REMARKS AS PREPARED FOR DELIVERY
Q1FY24 NIKE Inc. Conference Call
September 28, 2023
The
following
material
represents
prepared
remarks
for
NIKE,
Inc.’s
earning
conference
call
and
is
not
an
official
transcript.
These
remarks
are
provided
only
for
reference
purposes
until
an
official
transcript
is
made
available.
These
prepared
remarks
do
not
reflect
questions
asked
by
participants
in
the
conference
call
or
responses
from
NIKE,
Inc.
management,
and
information
presented
by
NIKE,
Inc.
during
the
conference
call
may
differ
materially
from
these
prepared
remarks.
Information contained in these remarks was current only as of the date of the
conference call and may have subsequently changed materially. NIKE,
Inc. does not
update or delete outdated information contained in
these prepared remarks and disclaims any obligation to do so.
[OPERATOR]
Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to NIKE, Inc.'s fiscal 2024 first quarter conference call. For
those who want to reference today's press release you'll find it at investors.nike.com. Leading
today's call is Paul Trussell, VP of Investor Relations and Strategic Finance.
Now I would like to turn the call over to Paul Trussell.
[PAUL TRUSSELL]
Thank you, operator.
Hello everyone and thank you for joining us today to discuss NIKE, Inc.'s fiscal 2024 first quarter
results.
Joining us on today's call will be NIKE, Inc. President and CEO John Donahoe, and our CFO, Matt
Friend.
Before we begin, let me remind you that participants on this call will make forward-looking
statements based on current expectations and those statements are subject to certain risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties are
detailed in NIKE’s reports filed with the SEC.
In addition, participants may discuss non-GAAP financial measures and non-public financial and
statistical information. Please refer to NIKE’s earnings press release or NIKE’s website,
investors.nike.com, for comparable GAAP measures and quantitative reconciliations. All growth
comparisons on the call today are presented on a year-over-over basis and are currency neutral,
unless otherwise noted.
We will start with prepared remarks, and then open up for questions. We would like to allow as
many of you to ask questions as possible in our allotted time. So, we would appreciate you limiting
your initial question to one. Thanks for your cooperation on this.
I’ll now turn the call over to NIKE, Inc. President and CEO John Donahoe.
[JOHN DONAHOE]
Thank you, Paul, and hello to everyone on today’s call.
Nike’s foundational competitive advantages are the envy of the industry.
As the global athletic market leader, our scale and portfolio allow us to create an impact that only
Nike can. Consumers all over the world recognize Nike as the #1 champion for athletes and sport,
as we fuel inspiration and push the limit of human potential with the industry’s most innovative
products.
Over the past few years, we’ve navigated through an unprecedented external environment. We’ve
worked through many challenges: societal, geopolitical, global health, supply chain and more.
And during this time, Nike has grown larger and stronger. In FY19, Nike’s revenues were $39 billion.
Today, we’re over $50 billion. What’s more, our growth has outpaced the overall industry during
this period.
Let me offer a few examples of how we’ve redefined the game over the past few years. The
consumer told us they wanted lifestyle product and we delivered, growing Air Force 1, AJ1 and
Dunk to be the three largest footwear franchises in industry history. We continue to set the bar in
key global sports like Basketball and Global Football. Jordan is now one of the leading brands in
North America, with potential for so much more. We accelerated digital capabilities that fueled
engagement with our brands and deepened direct consumer connections around the world. The
list could go on and on. But we have a saying here at Nike: There is no finish line. We never settle.
We always measure ourselves against our full potential.
Nike has always been synonymous with sport. We are at our best when we deliver breakthrough
ideas by lining up innovative product with distinctive storytelling delivered through differentiated
marketplace experiences. And when we do it well, we expand and grow the market.
Today, as I’ve just mentioned, we’re succeeding in many areas of our business. But we expect
more of ourselves in others. For example, over the past few years, we have launched new product
innovations in Running but we need to drive more meaningful consumer connections among
everyday runners and scale these innovations more effectively across the marketplace. Our
storytelling has driven energy in many areas, but we have opportunity to cut through with more
sharpness and clarity around the performance benefits and distinction of our products. And we
have built a best-in-class marketplace with unrivaled scale and reach but we have opportunity to
deliver more compelling assortments particularly when it comes to serving our Women’s
consumers.
So, across the Company, we are focused and mobilized to address areas where we need to raise
our game, while continuing to drive competitive separation across the board. We’re aligned, we’re
confident and we’ve kicked into a new gear.
One recent example: Two weeks ago, we had over 300 leaders from across the globe gathered
here in Beaverton to immerse ourselves in our Fall ’24 lineup. Our teams have been back together
in-person over the past 15 months, and our innovation pipeline is strong and was on full display.
The excitement and alignment of our Leadership Team was clear, as we continue to obsess the
product and storytelling we’ll be bringing to life for consumers at the Paris Olympics and into the
fall. Simply put, our teams are on the offense, as we compete to win, in all segments.
Today, I’d like to offer three examples of where Nike showed our best this quarter where we brought
together product, storytelling, and marketplace to connect with consumers and drive results.
Let’s start with this summer’s World Cup.
At Nike, as I’ve said before, it always starts with great product. In Football, that’s led by Phantom
Luna and Mercurial, our most innovative football boots as well as our array of national team kits
designed for elite female players and our style-driven collections that stood out so well this summer.
We also brought our culture of innovation to life through our storytelling, as we dominated the
conversation with the leading share of social voice. In particular, we were incredibly effective in
reaching Gen-Z women through our lens of sport, style and culture. On TikTok, our priority channel
for Gen-Z, our “engaged audience” meaning those who actively interacted with our content was up
172%, a huge statement of Nike’s ability to connect with authenticity to this important demographic.
We also extended the tournament’s energy through our stores. I was in Australia this summer and
got to experience our Dream Arena, the immersive retail destination we created for the World Cup
by transforming Sydney’s flagship store just the latest example of how we can amplify global sports
moments at retail. The experiences inside Dream Arena included the best of Nike: jersey
customization, local co-creator workshops, Nike Trainer-led workouts, exclusive product launches
and more. The response to Dream Arena surpassed our expectations, with some great learnings
we plan to use at scale moving forward.
And all this led to results. In both footwear and apparel, we beat our sell-through plans with strong
double-digit growth across Men’s, Women’s and Kids in Global Football. In EMEA, all our key boot
franchises Mercurial, Phantom, Tiempo and Phantom Luna saw double-digit growth in Q1, leading
Global Football to grow double digits in the geo. In APLA, Football also grew double digits, with
strong growth in Kids-sized kits as we continue to inspire the next generation of fans to fall in love
with the sport. From this summer’s World Cup and the Euros last summer, to the WNBA and our
investment in coaching, we are committed to growing the game for Women’s sport.
Next, let’s touch on Basketball another area where you can see our end-to-end offense driving
accelerated competitive advantage.
In Basketball, we have an unprecedented portfolio of product. Earlier this month, we announced
our latest signature shoe, Devin Booker’s Nike Book 1. It’s a shoe built for comfort and performance,
with a clean, on and off-court style. The Nike Book 1 will hit retail in December, with consumer
energy already building.
The Sabrina 1 continued its very strong sell-through this quarter, across both Women’s and Men’s.
And just a few hours ago, we launched the LeBron 21. The 21 builds on the success of the 20 by
keeping its low-cut profile design and adding premium lightweight materials designed to connect
with younger generations.
Q1 also saw the official introduction of the Kobe Brand. We commemorated Kobe Day on August
24 with rereleases to very strong demand so strong that we only fulfilled a fraction of it. And, with
Vanessa Bryant, we also selected six schools to be honored as “Mamba Programs” for the
upcoming college basketball season, with both their men’s and women’s teams having the
opportunity to wear Kobe Brand player-exclusive footwear. We see huge potential with the Kobe
Brand on and off the court, as we continue to honor his legacy.
This quarter we also brought the energy of basketball directly to the consumer. We hosted
tournaments in cities like LA and Chicago, culminating with the Nike World Basketball Festival in
New York. These events created an electric atmosphere especially during the NBA offseason like
only Nike can.
And in a quarter where Jordan footwear grew double digits, Jordan Brand demonstrated its power
by bringing Zion, Luka and Tatum to Paris for Kay 54 one of the world’s biggest streetball
tournaments that doubles as a showcase of the culture and growing community of basketball.
Moments like these don’t just grow competitive separation for Nike and Jordan. They are also how
we grow the game and we grow the broader market.
Finally, I’ll walk through the geography where our overall vision comes to life best: Greater China.
In Q1, Greater China grew double digits for the second straight quarter, and we are taking share in
the market.
It’s in Greater China that we offer the consumer Nike’s most premium and elevated retail. The team
gets the most out of our innovative product through world-class and locally relevant storytelling and
strong marketplace execution.
A great example is our Women’s business, which outpaced overall growth in the quarter. The work
the team has done to serve our Women’s consumer is proof of what Nike can do when all the pieces
are aligned.
A highlight in Q1 in Greater China was our three-day sport festival, “Sportchella,” where we
welcomed thousands of women to connect with our three brands through movement and
mindfulness. The team amplified the impact of the festival by partnering with Tmall to create the
first Nike Super Brand Week, which drove more than 2 billion impressions. This partnership
seamlessly integrated the event with a digital shopping journey that generated very strong
consumer response and engagement.
The team also brings our brands to life in our best retail experiences, fueled by strong, meaningful
storytelling. These breakthrough retail experiences highlight our innovations and marketing in a
clear package to the consumer. For example, in Q1 our seasonal presentations and curated head-
to-toe style guides had very favorable consumer response.
And, again, this combination of innovation, storytelling and marketplace execution all leads to
results. We took share in Women’s in Greater China this quarter, with strong growth across a wide
range of products from footwear with the Motiva and Free Metcon to apparel with our statement
bras and leggings.
All in all, across our entire portfolio, the Greater China team has orchestrated a fully connected
marketplace. They continue to transform digital commerce, launching China-specific versions of
our apps that are faster and more personalized, including a new Jordan destination to the Nike app
in Q1. And they’re expanding connected partnership, which after just a few quarters is now live in
350 doors across 102 cities and is driving substantially higher member demand vs last quarter.
Simply put, Greater China sets the execution standard for us. Our goal is to scale their success
across every geography, every sport and every dimension of our business. That’s how we win over
the long-term.
In the end, as I said, we’re focused and moving with new confidence against the opportunities we
see. The teams are feeling energized, united by our shared passion and urgency for competing at
the highest level.
We set high expectations for ourselves at Nike. That’s what winners do. And now, more than ever,
we’re ready to bring our best and demonstrate what Nike is capable of.
With that, I’ll turn the call over to Matt.
[MATTHEW FRIEND]
Thanks John, and hello to everyone on the call.
Nike’s first-quarter results demonstrated the impact of staying on the offense when we drove a
quicker return to a healthy marketplace in Fiscal ’23 and leading with operational discipline as we
begin the new fiscal year.
We delivered Q1 results in line with our guidance. Retail sales across Nike Direct and wholesale
continue to grow on top of extraordinary sales this past year. Both Nike inventory and our total
marketplace inventory are healthy. Working capital efficiency is improving with a normalized supply
chain. Gross margins are expanding on an operational basis, excluding the effects of foreign
exchange, and transitory headwinds are abating.
In short, we are building on a strong foundation for sustainable and more profitable long-term
growth. Before reviewing our financial results, let me first speak to what we are seeing from our
consumer and the marketplace, and where we are driving focus and attention to unlock even greater
potential ahead.
In Q1, retail sales across Nike Direct and wholesale grew mid-single digits versus the prior year.
Our top franchises are driving strong full-price sales, and our newest product offerings across Nike,
Jordan and Converse are generating positive consumer reception.
Looking at inventory, we continue to feel very good about our position. Nike inventory dollars are
down 10% versus prior year. Our total inventory units across the marketplace, including Nike and
our wholesale partners, are down double-digits versus the prior year. Partner-owned inventory units
are in line with the previous year, with levels planned to remain lean through our second quarter a
meaningful accomplishment after higher levels of wholesale sell-in during Fiscal ‘23.
On the whole, we are very comfortable with the level of inventory in the marketplace in relation to
the retail sales we are seeing, as we begin increasing levels of wholesale sell-in our second half.
And overall, we are confident in the health and shape of our marketplace.
Nike Direct continues to lead our growth, up 6% versus the prior year. As we deliver on our strategy
to elevate the marketplace through premium physical and digital retail experiences, we continue to
see that consumers want to connect directly and personally with our brands. And in fact, member
engagement within our Direct business is up double-digits versus the prior year, with increasing
average order values.
Our Stores delivered an especially strong quarter, with traffic up double-digits from last year and
members driving an increasing share of business, as consumers shifted from our digital to physical
channels. This is similar to what we are seeing across the industry, and after seeing this trend
building in early June, our team was nimble in transitioning inventory to capture higher full-price
sales across our entire store fleet.
Nike Digital grew 2% with non-linear comparisons to the prior year including liquidation actions and
a higher number of product launches on the SNKRS App in Fiscal ‘23.
Looking through all that, what stands out are the underlying consumer trends we see in our Digital
business. This includes sustained momentum on the Nike Mobile App, with growth in traffic and
increasing member buying frequency. We continue to see a growing structural advantage as more
consumers start their shopping journeys with us on mobile.
Meanwhile, within wholesale, we see largely positive results from our most important strategic
partners. Specifically, we were pleased to see high single-digit to low double-digit retail sales growth
and strong inventory management with many of our key partners including Dick’s Sporting Goods
and City Specialty partners in North America; JD, Zalando, and Sports Direct in EMEA, and Top
Sports and Pou Sheng in Greater China. We continue the reset of our business with Foot Locker,
planning for near-term sales declines as they invest in consumer-right concepts for the future.
Ultimately, we have a segmented portfolio of strong partners across price points and channels, with
no single partner representing more than a mid-single digit of Nike’s total business. And looking
across the entire marketplace, we are confident in our brand momentum as we accelerate direct
consumer connections, elevate our Brands, and create capacity for long-term growth.
Looking ahead, our priorities start with our product pipeline. And over the coming seasons, we will
build on the market share gains that we have accelerated in recent years by scaling newness and
innovation across our portfolio, while carefully managing the health of our most iconic product
franchises.
This year, for example we will build on the consumer momentum around Running and modern
comfort with performance and lifestyle franchises such as Infinity, Motiva, Invincible, Vomero 5,
V2K and Air Max 1.
We will refresh our basketball portfolio across Nike and Jordan through innovation and style and
grow the Kobe brand. We will ignite the next chapters of Pegasus, the Jordan game shoe, and Tech
Fleece while continuing to grow powerhouses like Dunk and Metcon.
And as we look toward the second half of this fiscal year, and beyond from the 10
th
anniversary of
Air Max Day to the Paris Olympic Games we will introduce our next wave of Nike Air innovation.
This will bring our most comprehensive evolution of the Air platform in years one that we expect to
catalyze both our brand and business. We will deliver pinnacle performance innovation to athletes,
while also scaling into new lifestyle franchises over the next several years.
Ultimately, we are focused on scaling a deep, diverse, and distinct product portfolio not just for one
quarter or one season; but for years to come.
Last, we are turning the corner in driving more profitable growth, while also recovering on transitory
cost headwinds.
This includes structural improvements in profitability in areas such as supply chain, with reduced
digital split shipments and improved digital fulfillment costs enabled by investments in our regional
service centers and a new transportation management system. In addition, Nike Brand ASPs are
up across footwear and apparel, across all geographies, as we focus on the price value of our
products. And in Greater China, consecutive quarters of double-digit growth, healthy inventory and
sequential improvement in full price sales will enable us to begin rebuilding towards higher
profitability in the geography.
Finally, we are focused on improving our marginal cost of growth, with more modest increases in
operating overhead this fiscal year following two consecutive years of double-digit growth in this
area. We are doing this by unlocking speed and productivity as we transform our operating model
to build a faster, more efficient Nike.
Now, let me turn to our NIKE, Inc. first quarter results.
In Q1, NIKE, Inc. revenue grew 2% on a reported and currency-neutral basis.
Nike Direct grew 6%, with Nike Stores growing 12% and Nike Digital up 2%.
Wholesale grew 1%, reflecting our proactive decisions to restrain inventory supply and prioritize
marketplace health, particularly in North America.
Gross margins declined 10 basis points to 44.2% on a reported basis, primarily driven by higher
product costs and approximately 90 basis points of unfavorable changes in net foreign currency
exchange rates, almost completely offset by strategic pricing actions.
SG&A grew 5% on a reported basis, primarily due to increased demand creation expenses around
World Cup ’23, and more moderate increases in operating overhead benefiting from shifts in timing
of technology investments to the remainder of the year.
Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 12.0%, compared to 19.7% for the same period last year,
primarily due to a one-time benefit provided by the recent delay of the effective date of U.S. foreign
tax credit regulations.
Diluted earnings per share was $0.94.
Now, let me turn to our operating segments.
In North America, Q1 revenue declined 1%, with Wholesale down 8%, in line with our expectations
following our restrained sell-in of marketplace supply. Nike Direct was up 7%, as Nike Stores grew
11% and Nike Digital grew 4%. EBIT grew 4% on a reported basis, primarily due to strong gross
margin expansion.
In a competitive environment, our retail sales momentum grew throughout the quarter across Nike
Direct and Wholesale. Nike’s Back-to-School performance outpaced the broader industry, with
strong sales from our top franchises and clear consumer excitement around newness.
Infinity 4 drove strong full-price sales as we partnered with key running specialty accounts to host
community activations. Our newest generation of Tech Fleece amplified by strong investment from
key marketplace partners drove retail sales up double-digits from last year across Nike Direct and
Wholesale. Zenvy, Go and Universa fueled double-digit growth in statement leggings, with Dunk
and Free Metcon driving strong sell thru. And Jordan Brand continued its momentum with double-
digit growth, led by Jordan Women’s and Kids, as well as performance Basketball.
In EMEA, Q1 revenue grew 6%, with Nike Direct also up 6%. Nike Stores grew 17%, and Nike
Digital declined 2%. EBIT declined 5% on a reported basis.
Global Football and fitness grew double-digits, and Women’s outpaced our total growth in the
geography this quarter. New innovation and styles are resonating, with Phantom Luna driving
strong sell-through; Metcon up double-digits; and Motiva, our new walking shoe, off to a great start
in creating a new performance category for Nike. Pegasus, Invincible and Vomero also delivered
strong results in the quarter.
In addition, statement leggings and shorts grew double digits with integrated brand and retail
experiences. And as we deepen our focus on serving all segments of the running community, trail
running footwear grew double digits with new product innovation and brand activations.
In Greater China, Q1 revenue grew 12%. Nike Direct grew 10%, with Nike Stores up 12% and Nike
Digital up 6%. EBIT declined 3% on a reported basis.
Throughout the quarter, we saw incredible energy around the return of sport with thousands of
young runners joining in our Back-to-School Kids Race players across cities taking part in our
Jordan Flight basketball tournament and historical highs in social engagement with our NBHD
accounts as consumers joined in hyperlocal community experiences to celebrate our newest Kobe
release.
Retail sales across Nike Direct and Wholesale grew double-digits with another quarter of strong
sell-through. In a highly promotional marketplace, we outperformed industry trends with
improvement in full-price sales. Our performance dimensions led growth, with consumer excitement
around GT Jump, Sabrina 1, and Invincible. And in lifestyle, Vomero and other retro running styles
are gaining momentum as we prepare to scale over the coming seasons.
In APLA, Q1 revenue grew 3%. Nike Direct was up 3%, with Nike Stores up 10%, and Nike Digital
declining 3%. EBIT declined 17% on a reported basis.
Japan, Southeast Asia & India, and Mexico led our growth this quarter, as we accelerate our
momentum in international markets. In particular, store traffic in Japan is returning to pre-COVID
levels sales through our new Myntra partnership in India are already exceeding plan and Mexico’s
digital business delivered double-digit growth.
Kids led our growth in the geography, up double-digits with strong growth from Mercurial, Court
Borough, and fleece. We also saw market share gains in Women’s lifestyle, with positive
consumer response to Air Max Koko, V2K and Gamma Force. In addition, Jordan continues its
global growth, with Luka and Tatum fueling strong momentum in performance basketball, and our
new Streetwear footwear franchises resonating with consumers.
Now, let me turn to our financial outlook.
As we look forward, we are confident in Nike’s new product innovation pipeline, brand strength,
deep consumer connections and the health and shape of our marketplace. Our Q1 results reaffirm
our expectation for healthy, profitable growth this fiscal year.
For the full year we continue to expect reported revenue to grow mid-single digits. At the same time,
we are closely monitoring the operating environment, including foreign currency exchange rates,
consumer demand over the holiday season, and our second-half wholesale order book.
As a reminder, this growth outlook includes approximately four points of headwinds from
accelerated liquidation and higher wholesale sell-in during the prior year, as we sold roughly five
seasons of supply within four financial quarters. Therefore, quarterly comparisons across
marketplace channels and in the aggregate will be non-linear.
We continue to expect gross margins to expand 140 to 160 basis points on a reported basis, which
includes 50 basis points of negative impact from foreign exchange headwinds. We are cautiously
planning for modest markdown improvements for the balance of the year given the promotional
environment.
We continue to expect SG&A to slightly outpace revenue growth, more specifically at the high end
of mid-single digits.
We continue to expect other income and expense, including net interest income, to be $225 to $275
million for the year.
And we continue to expect our effective tax rate to be in the high-teens range.
Now, let me provide some additional color on our second quarter. We expect second quarter
reported revenue growth to be up slightly versus the prior year, as we face our most challenging
comparisons from Fiscal ‘23.
We expect second-quarter gross margins to expand approximately 100 basis points versus the
prior year, reflecting benefits from strategic pricing, improved markdowns, and lower ocean freight
rates, partially offset by higher product input costs. We continue to expect a negative impact from
50 basis points of foreign exchange headwinds. We expect second-quarter SG&A to grow mid to
high single digits. We expect our second-quarter effective tax rate to be in the high-teens range.
For Nike, being on the offense means competing to win now and over the long term. We are
confident in our strategy our leadership position and our ability to create even greater opportunity
ahead.
With that, let’s open up the call for questions.
[OPERATOR]
We'll take our first question from Bob Drbul, Guggenheim Partners.
[BOB DRBUL]
Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. I guess the first question really is, when you talk
about the innovation pipeline for fall of '24. Can you just expand a little bit more in terms of the focus
or the categories or really sort of what you see driving the business that you laid out at the most recent
meeting? And I have a follow-up.
[JOHN DONAHOE]
Great, Bob. Well, as I said in my remarks, we cannot underestimate the understate, really, that the
impact of having our teams back together in person over the past 15 months, and we absolutely
see that kicking into gear with our product pipeline. And so, this past quarter, you heard a couple
of great examples of performance innovation around Phantom Luna, our World Cup kits, the Infinity
4, which had one of our latest foam platforms, React X foam, highest energy return and lowest
carbon footprint, that will sustain for many quarters and years.
And over the next six to nine months into the Paris Olympics and into the fall, there are several
areas we're very excited about. Matt and I both talked about basketball, I don't think we've ever had
a stronger portfolio of basketball shoes, whether it's the Sabrina 1, the LeBron 21, Book 1. Jordan
has Tatum, Luka, Zion, and a great Game Shoe coming. And then, of course, we have Kobe. So,
we see real growth, growing our basketball business and growing the game and market of
basketball on and off the court.
In running, we feel good about the Invincible 3 and Infinity 4, Vomero 5, OPeg 41, we feel very good
about coming into Paris as well as the Motiva, which we think have real legs. And then Air. Air is an
are putting a huge amount of focus, and we're very excited about the innovations coming in Air,
both performance and lifestyle. And so, we have the tenth anniversary of Air Max Day in the spring
as we move into the Paris Olympics. Air will be an important opportunity both in performance and
in lifestyle. So, we see several opportunities to build real scalable innovation and growth.
[BOB DRBUL]
Got it. Thanks, And I just have a question. In North America, I guess, in the current quarter, what's
the bigger tailwind to the business right now? Is it the Travis Kelce jerseys or the Colorado football
merchandise?
[JOHN DONAHOE]
Oregon Ducks jersey.
[MATT FRIEND]
We love the NFL and we continue to see a lot of momentum with Coach Prime, so both.
[BOB DRBUL]
Thank you.
[OPERATOR]
Up next is Adrienne Yih, Barclays.
[ADRIENNE YIH]
Great. Thank you very much. I guess my question is going to be on kind of the shaping of wholesale.
Matt, if you can help us out with the I guess, do we expect direct to be similar to the current quarter
and then the balance of that, the kind of up slightly for the current quarter guidance to the balance of
that come out of North America wholesale? And then my other question is on the China market. John,
you talked about kind of strength and regaining market share. But at the same time, you talked a little
bit about continuing to be promotional. It's great to see that you're regaining full price. How much
demand creation are you doing there? What does the promotional environment look like exiting the
quarter? And any comment on exit trends? How should we think about kind of the trends over the
next couple of quarters relative to your long-term algorithm? Thank you very much.
[MATT FRIEND]
All right. Well, John, why don't I start on marketplace.
[JOHN DONAHOE]
Sure.
[MATT FRIEND]
So, Adrienne, when we look at our performance this quarter, I'd be remiss to not just reiterate what
I said on the call, which is we saw very strong retail sales in the marketplace up mid-single digits.
And in particular, we're very pleased with the performance across a range of our most important
wholesale partners, delivering growth high single digit to low double digit.
What I said last quarter in terms of the way that I was thinking about channel growth for this year, I
said that NIKE Direct would lead our growth. And it did this quarter, and we do expect NIKE Direct
to continue to lead our growth throughout the remainder of this fiscal year. The period that we're
heading into in Q2 and Q3 is really the higher levels of sell-in that we did last year as we proactively
focused on returning our marketplace to a more healthy level.
As an example, you might recall our Q2 wholesale revenue last year was up 30% versus the prior
year. And so, as we face those comparisons, we do expect that NIKE Direct will be the best
indication of the growth that we're driving in the marketplace, while we comp those nonlinear
comparisons in the prior year. But we feel very good about the health and the shape of our overall
marketplace, including in North America. And we're continuing to focus on driving growth across
dimensions, across channels, up and down price points and are very focused on building a product
pipeline to enable us to do that over the coming years.
[JOHN DONAHOE]
And Adrienne, in China, it's interesting. I've been to China twice now in the past 4 months. And I
think, Matt, you were there in August. And I we feel good about the market there and our position.
Frankly, a couple of things stand out. One, sport is back in China. You can just feel it. And that
gives us great confidence about the future and the Chinese consumer in our segment regardless
of the macroeconomic outlook there.
And you saw we had double-digit strong double-digit growth in Q1 and Q2, and we're helping to
really drive momentum in sport there. I talked about Sportchella. I think Matt mentioned the back-
to-school kids race. Giannis did his tour there this summer that got huge response, outdoor
basketball. So, we're doing what we do best, which is driving energy and excitement around sport,
which then translates into our brand connection and our consumer connection being as strong as
it's been in a long time.
And as I said, it's perhaps the best example currently where we bring this great innovation with
distinctive storytelling, with distinctive marketplace reaction. And so even in a promotional period,
our full price sell-through and our innovation are connecting well and doing well.
And so, we got our inventory in shape much sooner than the market in China, and so we’re playing
on the offense. We’re playing on our front foot. And we feel good about the opportunities in China
in the coming quarters and into the medium to long term.
[MATT FRIEND]
Yes. And I would just say that I think that the retail sales growth that we referenced in our 2 biggest
wholesale partners is a great indication of the health of our inventory and our ability, especially in
this first quarter, to flow a complete assortment and season into our retail stores in the marketplace.
And we that's NIKE at its best, our most premium elevated retail experiences, high levels of
seasonal assortments where we can tell stories and really bring the breadth and the dimension to
consumers. And we saw that momentum building throughout the quarter. So, we feel really good
about the decision we made to move fast. And even though the marketplace is promotional, we're
on our front feet in terms of the way we're able to present our brand and our stories and our products
to consumers in that market right now.
[OPERATOR]
Next, we'll take a question from Alex Straton, Morgan Stanley.
[ALEX STRATON]
Perfect. I just wanted to focus on kind of the running innovation that you guys highlighted a number
of times on the call across areas. I think you had said you launched some running in the last few
years, but perhaps it didn't connect as much as you wanted, or you wanted to scale it more
effectively. So, could you just touch on maybe what changed in NIKE's approach in the last few
years and then what you plan to do differently to kind of reignite that?
[JOHN DONAHOE]
Yes, Alex. As I said, we we're at our best when we align innovative product with distinctive
storytelling through a differentiated marketplace. And in running, we have 3 different categories in
running. In racing, we take our performance innovation, which sets the bar in the industry with the
Alphafly, the Vaporfly and NEXT%. We have compelling breakthrough storytelling, whether it's
Breaking 2, or we reached that elite runner and we reached them through a differentiated
marketplace, and so we're doing well there. In trail running, which is the fastest growing segment,
the Peg Trail is doing very well. We feel really good about our innovation pipeline, and we're
increasingly leaning into the trail running community and to marketplace connection with that trail
runner.
And then the area that we talk about, road running or what we call road running or every day
running, we're very clear we're prioritizing the everyday runner who wants newness and
consistency, and we're focusing, therefore, on some key models, ensuring that we get in the path
of runners. So, in terms of innovation, as I mentioned in my remarks, we've had some very good
innovations in the last couple of years. The Invincible took some of the performance benefits from
our road racing shoes, particularly ZoomX, and brought them into an everyday running shoe along
with some great cushioning, so good innovation.
Similarly, the Infinity 4 brought the React X foam platform, which has got some real characteristics
of low- carbon footprint, better high energy. But we're not yet combining those innovations with
getting in the path of the everyday runner with a really strong ground game, and so that's what we're
focused on. And that starts with distribution, making sure we're breaking through everywhere every
day runner shops, so whether that's around direct channels, wholesale channels. Running specialty
doors play a really important role.
You may have noted we launched the React 4 in partnership with running specialty doors. So that's
a step in the right direction, and we're really working to break through in these channels. And then
we're working hard to better connect with runners in their community where they are, whether it's
driving connections through Nike Run Club and our mobile apps, being present in marathons and
races and just being where runners are. And so, in this case, we know what we need to do. We are
focused on it, and we are moving with urgency to deliver.
[MATT FRIEND]
There's also a meaningful opportunity as running influences lifestyle and sneakers. And as we've
had tremendous success from a classics perspective over the last couple of years, we have a rich
heritage of products in our pipeline related to running for decades. And so, one of the things that
we're also doing is accelerating our opportunity in running lifestyle with some of our best franchises
and capturing on that trend and also the consumer shift to modern comfort. And we feel like that 1,
2 punch, as John mentioned, innovation, performance, and lifestyle, is really going to position us
well to take greater to greater take a greater attack at the running marketplace holistically.
[OPERATOR]
And next up is Matthew Boss, JPMorgan.
[MATT BOSS]
Great. So, John, maybe could you speak to underlying demand trends as the first quarter
progressed? Or any early fall trends that you're seeing in both North America and China. And then
multiyear, I'm curious what you see as the next leg of the Consumer Direct Acceleration strategy or
just any initiatives that you see to drive further market share gains as we look forward.
[JOHN DONAHOE]
Actually, Matt, why don't you take the first part of that and close in on demand, and I'll take the
second.
[MATT FRIEND]
Sure. Well, Matt, as I referenced, we saw mid-single-digit retail sales growth this quarter. And this
quarter, we have a unique dynamic because we saw a difference in what we're reporting or what
we're communicating from a retail sales perspective versus where NIKE's reported revenue is, and
that's because of the restriction of sell-in that we put into place the last couple of quarters of last
year. We do expect that to continue as we go into the second quarter. And so, we are planning for
retail sales growth to be in line with what we delivered this quarter from a mid-single-digit
perspective.
When we look at the big consumer moments this quarter, 618 seems like so long ago at this point
in time, but 618 in Greater China, we were the #1 sports brand on Tmall and saw impressive double-
digit growth over that time horizon. And within back to school, we outperformed the industry. And
when you look at our performance over the quarter, we saw momentum building throughout the
quarter heading into back to school. And so, we were encouraged by what we were seeing from a
consumer perspective.
I mentioned that we saw high single-digit to low double-digit growth in our most important partners
and strong growth in NIKE Direct this quarter given what we're anniversary-ing in the prior year. So,
we continue to see consumer demand for our brands and for our products to be very, very strong.
Sport is growing, and the consumer is proving to be resilient.
There are some dynamics in terms of shifting that's happening from channels. We saw it in our
partners a couple of years ago. And this quarter, we are seeing consumers spending more time in
brick-and-mortar locations. But 90% of their shopping journeys are starting with digital and so we
continue to believe that.
our digital and physical strategy of serving consumers at the right strategy to serve demand as we
look forward.
[JOHN DONAHOE]
And Matt, if we just extend out, as you asked, a little bit longer term, we step back. We still see the
same fundamentals, which are some structural tailwinds in our industry, right? The definition of
sport is expanding. And so, with the movement toward health and wellness and fitness and new big
areas of movement like dance, one of my favorite we've had a lot of interaction with breakdancing
in the last 3 months here on campus, seeing some of the elite breakdancers who will compete in
the Paris Olympics coming. But dance throughout Asia and other places is a huge market. So, we
just see an expanding definition of sport where movement has become sport, and we're at center
of that.
The movement toward athleisure, right, there doesn't need to be a trade-off between what you wear
on the pitch and at work between comfort and performance and style. Athleisure combines all of
those, and we are very well positioned to continue to drive that trend.
And then the digital connection of consumers means that sport, whether they're watching it or
commerce is always one click away. And our leading portfolio of digital assets gives us a huge
advantage there. So those are some structural tailwinds.
And then we just do we’re in a great industry with those tailwinds. We've got to do what we do so
well. Innovation plus great storytelling plus great marketplace, we believe will drive real strong
growth. And we see great growth in women's. Jordan, we think, has extraordinary growth. Running,
we think we have great growth; continuing to expand the market in basketball, global football. And
as Matt mentioned, this driving performance and then into lifestyle is something that makes our
industry, our business and our future quite attractive.
[OPERATOR]
Jay Sole from UBS has the next question.
[JAY SOLE]
Great. Matt, you talked about you're seeing underlying structural gains and profitability in margins.
Can you just talk about how you're feeling about the long-term opportunity for margin in the context
of the long-term guidance you gave a couple of years ago for NIKE's ability to get to a high teens
EBIT margin over time?
[MATT FRIEND]
Sure, Jay. Well, we remain confident in our ability to drive our long-term financial goals. And we still
believe those long-term goals of profitability are achievable. But the timing is difficult to predict. But
the reason why I emphasize what I emphasized this quarter is that I feel I really feel strongly that
fiscal year '24 is a turning point for us and a proof point for NIKE to drive more profitable growth.
The structural things that I referenced, the structural drivers, I should say, that I referenced, it starts
with creating value for the consumer and our products. And we continue to see benefits in our gross
margin through strategic pricing and managing the price value of our products with ASPs across
the NIKE brand across all geos up this quarter.
One of the opportunities we continue to see, and we saw some benefit of it this quarter is lowering
our supply chain costs. We've increased the size of our supply chain in the last few years to be able
to address the growth that we've seen in our business, both overall and in digital. And now our
teams are very focused on driving greater efficiency in the way that we serve consumer demand
across channels.
And I mentioned a couple of examples like reducing digital split shipments so that a consumer
doesn't get 2 boxes for the same order, the way that we're lowering our outbound fulfillment costs
through the investment in regional service centers that are closer to where consumer demand is.
And so those are just a couple of examples that we continue to see.
And then, of course, we do expect that while the ultimate landing spot of digital and direct isn't as
clear, we do believe we're going to be a more direct and a more digital company and a more
profitable company. And there's a channel mix and channel profitability opportunity that comes with
that as well. So, we continue to believe these goals are achievable. And based on our gross margin
plans for this year, our performance in the first quarter, we believe we're turning the corner on
starting to climb to greater profitability as a company and as a brand.
[OPERATOR]
The next question comes from Piral Dadhania, RBC.
[PIRAL DADHANIA]
Most have been answered, so maybe I could just ask a follow-up, a clarification. Matt, I think you
said that in Q1, your partners registered a high single-digit to low double-digit sales growth in the
period. I just wanted to understand whether that was their sell-out number or whether that was your
sell-in number. Any clarification there would be very helpful.
[MATT FRIEND]
Sure. That was a sellout number. That was a sales-to-consumer number.
[OPERATOR]
We'll take our next question from Jonathan Komp, Baird.
[JONATHAN KOMP]
Matt, if I could ask a follow-up, just as you think about the second quarter, given some of the unusual
comparisons, would you be willing to share any shaping guidance across some of the segments?
And then bigger picture, if you could just comment on sort of the shape of the recovery of the sales
and the profitability that you're seeing in China and any thoughts as we look to the balance of the
year?
[MATT FRIEND]
Sure. Well, as it relates to the second quarter, what I said was that we expect our growth to be up
slightly versus the prior year. I did answer Matt's question just and I'll connect the 2 together, but
we are expecting retail sales, so to sellout to the consumer, to be in line with the mid-single digit
that we delivered this quarter across the full marketplace. And the second quarter is really the last
season that we've managed the sell-in to a more restricted level so that we could ensure that the
marketplace was set right as we look towards the remainder of this year.
As far as the comparisons go, Q2, and I think I referenced the wholesale number earlier, but we're
comping about 27% currency neutral growth in Q2, but what we're much more focused on is the
quality and the health of the growth that we're delivering in the quarter. And so as you see our gross
margins expanding in the second quarter on an operational basis, excluding the impact of FX, we're
up 150 basis points and are really encouraged as we think about what we delivered in the first
quarter, the improvements we're guiding to and believe we can deliver in the second quarter and
then the way that will accelerate through the balance of the year.
So, as we get into the second half of this year and we think about our gross margins, we're going
to start to see even more impact from ocean freight because those are rolling in midway through
this quarter. We're expecting to see lower product costs in the second half, and our FX headwinds
are going to abate a little bit as we get into the back half of this year. And so, some of those elements
will drive increasing margin expansion as we carry through the balance of the year.
I think your the last part of your question was on China and profitability. What I would just say is
that we know from a long history of managing this business that when you have a healthy
marketplace and you're driving full price sales and you are driving productivity in your retail formats,
you're -- you've created the environment that's ripe to drive profitability improvement. And as we
look at the momentum that we're seeing in Greater China, another quarter of double-digit growth,
we're increasingly confident that we're going to begin to rebuild towards higher profitability in that
marketplace. That's on the product and marketplace side.
And then also I referenced an example where we're lowering our supply chain costs in Greater
China. And so, we feel we feel quite good with that as well. Our reported numbers in China are
going to be challenging for the next couple of quarters because of foreign exchange headwinds.
And so, we'll continue to try to highlight the opportunities and what we're driving from a profitability
perspective, but that's one of the reasons why our EBIT was down this quarter in Greater China, as
foreign exchange headwinds as a result of the strength of the U.S. dollar definitely has created a
bit of pressure in the short term. But that's we're focused on what we can control and continuing to
drive a healthy, profitable business in that market and believe the fundamentals for long-term growth
and profitability are strong for NIKE.
[OPERATOR]
We'll go next to Aneesha Sherman, Bernstein.
[ANEESHA SHERMAN]
So as a result of your direct-to-consumer strategy, you've shifted, I guess, more than 20 points of
sales mix from Wholesale to NIKE Digital over the last 7 or so years. You're seeing shoppers
returning to stores this year. You did make some adjustments to adding physical distribution points.
Do you feel like you are in enough physical retail doors today to appeal to a rebalancing of shopping
habits?
And then a quick follow-up on overheads. You talked about lowering some of the specific costs of
direct and split shipments and fulfillment costs. Can you give us more color on the investment cycle
or on the investment cycle to support the Direct business as well as centralized investments like
ERP and kind of where you are this fiscal year and next fiscal year?
[JOHN DONAHOE]
Matt, I'll take the first part. Maybe take the second. So Aneesha, again, our entire marketplace
strategy is driven by giving consumers what they want when they want it, how they want it. That
starts with our digital properties, our own direct retail, which Matt will talk about in the second part
of the answer, but wholesale plays a really important role for us to get the breadth and depth of
access to consumers and consumers' access to our products.
And so as you know, we've really sharpened our wholesale focus over the last few years to focus
on fewer multi-brand partners that where we're investing in elevated retail experiences and
connected digital membership at scale. And so that's DSG, JD, Zalando, our partners in China.
We've got a great launch with Pro:Direct. Hibbett will come online with connected membership in
October. And so, we think there's a lot of growth opportunity with those strategic wholesale partners.
We're also putting increased attention on our neighborhood partners who are authenticators. They
help authenticate both sport and lifestyle and drive energy and local connections. And then as we
said, where we see gaps, whether it's in a price point or a gap in a product segment, we'll selectively
add wholesale partners in different geographies and in different segments. And this will be a
dynamic thing. I mean we're led by the consumer. We have the blessing of the strongest direct
connections in the industry; and with direct connected membership, we can be indifferent about
which channel.
And Matt, you're going to talk a little bit about, I guess, the margins of our direct, with the Nike Rise,
our direct mono-brand doors, Nike Rise, and our well-collected doors are doing quite well. And we
feel like we're getting our concept right now that we have seasonal right assortments coming into
them. We feel very good about our ability to augment where there are gaps as well with our own
mono-brand doors, also a House of Flight on Jordan. So we feel good about being on the front foot
with our marketplace, I think the most wide and connected marketplace offense in the industry.
[MATT FRIEND]
Yes. And I think I would just add maybe one point and then I'll hit the last part. When I think about
the momentum that we've seen over the last several years from a digital perspective, you're right.
We have shifted our channel mix, and that's been a consumer-led and a consumer-driven shift
based on the consumers' desire to want to connect with NIKE, both through our digital apps and
through our stores.
What we saw this quarter wasn't unexpected for us. And when we look underneath the momentum
that we saw in our NIKE mobile app, we saw a strong growth, high single-digit growth in traffic. We
saw member activity continue to increase both in terms of engagement and buying behavior and a
higher basket size, a higher AOV. And so we continue to be focused on creating the best
personalized experience for our members from a digital perspective. And we believe that that's
going to continue to fuel growth in our digital business over the long term.
I do think this year, the comparisons are going to not be linear as we go quarter-to-quarter, channel
to channel given what transpired last year. But what we're seeing from a consumer perspective
doesn't shift our dimensionality in terms of needing to do something different in order to serve
consumer demand. As John said, we've got the biggest, deepest breadth of distribution of anyone
and have the right partners to be able to serve the marketplace.
As it relates to overhead, the numbers that I referenced actually impact our gross margins, our
lower digital fulfillment cost that sits in our gross margins. And it's something that we've been
focused on for some time. We started investing a couple of years ago in regional service centers in
North America and in Europe and in pickup points closer to the consumer in Europe, all with the
intention of building a supply chain that enables us to serve demand closer to consumers.
It's more sustainable because we don't have to put product on airplanes and leveraging our store
footprint through O2O capabilities. And so, we've been investing for a few years in developing and
scaling those capabilities to be able to serve consumer demand.
And as I look forward from here, our investments will be aligned with the way that we grow the
business. In other words, we've invested to and now we're learning to operationalize and take
advantage of these capabilities.
We are implementing our ERP in North America. We went live with our retail business in the first
quarter, and everything has gone well. And we're focused on bringing the second part of our North
America business, the wholesale side of our North America business online and our new ERP later
this year. So that is our largest investment in transformation of our supply chain and enabling us to
operate like a retailer.
And I couldn't be more excited about the opportunity that it presents for us to really modernize the
way we work and to serve consumers at speed across the marketplace.
[OPERATOR]
And everyone, that does conclude our question-and-answer session. It also concludes our
conference for today. We would like to thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.
xxx