition, as a means through which state
insurance regulators may identify insurers experiencing financial difficulties. Such reviews also
facilitate identification of risks that could lead to future financial stress. The NAIC is
73
See, e.g., NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 1112. See also TCFD, Framework.
74
See, e.g., NAIC, Financial Analysis Handbook; NAIC, Examiners Handbook, 8.
75
These are discussed in Section II.C.2, within the context of macroprudential supervision.
76
Typically, the NAIC coordinates filings on behalf of the states. An insurance group also may report on a
consolidated basis to its lead state regulator, i.e., the regulator that is “generally considered to be the one state that
‘takes the lead’ with respect to conducting group-wide supervision.” “Public Lead State Report,” NAIC,
https://content.naic.org/public_lead_state_report.htm#.
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considering enhancements to the Financial Analysis Handbook that would incorporate climate-
related risk considerations.
77
Recommendation 5: The NAIC should revise the Financial Analysis Handbook to recommend,
and states should require, that financial analysts and lead state analysts integrate climate-
related considerations into their analysis. Additionally, the NAIC should provide guidance, and
the NAIC and state insurance regulators should provide training, for financial analysts and lead
state analysts on how to evaluate assumptions and methodologies used in climate-related
forward-looking analysis.
ii. Risk-Based Capital
RBC is a means for identifying potentially weakly capitalized insurers and facilitating regulatory
action by measuring the minimum amount of capital appropriate for an insurer or an insurance
group to support its business operations relative to its size and risk profile.
78
While an insurer
will set aside reserves, which are funds to cover its estimated liability in the future from claims
under the policies it has issued, it will need capital to satisfy those claims if its reserves prove
inadequate.
79
State insurance regulators impose RBC requirements to help ensure that insurers
can fulfill their financial obligations to policyholders.
80
RBC requirements are reflected in state
law, based on NAIC model laws and accreditation standards, and insurers are expected to report
their RBC levels annually to regulators. For both P&C and life and health insurers, the RBC
formulas focus on asset risk, underwriting risks, and other business risks. Interest rate risk is an
additional RBC focus area in the formula for life and health insurers that is not part of the P&C
formula.
81
Current considerations of climate-related risks in RBC formulas are limited and apply only to
P&C insurers. The RBC formula requires a special charge (the Rcat component) for just one
77
Memorandum from Commissioner Birrane, Co-Chair of the Climate Resiliency (EX) Task Force leading the
Solvency Workstream to Judy Weaver, Chair of the Financial Analysis Solvency Tools (E) Working Group (May
23, 2022), https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/Climate%20Referral%20to%20FASTWG.pdf.
78
See, e.g., Risk-Based Capital (RBC) for Insurers Model Act (NAIC 2012), § 2.A,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/MDL-312.pdf ; FIO, Annual Report on the Insurance Industry,
71-72 (September 2021), https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO-2021-Annual-Report-Insurance-
Industry.pdf (2021 Annual Report).
79
See, e.g., “Risk-Based Capital,” NAIC, last updated December 6, 2022, https://content.naic.org/cipr-topics/risk-
based-capital#; “Financial Reporting,” III, https://www.iii.org/publications/commercial-insurance/how-it-
functions/financial-reporting.
80
See, e.g., NAIC, Risk-Based Capital Preamble, P-2, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-
files/RBC_Preamble%20final_2.pdf; “Risk-Based Capital,” NAIC; Risk-Based Capital (RBC) for Insurers Model
Act; NAIC, Accreditation Pamphlet, 9.
81
See, e.g., Risk-Based Capital (RBC) for Insurers Model Act, § 2.B.-C.
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climate-related risk: hurricanes.
82
Further, that charge applies only to those P&C insurers
writing business in jurisdictions identified by the NAIC as having hurricane exposure.
83
In 2022, the NAIC Capital Adequacy Task Force approved a proposal to add wildfire as one of
the perils covered by the Rcat component for P&C insurers.
84
Unlike the charge for hurricanes,
however, the charge for wildfire is for informational purposes only (meaning that insurers are not
required to actually hold more capital to cover the potential exposures) and applies only to larger
companies (with smaller companies exempted from calculating the capital charge so long as it
remains for information-only purposes).
85
The method for calculating the wildfire charge is
similar to the method for calculating the hurricane charge.
86
Last year, the NAIC Capital
Adequacy Task Force approved a list of wildfire events for purposes of 2022 RBC reporting.
87
The NAIC has considered developing RBC risk charges for additional climate-related perils such
as floods and convective storms.
88
Charges for additional perils may take some time to be
completed and implemented, hindered in part by the complexity of, and other difficulties with,
models for such perils.
89
Nevertheless, continued efforts to consider such risk charges will
enhance the ability of both regulators and insurers to better understand climate-related risks and
will build the insurance industry’s capacity to model such risks.
82
The charge is calculated by multiplying RBC factors by corresponding modeled losses and reinsurance
recoverables (i.e., the portion of an insurance companys losses that could be recovered from reinsurers). See, e.g.,
See NAIC, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form (March 28, 2022), 1-3,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/2021-17-CR%20Webposting.pdf.
83
The charge is applicable in hurricane-prone areas, defined as “Hawaii, District of Columbia and states and
commonwealths bordering on the Atlantic Ocean and/or the Gulf of Mexico including Puerto Rico.” See NAIC,
Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form (March 28, 2022), 3. This charge was not originally
developed to address climate-related risks as such, but rather to address hurricanes as a peril that can create a
material solvency risk. See NAIC, NAIC Risk-Based Capital Forecasting and Instructions (2017), 1, 5051,
https://www.in.gov/idoi/files/Risk-Based-Capital-Instructions-PandC-17.pdf.
84
NAIC, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form, March 28, 2022.
85
NAIC, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form (April 28, 2022),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/2021-17-CR%20%28MOD%29%20Webposting.pdf. The
NAIC has not indicated how long the charge for wildfires will remain for informational purposes only. NAIC,
NAIC Risk-Based Capital Forecasting and Instructions (2017), 1; NAIC, NAIC Risk-Based Capital Forecasting and
Instructions (2013), 8, https://naic.soutronglobal.net/Portal/Public/en-
US/DownloadImageFile.ashx?objectId=3737&ownerType=0&ownerId=11734.
86
See NAIC, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form (March 28, 2022), 1-3.
87
NAIC, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form (August 11, 2022),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/2022-04-CR%20webpost.pdf.
88
See NAIC, Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup Virtual Meeting Draft Minutes (February 22, 2022),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/call_materials/CatRiskSG%20Materials%203-22-22_0.pdf.
89
See NAIC, Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup Virtual Meeting Draft Minutes (January 25, 2022),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/call_materials/CatRiskSG%20Materials%203-22-22_0.pdf. For more
information on modeling, see Section II.C.1.d.
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Recommendation 6: The NAIC and state insurance regulators, in coordination with the
insurance industry, should continue considering charges in RBC formulas for floods, convective
storms, and other climate-related risks.
At the state level, a law enacted in July 2021 in Connecticut requires CID to issue a biennial
report that will describe its progress in integrating climate-related risks into its RBC
requirements, ORSA assessments, and examinations.
90
CID issued its first Climate Progress
Report in March 2022. It discussed the development of its guidance to insurers on managing
climate-related risks, which was finalized in September 2022.
91
iii. Own Risk and Solvency Assessment
ORSA is a confidential, internal process that is undertaken by an insurance company or group to
assess the adequacy of its risk management and current and future capital position. The NAIC
Risk Management and Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Model Act (ORSA Model Act) has
been implemented by all states and requires each medium-to-large insurance company and group
to have a risk management framework, to conduct an annual ORSA, and to file annually a
confidential report summarizing its ORSA (ORSA Summary Report) either with the insurance
regulator of its domicile state upon request or with its lead state regulator whether or not any
request is made.
92
A central component of the ORSA process is the use of forward-looking
stress and scenario tests by insurers to improve their understanding of their own risk profiles and
to assess their ability to meet policyholder obligations under the scenario conditions set by the
insurers for those tests.
93
Regulators typically consider the ORSA Summary Report when
evaluating an insurer’s ability to withstand financial stress and when assessing how risks faced
by insurers within a holding company system may impact the insurance companies in that
group.
94
The NAIC’s Solvency Workstream of its Climate and Resiliency Task Force in May 2022
proposed several enhancements to the ORSA Guidance Manual that would, if adopted,
encourage state insurance regulators to require integration of climate-related risks into the ORSA
90
Public Act 21-2 (2021), § 312, https://www.cga.ct.gov/2021/ACT/PA/PDF/2021PA-00002-R00SB-01202SS1-
PA.PDF.
91
CID, Climate Progress Report, 6 (March 29, 2022),
https://www.cga.ct.gov/INS/related/20220329_Connecticut%20Insurance%20Department%20Reports/2022%20Cli
mate%20Progress%20Report.pdf; CID, Climate Guidance for CT Insurers.
92
See “Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA),” NAIC, last updated February 1, 2023,
https://content.naic.org/cipr-topics/own-risk-and-solvency-assessment-orsa; Risk Management and Own Risk and
Solvency Assessment Model Act §§ 1, 3-6 (NAIC 2012), https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-
files/MDL-505.pdf (ORSA Model Act).
93
For more on scenario analysis and stress testing, see Section II.C.1.e.
94
See NAIC, Solvency Modernization Initiative: Roadmap (August 31, 2012),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/committees_ex_isftf_smi_roadmap_120831.pdf.
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of each insurer. The proposed enhancements would provide guidance on the following ORSA
elements:
the insurer should include a description of how climate change risk is addressed through
its risk management framework;
if climate change has the potential to materially impact the insurer’s asset portfolio or its
liabilities, then the exposure of assets or liabilities to transition or physical risks should be
presented, discussed, and assessed in both a quantitative and qualitative manner; and
encourage qualitative discussion of the material medium and long-term impacts of
climate change risk on the insurer’s near-term risk appetite, asset management,
underwriting, and business strategy, as well as efforts to limit the impact on near-term
solvency.
95
These enhancements, which remain under consideration by the NAIC, contemplate that insurers
would assess the near-term impact of climate change on their asset portfolio and insurance
liabilities, in alignment with the time horizon generally covered by an ORSA, i.e., one that
corresponds to an insurer’s current business plan.
96
As noted previously, however, climate-
related risks can be either acute or chronic, such that it would be more beneficial for insurers
(and regulators) to consider a longer-term risk horizon in addition to the near-term horizon.
97
To date, only one state (New York) has developed and implemented a version of the ORSA
Model Act that requires insurers to consider climate-related risks as part of their risk
management.
98
In September 2020, NYSDFS advised that it “expects all New York insurers to
start integrating the consideration of the financial risks from climate change into their
governance frameworks, risk management processes, and business strategies.”
99
In June 2021,
NYSDFS amended its ORSA regulation to require insurers to address climate change as one of
the reasonably foreseeable and relevant material risks that must be addressed as part of their
ERM function.
100
In addition, NYSDFS expects ORSAs to either explain why climate risks are
not considered material or to address such risks (including approaches to measurement, key
assumptions, and scenario analysis outcomes).
101
The NYSDFS Climate Guidance for NY
95
NAIC ORSA Referral Memorandum, 1.
96
See NAIC ORSA Referral Memorandum; NAIC, ORSA Guidance Manual.
97
See also discussion in Section II.C.1.a.
98
NYSDFS, Insurance Circular Letter No. 15: Climate Change and Financial Risks (September 22, 2020),
https://www.dfs.ny.gov/industry_guidance/circular_letters/cl2020_15.
99
NYSDFS, Insurance Circular Letter No. 15.
100
NYSDFS Second Amendment to 11 NYCRR 82 (Insurance Regulation 203) (June 23, 2021),
https://www.dfs.ny.gov/system/files/documents/2022/12/rf203_amend02_txt.pdf (amending 11 NYCRR
§ 82.2(a)(9)).
101
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 18.
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Insurers, finalized in November 2021, also discusses how insurers should address climate-related
risks in their ORSAs.
102
Although New York is the only state that presently requires insurers to consider climate-related
risks as part of their ORSA, the NAIC has informed FIO that many insurers—particularly P&C
insurersnevertheless do analyze climate-related risks, as reflected in their annual ORSA
Summary Reports.
103
The ORSA Summary Reports are provided confidentially to an insurer’s
state regulator, which limits FIO’s ability to assess the manner and scope of such analyses or the
consistency of their underlying elements.
Recommendation 7: The NAIC should adopt, and state insurance regulators should implement,
the proposed enhancements to the ORSA Guidance Manual and require insurers to incorporate
climate-related risks into both ORSAs and ORSA Summary Reports. If an insurer does not
consider climate-related risks to be material to its business, its regulator should require the
insurer’s ORSA Summary Report to explain why and to include support for its rationale based
on applicable financial or quantitative measures.
As part of its ORSA, an insurer must analyze material and relevant risks affecting its ability to
meet its obligations to its policyholders.
104
The NAIC ORSA Guidance Manual does not
currently identify any particular risk (such as climate-related risks) for consideration by insurers,
because the intention of the ORSA process is to gain insight into what the insurer views as its
“material and relevant risks associated with” its “current business plan, and the sufficiency of
capital resources to support those risks.”
105
The concept of “materiality” is considered in Box 1.
Box 1: Materiality in ORSA and NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey
“Materiality” is a key concept in insurance regulation. As a general rule, a fact or figure is
considered “material” if it may significantly bear on an insurer’s solvency, yet there is no single
agreed definition of the term, as reflected in the following non-exhaustive compendium of
definitions. The amount and types of information disclosed under these definitions can vary
significantly and can lead to inappropriate comparisons when one analyzes “material”
information from different reports.
Examiners Handbook: The Examiners Handbook defines materiality “as the dollar amount
above which the examiner’s perspective of the company’s financial position will be influenced”
which should be assessed in the initial planning stage at two levels: “(1) an overall level as it
relates to the annual statement taken as a whole; and (2) an individual balance (annual statement
102
NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 1819.
103
Comment Letter from the NAIC in response to FIO’s Climate Risk RFI, 3, November 11, 2021,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/testimony-letter-response-fio-rfi-climate-financial-risk-211111.pdf; FSOC,
Climate Report, 41.
104
See ORSA Model Act §§ 2(C), 3. See also Section II.C.1.a for more on risks that might be considered.
105
ORSA Model Act § 2(C).
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line item) level.”
106
The Examiners Handbook also suggests that the examiner set the threshold
for materiality at one of the following levels: (1) one to five percent of the insurer’s capital and
surplus, (2) five percent of the pretax gain from operations, (3) 0.5 percent of the insurer’s total
assets, or (4) in special circumstances, the level that the examiner considered appropriate based
on the examiner’s professional judgment and consideration of the relevant factors.
107
Enterprise Risk Report (Form F): For Form F, the NAIC’s Model Insurance Holding
Company System Regulatory Act considers the following as “material”: risk report sales,
purchases, exchanges, loans or extensions of credit, investments, or guarantees involving more
than 0.5 percent of an insurer’s admitted assets as of December 31 of the year being reported.
108
ORSA: Neither the NAIC’s model law nor guidance on ORSA define materiality. Instead, they
let an insurer use its own view of what it considers material when completing its ORSA and
ORSA Summary Report, so long as the ORSA Summary Report describes “how the insurer
identifies and categorizes relevant and material risks and manages those risks as it executes its
business strategy.”
109
NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey allows the insurer to choose to use the materiality
standard from either the Examiners Handbook or the SEC.
110
For the SEC, a fact is “material” if
there isa substantial likelihood that the . . . fact would have been viewed by the reasonable
investor as having significantly altered the ‘total mixof information made available.
111
Recommendation 8: The NAIC and state insurance regulators should adopt a single standard
for defining “materiality” for climate-related risks to be used in the ORSA Summary Report to
provide more comparable information. The NAIC and state insurance regulators should also
adopt a single standard for defining “materiality” for climate-related risks to be used in the
NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey in order to obtain more consistent information across
disclosures.
106
NAIC, Examiners Handbook, 64.
107
NAIC, Examiners Handbook, 6465. For more on financial condition examinations, see Section II.C.1.c.iv.
108
Model Insurance Holding Company System Regulatory Act, § 4.D (NAIC 2015),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/MDL-440.pdf. See also, NAIC, Revisions to Models #440 and
#450 (2021), https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/2020%20and%202021%20Revisions
%20to%20Model%20%23440%20and%20%23450.pdf. “Admitted assets” are assets the value of which are
included in an insurer’s annual financial statements filed with its state insurance regulator. “Admitted Assets,”
IRMI, https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-definitions/admitted-assets. For more on Form F, see Section II.C.2.a.
109
See ORSA Model Act; NAIC, ORSA Guidance Manual, 1 (“each insurer identifies, assesses, monitors, prioritizes
and reports on its material and relevant risks identified by the insurer” (emphasis added)), 7.
110
NAIC, Climate Risk Disclosure Survey. For more information on the survey, see Section II.C.4.
111
SEC Staff Accounting Bulletin: No. 99 Materiality (August 12, 1999),
https://www.sec.gov/interps/account/sab99.htm. See also, e.g., Paul Munter, “Assessing Materiality: Focusing on
the Reasonable Investor When Evaluating Errors,” SEC Statement, March 9, 2022,
https://www.sec.gov/news/statement/munter-statement-assessing-materiality-030922 (citations omitted).
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iv. Financial Condition Examinations
While conduct of an ORSA is mandatory only for certain medium-to-large insurers, financial
condition examinations apply to all insurers. These examinations are another important
component of prudential supervision. A state insurance regulator generally should conduct a
financial condition examination of each insurer domiciled within its state at least once every five
years in order to evaluate the insurer’s solvency and compliance with the state’s insurance
laws.
112
Although conducted less frequently, these examinations complement the financial
analysis and reporting tools (including the ORSA Summary Report) discussed above.
113
Financial condition examinations result in a report that may contain recommendations for
company improvements in processes, activities, and/or controls, and the state insurance
department may follow up to determine if the insurer has taken corrective action based on the
recommendations.
114
Financial condition exams are confidential and the results are generally not
publicly disclosed.
Although climate-related risks may be considered as part of a financial condition examination,
there is no clear requirement for the examiner to do so. In 2012, the NAIC adopted changes to
its Examiners Handbook (applicable in all states) by specifying questions or tests on the impact
of climate-related risks for use if the examiner deems them to be applicable to the insurer under
examination.
115
If an examiner considers them applicable, the “impact of climate change risk
questions on the Examination Planning Questionnaire for the insurer are: “Does the company
have an impact of climate change risk strategy? Have any risks been identified related to the
impact of climate change risk and, if so, what are they and how are these risks incorporated into
the company’s overall business strategy?”
116
The Examiners Handbook does not provide
guidance on when or under what circumstances an examiner should consider the “impact of
climate change risk” questions appropriate for an insurer under examination.
In some cases, examiners may evaluate an insurer’s climate-related risks during a financial
condition examination as part of testing internal controls that the insurer chooses to use to
address the risks to which it is potentially exposed, called “Possible Controls.”
117
The
112
See, e.g., Model Law on Examinations (NAIC 1999), https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/MO390.pdf;
NAIC, Examiners Handbook. A financial condition examination may be done in conjunction with a market conduct
examination (discussed in Section II.C.3) as a “combination examination.”
113
The Examiners Handbook underscores the need for coordination between the analysis and examination functions.
See, e.g., NAIC, Examiners Handbook, 9.
114
NAIC, Examiners Handbook, 158, 231.
115
NAIC, 2012 Proceedings of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners 2012 Fall National Meeting,
Fall v. II (2012), 10-725, 10-727, 10-802, https://naic.soutronglobal.net/Portal/Public/en-
US/DownloadImageFile.ashx?objectId=5193&ownerType=0&ownerId=17523. See also NAIC, Examiners
Handbook, 596.
116
NAIC, Examiners Handbook, 370.
117
NAIC, Examiners Handbook, 237. The examiner is only required to test the effectiveness of controls that an
insurer has chosen to use. The “Possible Tests of Controls” listed in the Examiners Handbook are not meant to be
all-inclusive and an examiner may need to develop alternative tests to address how an insurer mitigates its risks.
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Examiners Handbook provides a few examples of risks for which the insurer may have Possible
Controls that take climate change into consideration. It also suggests Possible Test of Controls
that an examiner may choose to use to determine how well the insurer’s Possible Controls
operate. Figure 1 illustrates the Examiners Handbook’s instruction to examiners on some of the
Possible Controls and Possible Tests of Controls that might take climate change impacts into
account.
Figure 1: Examiners Handbook Possible Test of Controls Summary
Identified Risk
Possible Controls
Possible Test of Controls
The insurer’s investment portfolio
and strategy are not
appropriately structured to
support its ongoing business plan.
The insurer’s investment
strategy considers the impact
of, and market expectations
for, climate change on
different investments, and the
investment policy includes
guidelines that require
diversification to protect
against the impact of climate
change.
Review the company’s
investment strategy for
consideration of climate
change in different
sections and asset classes.
investment
specialist to
evaluate the
company’s
exposure to climate
change-related risk
regarding its
investment
portfolio/strategy.
The insurer has not established
and maintained appropriate risk
exposure limits (including
catastrophe coverage) that are
consistent with risk appetite.
Risk exposure limits
established by the insurer
consider the direct and indirect
impacts of climate change
risk.
Perform a walkthrough of
the underwriting process
and observe how the
impact of climate change
risk is considered when
establishing risk exposure
limits.
The insurer has not established
sufficient pricing practices,
resulting in inadequate or
excessive premium rates in
relation to its assumed risks and
expense structure. Consider
utilizing an actuarial specialist to
assist with test procedures related
to this risk.
Pricing practices include
consideration of future
changes in loss development
including the impact of
climate change risk.
Perform a walkthrough of
the pricing process and
observe how the impact of
claim trends including
climate change risk and
weather variability is
considered when
establishing rates/prices.
Source: NAIC, Examiners Handbook
In addition, the Examiners Handbook lists climate change as a Prospective Risk Category,” i.e.,
one that does not apply to all insurers and for which applicability is left to the examiner’s
determination based upon the information provided by the insurer. Because it is solely within
the discretion of the examiner whether to ask the climate-related questions or conduct the
climate-related test of controls, it is unclear whether and to what extent the procedures in the
Examiners Handbook are being applied to climate-related risks. Financial condition
examinations themselves are confidential, and there is no publicly available aggregated
information from the NAIC or the states compiling how often examiners ask the climate change-
related questions from the Examiners Handbook.
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It is an encouraging development, therefore, that the NAIC is considering climate-related
enhancements to the Examiners Handbook; and, specifically, that the Solvency Workstream of
the NAIC Climate and Resiliency Task Force has referred high-level principles to a technical
group within the NAIC for further refinement.
118
The principles under consideration include:
Implement a means to ensure that climate-related risks are considered as part of every financial
condition examination, which may be achieved through the addition of ‘Climate Change’ as a
new critical risk category.”
119
Recommendation 9: The NAIC should finalize and adopt, and state insurance regulators should
implement, the proposed climate-related enhancements to the Examiners Handbook to ensure
that climate-related risks are considered in every financial condition examination. The NAIC
should provide sample questions and other guidance on when examiners should ask climate-
related questions. The NAIC should monitor state financial condition examinations to determine
which climate-related questions provided in the Examiners Handbook are asked and the types of
responses provided to those questions, and periodically summarize its findings in a public
report.
Modeling
Another important tool for management of climate-related risks by insurers is the use of natural
catastrophe and climate modeling. It is thus also important for state insurance regulators to
understand and supervise insurers’ use of modeling. To that end, in June 2022, the NAIC
Executive Committee approved a fiscal request to establish the “Catastrophe (CAT) Modeling
Center of Excellence” within the NAIC Center for Insurance Policy and Research.
120
The
Center’s functions include: (1) facilitating regulators’ access to CAT modeling documentation
and assistance in distilling this information, (2) promoting regulators’ technical education and
training on the mechanics of commercial models and treatment of perils and risk exposures, and
(3) conducting applied research to help in the development of regulatory climate risk and
resilience priorities.
121
The NAIC Climate and Resiliency Task Force is engaging with the
Center on climate-related risk and disaster mitigation research and analysis.
122
Presently, most catastrophe models have an inherently short-term focus, reflecting the fact that
most P&C insurance policies are repriced annually. Further, most models use assumptions that
are primarily based on historical experience, even as the past is becoming less reflective of a
118
Memorandum from Commissioner Birrane, Co-Chair of the Climate Resiliency (EX) Task Force leading the
Solvency Workstream to Susan Bernard, Chair of the Financial Examiners Handbook (E) Technical Group, May 23,
2022, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/Climate%20Referral%20to%20FEHTG.pdf (NAIC
Technical Group Referral Memorandum).
119
NAIC Technical Group Referral Memorandum.
120
NAIC, NAIC Approves Two 2022 Fiscals (June 24, 2022), https://content.naic.org/article/naic-approves-two-
2022-fiscals.
121
See “Catastrophe Modeling Center of Excellence,” NAIC, https://content.naic.org/research/center-of-excellence.
122
See, e.g., “Climate and Resiliency (EX) Task Force,” NAIC,
https://content.naic.org/cmte_ex_climate_resiliency_tf.htm.
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future where the frequency, severity, and other characteristics of climate-related events are
changing.
123
As these tools evolve, to maximize the utility of natural catastrophe and climate
modeling, both insurers and regulators will need to incorporate longer term perspectives and
integrate best practices from the federal government and scientific community, including on
modeling tail risks.
124
FIO welcomes the efforts of the NAIC Catastrophe (CAT) Modeling Center of Excellence to
make modeling resources available to individual states that might not be able to develop such
tools themselves, and FIO encourages the NAIC to continue and expand such work. In so doing,
the NAIC should coordinate with states, insurers, modeling firms, the scientific community, and
FIO to: (a) develop granular, insurance-specific datasets applicable to the United States,
(b) improve methodologies for translating climate-related variables into insurer losses, and
(c) incorporate transition, physical, and litigation risk components into the models.
Recommendation 10: The NAIC should continue to refine the capabilities and role of the
Catastrophe (CAT) Modeling Center of Excellence by incorporating climate-related risk
considerations so that it can be used more effectively by state insurance regulators to enhance
assessment and supervision of insurers’ climate-related risks. To enable sharing of resources
among state insurance regulators, the Center should develop a platform for access to models,
methodologies, and related data. The NAIC should regularly produce public reports on key
findings identified by state insurance regulators using the Center to monitor climate-related
risks.
Scenario Analysis
“Scenario analysis” usually refers to a risk-based assessment that estimates potential financial
implications for a range of plausible future states, often at a counterparty, portfolio, or sector-
wide level.
125
Climate scenario analysis is scenario analysis that has been adapted to identify
and assess potential financial implications of climate-related risks. In the context of insurance,
this tool may address a variety of regulatory objectives, including regulatory capacity building.
Regulators may choose to incorporate climate scenario analysis in evaluations of potential future
shocks on the resilience of financial institutions or the resilience of the financial system and may
123
Rex Frazier, “California’s Ban on Climate-Informed Models for Wildfire Insurance Premiums,Ecology Law
Quarterly (October 19, 2021), https://www.ecologylawquarterly.org/currents/californias-ban-on-climate-informed-
models-for-wildfire-insurance-premiums/.
124
See, e.g., President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, Extreme Weather Risk in a Changing
Climate: Enhancing Prediction and Protecting Communities (April 2023), https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-
content/uploads/2023/04/PCAST_Extreme-Weather-Report_April2023.pdf.
125
Some observers may refer to “scenario analysis” as “stress testing” (or vice versa), reflecting that this is an
evolving tool and discipline. However, as a general matter, climate scenario analysis differs from traditional stress
testing exercises that are often used as part of capital adequacy assessments. For additional information, see FSOC,
Climate Report; “Publications,” NGFS, https://www.ngfs.net/en/liste-chronologique/ngfs-publications; UN
Principles for Sustainable Insurance, Insuring the Climate Transition: Enhancing the Insurance Industry’s
Assessment of Climate Change Futures (January 2021), https://www.unepfi.org/psi/wp-
content/uploads/2021/01/PSI-TCFD-final-report.pdf.
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either conduct their own analyses or assess submissions from insurer-led analyses. An insurer
may conduct its own scenario analysis for various reasons, including to comply with supervisory
guidance or expectations (if applicable), to inform internal risk management, to assess capital
adequacy, or to support public disclosures.
126
Some insurance regulators are using climate scenario analysis to investigate risks within the
insurance industry, focused primarily on transition risks faced by insurers, although most
examples are outside of the United States. (See Figure 2.) When scenario analyses are based on
submission of institution-led analysis (as in the France, UK, and Bermuda examples shown in
Figure 2), it is somewhat similar to the process of traditional stress testing, which allows
regulators to assess not only climate-related risks but also the capability of insurers to credibly
run such tests. In some cases (as in the Figure 2 example from France), the scenario analysis
includes a dynamic balance sheet assumption, meaning the institutions are allowed to reallocate
their portfolios based on scenarios. Currently, regulators are not using any of these scenario
analyses examples to determine capital adequacy.
Figure 2: Examples of Insurance-Focused Climate Scenario Analysis
Jurisdiction
(Year)
Scope
Risk(s)
Covered
Primary Results for Insurers
U.S.
California
(2018)
127
Insurers operating
in California with
more than $100M
in premiums
Physical,
transition
Exposure to transition-impacted sectors
Alignment between investee company production and that
expected based on low-carbon pathways
Percent of power plants in equity portfolio subject to water
stress
Percent of power, oil and gas, and coal assets in equity and
fixed-income portfolios exposed to wildfire and flood risk
New York
(2021)
128
Insurers domiciled
in New York
Transition
Exposure to transition-impacted sectors
Alignment between investee company production and that
expected based on low-carbon pathways
Non-U.S.
Netherlands
(2018)
129
Banks, insurers,
and pension funds
Transition
Exposure to transition-impacted sectors
Change in equity and bond prices
Change in expected default
Losses relative to total stressed assets
Impacts on ratio of assets to obligations
126
See, e.g., FSOC, Climate Report, Figure 5.1, 93.
127
California Department of Insurance, Scenario Analysis: Assessing Climate Change Transition Risk in Insurer
Portfolios (2018), https://interactive.web.insurance.ca.gov/apex_extprd/f?p=250:70.
128
NYSDFS, An Analysis of New York Domestic Insurers’ Exposure to Transition Risks and Opportunities from
Climate Change (June 10, 2021),
www.dfs.ny.gov/system/files/documents/2021/06/dfs_2dii_report_ny_insurers_transition_risks_20210610.pdf.
129
De Nederlandsche Bank, An Energy Transition Risk Stress Test for the Financial System of the Netherlands
(2018), https://www.dnb.nl/media/pdnpdalc/201810_nr-_7_-2018-
_an_energy_transition_risk_stress_test_for_the_financial_system_of_the_netherlands.pdf.
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Jurisdiction
(Year)
Scope
Risk(s)
Covered
Primary Results for Insurers
France
(2020)
130
Nine banking
groups and 15
insurance groups
Physical,
transition
Exposure to transition-impacted sectors
Change in portfolio value
Change in insurance premiums
Change in insurance claims by peril
Share of premiums ceded to reinsurance
Europe
(2020)
131
Insurers
Transition
Exposure to transition-impacted sectors
Value of investments in climate-relevant sectors
Change in value of re-priced assets
Price adjustments and sensitivities to transition shock
UK and
Bermuda
(2020)
132
General and life
insurers; Bermuda
reinsurers
Physical,
transition
Changes in coverage ratios
Changes in investment income
Change in expected losses
Europe
(2021)
133
Banks, insurers,
and investment
funds
Physical,
transition
Exposure to transition-impacted sectors
Changes in asset valuation
Changes in probability of and loss given default
Changes in non-performing loan ratio
UK
(2022)
134
Largest banks and
insurers
Physical,
transition,
liability
Change in value of invested assets
Expected losses based on impact on insurance claims
Japan
(2022)
135
Three major banks
and three major
non-life insurance
groups
Physical
(insurers),
transition
(all)
Changes in insurance claims payments
Source: FIO analysis
FSOC has recommended that its members “use scenario analysis, where appropriate, as a tool for
assessing climate-related risks, taking into account their supervisory and regulatory mandates
130
ACPR, A First Assessment of Financial Risks Stemming from Climate Change: The Main Results of the 2020
Climate Pilot Exercise (April 5, 2021), https://acpr.banque-
france.fr/sites/default/files/medias/documents/20210602_as_exercice_pilote_english.pdf.
131
European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA), Sensitivity Analysis of Climate-Related
Transition Risks (December 15, 2020), https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/document-library/publication/sensitivity-
analysis-of-climate-change-related-transition-risks_en.
132
UK Prudential Regulation Authority & Bermuda Monetary Authority, Insurance Stress Test 2019 and Covid-19
Stress Testing: Feedback for General and Life Insurers (June 17, 2020), https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-
/media/boe/files/prudential-regulation/letter/2020/insurance-stress-test-2019-feedback.pdf.
133
European Central Bank & European Systemic Risk Board, Climate-Related Risk and Financial Stability (July
2021), https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb.climateriskfinancialstability202107~87822fae81.en.pdf.
134
BOE, Results of the 2021 Climate Biennial Exploratory Scenario (CBES) (May 24, 2022),
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/stress-testing/2022/results-of-the-2021-climate-biennial-exploratory-scenario.
135
Bank of Japan Financial Services Agency, Pilot Scenario Analysis Exercise on Climate-Related Risks Based on
Common Scenarios (Executive Summary) (August 26, 2022), https://www.fsa.go.jp/en/news/2022/20220826/01.pdf.
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and the size, complexity, and activities of regulated entities.”
136
The Board of Governors of the
Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve) has already initiated such efforts in the banking
sector, to enhance the ability of supervisors and banks to measure and manage climate-related
financial risks.
137
In January 2023, the Federal Reserve published the pilot exercise’s
instructions for the six participating banks, outlining (a) the physical risk module, which focuses
on scenarios that examine how acute physical risk drivers impact large banking organizations’
real estate portfolios, and (b) the transition risk module, which focuses on two scenarios from the
Phase III vintage of climate scenarios from the Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for
Greening the Financial System (NGFS).
138
Through engagement and coordination with FSOC,
the NGFS and other stakeholders, FIO intends to continue its own work on scenario analysis.
139
State insurance regulatory attention to scenario analysis is advancing as well. The Solvency
Workstream of the NAIC Climate and Resiliency Task Force is evaluating scenario analysis.
140
It also plans to survey Task Force members and other interested state insurance regulators on
whether this workstream and the NAIC should develop and incorporate some form of climate
scenario analysis into current oversight tools.
141
In addition, the workstream intends to begin
evaluating climate-related stress testing.
FIO welcomes the NAIC’s efforts to recognize the utility of climate-related scenario analysis and
encourages the NAIC to continue and expand such work. In so doing, the NAIC should work
with insurers, modeling firms, and FIO to: (a) develop granular, insurance-specific datasets
applicable to the United States, (b) incorporate transition, physical, and litigation risks, (c) define
scenarios that include risks from secondary perils, and (d) increase transparency on the
modeling, data, and assumptions used in climate-related scenario analysis.
Recommendation 11: The NAIC and state insurance regulators should prioritize their work on
scenario analysis for climate-related risks, initially as a capacity building exercise for large
insurers. Future NAIC work should include developing a pilot analysis with defined scenarios
and assumptions for insurers to run and submit to regulators, commensurate with an insurer’s
size, complexity, business activity, and risk profile.
136
FSOC, Climate Report, Recommendation 4.3, 124.
137
Federal Reserve, “Federal Reserve Board Announces that Six of the Nation’s Largest Banks will Participate in a
Pilot Climate Scenario Analysis Exercise Designed to Enhance the Ability of Supervisors and Firms to Measure and
Manage Climate-Related Financial Risks,” news release, September 29, 2022,
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/other20220929a.htm.
138
Federal Reserve, Pilot Climate Scenario Analysis Exercise: Participant Instructions (January 2023), 1, 6-7, 12,
22, https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/csa-instructions-20230117.pdf.
139
See also Section III.B (discussing FIO’s transition risk analysis).
140
NAIC, Climate and Resiliency (EX) Task Force Draft Minutes (March 24, 2023), 1,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/national_meeting/CRTF_MinutesPacket.pdf.
141
NAIC, Climate and Resiliency (EX) Task Force Draft Minutes (March 24, 2023), 2.
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Macroprudential Supervision and Regulation
Macroprudential supervision and regulation typically focus on activities of insurance groups and
seeks to identify and ensure control of risks that could pose sector-wide vulnerabilities and
common exposures in the insurance industry as well as potential shocks to the financial system
and real economy. In the United States, macroprudential supervision and regulation have both
state and federal elements, discussed in turn below. FSOC has recommended that both its
federal and state members “should prioritize internal investments to expand their respective
capacities to define, identify, measure, monitor, assess, and report on climate-related financial
risks and their effects on financial stability.”
142
State Macroprudential Supervision and Regulation
At the state level, insurance regulators have several supervisory tools available for analyzing
insurance group activities. Supervisory tools include supervisory colleges, Enterprise Risk
Report (Form F), the Group Capital Calculation (GCC), and the Liquidity Stress Test for life
insurers. These are all based on the NAIC’s Model Insurance Holding Company System
Regulatory Act, and are discussed below.
143
In addition, the NAIC recently implemented a
Macroprudential Risk Assessment. This section also discusses how climate-related risks are
affecting state guaranty funds as well as residual and non-standard markets.
Macroprudential Risk Assessment: In 2022, the NAIC conducted the first Macroprudential
Risk Assessment to identify and assess industry-wide insurance risks.
144
The Macroprudential
Risk Assessment serves as the NAIC’s “primary tool to identify, measure and monitor risks to
the insurance industry as well as the risks the insurance industry may pose to the overall financial
sector (i.e., both inward and outward risks).”
145
The Macroprudential Risk Assessment also
reported on the increasing levels of interconnection between the U.S. insurance industry and
other financial products and entities, such as private equity, derivatives and the Federal Home
Loan Banks.
146
The NAIC’s 2022 assessment includes a brief discussion of climate risk, noting
that “[c]limate risk and increasing natural catastrophe exposure may create an increasingly
challenging business environment going forward.”
147
It also highlights areas for future climate-
142
FSOC, Climate Report, 5 (Recommendation 1.3).
143
The Model Insurance Holding Company System Regulatory Act (NAIC 2021),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/MO440_0.pdf (Model Holding Company Act), is an accreditation standard
and appears in some form in the insurance law of every state. The 2020 revisions to the Model Holding Company
Act, relating to the GCC and Liquidity Stress Test, have not yet become accreditation requirements.
144
See NAIC, Financial Stability (E) Task Force and Macroprudential (E) Working Group Meeting (August 12,
2022), 5-6; https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/national_meeting/Minutes-FSTF.pdf; NAIC, NAIC
Macroprudential Risk Assessment Overview, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-
files/Macroprudential%20Risk%20Assessment_0.pdf.
145
NAIC, U.S. Insurance Industry Macroprudential Risk Assessment as of December 31, 2021 (2022), 6,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/2022%20MRA%20Report%20V3%20Combined.pdf.
146
NAIC, U.S. Insurance Industry Macroprudential Risk Assessment as of December 31, 2021, 11.
147
NAIC, U.S. Insurance Industry Macroprudential Risk Assessment as of December 31, 2021, 14.
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related work by the NAIC, including with respect to climate data such as: “regulators should
consider the identification of industry wide risk indicators… [and] (whether existing reporting
requirements enable adequate monitoring of the underlying risk(s) at an industry wide level.”
148
Recommendation 12: The NAIC should incorporate climate-related risks in future
Macroprudential Risk Assessments and these assessments should include additional detail on
climate-related risks specific to insurer underwriting and investments.
Reinsurance: Reinsurance is a means for an insurer to transfer to another insurer (the
“reinsurer”) a specified portion of the risks under one or more of the policies it has written.
149
Reinsurance serves a variety of functions, but it is particularly important as a means of protection
for property insurers against the risk of accumulation of losses from catastrophic events.
Underwritersparticularly property insurers—factor into their premium pricing calculations the
cost and availability of reinsurance, which may be used to protect their balance sheets and better
prepare them to address catastrophic incidents.
150
With the increase in frequency and severity of
climate-related disasters, reinsurers have been noticeably increasing the prices they charge for
such protection, limiting coverage, or, in some cases, exiting certain markets.
151
Recommendation 13. State insurance regulators and the NAIC should monitor the availability
of reinsurance for climate-related risks and consider whether market hardening or other
constraints will adversely affect insurer solvency.
Supervisory Colleges: Supervisory colleges are a means of enhancing cooperation and
communication among state, federal, and international regulators supervising insurers and non-
insurance affiliates within an insurance group with international operations, also known as an
internationally active insurance group.
152
Supervisory colleges could be a means for supervisors
to cooperate in assessing climate-related risks faced by insurers and insurance groups. However,
the extent to which this is being done at present is not clear. The International Association of
148
NAIC, U.S. Insurance Industry Macroprudential Risk Assessment as of December 31, 2021, 5.
149
For a more information, see FIO, The Breadth and Scope of the Global Reinsurance Market.
150
See, e.g., FIO, The Breadth and Scope of the Global Reinsurance Market.
151
See, e.g., Moody’s Investor Services, Reinsurers Defend Against Rising Tide of Natural Catastrophe Losses, For
Now (January 10, 2023), https://www.moodys.com/web/en/us/about/insights/data-stories/reinsurers-mitigate-lower-
profits.html; Steve Evans, “Climate Change to Prolong Reinsurance Hard Market: Goldman Sachs,” Artemis,
February 6, 2023, https://www.artemis.bm/news/climate-change-prolong-reinsurance-hard-market-goldman-sachs/;
Greg Ritchie, “Reinsurers Retreat from U.S. Disaster Hotspots on Climate Risks,” Insurance Journal, January 12,
2023, https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2023/01/12/702887.htm. See also Box 2.
152
See, e.g., Model Holding Company Act § 7; IAIS, Application Paper on Supervisory Colleges (November 2021),
www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/01/211111-Application-Paper-on-Supervisory-Colleges.pdf; IAIS & SIF, Climate
Application Paper, 12.
The IAIS lists 49 internationally active insurance groups, of whom nine have a U.S. state insurance regulator as their
group-wide supervisor or lead state regulator. IAIS, Register of Internationally Active Insurance Groups Based on
Information Publicly Disclosed by Group-wide Supervisors (July 26, 2022),
https://www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/07/Register-of-Internationally-Active-Insurance-Groups-IAIGs.pdf.
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Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) and the U.N.’s Sustainable Insurance Forum (SIF) have suggested
that supervisory colleges may discuss “the use of natural catastrophe models and assumptions to
account for climate change, including in stress scenarios” as part of the supervision of
internationally active insurance groups, but have not proposed that regulators mandate this
practice or other tools or procedures to address climate-related risks by supervisory colleges.
153
In the United States, the NAIC’s Financial Analysis Handbook provides guidance to assist
regulators in conducting supervisory colleges but these materials do not specifically address
climate-related risks.
154
Recommendation 14: The NAIC should encourage consideration of climate-related risks by
participants in supervisory colleges, and it should develop guidance to assist regulators when
conducting such supervisory college engagements.
Form F: Insurance holding companies must annually file a Form F with their lead state
regulator in order to “identify the material risks within the insurance holding company system
that could pose enterprise risk to the insurer.”
155
Form F is currently the only state
macroprudential supervision tool that expressly mentions climate-related risks. The instructions
for completing Form F state that a description of “climate change exposures” is an example area
of potential enterprise risk that insurance holding companies may report and, if material, that
they must report.
156
For Form F, “material” means sales, purchases, exchanges, loans or
extensions of credit, investments, or guarantees involving more than 0.5 percent of an insurer’s
admitted assets as of December 31 of the year being reported.
157
Group Capital Calculation: The GCC is a tool for state insurance regulators to assess group
risk and to measure a group’s capital adequacy by asking insurance groups to complete a
template that seeks certain quantitative and qualitative data.
158
A group’s GCC will include
climate-related adjustments only if the RBC formula for one or more legal entities within the
group itself requires such adjustments. Such requirements are limited, as described above.
Currently, the RBC formula only requires climate-related adjustments for P&C insurers that
write business in certain states with hurricane exposures.
159
For comparison, in 2022 U.S.
banking regulators published draft principles that, if adopted, could help identify the impact of
153
IAIS & SIF, Climate Application Paper, 12.
154
NAIC, Financial Analysis Handbook, 801
155
Model Holding Company Act § 4.L.1.
156
NAIC, NAIC Enterprise Risk Report (Form F) Implementation Guide (2018), 7,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/committees_e_isftf_group_solvency_related_form_f_guide.pdf
(Form F Guide).
157
Model Holding Company Act § 4.D. See also Box 1 for more on various definitions of “materiality.”
158
See Model Holding Company Act § 4.L.2; “NAIC Group Capital Calculation,” NAIC, last updated June 12,
2023, https://content.naic.org/cipr_topics/topic_group_capital_calculation.htm; NAIC, Group Capital Calculation
2022 Instructions (2022), https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/GCC%20Instructions-Final_5-5-
22.pdf; NAIC, Group Capital Calculation Template (2022), https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-
files/2022%20GCC%20Template-Final_2.xlsx.
159
See Section II.C.1.c.ii (discussing RBC formula Rcat component for hurricanes and potential expansion).
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climate-related risks on the capital of large banks, but which would not mandate any specific
adjustments to banks’ capital requirements.
160
Liquidity Stress Test: The NAIC developed the Liquidity Stress Test framework to help state
insurance regulators understand how aggregate asset sales by life insurers under specified
liquidity stresses potentially could impact broader financial markets as well as to supplement a
firm-specific liquidity risk management framework.
161
The Liquidity Stress Test does not
address climate-related risks. Regulators may vary stress test scenarios from year-to-year,
however, and therefore could at some future point incorporate climate-related scenarios.
State Guaranty Funds: A state guaranty fund (known in some states as a state guaranty
association) is a nonprofit legal entity created by state law to ensure the payment of “covered
claims arising from the insolvency of insurers licensed in the state.”
162
If a distressed insurer
appears unable to meet its obligations to policyholders, its state insurance regulator may place it
into receivership, which may take the form of conservation, rehabilitation, or liquidation; a
liquidation may trigger state guaranty association protections for policyholders.
163
State
insurance regulators and guaranty funds do not always identify the reason for an insolvency—
and indeed there may be more than one cause—but there have already been some insolvencies
that may be linked to climate-related disasters.
164
To the extent that the number and scope of climate-related disasters increases the risk of future
insurer insolvencies, state guaranty funds may face new financial strains. Such financial strains
160
See Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Board Invites Public Comment on Proposed Principles Providing a High-
level Framework for the Safe and Sound Management of Exposures to Climate-related Financial Risks for Large
Banking Organizations (December 2, 2022),
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/other20221202b.htm; Office of the Comptroller of the
Currency, Principles for Climate-Related Financial Risk Management for Large Banks; Request for Feedback, OCC
Bulletin 2021-16 (December 16, 2021), https://www.occ.treas.gov/news-issuances/bulletins/2021/bulletin-2021-
62.html; Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Statement of Principles for Climate-Related Financial Risk
Management for Large Financial Institutions, 87 Fed. Reg. 19,507 (April 4, 2022).
161
See Model Holding Company Act § 4.L.3. NAIC, NAIC 2020 Liquidity Stress Test Framework for Life Insurers
Meeting the Scope Criteria (May 2021), 8-9, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-
files/Final%202020%20LST%20Framework_0.pdf. The scenarios are determined by the NAIC and incorporate
both prescribed and internal company assumptions for modeling purposes. Id. at 17.
162
Guaranty Associations/Funds,” NAIC, last updated April 3, 2023, https://content.naic.org/cipr-topics/guaranty-
associationsfunds. All 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands (for P&C only)
have some form of guaranty mechanism in place, although they vary in structure and benefits. Id.
163
For more on guaranty funds, see, e.g., FIO, 2016 Consumer Report (2016), 2729,
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/2016_FIO_Consumer_Report.pdf; “Guaranty Associations/Funds,”
NAIC; National Conference of Insurance Guaranty Funds, Backgrounder (October 26, 2018),
https://www.ncigf.org/media-kit/backgrounder; “What Happens When an Insurance Company Fails?” National
Organization of Life & Health Insurance Guaranty Associations,
https://www.nolhga.com/policyholderinfo/main.cfm/location/insolvencyprocess.
164
See, e.g., Louisiana Insurance Guaranty Association (LIGA), 2021 Annual Report (March 30, 2022), 1,
https://www.laiga.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/2021-Annual-Report.pdf (noting “State National Fire Ins. Co.
and Access Home Ins. Co. were two homeowner insurers which became insolvent in the wake of Hurricane Ida”).
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in the first instance generally would fall upon solvent members of the state guaranty fund;
secondarily, they could fall upon policyholders.
165
Although there are state-specific variations,
generally speaking, each state guaranty fund association is responsible for estimating how much
it will need to pay claims resulting from an insolvency and for raising the amounts necessary
from solvent member insurers via mandatory assessments (subject to statutory limits that vary
from state to state). Insurers then may recoup the assessments through premium increases,
premium tax offsets, or policy surcharges.
166
The Louisiana Insurance Guaranty Association (LIGA) presents a recent illustration of guaranty
fund operation. As a result of several property insurer insolvencies in 2021 and 2022, LIGA
became responsible for almost 13,000 new claims by the end of 2021 and over 28,000 additional
new claims by the end of 2022.
167
By comparison, in the nine years between 2012 and 2020,
LIGA had handled an average of 711 new claims a year.
168
The substantial increase in new
claims created both a lengthy claims processing backlog for policyholders and a financial bill far
larger than what LIGA was able to cover from assessments on solvent insurers in a single
year.
169
In 2022, LIGA assessed insurers for the full amount legally allowable for 2021 and
2022, which was one percent of the total premium written in the previous calendar year.
170
To
address the shortfall, LIGA obtained permission from the Louisiana State Bond Commission to
issue up to $600 million in bonds backed by future assessments on insurers over a 12-year period
to allow it to pay current claimants in a timely manner.
171
Solvent insurers in Louisiana that are
subject to assessment by the guaranty fund are able to recoup assessments they pay LIGA by
reducing the amount of premium taxes they pay the state or by increasing the rates that they
charge policyholders.
172
165
For example, in April 2023, the Florida Insurance Commissioner approved a one percent emergency assessment
for the Florida Insurance Guaranty Association to help handle hundreds of millions of dollars in claims after United
Property & Casualty Insurance Co. was put into receivership. Jim Saunders,Florida Imposes 1% ‘Emergency’ Fee
to Property Insurance Premiums,” South Florida Sun Sentinel (April 17, 2023), https://www.sun-
sentinel.com/business/fl-ne-nsf-insurer-insolvencies-20230417-75ngtxjkrzdojmb5zyk6i6ttva-story.html.
166
See, e.g., “Guaranty Associations/Funds,” NAIC.
167
LIGA, 2022 Annual Report (March 30, 2023), 2, 19, https://www.laiga.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/2022-
Annual-Report.pdf.
168
LIGA, 2022 Annual Report, 19.
169
See, e.g., Michael Finch II, “Louisiana’s Bailout Program for Failed Insurers Wants $600 Million to Cover
Losses,The Times-Picayune, July 16, 2022, https://www.nola.com/news/business/article_e78f0c36-048a-11ed-
87de-db5d0cf88cec.html.
170
Louisiana Department of Insurance, Financial Condition of the Residential Property Insurance Market:
Performance Audit Services (October 13, 2022), 7-8,
https://app.lla.state.la.us/publicreports.nsf/0/9d5c25a709f476a3862588da005c6930/$file/000283c0.pdf?openelement
&.7773098 (LA Dept. of Insurance, Financial Condition Report).
171
See, e.g., Finch, “Louisiana’s Bailout Program”; LA Dept. of Insurance, Financial Condition Report, 7.
172
See, e.g., LA Dept. of Insurance, Financial Condition Report, 8. In the past, insurers have usually chosen to
reduce the amount of premium taxes that they pay. Id.
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As disasters become more frequent and more severe, U.S. state guaranty funds may have an even
larger role to play. An advantage of the guaranty funds system is that it minimizes the adverse
contagion effects on other insurers from insurance company failures. Ultimately, however,
insurers may pass on the costs of guaranty fund assessments to policyholders in the form of
higher premiums. Plus, this structure could leave state guaranty fund associations, solvent
insurers, and state taxpayers (directly or indirectly) vulnerable for policyholder losses that
exhaust the resources of a single very large insurer or the simultaneous insolvency of multiple
smaller insurers.
Recommendation 15: State insurance regulators and the NAIC should increase their work with
the National Council of Insurance Legislators, state legislatures, and state guaranty associations
to improve their ability to quantify potential climate-related risks for state guaranty funds and to
better understand potential exposures from climate-related disasters for insurers, policyholders,
and state governments.
Residual and Non-Standard Markets: Sometimes characterized as “insurers of last resort” for
individuals or businesses otherwise unable to obtain insurance coverage, residual markets are
programs for policyholders and markets viewed as high risk by insurers.
173
Residual markets
typically are established through legislation, which may include statutory provisions uniquely
applicable to the market in the relevant state.
174
The increasing use of such programs may not
only signal market disruptions but also help to ameliorate them by serving individuals or
businesses otherwise unable to obtain needed coverage directly from an insurer in the standard
market.
Thirty-two states and the District of Columbia offer some sort of residual market for property
owners.
175
The vast majority of residual market plans are state-run Fair Access to Insurance
Requirements (FAIR) plans that generally provide basic coverage for eligible properties but with
differing state-by-state rules and limitations.
176
Five states have beach plans,” which function
similarly to FAIR plans, except that they cover properties located on or near the coast. Florida
and Louisiana have non-FAIR plan state-run organizations that underwrite policies for their
173
For more information, see, e.g., FIO, 2021 Annual Report, Box 3, 66; FIO, Report Providing an Assessment of
the Current State of the Market for Natural Catastrophe Insurance in the United States.
174
See, e.g., O.G.C.A. §§ 33-33-1 to 33-33-11 (statutory provisions relating to Georgia FAIR plan).
175
A Firm Foundation: How Insurance Supports the Economy Residual Markets,” III,
https://www.iii.org/publications/a-firm-foundation-how-insurance-supports-the-economy/a-50-state-
commitment/residual-markets.
176
States that have both residential and commercial FAIR plans include: Arkansas, California, Connecticut,
Delaware, D.C., Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,
Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode
Island, Virginia, and Washington. Florida’s Citizens Property Insurance Corporation and Louisiana’s Citizens
Property Insurance Corporation combine the FAIR and Beach plans. The Mississippi and Texas FAIR plans do not
offer a commercial policy. See “A Firm Foundation,” III.
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residual markets.
177
Residual markets vary in scope, sometimes limiting coverage to narrowly
defined perils.
178
For example, California’s FAIR plan has generally provided “fire only”
premises coverage. While California’s Insurance Commissioner has sought to include a more
comprehensive option in the state’s FAIR plan, which might expand access and thereby
potentially lower premiums, the president of the FAIR plan has stated this change would lead to
higher premiums and would encourage more private insurers to exit the market.
179
After decreasing in the 2010s, more recently the number of policies and amount of premiums
within residual markets have climbed.
180
For example, the California FAIR plan showed a 96
percent increase in the number of property policies (from 126,854 to 248,361) between April
2018 and December 2021, an increase that likely would have been higher had the California
Department of Insurance not placed a moratorium on non-renewals in certain wildfire-affected
areas.
181
The Florida Citizen Property Insurance Corporation, Florida’s residual insurer, has
seen an increase in policy counts from approximately 420,000 reported in June 2019 to over
1,272,815 in April 2023.
182
The number of policyholders in Louisiana’s residual market, the
Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, has risen from 47,093 policies in 2021 to
154,507 in 2022, causing the corporation to seek and obtain a 63 percent rate increase.
183
The
Texas Windstorm Insurance Association, the Texas residual insurer for the 14 coastal counties
and part of Harris County that provides wind and hail coverage for residential and commercial
177
See, e.g., “Who We Are,” (Florida) Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, https://www.citizensfla.com/who-
we-are; “Company Overview,” Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (Louisiana Citizens),
https://www.lacitizens.com/AboutUs/CompanyOverview.
178
Property Insurance Plans Service Office, PIPSO Reports (June 2022), 4, available at pipso.com/publications/.
179
See, e.g., California Department of Insurance, “Court Upholds Insurance Commissioner Lara’s Order to Expand
FAIR Plan ‘Last Resort’ Coverage to Better Protect Homeowners,” news release, July 20, 2021,
http://www.insurance.ca.gov/0400-news/0100-press-releases/2021/statement073-2021.cfm; Timothy Darragh,
“California FAIR Plan Says CDI Demands Would Harm Consumers,AM Best Information Services, July 14, 2022,
https://news.ambest.com/newscontent.aspx?altsrc=108&refnum=242889.
180
See, e.g., “ A Firm Foundation,” III; III, 2021 Insurance Fact Book, 98100,
https://www.iii.org/sites/default/files/docs/pdf/insurance_factbook_2021.pdf (providing data for 20102019);
California Department of Insurance, Data on Insurance Non-Renewals, FAIR Plan, and Surplus Lines (2020),
https://www.insurance.ca.gov/0400-news/0100-press-releases/2021/upload/nr117DataNon-
RenewalsandFAIRPlan12202021.pdf.
181
California Department of Insurance, Operational Assessment Report: California FAIR Plan Association (June 15,
2022), http://www.insurance.ca.gov/0250-insurers/0300-insurers/0400-reports-examination/upload/CFPA-
Operational-Assessment-Report.pdf.
182
Policies in Force,” (Florida) Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, www.citizensfla.com/policies-in-force.
183
Louisiana Citizens, Annual Statement for 2022 (2023), 350, https://www.lacitizens.com/docs/default-
source/financial-reports-and-statements/2022-annual-statement.pdf?sfvrsn=7264ee03_2; Louisiana Department of
Insurance, “Louisiana Department of Insurance Approves Citizens Rate Increase and Offers Tips for Policyholders,”
news release, October 10, 2022, https://www.ldi.la.gov/news/press-releases/10-10-22-ldi-approves-citizens-rate-
increase-and-offers-tips-for-policyholders. Louisiana Citizens must charge more than private insurers. Id. It
represented less than one percent of direct written premiums in the homeowners multi-peril line in Louisiana in 2021
based on S&P Global data.
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properties, saw its exposure for in-force policies increase by over 27 percent to over $75 billion
in 2022.
184
In the case of FAIR or beach plans, such as those in California and Texas, each of the insurers
within the state shares in the FAIR or beach plan’s profits, losses, and expenses in proportion to
their share of the insurance market within the state.
185
The Louisiana Citizens Property
Insurance Corporation, which combines a FAIR and a beach plan, may levy either a regular or
emergency assessment on insurers operating within Louisiana to cover its expenses and losses.
186
In Florida, the plan is funded by policyholder premiums, but it may make assessments on most
policyholders within Florida (not just its own policyholders) in the aftermath of a particularly
devasting storm or series of storms.
187
In the surplus lines market certain non-admitted insurers are permitted to offer coverage that is of
limited availability in the admitted market.
188
The ability of the surplus lines market to sell
insurance that is otherwise of limited availability may permit (although not require) them to
provide insurance to higher risk policyholders at higher premiums than that offered by admitted
insurers in the standard market. Regulatory oversight and applicable laws differ for insurers in
the surplus lines market that may have “more freedom to modify underwriting standards and
rates, adopt new policy provisions, or exit geographic areas with accumulating correlated risks
by choosing not to offer new policies in a geographic area or non-renewing existing policies in a
geographic area than admitted insurers offering homeowner insurance.”
189
The increased
frequency and severity of climate-related disasters may lead to more correlated risks that cause
insurers to shift their business to the surplus lines market.
190
184
Thomas Frank, “Growing Insurance Crisis Spreads to Texas,” E&E News Climatewire, April 17, 2023,
https://www.eenews.net/articles/growing-insurance-crisis-spreads-to-texas/;Texas Windstorm Insurance
Association, Quarterly Liability Report as of December 31, 2022, 1, https://www.twia.org/wp-
content/uploads/Qtrly_Liab_20221231.pdf.
185
“Fair Access to Insurance Requirements (FAIR) Plans,” NAIC, last updated February 1, 2023,
https://content.naic.org/cipr-topics/fair-access-insurance-requirements-fair-plans#.
186
Louisiana Citizens, Regular Assessment and Emergency Assessment Collection and Remittance: FAQ’s or
Guidelines and Procedures (February 12, 2021), https://www.lacitizens.com/docs/default-source/assessment-
information/louisiana-property-insurance-corporation-assessment-guidelines.pdf?sfvrsn=e2b0e003_2.
187
“Who We Are,” (Florida) Citizens Property Insurance Corporation.
188
Non-admitted insurers (who are not themselves licensed in the state in which they are offering coverage) must
place their products through an excess and surplus lines broker licensed in that state. See, e.g., Nonadmitted
insurance-US,” IRMI, https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-definitions/nonadmitted-insurance-us. “Excess and
surplus” insurance is “any type of coverage that cannot be placed with an insurer admitted to do business in a certain
jurisdiction.” “Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance,” IRMI, https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-
definitions/excess-and-surplus-lines-insurance.
189
FIO, Report Providing an Assessment of the Current State of the Market for Natural Catastrophe Insurance in
the United States, 13.
190
For example, AIG cited the increased frequency and severity of natural catastrophes as a reason it moved some of
its homeowners business to excess and surplus lines in multiple states. See, e.g., Chad Hemenway, “AIG to Move
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Given their greater freedom of rate and form, surplus lines insurers may provide, at least for
some classes of policyholders, an alternative source of coverage in areas for policyholders facing
challenges in obtaining coverage due to climate-related risks.
Recommendation 16: All state insurance regulators and the NAIC should monitor the growth
and other trends in residual and surplus lines markets, and publicly report on how climate-
related risks are currently affecting, and in the future may affect, these markets.
Box 2: Examples of Other Market Interventions
States that are prone to climate-related disasters may take various measures to support their
insurance markets as demonstrated by these examples from Florida and Louisiana.
Florida’s insurance regulators and legislators have taken targeted steps in response to insufficient
commercial capacity for property insurance for climate-related risks. The Florida Hurricane
Catastrophe Fund was established in 1993 to support the residential property insurance market
for hurricane damages by partially reimbursing insurers’ losses.
191
More recently, Florida
convened special legislative sessions in May and December 2022 to attempt to address growing
challenges to the state’s property insurance market.
192
Among other reforms to the local
insurance market, the resulting legislation created a $3 billion state program, “Reinsurance to
Assist Policyholders,” for certain insurers to obtain support from the program in exchange for
reducing policyholders’ rates. In particular, the temporary arrangement provides payment
guarantees in the event of a rating downgrade so that insurers can maintain a credit rating
sufficient to permit policyholders with federally backed mortgages to keep coverage from such
insurers in place.
193
Louisiana has sought to use financial incentives to increase the number of insurers writing
residential and commercial policies in its coastal areas with the creation of the Insure Louisiana
Incentive Program in 2022.
194
To receive a grant, the insurer must agree to write new
High Net Worth Homeowners to E&S,” Insurance Journal, February 17, 2022,
https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2022/02/17/654804.htm.
191
“About the FHCF,” Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (“The coverage provided by the FHCF is similar to
private reinsurance but at a lower cost than private market prices.”).
192
See, e.g., Christopher Flavelle, “Why Ian May Push Florida Real Estate Out of Reach for All but the Super Rich,”
New York Times, October 13, 2022, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/13/climate/florida-real-estate-hurricane-
ian.html.
193
FLOIR, “Florida Establishes Temporary Reinsurance Arrangement for Insurers Facing Potential Financial
Stability Rating Downgrades,” news release, July 27, 2022, https://floir.com/newsroom/archives/item-
details/2022/07/27/florida-establishes-temporary-reinsurance-arrangement-for-insurers-facing-potential-financial-
stability-rating-downgrades. Leslie Scism and Arian Campo-Flores, “Florida Lawmakers Approve Property-
Insurance Overhaul, Sending Bill to DeSantis,” Wall Street Journal, December 14, 2022,
https://www.wsj.com/articles/florida-lawmakers-approve-property-insurance-overhaul-sending-bill-to-desantis-
11671048780.
194
Insure Louisiana Incentive Program,” Louisiana Department of Insurance,
https://www.ldi.la.gov/industry/insure-louisiana-incentive-program.
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residential, commercial, mono-line, or package property insurance with a specified ratio of net
written premiums for property located within the federal Gulf Opportunity Zone, and the policies
must include coverage for wind and hail damages. The Louisiana Department of Insurance
approved eight of the nine grant applications from insurers.
195
Federal Macroprudential Supervision and Regulation of Insurers
On the federal side, FSOC is charged with identifying risks to U.S. financial stability, promoting
market discipline, and responding to emerging threats to the stability of the U.S. financial
system.
196
FSOC’s ten voting members and five non-voting members include the main U.S.
financial regulatory agencies, as well as a state insurance commissioner, an independent member
with insurance expertise, and the Director of FIO.
197
The October 2021 FSOC Report on
Climate-Related Financial Risk (FSOC Climate Report) identifies climate change as an
“emerging threat to the financial stability of the United States.
198
The FSOC Climate Report
surveys the current state of U.S. regulatory and supervisory engagement with climate-related
risks, available data and methodologies for analyzing such risks, public disclosures of climate-
related risks, and the implications for financial stability assessments.
199
The report’s four sets of
recommendations cover: (1) building capacity and expanding efforts to address climate-related
risks; (2) filling climate-related data and methodological gaps; (3) enhancing public climate-
related disclosures; and (4) assessing and mitigating climate-related risks that could threaten the
stability of the U.S. financial system.
200
Several FSOC Climate Report recommendations relate to addressing climate-related issues or
gaps in the regulation and supervision of insurance. The recommendations most relevant to FIO
and state insurance regulators are reproduced below:
“The Council recommends that the Federal Insurance Office (FIO) should act
expeditiously to analyze the potential for climate change to affect insurance and
reinsurance coverage, particularly in regions of the country affected by climate change, in
consultation with the States, in a manner consistent with Executive Order 14030”
(Recommendation 1.7);
The Council recommends that its members, consistent with their mandates and
authorities, evaluate climate-related impacts and the impacts of proposed policy solutions
195
Louisiana Department of Insurance, “Donelon Announces Nine Companies Applied for Over $60M in Insure
Louisiana Incentive Program Fundingnews release, March 14, 2023, https://www.ldi.la.gov/news/press-releases/3-
14-23-donelon-announces-nine-companies-applied-for-over-60m-in-insure-louisiana-incentive-program-funding;
Insure Louisiana Incentive Program,” Louisiana Department of Insurance.
196
Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 § 112(a)(1), 12 U.S.C. § 5322(a)(1).
197
Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 §§ 111(b)(1)-(2), 12 U.S.C.
§§ 5321(b)(1)-(2).
198
FSOC, Climate Report, 3.
199
FSOC, Climate Report.
200
FSOC, Climate Report, 5-9, 118-125.
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on financially vulnerable populations when assessing the impact of climate change on the
economy and the financial system” (Recommendation 1.8);
“The Council recommends that its members promptly identify and take the appropriate
next steps towards ensuring that they have consistent and reliable data to assist in
assessing climate-related risks through:
• Identifying the data needed to evaluate the climate-related financial risk exposures of
regulated entities and financial markets within the context of each FSOC member’s
mandate and authorities;
• Performing an internal inventory of currently collected and procured data and its
relevance for climate risk assessments; and
• Developing a plan for procuring necessary data through data collection, data sharing
arrangements described in Recommendation 2.2, and information purchased from data
providers or other sources” (Recommendation 2.1);
“The Council supports continued efforts by FIO and insurance regulators to work
together to enhance the existing climate-related disclosures for the insurance sector”
(Recommendation 3.8);
“The Council recommends that its members use scenario analysis, where appropriate, as
a tool for assessing climate-related financial risks, taking into account their supervisory
and regulatory mandates and the size, complexity, and activities of regulated entities”
(Recommendation 4.3);
“FSOC members, consistent with their mandate and authorities, should review existing
regulations, guidance, and regulatory reporting relevant to climate-related risks, including
credit risks, market risks, counterparty risks, and other financial and operational risks, to
assess whether updates are necessary to appropriately address climate-related financial
risks” (Recommendation 4.7); and
“FSOC members should evaluate whether additional regulations or guidance specific to
climate-related risks is necessary to clarify expectations for regulated or supervised
institutions regarding management of climate risks, taking into account an institution’s
size, complexity, risk profile, and existing enterprise risk management processes”
(Recommendation. 4.8).
Pursuant to recommendations in the FSOC Climate Report, FSOC created an external advisory
committee as well as an internal staff-level committee with multiple workstreams to address
climate-related risks. FIO is working closely with FSOC on its climate-related work and will
continue to provide insurance expertise to FSOC and its committees. FIO also will continue to
work with FSOC and Treasury’s Office of Financial Research to increase the federal
government’s ability to understand and mitigate potential systemic risks and threats to U.S.
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financial stability that might result from increased financial distress at insurers due to climate-
related disasters.
201
Market Conduct Supervision and Regulation
Market conduct regulation and supervision promotes the functioning of insurance markets and
seeks to protect policyholders from unfair practices and among other things includes: oversight
of disaster response, including claims-handling; company, broker, and claims-adjuster licensing;
underwriting and rates, including policy renewals and cancellations; policy marketing and sales;
and the development of new or modified insurance products.
202
Effective oversight of market
conduct and consumer protection practices can allow regulators to spot market conduct issues
before they potentially manifest as financial solvency concerns and thus complements prudential
regulation.
203
The NAIC’s Market Regulation Handbook provides guidance to state regulators
on how to identify market conduct issues and conduct market conduct examinations.
204
The
NAIC has stated that market conduct regulation and supervision is critical for addressing risks to
underserved populations.
205
Its Market Regulation Handbook also states that as part of a
regulator’s analysis of general market conditions one of the key factors to be considered is
“[c]ompetitive pricing and availability of products.”
206
These are important observations
because researchers have found that minority communities may have less adequate insurance
coverage, greater economic loss, and lower property valuation recovery after disasters as
compared to other population segments.
207
Financial resilience is also lower in underserved
communities, exacerbating hardships for already vulnerable populations that may not have
access to sufficient financial tools and products when trying to recover from disaster disruption
201
See, e.g., Treasury, OFR Fact Sheet: Climate Data and Analytics Hub (July 2022),
https://www.financialresearch.gov/press-releases/files/OFR_Climate_data_and_analytics_hub_fact_sheet.pdf.
202
“Market Conduct Regulation,” NAIC.
203
Market Conduct Regulation,NAIC.
204
NAIC, Market Regulation Handbook Vol. 1-IV (2022), available through https://content.naic.org/publications.
See also NAIC, Market Regulation Handbook Examination Standards Summary,
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/publication-mes-hb-market-handbook-examination.pdf.
205
NAIC, Market Regulation Handbook, 129-130.
206
NAIC, Market Regulation Handbook, 129 (noting that competitive pricing and availability of products “are the
traditional core concerns of macroanalysis, since it is always essential to identify underserved markets and
population sectors and evaluate how the industry and the state can best work together to correct the situation.”).
207
See, e.g., Samuel Rufat, et al., “Social Vulnerability to Floods: Review of Case Studies and Implications for
Measurement,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 14 (4): 47086 (December 2015),
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.09.013.
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and hardships.
208
In addition, observers have noted that individuals with socio-economic
vulnerabilities may live in areas where it is difficult to obtain or maintain insurance coverage.
209
Climate-related risks implicate several aspects of market conduct regulation and supervision. As
described below, state insurance regulators are already addressing climate-related risks in key
aspects of market conduct regulation and supervision, although new challenges are emerging.
Market Conduct Tools and Standards Generally: In 2002, the NAIC developed the Market
Conduct Annual Statement as a uniform means for state insurance regulators to collect market-
related information. Using this, regulators now collect national and state level claims and
underwriting data on several lines of business, including homeowners and private passenger auto
insurance.
210
State insurance regulators undertake examinations to assess the market conduct
practices of regulated entities within their jurisdictions, with guidance from the NAIC Market
Regulation Handbook, focusing on compliance with laws addressing operations, complaint
handling, marketing, claims, rate and form filing, and policyholder service.
211
The NAIC Market
Regulation Handbook does not specifically reference climate-related risks.
212
Underwriting, Rating, Renewals, and Cancellations: When underwriting, an insurer assesses
and decides whether to accept the risks associated with covering a prospective customer. In rate
making, an insurer uses the information obtained in underwriting to determine the appropriate
amount to charge for the class of business in question in order to cover anticipated losses and
expenses and still provide a reasonable profit to the insurer.
213
Market conduct regulation
208
See, e.g., Carolyn Kousky & Karina French, Inclusive Insurance for Climate-Related Disasters: A Roadmap for
the United States (2023), available through https://www.ceres.org/resources/reports/report-inclusive-insurance-
climate-related-disasters.
209
See, e.g., Karina French, “Economic Resilience to Climate Impacts Requires Making Disaster Insurance More
Inclusive in the US,Market Forces (January 24, 2023), https://blogs.edf.org/markets/2023/01/24/economic-
resilience-to-climate-impacts-requires-making-disaster-insurance-more-inclusive-in-the-us/.
210
Randy Helder, “The Market Conduct Annual Statement Comes of Age,” CIPR, January 2012,
https://naic.soutronglobal.net/Portal/Public/en-US/RecordView/Index/24282; “Market Conduct Annual Statement,”
NAIC, last updated February 1, 2023, https://content.naic.org/cipr-topics/market-conduct-annual-statement-mcas.
While insurers’ Market Conduct Annual Statement filings are confidential, some of the information provided is
made publicly available through a “Scorecard.” See “MCAS Scorecard and MCAS Contacts,” NAIC,
https://content.naic.org/mcas_data_dashboard.htm.
211
See, e.g., Market Conduct Surveillance Model Law (NAIC 2004),
https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/MDL-693.pdf; NAIC, Market Regulation Handbook:
Examinations Standards Summary (2022), https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/publication-mes-hb-market-
handbook-examination.pdf (Market Regulation Handbook Summary).
212
In contrast, the Examiners Handbook includes optional material on climate-related risks, as discussed in Section
II.C.1.c.iv.
213
See, e.g., “Underwriting (Definition),” IRMI, https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-definitions/underwriting;
“Rate (Definition),” IRMI, https://www.irmi.com/term/insurance-definitions/rate.
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includes the approval of insurance rates to ensure that they are not excessive, while maintaining
insurer solvency and preventing unfair discrimination.
214
State insurance regulators may consider climate-related disasters and their impacts when they
supervise insurers’ underwriting and rating of insurance policies, including policy renewals and
cancellations. For example, as part of the Market Conduct Annual Statement data collection
system, participating state insurance regulators track key ratios—such as the ratio of non-
renewals (or cancellations) to policies in force—to identify insurers that are inconsistent with
market practices.
215
More research is needed, however, to better understand whether and how the process by which
states approve insurance rate increases may lead to misalignment of rates and climate-related
risks. One study found that insurance rates in states where rate regulation is least restrictive
(“low friction states”) increase both in response to local losses as well as to losses that occur in
states where rate regulation is most restrictive (“high friction states”) and, as a result,
“households in low friction states are in-part bearing the risks of households in high friction
states.”
216
Regulators sometimes can use their market conduct authority to address underwriting,
cancellation, and non-renewal in connection with climate-related events. Examples of such steps
include the following:
California’s Department of Insurance administers a law requiring a one-year moratorium
on cancellation or non-renewal of residential insurance policies in areas affected by
wildfire; since 2018, this moratorium has been used in connection with 25 emergency
declarations.
217
After the Marshall and East Troublesome wildfires, the Colorado Division of Insurance
released a consumer advisory providing information on the requirements to which
insurers are subject if they choose not to renew a policy.
218
The New Mexico Office of Superintendent of Insurance issued a wildfire emergency
order directing insurers who wrote property or homeowners premiums in fire impacted
214
See, e.g., “Market Conduct Regulation,NAIC; NAIC, Market Regulation Handbook Summary, 3.
215
“Market Conduct Annual Statement Scorecard,” NAIC, https://content.naic.org/mcas_data_dashboard.htm.
Nearly all states participate.
216
See Sangmin Oh, et al., Pricing of Climate Risk Insurance: Regulation and Cross-Subsidies (December 22,
2022). https://ssrn.com/abstract=3762235.
217
“Mandatory One Year Moratorium on Non-Renewals,” California Department of Insurance,
https://www.insurance.ca.gov/01-consumers/140-catastrophes/MandatoryOneYearMoratoriumNonRenewals.cfm.
218
Colorado Division of Insurance, “Consumer Advisory: When Your HomeownersInsurance Doesn’t Renew
Your Policy,” news release, August 31, 2022, https://doi.colorado.gov/news-releases-consumer-
advisories/consumer-advisory-when-your-homeowners-insurance-doesnt-renew.
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counties to, among other directives, postpone cancellations and non-renewals for no less
than 120 days.
219
After Hurricane Ian, the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation issued an emergency
order suspending cancellations or non-renewals on P&C insurance for two months, unless
requested by the policyholder.
220
Marketing, Sales, and Consumer Education: State laws regulating insurance marketing and
NAIC consumer education initiatives could be particularly important in the context of climate-
related disasters, as a means of enhancing policyholders’ understanding of the scope of coverage
under their insurance policies. Generally, state insurance laws require that all insurance
advertisements and other communications are “truthful and not misleading in fact or by
implication.”
221
Relatedly, the NAIC has a working group charged with, among other things,
“[f]acilitat[ing] consumers’ capacity to understand the content of insurance policies and assess
differences in insurers’ policy forms.”
222
And state insurance regulators have issued consumer
guidance to help combat common misconceptions about the scope of coverage for various
perils.
223
Yet policyholders continue to have such misconceptions. The Minnesota Department of
Commerce, for example, advised homeowners to check deductibles and exclusions on their
homeowners policies following a nearly 20 percent increase in complaints since 2020, primarily
around coverage denials or high costs after wind or hailstorms.
224
Also, many policyholders may
be unaware that their standard homeowners insurance policies do not cover flood risk, despite
numerous attempts by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and state insurance
regulators to educate consumers.
225
Federal agencies also have worked to promote financial
literacy more generally, including through the FLEC.
226
Treasury, in coordination with the
219
New Mexico Office of Superintendent of Insurance, Emergency Order 2022-0041 (May 11, 2022),
https://edocket.osi.state.nm.us/api/documents/5762-002.
220
FLOIR, Emergency Order 300997-22 (September 28, 2022), https://www.floir.com/docs-sf/default-source/floir-
documents/hurricane-ian-emergency-order-with-all-exhibits-09282022-filed.pdf?sfvrsn=fb033799_2.
221
See, e.g., NAIC, Market Regulation Handbook, 312.
222
“Transparency and Readability of Consumer Information (C) Working Group,” NAIC,
https://content.naic.org/cmte_c_trans_read_wg.htm.
223
See, e.g., “Windstorm and Hail,” North Carolina Department of Insurance,
https://www.ncdoi.gov/consumers/homeowners-insurance/windstorm-and-hail#named-storm-percentage-
deductibles.
224
Minnesota Department of Commerce, “MN Commerce Advises Minnesota Homeowners to Check Insurance
Coverage for Wind, Hail limits,” news release, August 15, 2022, https://mn.gov/commerce/news/?id=17-537615.
225
See, e.g., “Myths and Facts About Flood Insurance,” FEMA, November 18, 2020, https://www.fema.gov/fact-
sheet/myths-and-facts-about-flood-insurance; Louisiana Department of Insurance, Post-Disaster Insurance Guide,
7-8, https://www.ldi.la.gov/docs/default-source/documents/publicaffairs/consumerpublications/post-disaster-
guide.pdf?sfvrsn=9.
226
See “Financial Literacy and Education Commission,” Treasury, https://home.treasury.gov/policy-
issues/consumer-policy/financial-literacy-and-education-commission.
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FLEC, is developing a report on the impact of climate change on households and
communities.
227
Recommendation 17: The NAIC, state insurance regulators, the insurance industry, FIO, the
FLEC, and other partners should work together to increase consumer education and outreach
regarding what climate-related risks are (and are not) commonly covered under personal lines
of insurance and take steps to increase public awareness of the nature and magnitude of climate-
related risks. They also should continue encouraging consumers to take advantage of
educational and outreach programs in markets vulnerable to climate change, including
programs related to the value of, and opportunities for, pre-disaster mitigation investments in
property resilience. Public-private partnerships with the insurance industry can aid this
educational effort.
Disaster Response: States insurance regulators have well-established practices for regulatory
oversight of market conduct concerns relating to all types of disasters, including climate-related
disasters. Tools available to state insurance regulators to address market conduct matters during
disaster responses include, but are not limited to the following:
Extending the deadline for policyholders to submit notices of claims to insurers;
228
Extending the timeline for policyholders to complete repairs;
229
Barring insurers from cancelling or not-renewing policies for failure to timely remit
premiums while disaster declarations are in effect;
230
Implementing emergency licensing provisions so that out-of-state adjusters may
supplement the pool of available claims adjusters;
231
Conducting data calls in order to obtain detailed information on claims from catastrophic
events;
232
and
227
Treasury, “Treasury Launches Effort to Study Impact of Climate Change on Households and Communities,”
news release, October 13, 2021, https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0404.
228
See, e.g., New Mexico Office of Superintendent of Insurance, Emergency Order 2022-0041 (May 11, 2022),
https://edocket.osi.state.nm.us/api/documents/5762-002.
229
See, e.g., Oregon Department of Consumer and Business Services Division of Financial Regulation, Bulletin No.
DFR 2022-3 (August 4, 2022), https://dfr.oregon.gov/laws-rules/Documents/Bulletins/bulletin2022-03.pdf.
230
See discussion above on “Underwriting, Rating, Renewals, and Cancellations.”
231
See, e.g., “Emergency Adjuster Information,” Alabama Department of Insurance,
https://www.aldoi.gov/licensing/emergencyadjusterinfo.aspx; “Temporary Emergency Independent Adjuster
License,” Indiana Department of Insurance, https://www.in.gov/idoi/adjusters/temporary-emergency-independent-
adjuster-license/.
232
See, e.g., “Final Compilation of Hurricane Harvey Data,” Texas Department of Insurance, June 30, 2019,
https://www.tdi.texas.gov/reports/documents/harvey-dc-final-06302019.pdf.
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Coordinating with other states and/or the NAIC to provide technical support and/or assist
with responding to policyholder concerns and complaints when a state insurance
regulator’s own operations are affected by a disaster.
233
Regulators should remain proactive about monitoring insurers’ claims adjustments and denials,
particularly from smaller or regional insurers, as there have been reports that some of these
insurers may have significant exposure to a specific climate-related disaster. In addition, state
insurance regulators and state legislators with input into state budgets should consider that with
the increased frequency and severity of climate-related disasters, regulators may in the future
need additional resources to fulfill their post-disaster oversight role.
Recommendation 18: State insurance regulators and the NAIC should continue using existing
frameworks for their post-disaster response efforts, including their focus on fair and efficient
resolution of claims. In addition, the NAIC and state insurance regulators should conduct more
post-disasters surveys to assess the claims resolution process, particularly with regard to
whether insurers are fulfilling their obligations in a fair and efficient manner.
Disclosure Initiatives
Disclosures are an important way to increase transparency about insurers’ business conduct by
informing investors and market participants about key business information, including risk
exposures and management, and allowing stakeholders to compare such information across
insurers.
234
Over the past several years, various regulators and organizations have sought to
identify the climate-related financial risk information that might be useful for companies,
including insurers, to include alongside their other required and voluntary public disclosures.
235
Regulators and other organizations have stressed the importance of ensuring decision-usefulness,
consistency, and comparability in disclosures, including by aligning formats, types of
information disclosed, and location.
236
State insurance regulators have promoted disclosure of certain climate-related information
through the NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey, which has six purposes:
1. Enhance transparency about how insurers manage climate-related risks and opportunities;
233
See, e.g., “State Commissioners Assist Puerto Rico Insurance Department,” Insurance Journal, March 19, 2018,
https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2018/03/19/483794.htm.
234
See, e.g., NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 21; IAIS & SIF, Climate Application Paper, 31.
235
Disclosures required by regulators include the annual financial filings discussed in Section II.C.1.c.i, while
voluntary disclosures cover a different set of information.
236
See e.g., NYSDFS, Climate Guidance for NY Insurers, 21-22; “NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey,”
California Department of Insurance, http://www.insurance.ca.gov/0250-insurers/0300-insurers/0100-
applications/ClimateSurvey/; Treasury, “G7 Finance Ministers & Central Bank Governors Communiqué,” news
release, June 5, 2021, https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0215; FSOC, Climate Report, 7
(“Recommendation 3.8: InsurersThe Council supports continued efforts by FIO and insurance regulators to work
together to enhance the existing climate-related disclosures for the insurance sector”).
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2. Identify good practices and vulnerabilities;
3. Provide a baseline supervisory tool to assess how climate-related risks may affect the
insurance industry;
4. Promote insurer strategic management and encourage shared learning for continual
improvement;
5. Enable better-informed collaboration and engagement on climate-related issues among
regulators and interested parties; and
6. Align with international climate risk disclosure frameworks to reduce redundancy in
reporting requirements.
237
As of May 2023, 15 states and D.C. require insurers operating in those jurisdictions that write
more than $100 million in annual premiums to complete the survey.
238
The purposes of the NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey differ from the purpose of U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) disclosures generally, which is to provide investors
with the material information necessary for them to make informed investment decisions. The
SEC proposed rule changes in March 2022 with respect to climate-related risks.
239
If
implemented, the proposed rules would apply to, among other registrants, over 110 public U.S.
insurance companies, accounting for over half of the U.S. P&C insurance market (by direct
premiums written) and 55 percent of the life insurance market (by total net assets); 66 of these
public companies also participate in the NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey.
240
Recommendation 19: The NAIC and state insurance regulators should support efforts to
improve climate-related disclosures by the insurance industry, as analytical capabilities and best
practices further develop. All state insurance regulators should adopt the NAIC Climate Risk
Disclosure Survey. The NAIC should continue monitoring responses to its Climate Risk
Disclosure Survey and publish an annual quantitative report summarizing the Survey results and
addressing how well the Survey is fulfilling its six purposes.
In addition to the NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey, both NYSDFS and CID have provided
guidance to their domestic insurers, including on disclosures of climate-related information.
237
See “NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey,” California Department of Insurance.
238
The U.S. jurisdictions that required the NAIC Survey for the 2021 reporting year were California, Connecticut,
D.C., Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Oregon,
Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Washington. Illinois Department of Insurance (IDOI), “IDOI Calls on
Insurers to Disclose Climate-Related Risks,” press release, October 13, 2022, https://idoi.illinois.gov/news/press-
release.25558.html.
239
See SEC, The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors; Proposed Rule, 87
Fed. Reg. 21,334 (April 11, 2022) (SEC Proposed Rule).
240
See, e.g., S&P Global data; Thomas Dawson, “Climate Change Regulatory Update for U.S. Insurers,” National
Law Review, April 1, 2022, www.natlawreview.com/article/climate-change-regulatory-update-us-insurers; SEC
Proposed Rule, 87 Fed. Reg. at 21,414. This compilation does not include public insurers listed abroad that also
may have securities subject to SEC rules.
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Several international organizations have also identified approaches to climate-related disclosures,
with the most widely recognized being the one issued by the Task Force on Climate-related
Financial Disclosures (TCFD).
241
The TCFD’s framework was published in Implementing the
Recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD
Framework). (See Figure 3.)
Figure 3: Summary of Selected Disclosure Initiatives
Initiative
Description
NAIC
Adopted in 2010, and amended in 2022 to be TCFD-aligned, the NAIC Survey is a voluntary
disclosure mechanism for participating states. For the 2021 reporting year, 965 companies submitted
completed surveys.
242
NYSDFS
The NYSDFS issued final guidance in 2021 for New York domestic insurers detailing its
expectations related to insurersmanagement of climate-related risks, including public disclosures.
CID
CID finalized a bulletin in September 2022 for Connecticut domestic insurers related to insurers
management of climate-related risks, including public disclosures.
TCFD
In 2015, the Financial Stability Board convened the TCFD to develop voluntary climate-related
financial disclosures in order to support informed investing, lending, and insurance underwriting.
Nearly 4,000 organizations have expressed support for the TCFD Framework and regulators in
several jurisdictions announced TCFD-aligned reporting requirements.
243
Source: FIO analysis
While these initiatives are largely intended to serve similar purposes, they vary, thus reducing
both comparability across companies that disclose under different frameworks and the decision-
usefulness of climate-related disclosures for investors and other stakeholders.
244
The following
discussions do not cover every aspect of each initiative but consider the extent of alignment and
variation of these frameworks.
General Characteristics: The four Disclosure Initiatives differ in process, what information is
considered material, and the extent to which standard elements are included.
241
The International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) also launched a consultation in March 2022 on climate-
related disclosures. Some international insurers operating in the United States and some U.S. insurers operating
abroad could be expected to report under the ISSB standards once they are finalized. International Financial
Reporting Standards Foundation (IFRS), Exposure Draft IFRS S2 Climate-related Disclosures (March 2022),
https://www.ifrs.org/content/dam/ifrs/project/climate-related-disclosures/issb-exposure-draft-2022-2-climate-
related-disclosures.pdf.
242
“NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey Results Home,” California Department of Insurance,
https://interactive.web.insurance.ca.gov/apex_extprd/f?p=201:1. Responses covered U.S. companies as well as their
foreign-domiciled subsidiaries and affiliates.
243
TCFD, 2022 Status Report (October 2022), 2, 99-100, https://assets.bbhub.io/company/sites/60/2022/10/2022-
TCFD-Status-Report.pdf.
244
New York and Connecticut both participate in and rely upon the NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey; the text
notes where they provide additional guidance.
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Disclosure Process: The NAIC, NYSDFS, and CID specify that disclosures should be made
through the NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey website maintained by the California
Department of Insurance. The NYSDFS and CID note that insurers not covered by the NAIC
survey may disclose the relevant information on their website or by augmenting public general-
purpose financial reports. The TCFD suggests that disclosures be made in annual filings, though
many companies choose to make TCFD disclosures in standalone reports. The NAIC Climate
Risk Disclosure Survey website allows users to search for surveys and filter responses by
information, including lines of business, insurer group, and, as of the 2021 reporting year, by
TCFD recommendation. However, responses are primarily qualitative—with some standard
yes/no questions to aid comparability—and users cannot search specific terms, thus requiring
them to download the full dataset and manually compare responses. In addition, insurers may
submit a TCFD report in lieu of filling in the survey. Responses may be in the form of a .pdf,
text, or a combination, and may be for individual companies or groups. Differences in reporting
format make it difficult to compare responses across companies, limiting the potential usefulness
of the NAIC survey results.
Materiality: The Disclosure Initiatives specify that all, or most, disclosures should be material,
but the definition of materiality varies. The NAIC, NYSDFS, and CID allow respondents to use
either the definition of materiality from the SEC or from the Examiners Handbook (see Box 1).
However, the TCFD Framework subjects strategy and most metrics and targets to a materiality
standard “consistent with how they determine materiality of other information included in their
annual financial filings.”
245
In comparison, the TCFD requests companies disclose other topics
like governance and risk management independent of a materiality assessment. The different
materiality definitions could result in the production of non-standardized information across
companies.
Standard Elements: The Disclosure Initiatives differ in whether they include standard elements
that foster comparability across companies. The NAIC survey includes standardized elements,
with 22 yes or no questions that all reporting companies must answer starting in the 2022
reporting year. Other responses can be of any length or format, reducing the degree of
comparability. The TCFD Framework does not include standard elements.
Governance Disclosures: All four Disclosure Initiatives call for a description of board and
management oversight of climate-related risks, as well as information on which management
roles are assigned that responsibility. The NAIC, NYSDFS, and CID ask companies to identify
publicly stated goals and describe whether climate-related disclosure is handled at the group
level, entity level, or a combination. The TCFD asks for information on the processes and
frequency of board oversight and on the oversight of any climate-related targets.
Strategy Disclosures: As summarized in Figure 4, the Disclosure Initiatives vary on the type of
strategy information that must be disclosed.
245
TCFD, Framework, 8.
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Figure 4: Strategy Disclosure Standards
NAIC
NYSDFS
CID
TCFD
Provides default time horizons
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Financial impacts
No
No
No
Yes
Use of scenario analysis
Disclosure of scenario analysis, if used
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Requires quantification
No
Yes
No
No
Source: FIO analysis
Time Horizons: All Disclosure Initiatives ask companies to define relevant short-, medium-, and
long-term time horizons for climate-related risks. The NAIC, NYSDFS, and CID provide
default time horizons for consideration: 1 to 5 years for the short term, 5 to 10 years for the
medium term, and 10 to 30 years for the long term. Such specification of default time frames
could be an important driver of comparability for future disclosures.
Financial Impacts: The NAIC, NYSDFS, and CID require insurers to “[d]isclose the actual and
potential impacts of climate-related risks and opportunities on [their] businesses, strategy, and
financial planning” but do not specify that these disclosures should include quantified estimates
of financial impacts.
246
The TCFD encourages disclosure of quantitative financial impacts.
247
Incorporation of quantitative elements can aid decision-usefulness and comparability.
Use and Disclosure of Scenario Analysis: All of the Disclosure Initiatives agree that, if a
company has conducted climate-related scenario analysis, it should disclose information about it,
but they diverge on scenario analysis expectations. More prescriptive expectations can improve
the comparability of results across insurers but can increase the burden of compliance, especially
for smaller firms. The NAIC, NYSDFS, and CID specify that insurers should discuss the
scenarios used to analyze both their underwriting and investment risks, with the NYSDFS
providing more details on risks to include and impacts to assess.
Risk Management Disclosures: All four Disclosure Initiatives include some guidance around
climate-related risk identification, risk management, and integration into overall risk
management. In addition, the NAIC, NYSDFS, and CID require insurers to discuss underwriting
exposure to physical, transition, and litigation risks and to discuss steps taken to encourage
policyholders to manage their climate-related risks. The TCFD asks insurers to describe the
range of climate-related events considered, distinguish risk management processes across
geographies, divisions, or business segments, and disclose engagement with companies in which
the insurer invests as part of its asset owner activities.
246
NAIC, Climate Risk Disclosure Survey, 6.
247
TCFD, Framework, 18.
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Metrics and Targets Disclosures: Figure 5 summarizes some of the ways in which the four
Disclosure Initiatives approach disclosure of metrics and targets.
Figure 5: Metrics and Targets Disclosure Standards
NAIC
NYSDFS
CID
TCFD
Climate-related metrics
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Climate-related targets, if set
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Target type (absolute or intensity based),
baseline period, and interim targets
No
No
No
Yes
Source: FIO analysis
Climate-Related Metrics: All of the Disclosure Initiatives call for disclosure of climate-related
metrics generally but differ on which metrics to include. For example, the NAIC, NYSDFS, and
CID do not mention either internal carbon prices or executive remuneration, while the TCFD
recommends their disclosure when relevant or when climate-related issues are material.
248
The
initiatives agree that Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions should be disclosed and that disclosure of
Scope 3 GHG emissions can be useful in some cases.
249
Climate-Related Targets: All of the Disclosure Initiatives call for disclosure of climate-related
targets. The NYSDFS specifies that companies must provide disclosure on any changes to their
targets and the rationale for such changes. The TCFD provides additional specificity, requesting
information on type of target (absolute or intensity), baseline period, and interim targets.
Based on its analysis outlined above, FIO notes that while in general these disclosure initiatives
are aligned at a high level, they differ in the level of prescriptiveness and quantification—which
can result in different climate-related information being submitted by companies that report
under different disclosure frameworks. Though less prescriptive guidance can help insurers of
different sizes and complexities adapt the survey to their needs, such initiatives may be less
effective in enhancing the ability of stakeholders to compare responses across insurers and
jurisdictions, thereby limiting the potential usefulness of such disclosures for risk assessment by
regulators, stakeholders, and market participants. The revisions to the NAIC Climate Risk
Disclosure Survey, as well as the inclusion of standard yes/no questions to aid comparability, are
a welcome step forward. However, the NAIC survey results remain largely qualitative and are
currently difficult to analyze quantitatively across respondents.
248
Internal carbon prices refer to the price on each ton of GHG emissions used internally by an organization. See
TCFD, Framework, 80.
249
Scope 1 GHG emissions are from sources controlled or owned by an organization; Scope 2 are associated with
the purchase of electricity, steam, heat, or cooling, while Scope 3 are indirect emissions associated with an
organization’s value chain and include investments and underwriting. See, e.g., Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA), “Scope 1 and Scope 2 Inventory Guidance, www.epa.gov/climateleadership/scope-1-and-scope-2-inventory-
guidance; EPA, “Scope 3 Inventory Guidance” https://www.epa.gov/climateleadership/scope-3-inventory-guidance.
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Recommendation 20: The NAIC should consider revising its Climate Risk Disclosure Survey
over the next several years to incorporate more prescriptive elements, including around
quantitative financial impacts, scenario analysis, and consistent metrics and targets, with the
goals of enhancing: (a) transparency about how insurers manage climate-related risks and
opportunities, (b) the identification of good practices and vulnerabilities, and (c) the assessment
of how climate-related risks are affecting the insurance industry.
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III. ADDITIONAL FIO CLIMATE-RELATED PRIORITIES
To implement the insurance-related directives in EO 14030, FIO formulated several climate-
related priorities, announced in 2021.
250
These priorities include the assessment of climate-
related issues or gaps in the supervision and regulation of insurers, which overlaps with FIO’s
work in furtherance of FSOC’s climate recommendations and is discussed in Section II. This
section provides updates on additional FIO priorities, including: assessing the potential for
major disruptions of private insurance coverage in U.S. markets that are particularly vulnerable
to climate change impacts (including FIO’s proposed data collection); conducting quantitative
analysis on the transition exposure of insurers’ investments; helping to review causes of, and
potential solutions to, protection gaps for climate-related disasters; facilitating disaster mitigation
and resilience; and increasing engagement on climate-related issues to leverage the insurance
industry’s ability to achieve climate-related goals.
Assessing Climate-Related Market Disruptions
As climate-related risks increase, insurers can be expected to adapt their underwriting in various
ways, some of which could have potentially adverse implications for the availability and
affordability of insurance coverage in certain insurance markets. Exposure to the potential for
increased climate-related losses might cause insurers, among other things, to increase premiums,
modify policy terms and conditions, or withdraw from certain regions and lines of business.
Some insurers, for example, have announced that they will no longer write new homeowners
insurance in California, citing increased catastrophe exposure as one reason.
251
In addition, in
Louisiana, a state prone to climate-related disaster, a survey of residents found that 17 percent of
homeowners insurance policyholders reported having had their policy canceled last year.
252
These types of actions may make it more difficult for individuals and businesses to find or afford
the insurance they need, potentially reducing individual and collective resilience to climate-
related shocks.
253
They also could increase demand for coverage through residual or non-
standard markets, potentially for higher premiums, and generally reduce financial resilience to
climate-related shocks. Such insurance market disruptions also could have knock-on effects for
housing markets in those areas. By one estimate from Swiss Re, climate-related risks could add
250
FIO described its climate-related priorities in its Climate Risk RFI, 86 Fed. Reg. 48,814 (August 31, 2021).
251
See, e.g., Christopher Flavelle, et al., “Climate Shocks Are Making Parts of America Uninsurable”; Iman Palm,
“Allstate Stops Accepting New Property Insurance Applications in California,” KTLA, June 2, 2023,
https://ktla.com/news/california/allstate-quietly-stopped-accepting-new-insurance-applications-from-california-
homeowners/; Chad Hemenway, “AIG to Move High Net Worth Homeowners to E&S.
252
Reilly Center for Media & Public Affairs, The Louisiana Survey (2023), 4,
https://www.lsu.edu/manship/research/centers-
labs/rcmpa/research/la_survey_reports_pdf/2023_la_survey_full_report.pdf.
253
Policyholders may rely on insurers to help protect them from loss and recover from climate-related disasters.
Insurance serves as a key risk transfer mechanism for households and businesses for climate-related risks. See, e.g.,
FSOC, Climate Report, 1-2. Insured disaster survivors recover more fully than non-insured survivors, lessening the
financial burden on policyholders as well as enhancing community recovery and disaster mitigation efforts. See,
e.g., U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Insurance to Mitigate the Impacts of Disasters or Fund
Disaster Recovery (2019), https://www.huduser.gov/portal/pdredge/pdr-edge-frm-asst-sec-111819.html.
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as much as $183 billion to property insurance premiums by 2040 (over one-fifth of overall
projected cost increases), as insurers raise prices in response to climate-related developments.
254
Executive Order 14030 instructs FIO to, among other things, “further assess, in consultation with
States, the potential for major disruptions of private insurance coverage in regions of the country
particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts.”
255
FIO has begun this work to advance the
development of a comprehensive, quantitative assessment of the potential major disruptions of
insurance markets in regions of the country particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts. In
June 2022, FIO contacted insurance regulators in the 50 states, the District of Columbia (DC),
and the five U.S. territories. FIO described the data it would be seeking in a template and
requested a response as to whether each regulator would be able to provide all of the data
requested in the template upon request. Based on the responses received, FIO determined that
the data described in the template is either not available or cannot be obtained in a timely manner
from any of the states, D.C., or the five U.S. territories.
FIO issued a request for comment in October 2022 on a proposed collection of nationwide data
from P&C insurers regarding current and historical homeowners insurance underwriting.
256
The
request for comment states that the “proposed data collection will assist FIOs assessment of
climate-related exposures and their effects on insurance availability for policyholders, including
whether climate change may create the potential for any major disruptions of private insurance
coverage in regions of the country particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts. FIO will
also seek to assess any related effects on insurance affordability for policyholders.”
257
It also
will advance FIO’s work in response to the related FSOC Climate Report recommendation.
258
FIO’s proposed data collection is described in the public notice and in the associated draft data
collection and template.
259
FIO proposes to collect data relating to insurers’ underwriting
metrics and related insurance policy information. The proposed data collection focuses on
homeowners policies, excluding liability exposure, and seeks ZIP Code level information from
2017-2021 for a limited set of fields, including policy information, claims, premiums, and
254
Swiss Re, More Risk: The Changing Nature of P&C Insurance Opportunities to 2040 (September 2021), 1,
https://www.swissre.com/dam/jcr:19f316fe-0381-42a9-8cfd-9794f746e421/swiss-re-institute-sigma-4-2021-en.pdf.
255
Exec. Order No. 14030, 86 Fed. Reg. 27,967.
256
FIO, Agency Information Collection Activities; Proposed Collection; Comment Request; Federal Insurance
Office Climate-Related Financial Risk Data Collection, 87 Fed. Reg. 64,134 (October 21, 2022) (Proposed Data
Collection FRN). The FRN links to additional instructions and an example template for insurers to complete. See
FIO, Climate-Related Financial Risk Proposed Data Collection: Instructions (October 18, 2022),
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO-Proposed-Climate-Data-Call-Instructions.pdf; FIO, Climate-Related
Financial Risk Proposed Data Collection: Template (October 18, 2022),
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO-Proposed-Climate-Data-Call-Template.xlsx.
257
Proposed Data Collection FRN, 87 Fed. Reg. at 64,134.
258
“The Council recommends that the Federal Insurance Office (FIO) should act expeditiously to analyze the
potential for climate change to affect insurance and reinsurance coverage, particularly in regions of the country
affected by climate change, in consultation with the States, in a manner consistent with Executive Order 14030.”
Recommendation 1.7, FSOC, Climate Report, 6.
259
Proposed Data Collection FRN, 87 Fed. Reg. 64,134.
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losses.
260
FIO’s analysis will not focus on measuring the impact on earnings or capital to assess
profitability or solvency of individual insurance companies. FIO proposes to collect data from
insurers that write more than $100 million in annual homeowners premiums, which aligns with
the premium threshold used in the NAIC Climate Risk Disclosure Survey. The proposed
collection would gather data from additional insurers in the states potentially most vulnerable to
climate change according to the National Risk Index, to ensure capturing at least 80 percent
market share in each such state.
261
The comment period on FIO’s proposed data collection closed in December 2022. FIO is
assessing next steps.
Analyzing the Potential Transition Exposure of Insurers
As FSOC noted, U.S. insurers own nearly $7 trillion in net admitted invested assets, some of
which may be exposed to climate-related transition risks that could manifest through defaults or
impairments.
262
It is therefore important for both insurers and regulators to consider the extent
and potential significance of insurers’ exposure to climate-related transition risks.
FIO is undertaking an analysis of such exposure, using the Paris Agreement Capital Transition
Assessment (PACTA) methodology. Building upon prior work of state insurance regulators
such as NYSDFS and the California Department of Insurance, FIO is conducting the first
nationwide analysis of insurers’ transition exposures, risks, and opportunities. This section
summarizes the PACTA approach and FIO’s initial observations.
263
PACTA is one of several methodologies available to assist regulators and insurers in analyzing
transition risks and informing disaster mitigation actions. It is an open-source tool used by many
institutions, including the NYSDFS, the California Department of Insurance, the European
260
Several states collect, or have collected, ZIP Code level information on homeowners policies, including
California, Florida, Illinois, Massachusetts, Missouri, Tennessee, and Texas. See Proposed Data Collection FRN.
Additionally, Colorado issued a study assessing the stability, availability, and affordability of homeowners insurance
at a ZIP Code level. Colorado Department of Regulatory Agencies Division of Insurance, Homeowners
Insurance Availability Study Now Available (SB22-206),news release, April 10, 2023,
https://doi.colorado.gov/announcements/homeowners-insurance-availability-study-now-available-sb22-206.
261
The National Risk Index is a publicly available dataset on natural hazards and social vulnerability that combines
historical county level risk data across 18 hazard types, though it does not include projections of future risk due to
climate change. “Learn More,” FEMA National Risk Index, https://hazards.fema.gov/nri/learn-more.
262
FSOC, Climate Report, 42, 116 (noting, inter alia, California and New York’s insurer investment exposure
analyses); S&P Global data.
263
See, e.g., NYSDFS & 2 Degrees Investing Initiative, An Analysis of New York Domestic Insurers’ Exposure to
Transition Risks and Opportunities from Climate Change (June 20, 2021), https://2degrees-investing.org/wp-
content/uploads/2021/06/DFS_2DII_ report_NY-Insurers-Transition-Risks.pdf; California Department of Insurance
& 2 Degrees Investing Initiative, 2° Scenario Analysis: Insurance Companies Operating in California (2019),
https://interactive.web.insurance.ca.gov/apex_extprd/cdi_apps/r/250/files/static/v54/2018_full_report.pdf. See also
FSOC, Climate Report, 42 (describing state insurance regulators’ use of PACTA analysis).
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Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority, and the Bank of England.
264
The results
developed by the PACTA framework are dependent upon the assumptions, methodological
choices, modelling basis, and scenarios used, and the outcomes generated by the PACTA
framework should be interpreted in light of such assumptions.
The PACTA analysis is premised on an assessment of seven sectors: (1) power generation,
(2) oil and gas extraction, (3) coal mining, (4) automotive manufacturing, (5) steel
manufacturing, (6) cement manufacturing, and (7) aviation. These seven “PACTA Scope
sectors” represent those sectors mapped by the PACTA methodology, which global emissions
data suggests are the largest sources of GHG emissions. For example, the power, automotive,
steel, cement and aviation sectors account for approximately 70 percent of CO
2
emissions
globally.
265
One of the limitations of the PACTA methodology is that it does not include certain
sectors that may be considered to have high GHG emissions, such as real estate, shipping,
agriculture, or oil and gas refining and distribution. Such sectors are not included because the
PACTA methodology has not yet mapped climate scenario alignment to these sectors.
FIO’s analysis started with over $6 trillion of invested assets reported by all life and P&C
insurers domiciled in the United States in their Schedule D filings as of December 31, 2021.
266
This figure is approximately 87 percent of the total cash and invested assets reported by such
insurers in the general account. The PACTA methodology currently assesses only exposures
from public corporate bonds and listed equities, which reduces the above figure to $2.9 trillion.
FIO’s preliminary analysis shows that the current exposure of this segment of insurers’
investment portfolios to PACTA Scope sectors is approximately $439 billion, or 15 percent of
the $2.9 trillion analyzed. This exposure analysis is just the first step in the PACTA approach.
FIO will continue assessing the PACTA approach and, in future work, include a more detailed
assessment of insurers’ portfolio alignment and potential for transition risk as part of its overall
quantitative assessment of climate-related financial risk.
264
“PACTA / Climate Scenario Analysis Program,” 2 Degrees Investing Initiative, https://2degrees-
investing.org/resource/pacta/. See also Rocky Mountain Institute, “2° Investing Initiative Transfers Stewardship of
PACTA to RMI,” news release, June 8, 2022, https://rmi.org/press-release/2-degree-investing-initiative-transfers-
stewardship/.
265
Estimate based on 2019 GHG emissions data taken from “Global Energy Review: CO2 Emissions in 2021,”
International Energy Agency (IEA), https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-review-co2-emissions-in-2021-2.
266
“Data Products: Schedules D, DA, and DB,” NAIC, https://content.naic.org/prod_serv_idp_sched_d.htm. The
analysis generally covers all U.S. domiciled life and P&C insurers and is based on publicly traded corporate bond,
unaffiliated stock, and stock fund holdings reported in insurance company Schedule D - Part 1 & 2 of the 2021
Annual Statement Filing submissions to the NAIC. This analysis does not include additional invested assets held by
insurers that are reported on Schedule D (e.g., Treasury bonds, municipal bonds, structured securities, private
placements, and bank loans). This analysis also excludes assets appearing on other investment schedules (Schedule
A, B and BA), such as commercial mortgages, private equity, and other alternative investments. Invested assets
held in separate accounts, which are maintained independently from a life insurer's general account and not owned
by the insurer, are also not included in this analysis.
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Reviewing Protection Gaps
Insurance does not cover all economic losses from climate-related disasters. In 2022, the United
States suffered over $165 billion in total economic losses from climate-related disasters, of
which insurance covered about 60 percent (i.e., approximately $99 billion).
267
(See Figure 6.)
Figure 6: U.S. Climate-Related Disaster Losses 2013-2022
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
U.S. Climate-Related Disaster
Losses ($Billions)
Insured Losses
Uninsured Losses
Source: “Current Table and Archived Tables for Facts + Statistics: U.S. Catastrophes,” Insurance Information
Institute, https://www.iii.org/table-archive/21420 (citing different data sources, depending on year.) FIO excluded
earthquake losses.
Insurance regulators and others around the world are looking at the potential causes of, and
possible solutions for, protection gaps.
268
A protection gap—that is, the difference between
economic losses and insured losses—can indicate that policyholders and potential policyholders
are facing challenges in finding insurance.
269
The protection gap generally is larger than the
insurance protection gap (i.e., “the difference between the amount of insurance that is
economically beneficial and the amount of coverage actually purchased”).
270
Nevertheless, as
one industry source stated: “Underinsurance for natural catastrophe events has increased over
time and the resulting economic and insured losses have grown on average by about 5% annually
267
See Aon, Weather, Climate and Catastrophe Insights, 26.
268
See, e.g., IAIS, Newsletter (December 2022/January 2023), 13,
https://www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2023/01/230131-IAIS-Newsletter-Dec-2022-Jan2023.pdf.
269
See, e.g., Kai-Uw Schanz & Shaun Wang, ed., The Global Insurance Protection Gap: Assessment and
Recommendations (2014), 35, https://www.genevaassociation.org/sites/default/files/research-topics-document-
type/pdf_public/ga2014-the_global_insurance_protection_gap_1.pdf.
270
See, e.g., Kai-Uwe Schanz, Understanding and Addressing Global Insurance Protection Gaps, 1,
https://www.genevaassociation.org/sites/default/files/research-topics-document-type/pdf_public/research_brief_-
_global_insurance_protection_gaps.pdf.
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since 1999.”
271
The “root causes of underinsurance” may include: difficulties estimating the
replacement value of assets, underestimating the frequency and risk of climate-related
catastrophe events, and, often most significantly, lack of affordability.
272
With more climate-related disasters and potentially growing protection gaps in some regions,
those with low and moderate incomes will feel the greatest impact in the insurance markets
under the most stress, as compared to less vulnerable populations and markets. In stressed
markets, insurers are more likely to increase premiums (and/or reduce coverage availability), and
people with low and moderate income may have the least ability to pay the increasing cost of
higher insurance premiums.
More generally, people with low income or people of color in traditionally underserved
communities may be disproportionately harmed by climate-related disasters for a variety of
reasons. These reasons include that they may live in higher-risk areas or in housing that is less
disaster-resilient and lack necessary information or resources (including funding) to prepare for
and recover from climate-related disasters.
273
One way to reduce protection gaps is to increase
disaster mitigation in order to reduce future damages, as discussed in the next section.
Facilitating Disaster Mitigation and Resilience
For many climate-related risks, as with a wide range of man-made and non-weather-related
catastrophes such as earthquakes, the most effective actions may be those taken before disaster
strikes. Mitigation, that is, the reduction of risk, helps “the whole community keep hazards from
turning into disasters” and improves resilience for more efficient, effective, and rapid recovery
from disasters.
274
Disaster mitigation measures include, for example, construction built to meet
or exceed modern building code standards, building retrofits, removing brush around structures
in wildfire-prone areas, voluntary buyout programs for properties that are repeatedly flooded,
and a range of flood control efforts.
275
Studies suggest that certain types of mitigation may save
up to $11 for every $1 invested in risk reduction.
276
271
Federal Advisory Committee on Insurance (FACI) Protection Gap Subcommittee, “Addressing the Protection
Gap Through Public/Private Partnerships & Other Mechanisms” (presentation, FACI, Washington, DC, December
5, 2019), https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/December2019FACI_ProtectionGapProposedRecs.pdf.
272
See, e.g., Schanz & Wang, ed., The Global Insurance Protection Gap: Assessment and Recommendations, 33-37.
273
See, e.g., Kousky & French, Inclusive Insurance for Climate-Related Disasters, 5.
274
Mitigation Framework Leadership Group (MitFLG), National Mitigation Investment Strategy (August 2019), 1,
https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/2020-10/fema_national-mitigation-investment-strategy.pdf.
275
Among other federal government mitigation efforts, the National Initiative to Advance Building Codes is a
whole-of-government approach to support community resilience to climate change through the adoption of modern
building codes. See, e.g., White House, “Fact Sheet: Biden-⁠Harris Administration Launches Initiative to Modernize
Building Codes, Improve Climate Resilience, and Reduce Energy Costs,” news release, June 1, 2022,
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/06/01/fact-sheet-biden-harris-administration-
launches-initiative-to-modernize-building-codes-improve-climate-resilience-and-reduce-energy-costs/.
276
See, e.g., National Institute of Building Sciences, Natural Hazard Mitigation Saves: 2019 Report (2019), 1,
https://www.nibs.org/files/pdfs/NIBS_MMC_MitigationSaves_2019.pdf.
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Disaster mitigation and resilience efforts can reduce risks to residents and businesses and
improve the ability of insurers to manage their financial exposure to increasingly frequent and
severe climate-related events. Due to its significant benefits, disaster mitigation is supported by
state, industry, and federal efforts, as described below. FIO will continue to emphasize the
importance of both insurance and of disaster mitigation.
277
State insurance regulators have collectively acknowledged the value of disaster mitigation. The
goal of the NAIC’s Climate and Resiliency Task Force, for example, includes to “[i]dentify
sustainability, resilience and mitigation issues and solutions,” including through its Pre-Disaster
Mitigation Workstream.
278
Among other efforts, the NAIC has supported mitigation efforts
through workshops, research on funding resources, and publication of mitigation measures.
279
Significantly, several states have created incentive programs for property owners that have
undertaken disaster mitigation measures. For example, in response to the 1992 devastation of
Hurricane Andrew on south Florida and its insurance market (including the failure of 11
insurers), Florida’s Division of Emergency Management created the Hurricane Loss Mitigation
Program.
280
This program, with an annual budget of $7 million, strengthens property resiliency
by making retrofit grants to owners of residential, commercial, and mobile home properties to
increase the ability of these structures to withstand hurricane-force winds and flooding.
281
Similarly, in June 2021, Louisiana enacted a law providing for discounts and insurance rate
reductions for residential and commercial buildings built or retrofitted to reduce their
vulnerability to windstorm events.
282
Another example is that of the Massachusetts Division of Insurance, which has encouraged
insurers to reduce wind deductibles for policyholders who install wind-resilient features on their
property.
283
Similarly, the California Department of Insurance has adopted regulations that
require insurers to factor policyholders’ wildfire safety actions into pricing of residential and
277
See, e.g., FIO, 2021 Annual Report, 69.
278
“Climate and Resiliency (EX) Task Force,” NAIC, https://content.naic.org/cmte_ex_climate_resiliency_tf.htm.
279
See, e.g., NAIC, Adaptable to Emerging Risks: The State-Based Insurance Regulatory System is Focused on
Climate-Related Risk and Resiliency (2021), 8, https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/climate-resiliency-
resource-report-adaptable-emerging-climate-related-risk-resiliency_2021.pdf; “Climate Risk and Resiliency
Resource Center,” NAIC, https://content.naic.org/climate-resiliency-resource.htm.
280
Hurricane Andrew 25 Years Later: As Memories Fade, Florida Weakens Building Codes,” USA Today, August
23, 2017, https://www.news-press.com/story/news/2017/08/23/hurricane-andrew-25-years-later-memories-fade-
florida-weakens-building-codes/593029001.
281
Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program,” Florida Division of Emergency Management,
https://www.floridadisaster.org/dem/mitigation/hurricane-loss-mitigation-program.
282
Louisiana H.B. 451 (enacted June 1, 2021).
283
Massachusetts Division of Insurance, Annual Home Insurance Report for Calendar Year 2020 (2022), 10,
https://www.mass.gov/doc/the-2020-massachusetts-market-for-home-insurance/download.
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commercial insurance coverage.
284
Other states that encourage or require insurers to offer
insurance-related incentives to property owners that have taken steps to mitigate storm loss
include: Alabama, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey, New
York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Texas.
285
Insurance stakeholders generally support disaster mitigation and resilience measures.
286
One
consumer advocacy group suggested that there should be a coordinated “national effort to
develop and implement mitigation and resilience standards and strategies to reduce exposure to
climate change-driven risk including how insurance companies might contribute to such
mitigation as part of the insurance package.”
287
Similarly—and in line with FIO’s ongoing work
with the Mitigation Framework Leadership Group (MitFLG)—an insurer “encourage[d] FIO to
coordinate with federal agencies and to work expeditiously to identify additional government
funding sources that could be used for mitigation for communities, consumers, and
businesses.”
288
Some commenters also expressed support for enhanced building codes and/or
campaigns to spread information about property hardening.
289
The insurance industry has undertaken various disaster mitigation efforts, including those
mentioned in responses to the FIO Request for Information on the Insurance Sector and Climate-
Related Financial Risks issued in August 2021 (Climate Risk RFI).
290
Some commenters
highlighted the work of the insurance industry-sponsored Insurance Institute for Business &
Home Safety, which is currently advancing work on Wildfire Prepared Home mitigation
standards.
291
284
California Department of Insurance, “Commissioner Lara Enforces Nation’s first Wildfire Safety Regulation to
Help Drive Down Cost of Insurance,” news release, October 17, 2022, http://www.insurance.ca.gov/0400-
news/0100-press-releases/2022/release076-2022.cfm.
285
See, e.g., “List of Mitigation Insurance Discounts and Tax Savings,” Smart Home America,
https://www.smarthomeamerica.org/fortified/discounts-and-incentives/list-of-fortified-discounts-and-incentives.
See also Kousky & French, Inclusive Insurance for Climate-Related Disasters, 45.
286
Climate Risk RFI, 86 Fed. Reg. 48,814. For all responses, see “Federal Insurance Office Request for Information
on the Insurance Sector and Climate-Related Financial Risks,” https://www.regulations.gov/document/TREAS-DO-
2021-0014-0001/comment.
287
Comment from Consumer Federation of America, 3 (November 15, 2021),
https://www.regulations.gov/comment/TREAS-DO-2021-0014-0033.
288
Comment from Liberty Mutual Insurance Company, 3 (November 15, 2021),
https://www.regulations.gov/comment/TREAS-DO-2021-0014-0029.
289
See, e.g., Comment from Swiss Re, 5 (November 15, 2021), https://www.regulations.gov/comment/TREAS-DO-
2021-0014-0061 (Swiss Re Comment); Comment from American Property Casualty Insurance Association, 1
(November 15, 2021), https://www.regulations.gov/comment/TREAS-DO-2021-0014-0034.
290
See also American Property Casualty Insurance Association, “What is Driving the Affordability and
Accessibility Challenges for Homeowners Insurance in High-Risk Western States,” news release, November 2,
2022, https://www.apci.org/media/news-releases/release/73621/.
291
See, e.g., Swiss Re Comment, 5. See also Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety, “IBHS Advances
Work on Wildfire Prepared Home Mitigation Standard,” news release, December 15, 2021, https://ibhs.org/ibhs-
news-releases/ibhs-advances-work-on-wildfire-prepared-home-mitigation-standard/.
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Increasing Engagement
FIO continues to engage domestically and internationally on climate-related issues. For
example, the Climate Risk RFI received significant input from numerous stakeholders, with over
50 unique responses from over 5,300 signatories and including over 95 organizations.
292
These
responses have helped inform this Report. In addition, FIO is engaging with its Federal
Advisory Committee on Insurance on issues relating to climate-related risk, including the
establishment of a climate-focused subcommittee to advise on FIO’s work. As noted above, FIO
also contributes to FSOC’s work on climate-related risks.
On the international side, FIO is a member of the NGFS and SIF.
293
FIO contributed to the SIF’s
2021 Scoping Study on Nature-related Risks in the Global Insurance Sector.
294
At the NGFS,
FIO is collaborating on issues such as macroprudential analyses, supervision, scenario analysis,
and capacity building. FIO also leads the Climate Risk Financial Oversight Workstream for the
bilateral EU-US Insurance Dialogue Project.
295
In addition, FIO is part of the U.S. delegation to
the Insurance and Private Pensions Committee (IPPC) of the Organisation for Economic Co-
Operation and Development, together with the U.S. Departments of Commerce and Labor and
the NAIC.
296
The IPPC published a recommendation on disaster risk financing strategies and
remains engaged on issues related to disasters and climate risk.
297
By statute, FIO represents the United States at the IAIS and is a permanent member of its
Executive Committee. The IAIS is the international standard-setting body responsible for
developing and supporting the implementation of principles, standards, and other material for the
supervision of the insurance industry. The Federal Reserve, the NAIC, and state insurance
regulators are also IAIS members. The overarching framework for the IAIS’s voluntary
292
Responses are available at “Federal Insurance Office Request for Information on the Insurance Sector and
Climate-Related Financial Risks,” regulations.gov.
293
NGFS is a group of member authorities that, on a voluntary basis, share best practices, contribute to the
development of environment and climate-related risk management practices in the financial sector, and help
mobilize mainstream finance to support the transition toward a sustainable economy. “Membership,” NGFS,
https://www.ngfs.net/en/about-us/membership.
Launched in December 2016, SIF is an international network of insurance regulators committed to working together
on sustainability challenges facing the insurance industry. “Members,” SIF,
https://www.sustainableinsuranceforum.org/members/.
294
SIF, Nature-Related Risks in the Global Insurance Sector (November 2, 2021),
https://www.sustainableinsuranceforum.org/publication/sif-scoping-study-nature-related-risks-in-the-global-
insurance-sector/.
295
See, e.g., “EU-U.S. Insurance Project,” Treasury, https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financial-markets-
financial-institutions-and-fiscal-service/federal-insurance-office/eu-us-insurance-project.
296
The OECD provides a “forum and knowledge hub for data and analysis, exchange of experiences, best-practice
sharing, and advice on public policies and international standard-setting.” “Who We Are,” OECD,
https://www.oecd.org/about/.
297
See, e.g., OECD, Recommendation of the Council on Disaster Risk Financing Strategies (adopted February 2,
2017), https://legalinstruments.oecd.org/en/instruments/OECD-LEGAL-0436.
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standards for insurance supervision are the Insurance Core Principles (ICPs).
298
The IAIS has
concluded that the ICPs are sufficiently broad to cover climate risks” but plans to make a
“limited number of changes to ICP guidance to make it even more explicit that insurance
supervisors should require insurers to incorporate climate-related risks into their day-to-day
operations.”
299
In line with its 2020–2024 Strategic Plan, the IAIS increased its focus on
climate-related risks in 2021 by publishing, jointly with SIF, guidance on climate-related risks
and by creating a Climate Risk Steering Group to coordinate the IAIS’s work on climate-related
risk.
300
In 2021, the IAIS also released a global, quantitative study on the impact of climate
change on insurance industry investments.
301
In 2023, the IAIS published for public comment
draft climate risk supervisory guidance.
302
Several international regulators have released supervisory expectations that may be useful
reference points to state insurance regulators as they continue developing climate-related
guidance for U.S. insurers (see Box 3).
Box 3: International Examples of Climate-Related Supervision
As state insurance regulators continue to develop climate-related supervisory guidance and
expectations for insurers, they may find it useful to refer to examples from other jurisdictions.
France: In July 2015, France introduced the first mandatory climate-related disclosure
requirements for institutional investors, including insurers in their role as asset owners.
303
The
French prudential regulator has released multiple reports detailing the extent of compliance and
highlighting actions taken in response to the law.
304
298
“Insurance Core Principles and ComFrame,” IAIS, https://www.iaisweb.org/activities-topics/standard-
setting/icps-and-comframe/. See also IAIS, Insurance Core Principles and Common Framework for the Supervision
of International Active Insurance Groups, updated November 2019, 50,
https://www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/01/191115-IAIS-ICPs-and-ComFrame-adopted-in-November-2019.pdf. Any
standards developed in the IAIS are not binding on the United States or any other jurisdiction: they are effective
only to the extent that the jurisdiction has separately implemented the standards in accordance with its domestic law.
299
“Climate Risk,” IAIS, https://www.iaisweb.org/activities-topics/climate-risk/.
300
IAIS, The IAIS Strategic Plan 2020-2024 (June 2019), https://iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/01/190613-2020-2024-
Strategic-Plan.pdf; IAIS & SIF, Climate Application Paper; IAIS, Year in Review 2021 (2022), 28,
https://www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/05/IAIS-Year-in-Review-2021-1.pdf.
301
IAIS, Global Insurance Market Report: The Impact of Climate Change on the Financial Stability of the
Insurance Sector (September 2021), 5, https://www.iaisweb.org/uploads/2022/01/210930-GIMAR-special-topic-
edition-climate-change.pdf.
302
IAIS, Public Consultation on Climate Risk Supervisory Guidance Part One: Consultation Document (March
16, 2023), https://www.iaisweb.org/2023/03/public-consultation-on-climate-risk-supervisory-guidance-part-one/.
303
See, e.g., UN Principles of Responsible Investment, French Energy Transition Law: Global Investor Briefing
(2016), 78, https://www.unepfi.org/fileadmin/documents/PRI-FrenchEnergyTransitionLaw.pdf.
304
See, e.g., Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution (ACPR), French Insurances Facing Climate Change
Risk (April 2019), https://acpr.banque-
france.fr/sites/default/files/medias/documents/as_102_climate_change_insurers_en.pdf; ACPR, Climate Change
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UK: In April 2019, the Bank of England issued a statement outlining its expectations that
insurers and banks consider climate-related risks in their governance arrangements, incorporate
such risks in their risk management practices, use scenario analysis to inform strategy setting and
risk assessment processes, and develop disclosure practices. Starting in 2022, it began to
actively supervise firms in line with these expectations.
305
EU: In April 2021, the EU financial regulatory institution supervising insurance and
occupational pensions published supervisory expectations (and in August 2022 finalized
guidance) on the integration of long-term, forward-looking scenario analysis into ORSAs to
identify exposure to material climate-related risks.
306
Canada: In May 2022, Canada’s financial institutions regulator released draft guidelines on
climate-related risk management covering expectations around governance, risk management,
and public disclosures, including climate scenario analysis, stress testing, and capital and
liquidity adequacy.
307
Singapore: Singapore’s financial regulator issued guidelines in December 2020, which set out
environmental risk-related expectations for insurers and other supervised financial institutions
with respect to governance and strategy, risk management, and disclosures.
308
The guidelines for
insurers also cover underwriting and investment. In May 2022, the Singapore regulator issued
papers detailing emerging and good practices by insurers for environmental risk management as
well as areas for further work.
309
Risk Governance (February 2, 2022), https://acpr.banque-
france.fr/sites/default/files/medias/documents/20220222_climate_change_risk_governance_rapport_en.pdf.
305
See Bank of England (BOE), Enhancing Banks’ and Insurers’ Approaches to Managing the Financial Risks
from Climate Change (April 15, 2019), https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/prudential-
regulation/supervisory-
statement/2019/ss319.pdf?la=en&hash=7BA9824BAC5FB313F42C00889D4E3A6104881C44; “Climate Change,”
BOE, last updated April 13, 2023, https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/climate-change.
306
EIOPA, Opinion on the Supervision of the Use of Climate Change Risk Scenarios in ORSA (April 19, 2021),
https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/system/files/2021-04/opinion-on-climate-change-risk-scenarios-in-orsa.pdf; EIOPA,
Application Guidance on Running Climate Change Materiality Assessment and Using Climate Change Scenarios in
the ORSA (August 2, 2022), www.eiopa.europa.eu/system/files/2022-
08/application_guidance_on_running_climate_change_materiality_assessment_and_using_climate_change_scenario
s_in_the_orsa_0.pdf. See also EIOPA, Revised Single Programming Document 2022-2024 (January 31, 2023), 9,
www.eiopa.europa.eu/system/files/2022-01/eiopa-bos-21-419-single-programming-document-spd-2022-2024.pdf.
307
Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, Climate Risk Management (May 2022), https://www.osfi-
bsif.gc.ca/Eng/fi-if/rg-ro/gdn-ort/gl-ld/Pages/b15-dft.aspx.
308
Monetary Authority of Singapore, Guidelines on Environmental Risk Management for Insurers (December 8,
2020), https://www.mas.gov.sg/regulation/guidelines/guidelines-on-environmental-risk-management-for-insurers.
309
Monetary Authority of Singapore, Information Paper on Environmental Risk Management (Insurers) (May
2022), https://www.mas.gov.sg/-/media/MAS-Media-Library/publications/monographs-or-information-
paper/BD/2022/Information-Paper-on-Environmental-Risk-Management-Insurers.pdf.
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Bermuda: The Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA) issued guidance on the management of
climate-related risks for commercial insurers and insurance groups in March 2023.
310
BMA
expects commercial insurers to incorporate climate-related risks into their risk management
framework and strategy.
310
Bermuda Monetary Authority, Management of Climate Change Risks for Commercial Insurers (March 2023),
https://www.bma.bm/viewPDF/documents/2023-03-09-17-03-42-Guidance-Note---Insurance---Management-of-
Climate-Change-Risks-for-Commercial-Insurers.pdf.
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IV. CONCLUSIONS AND NEXT STEPS
Climate change presents new and increased risks for both P&C and life insurers. Addressing
these risks is necessary to enable insurers to continue serving their critical role in the economy as
investors, risk managers, and as a key risk transfer resource that helps protect policyholders from
loss and assists in enabling recovery from climate-related disasters. This Report shows that the
NAIC and some state insurance regulators have begun to adapt their existing tools to respond to
climate-related risks. FIO commends these initial efforts and encourages additional work in this
area, particularly by states that are less advanced in their efforts to incorporate climate-related
risks into their individual insurance regulatory frameworks.
As FIO conducts its climate-related work, it remains focused on its statutory roles of identifying
regulatory gaps that could contribute to a systemic crisis in the insurance industry, consulting
with state insurance regulators regarding insurance matters of national importance, advising on
major international insurance policy issues, and to monitoring the extent to which traditionally
underserved communities and consumers, minorities, and low- and moderate income persons
have access to affordable insurance products. FIO will continue analyzing and addressing how
the insurance industry may be impacted by, and can help to mitigate, climate-related risks.
FIO plans to advance progress on the recommendations in this Report, including by:
Monitoring the climate-related work of state regulators and how their work addresses the
issues and gaps identified in this Report.
Issuing periodic updates detailing the progress made by state insurance regulators and the
NAIC in these areas.
Engaging with the NAIC, state insurance regulators, and other domestic and international
stakeholders on these issues.