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Edited by: Aitor Ortiz
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Internet
Competition & Regulation
Of Online Platforms
CPI EDITORIAL BOARD
Team
CEO & Founder – David S. Evans
Editor in Chief – Elisa V. Mariscal
Managing Director – Aitor Ortiz
Managing Editor – Nancy Hoch
Latin America Editor – Jan Roth
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Preface – Daniel O’Connor, Vice-President of Public Policy, CCIA
Summary
Understanding Online Platform Competition: Common Misunderstandings
By Daniel O’Connor
The Move to Smart Mobile and its Implications for Antitrust Analysis of Online Markets
By David S. Evans, Hermant K. Bhargava & Deepa Mani
Failed Analogies: Net Neutrality vs. “Search” and “Platform” Neutrality
By Marvin Ammori
Antitrust Regulation and the Neutrality Trap: A plea for a Smart, Evidence-Based Internet Policy
By Andrea Renda
Multisided Platforms, Dynamic Competition, and the Assessment of Market Power for Inter-
net-Based Firms
By David S. Evans
The Double Duality of Two-Sided Markets
By Alfonso Lamadrid de Pablo
Should Uber be Allowed to Compete in Europe? And if so, How?
By Damien Geradin (Juan M. Delgado & Anna Tzanakis, ed.)
Online Intermediation Platforms and Free Trade Principles – Some Reections on the Uber Prelimi-
nary Ruling Case
By Damien Geradin
Competition Policy in Consumer Financial Services: The Disparate Regulation of Online Market-
place Lenders and Banks
By Thomas P. Brown and Molly E. Swartz
Legal Boundaries of Competition in the Era of the Internet: Challenges and Judicial Responses
By Zhu Li
Can Big Data Protect a Firm from Competition?
By Anja Lambrecht & Catherine E. Tucker
4
PREFACE
Daniel O’Connor,
Vice-President of Public Policy - CCIA
Dear Readers,
Currently, there is a robust debate on how to
police a relatively new economic actor: the
online platform. As competition regulators and
policymakers have this debate, it has become
increasingly clear that the basics of online
competition and how companies compete is
not widely understood. In this ebook, authors
explore Internet business models and the eco-
nomic phenomena associated with them. Fur-
thermore, contributors examine competition
law concepts and regulatory approaches to
these new actors.
In traditional brick-and-mortar markets, econ-
omists and regulators have become relatively
comfortable with understanding how competi-
tion works. Not to say controversies do not exist,
or antitrust lawyers cannot quibble over the ex-
act borders of a relevant market, but mattress
suppliers, car manufacturers, and airlines do not
present a paradigm shift in understanding who a
company’s likely competitors are. Furthermore,
large brick-and-mortar market shares tend to
be relatively durable. For example, eight of the
ten top global pharmaceutical companies by
revenue trace their roots back to the 19th cen-
tury. Eight of the top ten car companies were
founded before World War II. Although innova-
tion has been a hallmark of both these indus-
tries, it is largely incremental and competition
is relatively predictable. Since the companies
are durable, market shares are fairly accurate
gauges of market power. The toolkits of com-
petition enforcers and the general outlook of
regulators has been shaped by understandings
developed in the study of these markets.
However, understanding Internet competition,
where new product categories are created ev-
ery month, revenue models are complicated
(and in some cases, non-existent), multi-sided
business models are common and disruption
is the norm, proves to be a more complicated
task.
Presently, there are two major conceptual
themes in the robust discussion over competition
policy approaches to online platforms: whether
traditional competition enforcement is sufcient
to police Internet markets, or whether the par-
ticular characteristics of the Internet call for new
ex ante regulation. Also, within competition en-
forcement circles, there is discussion of how to
rene traditional economic tools to reect new
understandings of how markets, particularly on-
line platforms, operate.
Unsurprisingly, proponents of new sectorial reg-
ulation argue that competition enforcement is
not well tailored to these markets and that the
underlying characteristics of the Internet invari-
ably lead to global information monopolies,
which they have likened to public utilities, and
called on regulators and competition enforcers
to treat them as “essential facilities.” They tend
to place signicant weight on the role of net-
work effects in online markets, where the value
of the platform increases each time a new user
is added. When a network gets large enough,
it hits a tipping point at which point competition
against the market leader is futile and market
failure is endemic.
In this simplied view of Internet competition,
numerous, powerful monopolists are virtually
untouchable and therefore free to act in an
anticompetitive manner without the usual dis-
ciplinary threats posed by competition. As Tim
Wu, a U.S. competition enforcer and legal pro-
fessor noted in a Wall Street Journal editorial,
“it’s hard to avoid the conclusion that we are
living in an age of large information monopo-
5
lies.” As a result, those with this worldview often
call for an overhaul of competition law and spe-
cialized sectorial regulation. However, as sev-
eral authors in this book argue, this stylized view
of Internet competition is misleading and Inter-
net markets are incredibly competitive. Prob-
lematic market denitions, a lack of nuance in
the understanding of network externalities, the
failure to account for the interconnectedness of
markets connected via a multi-sided platform,
and an overemphasis on the competitive signi-
cance of data are some common mistakes that
contributors in this book highlight.
And, to be fair, policymakers and regulators are
not monolithic in their thinking. Some see no
need for new regulatory intervention, pointing
to the exibility of modern competition law to
ensure competitive online markets. As the bi-
partisan U.S. Antitrust Modernization Commis-
sion concluded, there is “no need to revise the
antitrust laws to apply different rules to industries
in which innovation, intellectual property, and
technological change are central features.”
Furthermore, the Commission expressed skep-
ticism about claims that antitrust enforcement
was not well suited to new sectors, saying legisla-
tors “should be skeptical of claims that econom-
ic regulation can achieve an important socie-
tal interest that competition cannot achieve.”
Similar thoughts were voiced by the head of
the UK’s Competition and Markets Authority,
Alex Chisholm, who with a co-author noted in
another CPI publication that the “signicant
risks associated with premature, broad-brush
ex-ante legislation or rulemaking point towards
a need to shift away from sector-specic regu-
lation to ex-post antitrust enforcement, which is
better adapted to the period we are in, with its
fast-changing technology and evolving market
reactions.”
This is not to say that traditional competition en-
forcement alone is enough. Robust competition
enforcement, divorced from an understanding
of the economic realities of the Internet, can do
more harm than good. Increasingly, legacy in-
dustries and displaced competitors have turned
to regulators as a means of hobbling more ef-
cient Internet-based competitors. And, given
that online platforms are often multi-sided mar-
kets that by denition involve multiple constitu-
encies that often share the costs and benets
of the platform asymmetrically, the temptation
is always present for constituencies on one side
to organize politically in an attempt to shift cost
burdens to different constituencies on the plat-
form. It is up to competition enforcers and regu-
lators to sort out when behavior is truly anticom-
petitive versus merely disruptive to established
companies. As the essence of competition law
is the protection of consumers, an emphasis
should be placed on identifying clear consumer
harm when a rm’s behavior is called into ques-
tion. Furthermore, as online platforms need to
balance the needs of multiple constituencies,
weighing the pros and cons of the behavior in
question and determining the net effect of that
behavior is crucial.
Compared to traditional markets, the Internet
has unleashed a boom of entrepreneurship and
competition, which is arguably unrivaled in his-
tory. When it comes to the Internet, enforcers
should consider employing what some have
called “regulatory humility” when faced with
conduct that is alleged to be anticompetitive
but that also has plausible benets for dynamic
competition or consumers, even if these bene-
ts cannot be quantied with specicity. Chilling
the incredible dynamism in these markets is the
last thing a competition enforcer wants to do.
6
ARTICLE
SUMMARIES
Understanding Online Platform Competition:
Common Misunderstandings
By Daniel O’Connor
The Internet is arguably the most powerful
force in the global economy. Similar to the
printing press, electricity and the steam en-
gine, the Internet has become, in the words
of the OECD, a “general purpose technology
enabler,” a once-in-a-generation technolo-
gy that reorganizes world economic activity
and spurs productivity. Although the positive
effects of this reorganization are apparent,
the rapid pace of innovation and the sub-
sequent restructuring of economic activity
have placed pressure on regulators to under-
stand this vital but rapidly changing new eco-
nomic sector.
Can Big Data Protect a Firm from Competi-
tion?
By Anja Lambrecht & Catherine E. Tucker
There is plenty of hype around big data, but
does it simply offer operational advantages,
or can it provide rms with sustainable com-
petitive advantage? To answer this question,
we look at big data using a classic framework
called the ‘resource-based view of the rm,’
which states that, for big data to provide
competitive advantage, it has to be inimi-
table, rare, valuable, and non-substitutable.
Our analysis suggests that big data is not in-
imitable or rare, that substitutes exist, and that
by itself big data is unlikely to be valuable.
There are many alternative sources of data
available to rms, reecting the extent to
which customers leave multiple digital foot-
prints on the internet.
The Move to Smart Mobile and its Implications
for Antitrust Analysis of Online Markets
By David S. Evans, Hermant K. Bhargava &
Deepa Mani
Online markets have changed as a result of
people shifting massively from using person-
al computers and browsers to using techno-
logically powerful mobile devices and apps.
These changes cover leading online players,
consumer behavior, and products. The use
of smartphones and mobile apps, and the
speed of change, vary between countries
and in particular between countries based
on their stage of development. Mobile app
use is lower in fast-growing countries, such
as India, than in developed ones, such as
the United States. However, as smart mobile
phones with mobile broadband connections
become ubiquitous among consumers in de-
veloping countries, mobile app use in these
countries is likely to leapfrog the use of per-
sonal computers and browsers.
Failed Analogies: Net Neutrality vs. “Search”
and “Platform” Neutrality
By Marvin Ammori
While many have lamented that the term
“network neutrality” is boring and unclear,
that concept has inspired millions around the
world to le comments with national regula-
tors,
and led those regulators to take action
in much of the Americas, Europe, and Asia.
Perhaps as a sign of net neutrality’s success
in public debate, some thinkers have started
borrowing the word “neutrality” for concepts
that are supposedly analogous to net neu-
trality, but really have very little in common
with it. The two best-known expressions are
“search neutrality” and “platform neutrality”
(which apparently also encompasses “app
store neutrality), all of which have prompted
discussion before regulators.
7
Antitrust Regulation and the Neutrality Trap:
A plea for a Smart, Evidence-Based Internet
Policy
By Andrea Renda
When they look at Internet policy, EU policy-
makers seem mesmerized, if not bewitched,
by the word ‘neutrality’. Originally conned
to the infrastructure layer, today the neutral-
ity rhetoric is being expanded to multi-sided
platforms such as search engines and more
generally online intermediaries. Policies for
search neutrality and platform neutrality are
invoked to pursue a variety of policy objec-
tives, encompassing competition, consumer
protection, privacy and media pluralism. This
paper analyses this emerging debate and
comes to a number of conclusions.
Multisided Platforms, Dynamic Competition,
and the Assessment of Market Power for In-
ternet-Based Firms
By David S. Evans
Market power on each side of a multisided
platform, whether in the form of increasing
prices or decreasing quality, is constrained by
the risk of losing sales on the other sides. That
tends to weaken market power on each side
and encourages platforms to keep prices low-
er and quality higher than they would absent
these feedback effects. In some cases the
nature of the business model, and competi-
tion, result in the platform allowing one type
of customers to participate in the platform for
free or even to subsidize their participation.
Non-price methods of attracting customers
are especially important in this case, partic-
ularly when the business model adopted by
the industry makes it difcult for platforms to
move from free participation.
The Double Duality of Two-Sided Markets
By Alfonso Lamadrid de Pablo
The increasing relevance of multi-sided mar-
kets
and business models in the economy has
over the past few years been mirrored in aca-
demic writings, mostly in economic literature,
and increasingly in competition law enforce-
ment. The intention of this brief intervention
is not to incorporate novel theories into the
discussion of multi-sided platforms nor to sum-
marize the main ndings of the literature that
is currently available. As an avid reader of ac-
ademic works on the subject, and although I
much appreciate their lessons, when I read
them I realize that the vast majority of papers
have been authored by economists, mostly
academics, and only in very rare cases by
lawyers in private practice.
Should Uber be Allowed to Compete in Eu-
rope? And if so, How?
By Damien Geradin (Juan M. Delgado &
Anna Tzanakis, ed.)
Uber’s arrival in Europe has generated mas-
sive demonstrations by taxi drivers and a num-
ber of court judgments banning or restricting
Uber’s services on the ground that the com-
pany engaged in “unfair competition”. Uber
and other online-enabled car transportation
services to connect passengers with drivers
offer an attractive alternative to regular taxi
services. The difculty is that these services
are protected by regulatory measures that
create signicant barriers to entry. Uber’s
business model presents many efciencies
and there is little doubt that it will prevail over
time. Regulatory authorities thus face two
options. One option is to resist the market en-
try of Uber and other similar companies. This
approach would deprive users of attractive
services and trigger many years of litigation.
The other option is to embrace technological
change and allow Uber to compete on a lev-
el playing eld with taxi companies.
8
Online Intermediation Platforms and Free
Trade Principles – Some Reections on the
Uber Preliminary Ruling Case
By Damien Geradin
Commercial Court No 3 of Barcelona sent a
request for a preliminary ruling to the CJEU
regarding the extent to which Uber, which
operated its uberPOP service in Spain without
an authorization from the Spanish authorities,
should be protected by EU law provisions
designed to ensure the free movement of
services in the European Union. The paper
demonstrates that uberPOP is not a “transport
service” falling under Title VI TFEU, but an “in-
formation society service” within the mean-
ing of the E-commerce Directive. Therefore,
uberPop benets from the protection against
undue trade restrictions provided by this di-
rective, as well as by Article 56 TFEU.
Competition Policy in Consumer Financial
Services: The Disparate Regulation of Online
Marketplace Lenders and Banks
By Thomas P. Brown and Molly E. Swartz
The tension between regulated entities and
new entrants is particularly acute in the con-
text of online marketplace lending. While
bank lenders enjoy regulatory privileges that
enable them to lend immediately to con-
sumers in all 50 states, non-bank lenders are
forced to engage in resource-intensive anal-
yses to satisfy state-specic compliance re-
quirements. As non-bank lenders expand ac-
cess to credit to those currently underserved
by banks—providing new underwriting meth-
odologies, real-time data transmission and
new nancing mechanisms—disparate reg-
ulation of banks and non-bank lenders ap-
pears problematic.
Platform Competition in Two-Sided Markets
By Jean-Charles Rochet & Jean Tirole
Many if not most markets with network exter-
nalities are two-sided. To succeed, platforms in
industries such as software, portals and media,
payment systems and the Internet, must “get
both sides of the market on board ”. Accord-
ingly, platforms devote much attention to their
business model, that is to how they court each
side while making money overall. The paper
builds a model of platform competition with
two-sided markets. It unveils the determinants
of price allocation and end- user surplus for
different governance structures (prot-maxi-
mizing platforms and not-for-prot joint under-
takings), and compares the outcomes with
those under an integrated monopolist and a
Ramsey planner.
Legal Boundaries of Competition in the Era
of the Internet: Challenges and Judicial Re-
sponses
By Zhu Li
Some new characteristics of competition in
the Internet industry, e.g., competition for at-
tention, innovation competition, cross-market
competition etc., have brought about new
challenges and difculties for the legal reg-
ulation of competition. In virtue of the theo-
retical innovation and the innovation of law
applicability, Chinese courts gave creative
judicial responses in the scopes of Anti-Unfair
Competition Law and Anti-Monopoly Law,
claried the legal boundaries of competition
and effectively regulated competition in the
online environment. Certain trends and rules
implicit in this kind of judicial responses are
worth noting.
9
Understanding
Online Platform
Competition:
Common
Misunderstandings
By: Daniel O’Connor
*
I. Introduction
The Internet is arguably the most powerful
force in the global economy. Similar to the print-
ing press, electricity and the steam engine, the
Internet has become, in the words of the OECD,
a “general purpose technology enabler,”
1
a
once-in-a-generation technology that reorga-
nizes world economic activity and spurs pro-
ductivity. Although the positive effects of this
reorganization are apparent, the rapid pace
of innovation and the subsequent restructuring
of economic activity have placed pressure on
regulators to understand this vital but rapidly
changing new economic sector.
Currently, there is a robust debate on how to
police a relatively new economic actor: the on-
line platform. While there is often a lack of clari-
ty involving exactly what is considered an online
platform, the term generally refers to any online
*
Daniel O’Connor is the Vice President of Public Policy at
the Computer & Communications Industry Association (CCIA), a tech-
nology trade association with a focus on global competition and Internet
policy. Views expressed in the paper are those of the author and should
not be attributed to any individual members of CCIA.
1 Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Develop-
ment, Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry Committee for
Information Computer and Communications Policy, Broadband for the
Economy, Ministerial Background Report, (2007) (“OECD Report”),
https://www.oecd.org/sti/ieconomy/40781696.pdf.
service that can function as an intermediary
between two or more clearly identied groups.
2
Examples include Amazon, eBay, Facebook,
Google and Uber. Both the number and size of
Internet platforms, many of which displace parts
of the brick-and-mortar economy, have grown
rapidly in recent years.
One area of debate involves questions about
how existing laws should be applied to regulate
the behavior of online platform operators. An-
other area of debate is more fundamental and
controversial. It questions the adequacy of ex-
isting bodies of law to deal with the challenges
presented by online platforms, and raises the
prospect of new ex ante regulation of online
platforms.
3
Proponents of new online regulations argue
that the fundamental characteristics of the In-
ternet invariably lead to global information mo-
nopolies,
4
which they have likened to public util-
ities, and called on regulators and competition
enforcers to treat them as “essential facilities.”
5
They tend to place signicant weight on the
role of network effects in online markets, where
the value of the platform increases each time a
new user is added. When a network gets large
enough, it hits a tipping point at which point
competition against the market leader is futile.
These networks effects are then compounded
by the extensive user data possessed by large
2 MarthaIvanovas,TowardsaDenitionofOnlinePlatforms
in the European Digital Single Market (2015), http://crninet.com/2015/
paper/A2a.pdf.
3 Alex Chisholm & Nelson Jung, Platform Regulation—
Ex-Ante versus Ex-Post intervention: evolving our antitrust tools and
practices to meet the challenges of a digital economy. Competition Pol-
icy Int’l. Vol. 11, No. 1, (Spring-Autumn 2015), 7-21 (“Chisholm &
Jung”).
4 Tim Wu, In the Grip of the New Monopolists, Wall St. J.
(Nov. 13, 2010), http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052748704
635704575604993311538482.
5 Jakob Kucharczyk, Essential vs Useful: Can Online Ser-
vices be ‘Essential’ or Are They Simply Very Useful?, Disruptive
Competition Project (June 16, 2015) (“Kucharczyk”), http://www.proj-
ect-disco.org/competition/030415-essential-vs-useful-can-online-ser-
vices-essential-simply-useful; see also French Senate Report (March
20, 2013), http://www.senat.fr/rap/r12-443/r12-4431.pdf.
10
online networks. Since Internet companies uti-
lize data to rene and improve their offerings,
having access to more data reinforces and ac-
celerates this unbreakable positive feedback
loop.
6
In this oversimplied view of Internet com-
petition, numerous, powerful monopolists are
virtually untouchable and therefore free to act
in an anticompetitive manner without the usual
disciplinary threats posed by competition. As a
result, these markets require a reworking of an-
titrust law and specialized sectoral regulation.
7
As Professor Tim Wu, formerly at the U.S. Fed-
eral Trade Commission (FTC) and now in the
New York Attorney General’s ofce, put it in an
oft-cited opinion piece in the Wall Street Jour-
nal, “it’s hard to avoid the conclusion that we
are living in an age of large information mo-
nopolies.”
8
An ofcial 2014 presentation by the
French government likewise argued that “com-
petition law is not efcient enough” to deal with
Internet platforms. As such, it recommended
both “new tools” for competition law, includ-
ing “interim precautionary measures” and the
implementation of a specic “legal regime ap-
plicable to such platforms” with no fewer than
ten different policy prongs.
9
As with the French,
6 See Atlantic Council, Building a Transatlantic Digital
Marketplace: Twenty Steps Toward 2020, (2016) at 22, http://www.
atlanticcouncil.org/images/publications/Building_a_Transatlantic_Dig-
ital_Marketplace_web_0406.pdf (“Some observers believe that online
platformservicesbenetfromself-perpetuatingnetworkeffects.Great-
er usage leads to better data and increased condence in the service,
which reinforces—by design—the propensity for future use. This can
lead to questions about whether data monopolies exist and—to the ex-
tent that they do—can lead to anticompetitive behavior.”)
7 See, e.g., Adam Thierer, Perils of Classifying Social Media
Platforms as Public Utilities, 7-19, available at http://mercatus.org/pub-
lication/perils-classifying-social-media-platforms-public-utilities.
8 See Wu, supra n. 4. A longer version of Professor Wu’s
opinion piece presented a less pessimistic view of Internet competi-
tion. See Mathew Ingram, Should We be Afraid of Apple, Google and
Facebook?, Gigaom (Nov. 25, 2010), https://gigaom.com/2010/11/25/
tim-wu-google-facebook/.
9 Direction Générale des Entreprises (DGE), French views
regarding digital platforms of structural importance for the economy
(April 2015); see also Sigmar Gabriel and Emmanuel Macron, Letter to
the German government has also called on
the European Commission to consider ex ante
regulation of online platforms.
10
Calls for plat-
form neutrality obligations,
11
platform regulatory
agencies,
12
and a complete overhaul of com-
petition enforcement emanate from this line of
thinking.
Other public bodies have not made such
bold pronouncements but are studying online
markets with an eye toward possible future
regulation. The European Commission, in its
sweeping reconsideration of Internet regula-
tion as part of its Digital Single Market initiative,
conducted a public consultation on online plat-
forms.
13
Brieng memos indicate it is considering
a range of options, including an array of new
laws that would govern the behavior of online
platforms, rework competition law, and expand
telecommunications regulation to encapsulate
online platforms.
14
Although the Commission is
European Commission Vice President Andrus Ansip (April 28, 2015),
http://www.economie.gouv.fr/les/les/PDF/28042015_-_Lettre_A._
ANSIP.PDF.
10 Jeevan Vasager et al., Europe’s Demands on Google Mount,
Fin. Times (Nov. 26 2014), http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/66b5149e-
758a-11e4-b082-00144feabdc0.html.
11 See Conseil National du Numérique, Platform Neutrality:
Building and open and sustainable digital environment, (May 2014),
http://www.cnnumerique.fr/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/PlatformNeu-
trality_VA.pdf (“Platform Neutrality Report”); see also Jake Levine, It’s
Time for Social Network Neutrality, Business Insider (July 18, 2011) ,
http://www.businessinsider.com/its-time-for-a-social-network-neutrali-
ty-2011-7 (discussing calls for calls for “Social Network Neutrality”).
12 See Frank A. Pasquale III & Oren Bracha, Federal Search
Commission? Access, Fairness and Accountability in the Law of Search,
Cornell Law Review, Sept. 2008; U of Tex. Law, Public Research Paper
No. 123; Seton Hall Public Law Research Paper No. 1002453; Greg
Sterling, France Trying To Force Disclosure Of Google Algorithm,
Wants To Regulate the SERP (Apr. 20, 2015), http://searchengineland.
com/france-trying-to-force-disclosure-of-google-algorithm-wants-to-
regulate-serp-219243 (discussing French bill to allow telecom regulator
to monitor and regulate the algorithms of search engines).
13 European Comm’n, A Digital Single Market Strate-
gy for Europe, http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PD-
F/?uri=CELEX:52015DC0192&from=EN.
14 Leo Mirani, These documents reveal the EU’s thoughts on
regulating Google, Facebook, and other platforms, Quartz (Apr. 23,
2015), http://qz.com/389905/these-documents-reveal-the-eus-thoughts-
on-regulating-google-facebook-and-other-platforms.
11
still considering how to proceed, it seems that
some of the more expansive ideas, such as a
new category of regulation for online platforms,
have been tempered.
15
Given the prominence
of the European Union among international reg-
ulators, it is not surprising that this conversation
on online platform regulation has spread to oth-
er parts of the world.
16
Other policymakers see no need for new
regulatory intervention, pointing to the exibility
of modern antitrust law to ensure competitive
online markets. As the bipartisan U.S. Antitrust
Modernization Commission concluded, there
is “no need to revise the antitrust laws to ap-
ply different rules to industries in which innova-
tion, intellectual property, and technological
change are central features.”
17
This is not to say,
as they noted, that new economic understand-
ings should not be incorporated when applying
time-tested competition law concepts. Work
certainly needs to be done there, but rening
the application of the law is different than scrap-
ping it or signicantly altering it. The Commission
also noted the relative merits of competition law
versus economic regulation:
Public policy should favor free-mar-
ket competition over industry-specic
regulation of prices, costs, and entry.
Such economic regulation should be
reserved for the relatively rare cases of
market failure, such as the existence of
natural monopoly characteristics in cer-
tain segments of an industry, or where
economic regulation can address an
important societal interest that compe-
tition cannot address. In general, Con-
15 Id.
16 See, e.g., Yuji Nakamura, Airbnb Faces Major Threat in
Japan, Its Fastest-Growing Market, Bloomberg (Feb. 18, 2016), http://
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-18/fastest-growing-airb-
nb-market-under-threat-as-japan-cracks-down;
17 See Report and Recommendations, Antitrust Modernization
Comm’n (Apr. 2007) at 9, available at http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/
amc/report_recommendation/amc_nal_report.pdf (“AMC Recom-
mendations”).
gress should be skeptical of claims that
economic regulation can achieve an
important societal interest that compe-
tition cannot achieve.
18
In this paper, I examine common mistakes
that policymakers, regulators, and competition
enforcers make when evaluating Internet com-
petition. Dening markets based on a static
view of competition, applying one-sided anal-
ysis to multi-sided markets, not recognizing the
limits of network effects, and an overempha-
sis on the role of big data are common pitfalls
that often lead observers to conclude that the
Internet is far less competitive than it actually
is. These mistakes lead to the misapplication of
competition law itself, and fuel the perception
that competition law is not sufcient and addi-
tional regulation is needed to police online plat-
forms.
II. Dynamic Markets Living in Static
Worldview
Competition in online markets, including for
online platforms, differs from that of tradition-
al brick-and-mortar markets in important ways
with implications for antitrust enforcement. De-
termining which rms compete against each
other can be more challenging because rms
with varied origins and different business mod-
els may nevertheless provide a similar service
to consumers. Market shares for online services
say little about durable market power: the last
decade is riddled with examples of regulators
or policymakers believing an online rm to be
entrenched, only to become competitively irrel-
evant a few years later. The next market leader
can not only come from a startup entrepreneur,
but also repositioning by existing online rms into
adjacent markets. The current wave of online
platforms has helped lower entry costs even fur-
ther for new entrants, sometimes even challeng-
ing the platforms on which they run.
18 AMC Recommendations at 22.
12
Online platforms differ from traditional mar-
kets in several respects. Product cycles are short,
borders between “markets” are blurry, barriers
to entry are low, and competition is often for the
market: new companies with better ideas can
quickly come to market and dethrone industry
leaders.
When one looks at the technological foun-
dations on which the Internet is built, these
economic phenomena make sense. First, the
Internet is an open network with a common se-
ries of communications protocols anyone can
utilize. TCP/IP, the Internet protocol suite, gives
entrepreneurs a toolset they can use to trans-
mit data to anyone connected to the Internet.
The creators consciously decided not to pat-
ent the technology to ensure that it was avail-
able to anybody to use.
19
This decision paved
the way for its rapid deployment and universal
popularity. Second, Internet connectivity is rap-
idly expanding and the hardware that powers
the Internet has been commoditized and is be-
coming cheaper, smaller and more powerful.
Whereas 35 million people were connected to
the Internet in 1995,
20
that number is nearly 3 bil-
lion today.
21
The Internet is no longer a tech-
nology available only to the afuent; it is rapid-
ly becoming a worldwide market. In 2014, for
example, India added 63 million Internet users
making it the third largest Internet market in the
world with 232 million users. It is expanding at
a 37 percent year-over-year rate.
22
Third, soft-
ware platforms and programming languages
that allow people to build new platforms, apps
and websites have evolved and proliferated.
Innovators have a better, and constantly ex-
19 Ryan Singel, Vint Cerf: We Knew What We Were Unleash-
ing on the World, Wired Business (Apr. 23, 2012), http://www.wired.
com/2012/04/epicenter-isoc-famers-qa-cerf.
20 Mary Meeker, Internet Trends 2015 Code Conference,
KleinerPerkinsCaueldByers(May27,2015)at4(“MeekerReport”).
21 Victor Luckerson, Internet Users Surge to Almost 3 Billion
Worldwide, TIME (Nov. 25, 2014), http://time.com/3604911/3-bil-
lion-internet-users.
22 Meeker Report, supra n. 20, at 166.
panding, toolkit to build with. Combine these
“turbochargers,” as David Evans and Richard
Schmalensee refer to them,
23
and you have the
ingredients for a supercharged market.
A. Blurred Market Borders: Focus on Who
Companies Compete with, Not How They
Do It
Because of these dynamics, it is perhaps not
surprising that competition agencies and other
regulators have struggled to dene online mar-
kets accurately. Lines between markets are of-
ten drawn based on how companies compete,
rather than on whom customers could turn to
for alternatives. For example, a person need-
ing transportation from Washington, DC to New
York can drive, y, take a train or bus, or use an
online carpooling app. Consumers decide by
evaluating the price, quality and speed of those
offerings and will substitute between these op-
tions accordingly. A ridesharing app’s closest
competitor in this context may be a bus, train, or
airplane—none of which looks or operates any-
thing like a ridesharing app. In fact, in France,
the national state-owned railroad provider,
SNCF, sees the online carpooling platform Blab-
lacar as its main competitor.
24
The FTC appears to have made precise-
ly this error in its Google “search bias” inves-
tigation, which it closed in 2013. In its closing
statement, the Commission suggested that it
considered “general purpose search” as the
relevant market.
25
This neglected to consid-
23 David S. Evans & Richard Schmalensee, Matchmakers: The
New Economics of Multisided Platforms 40-45 (2016) (“Matchmak-
ers”).
24 Matt Cowan, Blablacar Has Turned Ride-Sharing Into a
Multi-Million-Euro Business, Wired UK (Apr. 15, 2014), http://www.
wired.co.uk/magazine/archive/2015/05/features/blablacar/viewall.
Airbnb is also an online platform with a sharing economy business
model. It allows people to quickly and easily rent out short-term space
in their own houses and apartments. It completes principally against
hotels.
25 Fed. Trade Comm’n, Statement of the Federal Trade Com-
mission Regarding Google’s Search Practices, File No. 111-0163 (Jan.
13
er that online search engines are just one way
for consumers to get answers and nd informa-
tion.
26
A consumer can, for example, search for
Italian restaurants in New York City on Google
or Bing, or can use apps like Yelp, TripAdvisor or
Foursquare. The German Federal Cartel Ofce
appears to be repeating this mistake in investi-
gating Facebook for abuse of dominance in an
alleged “market for social networks.”
27
Consum-
ers can turn to a wide array of substitute services
such as blogs and microblogs, professional net-
works, online forums, photo and video sharing
services, news aggregators, messaging services,
product review sites, social gaming apps, and
virtual worlds.
28
B. Ephemeral Success: Static Analysis Miss-
es Internet Dynamism
Even in a properly dened relevant market,
market shares may tell us little about durable
market power in online markets. The same un-
derlying fundamentals that allow innovative
new rms to grow their user base quickly also
empower rapid movement away from a wide-
ly-used incumbent when a better alternative
comes along. Yahoo! was the unquestioned
market leader in search before Google came
along with a better idea for ranking websites,
analyzing hyperlink relationships instead of tex-
tual web search.
29
Facebook overtook both
3, 2013), https://www.ftc.gov/system/les/documents/public_state-
ments/295971/130103googlesearchstmtofcomm.pdf. The Commission
didnotformallydenearelevantmarketordeterminemarketshares,
but the statement noted that “[g]eneral purpose search engines are dis-
tinct from ‘vertical’ search engines.” Id.
26 Daniel O’Connor, The Fast Evolving Market for ‘Answers’,
Disruptive Competition Project (June 8, 2012), http://www.project-dis-
co.org/competition/the-fast-evolving-market-for-answers/.
27 GermanFed.CartelOfce(Bundeskartellamt),Bundeskar-
tellamt initiates proceeding against Facebook on suspicion of having
abused its marker power by infringing data protection rules, (Feb. 3,
2016), http://www.bundeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Meldung/EN/
Pressemitteilungen/2016/02_03_2016_Facebook.html?nn=3591568.
28 European UnionLaw, Denitionof relevantmarket, (last
updated Apr. 20, 2011), http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TX-
T/?uri=URISERV%3Al26073.
29 Tom Hormby, The Rise of Google: Beating Yahoo at Its Own
Friendster and Myspace because it organized
social networking in a way that provided bet-
ter value to users.
30
At the time, many believed
that Yahoo!
31
and Myspace
32
were unbeatable.
Competition regulators have at times over-
estimated the ability of online rms to maintain
their leading positions. As Adam Thierer has
noted, the temptation to xate on the current
“market” structure is all too commonplace and
“reects the short-term, static snapshot think-
ing we all too often see at work in debates over
media and technology policy. That is, many cy-
ber-worrywarts are prone to taking snapshots of
market activity and suggesting that temporary
patterns are permanent disasters requiring im-
mediate correction.”
33
In 2002, competition enforcers in the United
States worried about the market power a com-
bined AOL-Time Warner would have, including
AOL’s “dominant” instant messaging platform.
In fact, they were so worried that they imposed
conditions on instant messaging as part of the
merger approval. One FCC Commissioner not-
ed:
AOL’s dominant instant messaging
platform should be interoperable. In-
stant messaging is far more than a nar-
rowband text messaging service; it’s an
Game, Low End Mac (Aug. 15, 2013), http://lowendmac.com/2013/the-
rise-of-google-beating-yahoo-at-its-own-game.
30 Matchmakers, supra n. 23, at 145-48.
31 Tair-Rong Sheu & Kathleen Carley, Monopoly Power on
the Web -- A Preliminary Investigation of Search Engines (Oct. 27,
2001), available at http://arxiv.org/pdf/cs/0109054.pdf (“If there were
to be only a few search engine sites, who are they likely to be? This
analysis suggests that Yahoo would be a contender. It ranks high on
all indicators and it is an old site, offering a variety of services, with a
powerful network position and high audience reach.”).
32 Victor Keegan, Will Myspace Ever Lose its Monopoly?,
The Guardian (Feb. 8, 2007), available at http://www.theguardian.com/
technology/2007/feb/08/business.comment.
33 Adam Thierer, Twitter, the Monopolist? Is this Tim Wu’s
“Threat Regime” In Action?, The Technology Liberation Front (July 1,
2011), https://techliberation.com/2011/07/01/twitter-the-monopolist-is-
this-tim-wus-threat-regime-in-action.
14
essential platform for the development
of future high-speed Internet-based ser-
vices that rely on real-time delivery and
interaction.
34
Despite these predictions, AOL Instant Mes-
senger quickly faded into obscurity, replaced
by mobile messaging apps like WhatsApp, Viber
and WeChat. The merged mega-company did
not have durable market power in the Internet
communications space as predicted.
35
C. Repositioning: Competition from Estab-
lished Players
New competition frequently emerges not
only from unknown Internet startups with a bet-
ter idea, but also from established Internet com-
panies repositioning into new lines of business.
The same dynamics that make it easy for a start-
up to enter also mean that a successful Internet
company with skilled engineers, data centers,
cash reserves, and a good idea on how to do
something better can use its advantages to en-
ter new markets and inject new competition.
Amazon is a perfect example. Amazon be-
gan as an e-retailer. Fifteen years ago, few peo-
ple thought that Amazon would be competing
directly against Microsoft and Google. But the
expertise that Amazon acquired running the
world’s largest e-commerce website and the
enormous, exible infrastructure that powered it
gave Amazon the knowledge and skill to cre-
ate a cloud platform that it could offer to others
to power their own websites. As Amazon’s CFO
said in a 2006 earnings call:
34 Evan Hansen, AOL, Time Warner complete merger with
FCC blessing, CNET, (Jan. 11, 2002), http://www.cnet.com/news/aol-
time-warner-complete-merger-with-fcc-blessing.
35 In addition, the AOL-Time Warner combination was seen
as one of the worst mergers in recent history. See Tim Arango, How the
AOL-Time Warner Merger Went So Wrong, N.Y. Times (Jan. 10, 2010),
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/11/business/media/11merger.html.
The reason we’re doing the web ser-
vices that we are doing is because they
are things that we’ve gotten good at
over the last 11 years in terms of build-
ing out this web scale application called
Amazon.com. So as we go about ex-
posing the guts of Amazon, there are
other developers out there who require
those same sorts of web scale services.
So these are assets and skills that we
needed to build for ourselves anyway.
What we're doing here is exposing those
and, over time, build that into a mean-
ingful business.
36
What started off as a side project that some
market analysts dismissed as a “distraction”
37
quickly led to Amazon becoming the world’s
largest provider of cloud services, generating
nearly $8 billion in revenue in 2014.
38
Two of Am-
azon’s closest competitors in cloud hosting to-
day are Microsoft and Google, neither of which
began as cloud infrastructure companies ei-
ther.
39
Now, all three (and many others) ercely
compete for each other’s customers.
40
Ama-
36 Amazon.com Q3 2006 Earnings Call Transcript, (Oct.
24, 2006), available at http://seekingalpha.com/article/19142-ama-
zon-com-q3-2006-earnings-call-transcript?part=single.
37 Jeff Bezos’ Risky Bet, Bloomberg Businessweek Cov-
er Story (Nov. 13, 2006), http://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti-
cles/2006-11-12/jeff-bezos-risky-bet.
38 RobertHof,TenYearsLater,AmazonWebServicesDees
Skeptics, Forbes, (Mar. 22, 2016), http://www.forbes.com/sites/rober-
thof/2016/03/22/ten-years-later-amazon-web-services-defies-skep-
tics/#4fc19d7b4dcf. Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the fastest grow-
ing part of Amazon’s revenue stream. Despite only constituting seven
percent of Amazon’s revenue, AWS accounts for a third of Amazon’s
totalprots.
39 Eric Knorr, 2016: The year we see the real cloud leaders
emerge, InfoWorld (Jan. 4, 2016), http://www.infoworld.com/arti-
cle/3018046/cloud-computing/2016-the-year-we-see-the-real-cloud-
leaders-emerge.html.
40 Ari Levy, Can Google catch Amazon and Microsoft in
cloud?, CNBC (Mar. 23, 2016), http://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/23/goo-
gle-aims-to-catch-amazon-microsoft-in-cloud.html; Marco della Cava,
Cloud warriors led by Amazon, Microsoft battle for $300B in spoils,
USA TODAY, (Mar. 25, 2016), http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/
news/2016/03/25/cloud-warriors-battle-2019s-300b-spoils/82134082.
15
zon’s disruptive march is not over. It is using its
knowledge and data from running the world’s
largest online store to offer an advertising plat-
form that is competing with Google, Facebook
and Yahoo!.
41
The Amazon example is far from unique. The
Internet allows companies to quickly reposition
assets and compete in new arenas, particular-
ly if their current business operations give them
unique insights into new lines of business. Apple
and Google were once so non-threatening to
each other that Google’s CEO, Eric Schmidt, sat
on Apple’s board. Now, they are direct com-
petitors in mobile platforms. Facebook, once
seen as a desktop-focused social network, is
now a leader in mobile advertising and mes-
saging, has developed search technology, and
is even challenging YouTube in video sharing.
42
It is also exploring ways to capitalize on its user
base in e-commerce.
43
However, these efforts do not always work,
as Google’s failed attempt to get a foothold in
social networking through Google+ (and Orkut
and Google Buzz before that)
44
and Amazon’s
unsuccessful foray into the mobile phone mar-
ket with its Fire Phone
45
demonstrate. Big com-
panies without a better idea or solid execution
41 Kelly Liyakasa, Behind Amazon’s Pitch To Advertisers,
AdExchanger, (Oct. 7, 2013), http://adexchanger.com/ecommerce-2/
behind-amazons-pitch-to-advertisers.
42 Julia Greenberg, We Thought Mobile Ads Were Doomed,
Now It’s a $32B Business, Wired Business (Aug. 14, 2015), http://
www.wired.com/2015/08/thought-mobile-ads-doomed-now-32b-busi-
ness. Lara O’Reilly, Facebook Video Is Driving YouTube Off Facebook,
Business Insider (Dec. 9, 2014), http://www.businessinsider.com/face-
book-video-v-youtube-market-share-data-2014-12.
43 Ryan Mac, Facebook Goes All In On E-Commerce By
Bringing Businesses Into Messenger, Forbes,(Mar. 25, 2015), http://
www.forbes.com/sites/ryanmac/2015/03/25/facebook-goes-all-in-on-e-
commerce-by-bringing-businesses-onto-messenger/#5dbb7d0d4747.
44 Garett Sloane, A Look Back at Google’s History of Social
Media Failures, AdWeek (July 1, 2014), http://www.adweek.com/news/
technology/look-back-googles-history-social-media-failures-158700.
45 J.P. Mangalindan, Why Amazon’s Fire phone failed, FOR-
TUNE (Sept. 29, 2014), http://fortune.com/2014/09/29/why-amazons-
re-phone-failed.
can still fail, even as startups succeed in the
same space (compare Pinterest’s success
46
to
Google+’s failure). This applies to new markets
too, as Uber was able to pioneer a ride-sharing
app several years after Google failed in a simi-
lar venture.
47
In 2004, eBay acquired the largest
Chinese online auction company and was the
unquestioned online auction leader in China,
but Taobao gave users a more useful e-com-
merce exchange and eBay shut down Chinese
operations in 2006.
48
D. New Tools: Platforms Build on Other
Platforms
The frequency of new online entry and re-
positioning owes much to the ever-declining
cost and difculty of developing and marketing
a new online service. Instead of the Internet
drifting towards a world where Internet giants
cement their market positions, each success-
ful wave of Internet platform development has
given would-be entrepreneurs new tools. Now,
Internet companies can build on top of an in-
creasing array of other platforms providing
global reach. Maria Aspan, Senior Editor at Inc.
Magazine, discussed this phenomenon:
Websites, billing, payment process-
ing, cloud computing, communications,
funding—all have been made simpler
by the likes of Squarespace, Slack,
Kickstarter, Dropbox, Amazon’s ubiqui-
tous Web services division, and PayP-
al…. In the past 10 years, these building
blocks have greatly reduced the time—
46 Katie Roof, Matthew Lynley, Leaked Pinterest Documents
Show Revenue, Growth Forecasts, TechCrunch (Oct. 16, 2015), http://
techcrunch.com/2015/10/16/leaked-pinterest-documents-show-reve-
nue-growth-forecasts/.
47 Drew Olanoff, Remember When Google Tried to Start
Uber In May 2005?, TechCrunch (Nov. 4, 2015), http://techcrunch.
com/2015/11/04/remember-when-google-tried-to-start-uber-in-
may-2005.
48 Hanna Halaburda & Felix Oberholzer-Gee, The Limits of
Scale, Harvard Bus. Rev. (April 2014) (“Limits of Scale”).
16
and cost—involved to start a business,
especially high-tech ones. Thanks to ‘the
emergence of the internet, open-source
software, cloud computing, and other
trends,’ some experts estimate tech-re-
liant ideas ‘that would have cost $5
million to set up a decade ago can be
done for under $50,000 today,’ accord-
ing to a 2014 paper from the National
Bureau of Economic Research.
49
Netix, for example, uses Amazon Web Ser-
vices (AWS) as its cloud infrastructure.
50
It also
uses Hadoop’s open source data platform to
handle its highly complex data crunching op-
eration.
51
Shopify, a fast growing Canadian
e-commerce company listed on the New York
Stock Exchange, has made integration with oth-
er web platforms a key to its growth strategy.
Instead of designing all the functionality its cus-
tomers need, it fosters its own app developer
platform to encourage others to make its offer-
ing more useful to Shopify customers.
52
By both
integrating with other online platforms, such as
cloud hosting providers, CRM platforms, and on-
line payment processers, and encouraging app
developers to build more functionality for Shopi-
fy users, Shopify has harnessed the robust online
platform ecosystem to build a better product
more quickly than it could have a decade ago.
Furthermore, Shopify has grown quickly despite
competing with e-commerce leader Amazon.
In fact, Amazon’s own platform for small and
medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), Amazon Web-
store, is shutting down
53
on account of losing the
49 Maria Aspan, Inside the $5 Billion Company That Will
Launch Your Business, Inc., http://www.inc.com/magazine/201604/
maria-aspan/stripe-online-payments-patrick-john-collison.html.
50 EvaTse,NetixCaseStudy,https://aws.amazon.com/solu-
tions/case-studies/netix/.
51 Sriram Krishnan & Eva Tse, Hadoop Platform as a Service
intheCloud,TheNextixTechBlog(Jan.10,2013),http://techblog.
netix.com/2013/01/hadoop-platform-as-service-in-cloud.html.
52 See Shopify Developers, https://developers.shopify.com/.
53 Amy Gesenhues, Amazon To Close Its E-Commerce Plat-
form Website in 2016, Marketing Land (Mar. 19, 2015) http://mar-
ketingland.com/amazon-to-close-its-e-commerce-platform-webstore-
in-2016-122170
competitive battle with Shopify and other SME
e-commerce platforms.
54
Uber is another example of a successful com-
pany enabled by other platforms. When Uber
started, it used Amazon’s AWS
55
and Google
Maps
56
to power its product. Needless to say, if
Uber had to painstakingly assemble its own com-
prehensive mapping infrastructure and build its
own data centers, it is highly unlikely Uber would
have achieved viability quickly enough to be-
come the $62 billion company that it is today.
57
And in another twist that illustrates the dynamism
of online markets, not only did Uber later begin
acquiring mapping companies
58
and rolling out
its own eet of mapping vehicles (purchased
from Microsoft)
59
to develop its own mapping
solution to rival Google’s and Apple’s, but Uber
and Google are set to become erce compet-
itors in the self-driving car, ride-hailing market of
the future.
60
In sum, successful online rms are anything
54 Rich Duprey, How Did Shopify and Bigcommerce Beat
Amazon At Its Own Game?, The Motley Fool (Mar. 25, 2015), http://
www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/03/25/how-did-shopify-and-
bigcommerce-beat-amazon-at-its.aspx.
55 Although Uber is now migrating off of Amazon’s cloud,
it used Amazon’s Cloud during its initial phase of operations. See
Cade Metz, Why Some StartUps Say The Cloud Is A Waste of Mon-
ey, Wired Business (Aug. 15, 2013) http://www.wired.com/2013/08/
memsql-and-amazon.
56 JillianD’Onfro,AninuentialGoogleMapsexecjustgot
poached to build products at Uber, Business Insider (June 16, 2015),
http://www.businessinsider.com/google-exec-brian-mcclendon-goes-
to-uber-to-work-on-mapping-technology-2015-6.
57 Eric Newcomer, Uber Raises Funding at $62.5 Billion Valu-
ation, Bloomberg Technology (Dec. 3,. 2015, 1;21 PM, updated Dec. 3,
2015), http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-03/uber-rais-
es-funding-at-62-5-valuation.
58 Joel Zand, Why Uber is buying map companies, The Nex-
tWeb (2015), http://thenextweb.com/insider/2015/07/15/why-uber-is-
buying-map-companies/#gref.
59 Edgar Alvarez, Uber starts rolling out its own mapping cars,
Engadget (Oct. 19, 2015), http://www.engadget.com/2015/10/19/uber-
maps-car.
60 Andrew J. Hawkins, Google vs Uber and the race to
self-driving taxis, The Verge (Dec. 16, 2015), http://www.theverge.
com/2015/12/16/10309960/google-vs-uber-competition-self-driving-
cars.
17
but insulated from competition. New rivals can
emerge from unexpected places—including
startups, rms in complementary verticals, and
even former partners—and new entrants can
quickly gain access to hundreds of millions of po-
tential customers without having to set up phys-
ical stores, build large manufacturing plants, or
establish complex global supply chains.
III. New Thinking on Multi-sided
Platforms
Around the time the number of worldwide
Internet users passed 600 million, two French
economists made an important breakthrough.
After studying telecommunications networks,
credit cards and operating systems, Jean Tirole
and Jean-Charles Rochet began to see key sim-
ilarities in what they once viewed as very differ-
ent markets.
61
Instead of being traditional mar-
kets subject to a standard supply and demand
function, many markets actually involved plat-
forms that brought together different groups of
interdependent customers. Pricing and rules on
one side of the platform affected the demand
on other sides of the platform.
62
Other econo-
mists, recognizing that traditional economics
did not explain platform markets, quickly built
upon Tirole and Rochet’s work. As Evans and
Schmalensee note:
The old formulas—including the ones
we have taught generations of under-
graduates in Econ 1—do not give the
right answers for multi-sided platforms.
61 Platform Economics even has a Nobel Prize as Jean Tirole
received the honor largely on account of his work on the economics of
platforms. See Matthew Yglesias, One paper by Nobel Prize winner
Jean Tirole that every internet user should know, Vox Technology (Oct.
13, 2014), http://www.vox.com/2014/10/13/6968423/jean-tirole-plat-
form-competition.
62 Take OpenTable as an example. OpenTable, an Internet
platform that facilitates restaurant reservations, needed to get restau-
rants to participate in order to attract users, but the platform also needed
users to get restaurants to participate. OpenTable solved this problem
by subsidizing users (free use and rewards) and providing participating
restaurants with table management software. Matchmakers, supra n.
23, at 13-14.
The math is simply wrong. Traditional
economics holds, for example, that it’s
never protable to sell products at less
than cost. The new multi-sided eco-
nomics shows that even paying some
customers rather than charging them
anything can be protable in theory.
63
This realization has important implications for
competition enforcers and regulators. Business
decisions that could traditionally be viewed as
anticompetitive and predatory—such as below
cost pricing and rules that limit user exibility—
could in fact be welfare-enhancing behavior in
a competitive environment. As a result, looking
at prices on only one side of the market can
lead regulators astray and indicate competi-
tion problems when there are none. Economist
Julian Wright notes that, far from representing
predatory pricing, below-cost pricing is often
used to attract users that provide the greatest
benet to other users of the platform.
64
Evans
and Schmalensee also note that, for the same
reasons, pricing above marginal cost on one
side of the platform is not indicative of market
power, thus examining pricing on just that side
of the market alone “would result in a false pos-
itive test result for market power.”
65
Problems
with one-sided analysis can extend beyond just
the platform’s price structure. As discussed in
Part IV, a platform’s restrictive terms for one side
of the market can often be explained not as an
abusive practice but instead by the need to at-
tract participants or maintain the platform’s val-
ue on the other sides of the platform.
Multisided platform analysis has become
63 Id. at 15.
64 Julian Wright, One-Sided Logic in Two-Sided Markets
(Sept. 2003) at 5, available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.
cfm?abstract_id=459362(“Wright”). Wrightidentiedeight assump-
tions from traditional economics that are problematic when applied to
multi-sided platforms.
65 David S. Evans & Richard Schmalensee, The Antitrust
Analysis of Multi-sided Platform Businesses at 20 (Feb. 2013), http://
www.nber.org/papers/w18783.pdf.
18
“well within the economic mainstream”
66
with
“no serious controversy among economists on
the topic.”
67
Yet, competition law and regulato-
ry policy still have not incorporated fundamen-
tal insights from this line of work.
68
Recent reg-
ulatory investigations and intervention in credit
and debit card platforms, for example, were
based on “conventional wisdom rather than the
logic of two-sided markets.”
69
Others have raised concerns about over-en-
forcement and the resulting harm to consumers
due to a failure to understand multi-sided mar-
ket dynamics. After examining both regulatory
guidelines and recent competition cases, Alfon-
so Lamadrid observes that the “lack of reliable
measures to quantify the [positive cross-network
externalities]” has led courts to overemphasize
the negatives of supposed anticompetitive be-
havior in platform markets and discount the pos-
itive effects of the behavior on the entire system.
As a result, the practices of multi-sided platforms
that tend to be targeted are “precisely the same
ones [that] may yield benets for consumers.”
70
And, given that multi-sided markets by denition
involve multiple constituencies that often share
the costs and benets of the platform asymmetri-
cally, the temptation is always present for constit-
uencies on one side to organize politically in an
attempt to shift cost burdens to different constit-
uencies on the platform.
71
The growth of the Internet and its many
66 David S. Evans, The Consensus Among Economists on
Multisided Platforms and its Implications for Excluding Evidence that
Ignores It at 3 (Apr. 13, 2013), https://www.competitionpolicyinterna-
tional.com/assets/Uploads/EvansJune-3.pdf.
67 Id.
68 See generally Alfonso Lamadrid de Pablo, The double
duality of two-sided markets (“Lamadrid”), available at https://anti-
trustlair.les.wordpress.com/2015/05/the-double-duality-of-two-sid-
ed-markets_clj_lamadrid.pdf. To be sure, some efforts have been made
to incorporate two-sided market analysis in international competition
enforcement, such as the 2009 OECD roundtable on two-sided mar-
kets, but even that discussion illustrated signicant differences and
confusion on how to proceed. OECD Policy Roundtables, Two-Sided
Markets (2009) at 11-15, available at https://www.oecd.org/daf/compe-
tition/44445730.pdf (“OECD Two-Sided Markets”).
69 Wright, supra n. 64, at 1.
70 Lamadrid, supra n. 68, at 8.
71 OECD Two-Sided Markets, supra n. 68 at 226.
multi-sided platforms make incorporation of
two-sided market analysis into competition pol-
icy increasingly important. If not, competition
enforcement and regulation will increasingly
penalize behavior that is benecial, ultimate-
ly leading to consumer harm.
72
Although pos-
itive externalities and cross-group benets can
sometimes be difcult to quantify using tradi-
tional economic tools, this should not serve as
an excuse to ignore what is now accepted eco-
nomic doctrine.
IV: Networks Effects, Nuance,
and Rules
Historically, economists and competition agen-
cies viewed network effects as a signicant
barrier to entry and protective of strong mar-
ket positions. More modern economic thought
has recognized the various limits of network ef-
fects and negative consequences of platform
growth. There is also increasing recognition that
a successful platform must balance the inter-
ests of the various platform adopters, which
may involve imposing restrictions on platform
participants to minimize negative externalities.
Companies such as Friendster and Myspace
that failed to set and enforce rules to maximize
the value of their platform to all users failed de-
spite early rapid growth, while companies such
as Google (with respect to Android), Facebook,
Yelp, and Uber that enforced rules to maintain
the value of their networks continue to succeed
and grow. Regulatory efforts that would pre-
vent platform managers from setting and en-
forcing restrictions on platform participants risk
the competitive viability of these platforms.
Early economic literature, often discussing
the telephone network, focused on the positive
72 Take Interchange fees for credit card platforms as an exam-
ple. Australia’s decision to limit interchange fees charged to merchants
resulted in higher fees for banks and card holders on the other sides of
the platform and relatively modest cost savings for merchants. See
Howard Change, David S. Evans & Daniel D. Garcia Swartz, The Effect
of Regulatory Intervention in Two-Sided Markets: An Assessment of
InterChange-Fee Capping In Australia, LECG, LLC (Sept. 26, 2005),
http://www.marketplatforms.com/wp-content/uploads/Downloads/
The-Effect-of-Regulatory-Intervention-in-Two-Sided-Markets-An-As-
sessment-of-Interchange-Fee-Capping-in-Australia.pdf.
19
externalities conferred by adding new users (or
“nodes”) on a network.
73
This literature exam-
ined direct network effects, which, in the case
of a telephone network, is the idea that every
telephone user gets a direct benet from ad-
ditional telephone users. The widespread view
was that once a telephone network achieved
scale, it made little sense to build a competing
telephone network, and, as a result, the tele-
phone network operator would have signicant
market power. This understanding of network
externalities permeated competition law and
regulatory economics for many years. Markets
with high upfront costs, signicant economies of
scale and network effects lend themselves to
ex ante regulation, as disciplinary competition is
thought to be unrealistic. Furthermore, competi-
tion enforcers tend to view the presence of net-
work effects as an indication of market power:
74
Indeed, most attention paid to net-
work effects by antitrust enforcers and
scholars—later consolidated in prec-
edents and guidelines—eminently re-
lates to their characteristic as a barrier
to entry. As a result, network effects
have proved to be, in practice, a most
effective basis for legal arguments chal-
lenging allegedly anti-competitive con-
duct.
75
Modern economic literature on network ef-
fects has added several new wrinkles to this
analysis, with network effects scholarship par-
alleling the advances in the understanding of
multi-sided platforms. As Tirole and Rochet not-
ed, network effects are a common component
73 See, e.g., Jeffrey Rohlf, A Theory of Interdependent De-
mand for a Communication’s Service, Bell Labs. (1974), http://www.
stern.nyu.edu/networks/phdcourse/Rohlfs_A_theory_of_interdepen-
dent_demand.pdf.
74 European Comm’n, Guidance on the Commission's en-
forcement priorities in applying Article 82 of the EC Treaty to abusive
exclusionary conduct by dominant undertakings, ¶¶ 17, 20, http://eur-
lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:52009X-
C0224(01)&from=EN.
75 Lamadrid, supra n. 68, at 9.
of multi-sided markets.
76
More recent economic
literature has also examined both direct and in-
direct network effects. Matthew Clements dis-
cussed the difference between the two types of
network effects:
A telephone becomes more valuable
to an individual as the total number of
telephone users increases. This is a direct
network effect. A DVD player becomes
more valuable as the variety of avail-
able DVDs increases, and this variety
increases as the total number of DVD us-
ers increases. This is an indirect network
effect. Network effects have generally
been modeled in a direct sense—indi-
vidual utility increases with the total num-
ber of users—even when the effect is
thought to operate in an indirect sense,
through a complementary good.
77
Online platforms often exhibit both direct and
indirect network effects. Xbox users benet from
the existence of additional Xbox users because
of the ability to play against additional people
online—a direct network effect. The Xbox plat-
form also exhibits indirect network effects: more
Xbox users attract more video game develop-
ers and accessory makers to the platform.
A. The Perils of Growth: Multi-directional
Network Externalities
Economists have recognized that the exis-
tence of network effects does not necessarily
ensure the success of the rst mover. Networks
can have negative externalities as much as
they have positive externalities. Network ef-
fects may not be uniform (or even in the same
76 Jean-Charles Rochet & Jean Tirole, Platform Competition
in Two-Sided Markets, 1 J. Eur. Econ. Ass’n, 990 (2003
(“[M]any if not most markets with network externalities are character-
izedbythepresenceoftwodistinctsideswhoseultimatebenetstems
from interacting through a common platform.”).
77 Matthew T. Clements, Direct and Indirect Network Effects:
Are They Equivalent? (Jan. 30, 2014) at 2, available at http://sites.sted-
wards.edu/mattclements/les/2011/08/indirect.pdf.
20
direction) for different groups utilizing the same
platform. For a search engine, more users make
the network more attractive for advertisers, but
more advertisers (or more users) have little to no
effect on user demand.
78
In other multi-sided
platforms, like newspapers, the effect can be
negative. More readers create more value to
advertisers, but more advertising actually dimin-
ishes the value of the platform to readers.
79
For
social networks, more people mean more po-
tential connections, which is positive, but also
network congestion, increased search costs,
and more users trying to use the platform for
disruptive or illegal activities. In these instances,
growth can invite competition, not foreclose it.
80
Several other aspects of Internet services
counter the effects of positive network exter-
nalities. Use of online platforms is inexpensive
or free, which prevents consumer “lock in.” Fur-
thermore, consumers can participate in sever-
al online networks at once, a practice called
“multi-homing.”
81
For example, many Facebook
users also use Twitter, Instagram, LinkedIn or You-
Tube. Online dating platform users frequently
keep proles on multiple services. Given low
switching costs and user multi-homing, the pres-
ence of network effects do not represent a sig-
nicant barrier to competition in many cases.
As networks grow, incentives for different
groups on a multi-sided platform can diverge.
Negative externalities, such as congestion, in-
creased search costs, and platform fragmenta-
tion, proliferate and can lead to the demise of
78 Giacomo Luchetta, Is Google Platform a Two-Sided Mar-
ket?(Apr. 30, 2012), http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_
id=2048683.id=2048683.
79 E. Glen Weyl, A Price Theory of Multi-sided Platforms,
Am. Econ. Rev., Vol. 100, Issue 4 (2010).
80 Andrew Hagiu & Simon Rothman, Network Effects Aren’t
Enough, Harvard Bus. Rev. (Apr. 2014), https://hbr.org/2016/04/net-
work-effects-arent-enough.
81 Rochet & Tirole, supra n. 76, at 992.
a company or product.
82
As Hanna Halaburda
and Felix Oberholzer-Gee found, operators of
expanding platforms frequently neglect “to take
into account differences among [their] custom-
ers,” which often leads to the quick collapse of
a platform.
83
Operating a successful multi-sided
market requires platform operators to capture
as many positive externalities as possible while
mitigating the negative effects of growth.
B. Balancing Incentives: Guarding Against
Fragmentation
Android, Google’s open source mobile oper-
ating system, is a case study in managing this
dynamic. Android was initially very attractive to
phone handset manufacturers who either had
to develop their own mobile operating systems
(something that is expensive, difcult, and not
necessarily a competitive strength of hardware
companies), or license expensive proprietary
operating systems from other companies. In
addition, hardware manufacturers would not
need to cultivate their own networks of app
developers. Instead, the Android platform was
intended to allow developers to write apps
across devices of multiple mobile phone man-
ufacturers. However, as the platform increased
in popularity, the incentives for individual phone
manufacturers to differentiate their products
from other Android companies increased.
84
But,
if different implementations of Android are not
compatible with one another, Android’s value
to app developers decreases, as it becomes
harder to design apps that function correctly on
different phones. This dynamic is known as op-
erating system fragmentation. If an operating
system such as Android fragments, the value—
and ultimately, the adoption—of the network
will disintegrate. Governance rules can help
82 Ingram, supra n. 8.
83 Limits of Scale, supra n. 48.
84 Gordon Kelly, Samsung is hurting Android, Trusted Re-
views (May 10, 2013), http://www.trustedreviews.com/opinions/sam-
sung-is-hurting-android.
21
limit fragmentation and maintain the value of
the platform to software developers and end
users, which in turn enhances inter-brand com-
petition and allows open source platforms “to
compete against rivals that have a proprietary
model in which the platform owner has com-
plete control.”
85
Tech journalists fretted that the Android open
source operating system was doomed to fail on
account of fragmentation.
86
There was histor-
ical precedent for this fear. Symbian was the
leading smartphone platform in the mid-2000s.
It started as a joint venture between several
handset manufacturers who wanted an alter-
native to Microsoft. The jointly developed oper-
ating system originally achieved great success:
60 percent of smartphones sold between 2004
and 2008 ran Symbian OS.
87
However, several
manufacturers eventually developed their own
versions of Symbian, creating a hopelessly frag-
mented operating system.
88
By 2015, Symbian
had gone from the market leader to having
one-tenth of one percent share of the mobile
platform installed base.
89
UNIX, a popular desk-
top and server operating system originally de-
veloped in 1969, had a similar fate.
90
85 David S. Evans, The Antitrust Analysis of Rules and Stan-
dards for Software Platforms (2014) at 32, http://chicagounbound.uchi-
cago.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2389&context=law_and_eco-
nomics
86 Steven J. Vaughan, Five reasons Android can fail, ZDnet
(June 22, 2011), http://www.zdnet.com/article/ve-reasons-android-
can-fail/; Adrian Kingsley-Hughes, Android fragmentation is real, ZD-
Net (June 4, 2010), http://www.zdnet.com/article/android-fragmenta-
tion-is-real.
87 Matchmakers, supra n. 23, at 111.
88 For an extended discussion of Symbian, see id. at 110-113.
89 comScore Reports July 2015 U.S. Smartphone Subscriber
Market Share, comScore, Inc. (Sept. 3, 2015), https://www.comscore.
com/Insights/Rankings/comScore-Reports-July-2015-US-Smart-
phone-Subscriber.
90 Tineke M. Egyedi & Ruben van Wendel de Joode,
Standards and Coordination in Open Source Software, at 2 avail-
able at http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/login.jsp?tp=&arnum-
ber=1251198&url=http%3A%2F%2Fieeexplore.ieee.org%2Fiel5%2F
8864%2F28013%2F01251198.pdf%3Farnumber%3D1251198 (“The
classic example of fragmentation is UNIX, a multi-user operating sys-
Google recognized the risk of fragmenta-
tion from the start. If the platform were to frag-
ment, the negative externalities associated with
growth could quickly destroy the viability of
the platform. As a result, when it launched the
Android project, it required companies partici-
pating in the Open Handset Alliance
91
to agree
to platform governance rules in the form of
anti-fragmentation agreements. These agree-
ments allow participants to modify and custom-
ize Android but not so much as to cause incom-
patibilities. In addition, Google offered app
distribution agreements, allowing phone manu-
facturers to provide their customers a baseline
suite of Google apps and the Play applications
store.
92
The fact that Google has offered an-
ti-fragmentation and app distribution agree-
ments since the launch of the Android platform
is compelling evidence that these agreements
are intended to ensure the viability of Android.
C. Follow the Rules: Managing Chaos on
Social Networks
Social networks face similar problems in con-
trolling the negative externalities associated with
growth. Instead of the chaos of fragmentation,
social network operators must guard against a
variety of anti-social and illegal behavior, which
tem and an open source initiative avant la lettre. UNIX was a de facto
standard in the late 1970s. However, different UNIX variants devel-
oped, which fragmented the market.”).
91 According to its website, “The Open Handset Alliance is a
group of 84 technology and mobile companies who have come together
to accelerate innovation in mobile and offer consumers a richer, less
expensive, and better mobile experience. Together we have developed
Android™,therstcomplete,open,andfreemobileplatform.Weare
committed to commercially deploy handsets and services using the An-
droid Platform.” See http://www.openhandsetalliance.com/. As part of
itsefforts to promotea uniedAndroid platform, OHA members are
contractually forbidden from producing devices that are based on in-
compatible forks of Android. Edward Moyer, Alibaba: Google just
plain wrong about our OS (Sept. 15, 2012), http://www.cnet.com/news/
alibaba-google-just-plain-wrong-about-our-os/.
92 Daniel O’Connor, Time To Stick a Fork In These Android
Competition Complaints, Disruptive Competition Project (June 16,
2015), http://www.project-disco.org/competition/061615-time-to-stick-
a-fork-in-these-android-competition-complaints.
22
reduce the value of the networks for most users.
The demise of Friendster and Myspace are vivid
examples of this phenomenon. Friendster and
Myspace beat Facebook to market with similar
social networking products. However, their fail-
ure to enforce rules that maximized the value of
their networks led to their demise.
Friendster was the rst popular modern on-
line social network. It was launched in 2002
and had over three millions users in a matter of
months.
93
Friendster wanted to make the online
world more “authentic” and “accountable,”
where people would post real pictures and real
proles. Although the idea worked in the be-
ginning, “fakesters” started to proliferate on its
network. Creative users created fake proles of
celebrities, objects and even concepts.
94
Not
surprisingly, the funniest and most clever fake
proles quickly became the most popular. Be-
cause Friendster highlighted the most popular
proles, even more users gravitated to them.
Soon the website’s servers were overrun, and
the network slowed.
95
Fearing that its network
was spiraling out of control and losing value to
the average user, Friendster took steps to rid its
network of fakes proles and limit users responsi-
ble for signicant network activity. This created
a backlash among some users, particularly the
owners of fake proles who had built large fol-
lowings.
96
Friendster never recovered.
During the peak of Friendster’s turmoil in 2003,
Myspace launched. Thinking that Friendster
was making a mistake by banning fake proles,
93 GaryRivlin,WallowerattheWebParty,N.Y.Times(Oct.
15, 2006), http://www.nytimes.com/2006/10/15/business/yourmoney/
15friend.html?pagewanted=1&_r=2.
94 See, e.g., danah boyd, None of this is Real, at 22, http://
www.danah.org/papers/NoneOfThisIsReal.pdf. One particularly cre-
ative usercreated a “War” prole, which listed its profession as “re-
solving disputes.” Lessley Anderson, Attack of the Smartasses, SF
Weekly (Aug. 13, 2003), http://www.sfweekly.com/sanfrancisco/at-
tack-of-the-smartasses/Content?oid=2149018&showFullText=true.
95 boyd, supra n. 94.
96 Id.
Myspace’s founders welcomed them. Sever-
al high prole “fakesters” publicly migrated to
Myspace and the social network grew rapidly.
The website grew so rapidly, in fact, that market
analysts labeled it a “natural monopoly,”
97
and
newspaper columnists discussed whether Mys-
pace “would ever lose its monopoly.”
98
Never-
theless, Myspace’s more open environment spi-
raled out of control. Partial nudity and obscene
content became commonplace. News reports
of minors who lied about their age and child sex
predators who preyed on them caused public
concern.
99
Although some people were at-
tracted to the Wild West of the Web, advertisers
were not and the site oundered.
100
Facebook launched in 2004, a year after
Myspace. It started off as a small network of
students at a limited number of colleges. Face-
book realized from the start that anonymous
online activity can lead to general misbehavior
and harassment. It enforced “real” proles by
requiring valid college email addresses. Face-
book gradually expanded to other colleges
and to wider networks, and zealously enforced
its real name policy. Furthermore, the company
rigorously enforced its terms of service and out-
lawed obscene and objectionable content and
nudity.
101
Needless to say, the strategy worked,
and the company grew exponentially. In 2015
it collected nearly $18 billion in revenue, almost
entirely from advertising.
102
97 John Barrett, MySpace Is a Natural Monopoly, TechNews-
World (Jan. 17, 2007), http://www.technewsworld.com/story/55185.
html.
98 Keegan, supra n. 32.
99 Sam Jones, MySpace removes 90,000 sex offenders,
The Guardian (Feb. 9, 2009), http://www.theguardian.com/technolo-
gy/2009/feb/04/myspace-social-networking-sex-offenders.
100 Matchmakers, supra n. 23, at 145-48.
101 Even famous people, like Lindsay Lohan, were kicked off
the platform for violating its policies. Duncan Riley, Lindsay Lohan
Banned By Facebook, Inquisitr (Dec. 2, 2008), http://www.inquisitr.
com/10537/lindsay-lohan-banned-by-facebook.
102 Yahoo! Finance, http://nance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=F-
B+Key+Statistics.
23
D. Regulating Fairness: Platform Neutrality
Not the Answer
The rapid growth of online platforms has led
to antitrust investigations and litigation related
to platform governance mechanisms.
103
Anti-
trust complaints, such as those leveled against
Google Search, Android’s mobile platform, and
interchange fees targeting restrictions on mer-
chant pass throughs,
104
have targeted platform
operators for practices aimed at balancing
interests between different constituencies on
their networks. Websites that are demoted for
low-quality scores may object, but search op-
erators need to ensure that consumers receive
high-quality search results. Some mobile carriers
might want to force Android users to utilize their
proprietary apps, but consumers and app de-
velopers benet from a standard array of APIs
and services on different implementations of
Android. Merchants might want the freedom
to pass on interchange fees to consumers, but
consumers benet from the clarity of the stan-
dardized pricing of products.
There have also been increasing calls for
platform regulation premised on an amorphous
goal of platform neutrality.
105
In introducing its
public consultation on platforms, the European
Commission discussed platforms being powerful
intermediaries who have the “power to shape
the online experience of its customers on a per-
sonalized basis and to lter what the customer
sees.”
106
In testimony before the British House of
Lords, Charly Berthet, Rapporteur for the French
Government’s Digital Council (Conseil National
103 Mark Scott, Facebook Faces German Antitrust Investiga-
tion, N.Y. Times (Mar. 2, 2016), http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/03/
business/international/facebook-faces-german-antitrust-investigation.
html.
104 AmEx Limits on Merchants Violate US antitrust Laws,
Judge Says, LA Times (Feb. 19, 2015), http://www.latimes.com/busi-
ness/la--american-express-antitrust-lawsuit-20150219-story.html
105 See, e.g., Platform Neutrality Report, supra n. 11.
106 DSM Staff Working Document, pg. 53
du Numérique), complained that the decisions
of online platforms to curate and present con-
tent on their networks were threats to “plural-
ism” and to “freedom of expression” and called
for a regulatory response.
107
The examples above are not isolated cir-
cumstances. All platform operators eventually
grapple with how to balance interests and how
to enforce rules that maintain the value of their
networks as they grow. As noted by Parker et
al. in their book Platform Revolution, “multi-sid-
ed platforms involve interests that don’t always
align. This makes it difcult for platform manag-
ers to ensure that various participants create
value for one another, and make it likely that
conicts will emerge that governance rules must
resolve….This is a juggling act that even giants
and geniuses get wrong.”
108
Yelp bans fake reviews that can make the
platform less useful to users, and it spends sig-
nicant resources removing questionable re-
views and punishing violators of its terms of
service.
109
eBay has strict terms and conditions
that, among other things, prevent transactions
107 He pointed to the controversy surrounding Facebook’s orig-
inal decision to ban posts of Gustave Courbet’s painting “The Origin of
the World” because it featured nudity as an example of this threat, stat-
ing:“[o]nlineplatformsdenetheirownrulesregardingwhatcontentis
authorised and what content can be withdrawn.” See Revised transcript
of evidence taken before The Select Committee on the European Union
Internal Market Sub-Committee Inquiry on Online Platforms and the
EU Digital Single Market (Nov. 9, 2015) at 13, available at http://data.
parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocu-
ment/eu-internal-market-subcommittee/online-platforms-and-the-eu-
digital-single-market/oral/24970.pdf (“Berthet Testimony”); see also
Facebook could be sued for censoring this 19th-century nude painting,
The Associated press (Feb. 12, 2016), http://mashable.com/2016/02/12/
french-court-facebook-nude-painting/. The fact that Courbet’s painting
could be seen in thousands of other places online, at the slightest touch
of a mouse or swipe of a smartphone, did nothing to prevent this argu-
ment.
108 Geoffrey Parker, Marshall W. Van Alstyne and Sangeet
Paul Chaudry, The Platform Revolution: How Networked Markets Are
Transforming the Economy And How to Make Them Work For You 159
(2016).
109 JudyWoodruff,Spottingthefakesamongtheve-starre-
views, PBS (Jan. 19, 2015), http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/spotting-
fakes-among-ve-star-reviews.
24
from migrating off its platform, ban sellers from
bidding on their own items to drive up the price,
and outlaw misrepresenting your identity. These
terms restrict behavior on individual users on var-
ious sides of its platform to ensure a “safe and
fair environment” for all. Sellers might want the
freedom not to disclose their identify or to nal-
ize the sale outside of eBay’s platform to avoid
commissions, but buyers would have no protec-
tion in case of fraud.
110
Airbnb mandates that
its hosts adopt one of three of its cancellation
policies
111
and meet minimum hospitality stan-
dards
112
to guarantee a baseline user experi-
ence across its offerings. As more drivers come
onto its platform, Uber aggressively screens
them through background checks and utilizes
user feedback to quickly drop low-rated drivers
from its platform. Despite complaints that the
ratings system is harsh and unfair,
113
all it takes is
a few negative experiences before riders ee to
competitive offerings like Lyft or taxis.
As these examples illustrate, platform opera-
tors must make delicate judgments, particular-
ly when different platform constituencies have
diverging interests, to keep their platforms valu-
able to all users. Attempting to mandate plat-
form neutrality or penalize behavior based on
its effects on one side of the platform can easily
throw off this balance to the detriment of con-
sumers. Furthermore, treating online platforms
as “essential facilities,” which would limit the
ability of online platform operators to choose
who accesses their platform and on what terms,
could have similar negative effects and harm
110 eBay Inc. Rules and Policies, http://pages.ebay.com/help/
policies/overview.html
111 Airbnb, Inc. Cancellation Policies, https://www.airbnb.com/
home/cancellation_policies
112 Airbnb, Inc. Hospitality Standards, https://www.airbnb.
com/hospitality
113 Polly Mosendz, Uber Drivers Are Fighting for Better Treat-
ment from the Company, The Wire (June 25, 2014), http://www.thewire.
com/business/2014/06/uber-drivers-protest-their-employer/373388.
competition and innovation.
114
As noted by
Alex Chisholm and Nelson Jung from the United
Kingdom’s Competition and Markets Authority
in a discussion of the essential facilities doctrine,
“concepts applying to ports cannot simply be
copy-pasted into the digital world.”
115
V. Can Controlling User Data Lock
Out Competitors?
Some enforcers and academics have iden-
tied control over data as a potential antitrust
concern in recent years.
116
While their state-
ments are not always clear as to what they
mean by “big data,” these advocates usually
focus on user data that is collected by online
rms as part of their business operations—for ex-
ample, a shopping site collecting data about
which products its users have looked at, which
ones they have purchased and how much they
have paid, or a search engine collecting data
about which results users clicked on after prior
searches.
The theory postulates that data is a necessary
input for online rms—many have analogized it
to the oil of the 21st Century
117
—as many Internet
businesses rely on user data to improve their ser-
vices. This creates what some have described
as a “feedback loop,” whereby a rm needs
a large body of user data to create a product
114 See Kucharczyk, supra n. 5.
115 Chisholm & Jung, supra n. 3, at 11.
116 See, e.g., Maurice E. Stucke & Allen P. Grunes, Debunking
the Myths over Big Data and Antitrust, CPI Antitrust Chronicle (May
2015); European Data Protection Supervisor, Privacy and competi-
tiveness in the age of big data: The interplay between data protection,
competition law and consumer protection in the Digital Economy (Mar.
2014), available at https://secure.edps.europa.eu/EDPSWEB/webdav/
shared/Documents/Consultation/Opinions/2014/14-03-26_competiti-
tion_law_big_data_EN.pdf; Nathan Newman, Search, Antitrust and the
Economics of the Control of User Data (Sept. 14, 2013), available at
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2309547.
117 Nathan Newman, Taking on Google’s Monopoly Means
Regulating Its Control of User Data (Nov. 24, 2013),
http://www.hufngtonpost.com/nathan-newman/taking-on-goo-
gles-monopol_b_3980799.html.
25
that will attract new users, leading to signicant
economies of scale and causing the market to
permanently “tip” in favor of already dominant
platforms.
118
Of course, using more and better
inputs like user data to improve products and
services is generally the essence of competition,
so regulators should tread carefully when faced
with complaints that such conduct is leading to
anticompetitive effects.
119
In online markets, the competitive harms that
could arise from large rms’ access to extensive
user data usually exist only in the realm of theo-
ry. To properly evaluate claims that a rm’s con-
trol over data operates as a barrier to entry, one
must understand how data does and does not
work for a particular online business. Real-world
experience has illustrated several reasons why
even a dominant rm’s collection and use of
user data is very unlikely to create any mean-
ingful barriers to entry, for several reasons.
First, and perhaps most importantly, data
is just one of many inputs that dictate success
for online businesses, and ultimately it is not the
data, but what a company does with it, that re-
ally matters. Many online rms have successful-
ly entered markets with large, well-established
players without having access to signicant user
data. For example, Spotify was able to success-
fully enter the ad-supported streaming music
space notwithstanding Pandora’s early success,
by offering a different model. Whereas Pandora
relies on user data—which artists a user selects
and which songs a user has “liked”—to deter-
mine which songs will be played, Spotify opted
for a less curated approach that allows users
to select their own songs from a wider library,
reducing the need to rely on user data where
Pandora had a substantial advantage. Firms
118 Andres Lerner, The Role of Big Data in Online Platform
Competition (Aug. 26, 2014) at 19-20, available at http://papers.ssrn.
com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2482780.
119 Foradiscussionofprocompetitivebenetsofuserdatacol-
lection, see id. at 10-15.
can also enter and quickly extract the data they
need from the initial user base.
120
In some cas-
es, rms have eschewed the collection or use of
personal information and have attracted priva-
cy-sensitive consumers on that basis. For exam-
ple, the search engine DuckDuckGo markets
itself as not collecting query data, and thereby
does not use that data to generate such search
results, even though other traditional search en-
gines do.
121
Second, data is non-rivalrous and non-exclu-
sive. Non-rivalrous means that one party’s use
of data does not prevent another party from
collecting and using that same data, even from
the same source.
122
When a consumer uses of
a gallon of gasoline, another driver cannot use
that same gas. As a result, it is said to be rivalrous
in consumption. When Netix uses knowledge of
a subscriber’s preferences to highlight shows she
might like, Hulu can still use knowledge of her
preferences to highlight similar shows. Non-ex-
clusive means that a rm cannot exclude others
from collecting that same data. As a result, no
single rm controls all, most, or even a signicant
amount of the total universe of user data. Many
online rms have access to vast swaths of infor-
mation about users, including data brokers who
make that information potentially available to
startups.
123
In addition, users frequently “multi-home.”
Because consumers use multiple online services,
even for the same task, multiple providers have
the ability to collect data on the same user. In
social networking, multi-homing has resulted
in Facebook continuing to ourish while also
120 Darren Tucker & Hill Wellford, Big Mistakes Regarding
Big Data, Antitrust Source, Dec. 2014, at 7, available at http://www.
americanbar.org/content/dam/aba/publishing/antitrust_source/dec14_
tucker_12_16f.authcheckdam.pdf.
121 DuckDuckGo Internet Privacy Review (Dec. 12, 2014),
https://www.expressvpn.com/blog/duckduckgo-internet-privacy-re-
view/.
122 Lerner, supra n. 118, at 21.
123 Tucker & Wellford, supra n. 120, at 3.
26
allowing many new entrants, which often fo-
cus on particular types of content (Instagram,
Twitter, Pinterest) or interests (Reddit, LinkedIn),
rather than offering a broader Facebook-like
approach. But this also plays out across static
market boundaries too, as with the example of
using either Google, Yelp or an alternative ser-
vice to nd a restaurant for dinner.
Third, data quickly becomes stale. As Tuck-
er and Wellford note, “[h]istorical data can be
analyzed for trends but has comparatively little
value when used for real-time decisions, such as
which ad to serve. As one study found, ‘90% of
the data in the world today has been created in
the last two years. . . . 70% of unstructured data
is stale after only 90 days.’”
124
A new entrant
need not replicate an incumbent’s vast store-
house of old, stale data. What an upstart cares
about—if it cares about data at all—is the fresh
material that the new entrant has the same op-
portunity to obtain as the incumbent. Thus any
data advantage by incumbent rms is likely to
be ephemeral at best.
Fourth, data has diminishing returns to scale.
As Lerner discusses in detail, there is substantial
empirical evidence of rapidly diminishing returns
to scale in two markets that have been cited
as potential areas where data could be a barri-
er to entry: online search (where user data can
improve the quality of search results) and ad-
vertising (where better user data might allow
better targeting of ads to users).
125
Because of
diminishing returns, the relevant question for an
entrant is not whether it can obtain the same
amount of data as the incumbent, but merely
whether it can obtain enough data to make
its product work. In online markets, there is fre-
quently a vast gap between what might be had
and what is needed.
Online Dating: A Case Study
124 Id. at 4.
125 Lerner, supra n. 118, at 35-45.
Online dating has become an almost ubiq-
uitous feature of the social lives of singles. The
National Academy of Sciences reported in
2013 that more than a third of people who mar-
ried in the U.S. between 2005 and 2012 met their
partner online, and half of those met on dating
sites. Online dating sites now comprise a $2.1
billion per year industry in the U.S. alone.
126
Besides helping to nd a potential partner,
online dating is a good match for those wanting
to examine competitive dynamics among Inter-
net companies for two reasons: (1) it is one of
the longest-existing online industries; and (2) on
the surface, online dating exhibits many of the
theoretical bases that should have caused the
market to “tip” to a single dominant rm long
ago.
•
Network Effects. Single, heterosexu-
al men want to nd an online dating plat-
form that has a lot of female members, and
vice-versa. This is a classic example of net-
work effects, specically cross-side network
effects in a two-sided market.
127
A site that
has a large user base should, therefore,
have a strong advantage in attracting new
users.
•
Data. User data has long played a role
in online dating, through various forms of
“algorithmic matchmaking.”
128
This takes
place in a variety of ways. Some sites allow
(OkCupid) or require (eHarmony) users to
126 Steve Yoder, How online dating became a $2 billion in-
dustry, The Week (Feb, 19, 2014), http://theweek.com/articles/450841/
how-online-dating-became-2-billion-industry (“Yoder”).
127 See, e.g., Voigt & Hinz, Network effects in two-sided
markets: why a 50/50 user split is not necessarily revenue optimal
(July 2015), available at http://download.springer.com/static/pdf/118/
art%253A10.1007%252Fs40685-015-0018-z.pdf (“Users may derive
positive cross-side network effects (CNEs) from the participation of
members on the other side of the market, which means the larger the
installed user base on one side of the platform, the more attractive the
service for the opposite side’s users.”).
128 James Bridle, The algorithm method: how internet dat-
ing became everyone's route to a perfect love match, The Guardian
(Feb. 9, 2014), http://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2014/feb/09/
match-eharmony-algorithm-internet-dating.
27
answer extensive questionnaires designed
to help the users nd compatible matches.
In addition to data provided by users, on-
line dating sites also have data about what
those users actually do—whose proles they
browse, for how long, who they do (and do
not) message, and with what results. They
use that information, to varying degrees, to
recommend potential matches to their us-
ers, theoretically improving outcomes for ex-
isting users and thereby making the platform
more attractive to potential future users.
Given these characteristics, a regulator that
believed that network effects and data barriers
cause platforms to tip to a single dominant sup-
plier might well have concluded that the online
dating market has been ripe for intervention. In
late 2006, for example, Yahoo! Personals had
“grabbed the top rank on every measurement”
and had almost twice as many active users as
its next-closest competitor.
129
But rather than rid-
ing a wave of permanent dominance, Yahoo!
Personals folded less than four years later. And
Yahoo! was not alone. According to the Pew
Internet Survey, 6 of the 10 most popular on-
line dating sites in 2005 were defunct as of 2013
(and, conversely, 5 of the 10 most popular on-
line dating sites in 2013 did not exist in 2005).
130
Today the market is allegedly “dominated
by big name, mass audience sites, like Match.
com and eHarmony.”
131
Should we now be
concerned that a “dominant” site like eHarmo-
ny is abusing a dominant market position by
making its users answer private questions about
their wants and needs in order to communicate
with other users? Or that knowing the answers
to those questions will somehow entrench eHar-
129 Max Freiert, Beyond Skin Deep: The real top dating sites,
Compete (Dec. 28, 2006), https://blog.compete.com/2006/12/28/top-
online-dating-sites-yahoo-personals-true-match-plenty-of-sh/.
130 Pew Research Center, Online Dating & Relationships (Oct.
21,2013),at50,availableathttp://www.pewinternet.org/les/old-me-
dia/Files/Reports/2013/PIP_Online%20Dating%202013.pdf.
131 Yoder, supra n. 126.
mony as a durable monopolist that would not
face a threat of new entry? It is hard to see
how, given that there currently are more than
2,500 other online dating sites operating in the
U.S., and as many as 5,000 worldwide, with new
sites popping up seemingly daily.
132
How have competitors been able to consis-
tently to crack into this business despite what
some might consider an impenetrable advan-
tage held by large incumbents? The structur-
al advantages that appear so strong in theory
appear not to have mattered much in the real
world. The potential network effects in online
dating are substantially weakened by wide-
spread multi-homing by users. Many, if not most,
online daters maintain proles on multiple plat-
forms.
133
Because of this, many platforms are
able to generate a sufciently large user base
to be attractive to potential users. Apparent
network effects are also weakened by the di-
versity among the user base. If a user is looking
for a male aged 21-28, a large pool of men over
the age of 40 does not increase that site’s value
to that user.
Moreover, despite access to substantial
amounts of user data, online dating sites might
not have gained any particularly signicant in-
sights from it.
134
As one recent study conrmed,
“no compelling evidence supports match-
ing sites’ claims that mathematical algorithms
work.”
135
If the data does not provide com-
132 Simon Davies, The Online Dating Market is Not Oversat-
urated, Tech.Co (May 9, 2015), available at http://tech.co/online-dat-
ing-market-not-oversaturated-2015-05.
133 Molly Wood, Led by Tinder, a Surge in Mobile Dating
Apps, N.Y. Times (Feb. 4, 2015), available at http://www.nytimes.
com/2015/02/05/technology/personaltech/led-by-tinder-the-mobile-
dating-game-surges.html.
134 See, e.g., Finkel, et al, Online Dating: A Critical Analysis
From the Perspective of Psychological Science, Psychological Science in
the Public Interest (Jan. 2012), available at http://psi.sagepub.com/con-
tent/13/1/3.full?ijkey=cK9EB6/4zQ0AM&keytype=ref&siteid=sppsi.
135 Dating Site Factors concerning Imperfect Preferences for
EfcientMatchings, CornellUniversity Networks IICourse Blogfor
INFO 4220 (cited by John Tierney, A Match Made in the Code, N.Y.
Times (Feb 11, 2013), available at
28
pelling value to the incumbent, competitors
should be able to enter successfully without it.
And contrary to the claim that data functions
as a barrier to entry, for online dating, data has
actually facilitated entry by making it easier for
users to multi-home. Now, rather than ling out
time-consuming proles, many dating sites allow
users to share information from Facebook and
other platforms.
But perhaps most importantly, the key to suc-
cess for online dating services, as it has been in
many Internet industries over time, has been to
build a better mousetrap by approaching the
problem in a new or different way. Rather than
focusing on broad-based market leaders like
eHarmony and Match, many competitors have
succeeded by focusing on smaller niche mar-
kets. Today, daters can nd sites that match
based on age (e.g., OurTime.com), race (Black-
PeopleMeet.com), occupation (FarmersOnly.
com), and a host of other factors. Those sites
have overcome network effects by focusing on
quality over quantity of matches: the self-select-
ing nature of these sites eliminates a lot of the
“chaff” users that are not of interest.
The well-known app Tinder chose a different
approach, avoiding matching based on algo-
rithm, and focused instead on proximity, show-
ing users other nearby users and offering them a
simple “yes or no” choice, and became so pop-
ular that “Swipe Left” and “Swipe Right” have
now entered common vernacular. Tinder’s
“secret sauce”—the “double opt-in,” where us-
ers declare secretly who they are attracted to
and are only matched after both say yes—was
based on the idea that “you feel more com-
fortable approaching somebody if you know
they want you to approach them.”
136
Now, Tin-
der has millions of users and facilitates 26 million
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/12/science/skepticism-as-eharmo-
ny-defends-its-matchmaking-algorithm.html?pagewanted=all).
136 Emily Witt, Love Me Tinder, GQ (Feb. 11, 2014), avail-
able at http://www.gq.com/story/tinder-online-dating-sex-app?current-
Page=4#1.
matches a day.
137
But Tinder can’t rest on its laurels. It, too, fac-
es the threat of dynamic competition, includ-
ing sites that have not even launched yet, and
quite possibly propelled by rather than inhibited
by the collection of user data. As just one ex-
ample, several sites have proposed improving
matches by tapping into Netix and Pandora
user data to identify potential matches with sim-
ilar tastes in movies and music.
138
We cannot know what the online dating mar-
ket will look like in ve years, but one thing we
can condently predict is that it will be vastly dif-
ferent than what we see today.
VI: Conclusion
Compared to traditional markets, the Inter-
net has unleashed a boom of entrepreneurship
and competition which is arguably unrivaled
in history and denitely unrivaled in the mod-
ern era. We continue to see robust investment,
huge shares of revenue aimed at research and
development, and the successful entry of new
competitors—hardly characteristic of stagnant
markets under the grip of dominant players.
Investment in the European e-commerce
sector, the same market that European Com-
mission focused on in its e-commerce sector
inquiry
139
and its Statement of Objections in the
Google search investigation,
140
has exploded
137 Tinder, Inc. Press and Brand Assets, https://www.gotinder.
com/press (last accessed Apr. 8, 2016).
138 See, e.g., G. Clay Gallagher, Could Netix be the Best
Untapped Dating Network Online?, Popular Science (Sept. 14, 2015),
available at http://www.popsci.com/could-netix-be-best-untapped-
dating-network-online.
139 European Commission Press Release, Antitrust: Commis-
sion launches e-commerce sector inquiry (May 6, 2015), http://europa.
eu/rapid/press-release_IP-15-4921_en.htm.
140 European Commission Fact Sheet, Antitrust: Commission
sends Statement of Objections to Google on comparison Shopping ser-
vice (Apr. 15, 2015), http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-15-
4781_en.htm.
29
over the last few years. An analysis of a diverse
sampling of publicly traded European e-com-
merce companies showed that “the European
ecommerce market is in excellent health, with
strong levels of investment and innovation, and
with a marked upwards trend during the period
2012-2015” with investment increasing by a fac-
tor of 27 during that three year period.
141
According to the National Venture Capital
Association, investment in the software and In-
ternet sectors reached their highest level in over
a decade in 2014, with nearly $30 billion invest-
ed in over 2,800 separate deals.
142
Out of all in-
dustries surveyed by PricewaterhouseCoopers,
the “software and Internet sector” exhibited
the highest rate of growth in R&D spending in
2014.
143
According to a Battelle study featured
in R&D Magazine, the ICT sector was the largest
R&D spender in 2014 and accounted for one-
third of all R&D spending in the U.S. In particu-
lar, Battelle noted that “cloud computing and
technologies built on it will remain a major R&D
thrust for the foreseeable future.”
144
Furthermore, the Internet is expanding rapid-
ly, and the rest of the world is catching up to
the U.S. In 1995, there were 35 million Internet
users and the U.S. accounted for 61 percent of
that total. As of 2014, there were 2.8 billion In-
ternet users, and the U.S. only accounted for 10
141 European Ecommerce, Investment & Innovation A Com-
petitive Marketplace? 4 (Nov. 2015), http://cdn.ccianet.org/wp-content/
uploads/2015/11/European-Ecommerce_Investment_Study.pdf.
142 National Venture Capital Association Press Release, An-
nual Venture Capital Investment Tops $48 Billion in 2014, Reaching
Highest Level in Over a Decade, According to the Money Tree Report
(Jan. 16, 2015), http://nvca.org/pressreleases/annual-venture-capital-in-
vestment-tops-48-billion-2014-reaching-highest-level-decade-accord-
ing-moneytree-report.
143 Total R&D spending growth at large companies fell last
year to the second lowest rate in a decade, according to new Strategy&
study, Strategy& (Oct. 28, 2014), http://www.strategyand.pwc.com/
global/home/press/displays/proven-paths-to-innovation-success.
144 2014 Global R&D Funding Forecast, Battelle & R&D Mag-
azine, at 24 (2013), https://www.battelle.org/docs/tpp/2014_global_rd_
funding_forecast.pdf.
percent of that total. Whereas 13 of the top 15
publicly traded Internet companies were Amer-
ican in 1995, now nearly half of the top 20 pub-
licly traded Internet companies are from outside
of the U.S.
145
Instead of exhibiting signs of market failure
that call for extensive regulation, the Internet is
a thriving, enormously competitive ecosystem.
That is not to say that regulators should turn a
blind eye to deceptive or anticompetitive mar-
ketplace conduct—quite the opposite. If any-
thing, at this inection point two decades after
the commercialization of the Internet, it is criti-
cal for policymakers and regulators to better un-
derstand how these markets work and how they
differ from their brick-and-mortar predecessors.
Competition enforcement remains an import-
ant tool to deter and remedy anticompetitive
activity in the online sector, as in any other sec-
tor. Competition enforcers must, however, in-
corporate new economic understandings and
avoid presumptions about how markets work,
how rms compete, or why rms might engage
in conduct without precedent in a traditional
market. Enforcers should also consider employ-
ing what FTC Commissioner Maureen Ohlhau-
sen calls “regulatory humility” when faced with
conduct that is alleged to be anticompetitive
but that also has plausible benets for dynamic
competition or consumers, even if these bene-
ts cannot be quantied with specicity. Chill-
ing the incredible dynamism in these markets
should be the last thing any regulator or com-
petition enforcer should want to do.
145 Meeker Report, supra n. 20.
30
The Move to Smart
Mobile and Its
Implications for
Antitrust Analysis
of Online Markets
Hemant Bhargava, David S. Evans, and Deepa Mani
*
Abstract
Online markets have changed as a result
of people shifting massively from using person-
al computers and browsers to using techno-
logically powerful mobile devices and apps.
These changes cover leading online players,
consumer behavior, and products. The use of
smartphones and mobile apps, and the speed
of change, vary between countries and in par-
ticular between countries based on their stage
of development. Mobile app use is lower in
fast-growing countries, such as India, than in de-
veloped ones, such as the United States. Howev-
er, as smart mobile phones with mobile broad-
band connections become ubiquitous among
consumers in developing countries, mobile app
use in these countries is likely to leapfrog the use
of personal computers and browsers.
*
Bhargava is the Jerome J. and Elsie Suran Chair in Technol-
ogy Management, University of California at Davis; Evans is the Ex-
ecutive Director, Jevons Institute for Competition Law and Economics
and Visiting Professor, University College London and Lecturer, Uni-
versity of Chicago Law School; Mani is the Joint Executive Director,
Srini Raju Centre for IT and the Networked Economy and Assistant
Professor, Indian School of Business. The authors gratefully acknowl-
edge research support from Google.
As a result of the movement to smart mobile,
the analysis of markets that might have made
sense several years ago, does not today, and
will make even less sense several years hence.
The widespread adoption of smart mobile has
caused, and continues to result in, signicant
market disruption, including for incumbent In-
ternet-based companies, which are themselves
young compared to the traditional compa-
nies they disrupted. These dramatic and un-
predictable changes pose several issues for
antitrust. They show that antitrust analysis that
focuses on static markets is highly prone to er-
ror when it comes to dynamic online industries,
that authorities risk making assumptions during
investigations that are disproven by the markets
soon after they have brought charges or decid-
ed a case, and antitrust remedies are prone to
be ineffective or harmful because they are de-
veloped for markets during the investigation but
are radically different by the time the remedies
are implemented.
I. Introduction and Summary
The rapid growth of smart mobile devices
is changing online markets, and the nature of
competition, drastically, around the world. The
impact is apparent in developed countries.
The introduction of fast and capacious mobile
broadband networks in the early 2010s in coun-
tries such as the United States spurred the adop-
tion of smart mobile phones for online activities.
In the US more than 77 percent of adults had
a smart mobile phone as of August 2015.
1
The
average American spent more than an hour a
day using their smart mobile phones mainly for
online activities.
2
In the US, people spent 50 per-
1 comScore, “comScore Reports August 2015 U.S. Smart-
phone Subscriber Market Share”, https://www.comscore.com/Insights/
Market-Rankings/comScore-Reports-August-2015-US-Smartphone-
Subscriber-Market-Share.
2 ThisgureisacrossallUSresidents18andolderregardless
of whether they own a smart phone. Nielsen, “The Total Audience Re-
port:2015Q22015”,http://s1.q4cdn.com/199638165/les/doc_presen-
31
cent more time on their mobile phones than on
their personal computers as of mid 2015 and,
when on their mobile phones, they spent 87 per-
cent of their time using mobile apps compared
with just 13 percent of their time using a mobile
browser as of June 2015.
3
That shift from using
the personal computers and browser to using
mobile devices and apps continues at a rapid
clip.
4
Already, smart mobile phones have led to im-
mense changes in consumer behavior. People
have their smart mobile phones with them most
of the day and have come to depend on them
for shopping, communication, entertainment,
and more. These mobile devices are chang-
ing how people buy goods and services online,
and in physical environments, as reected by
the spread of ride-sharing apps globally; how
people communicate with each other as seen
in the widespread use of diverse messaging
apps; and how they consume entertainment
as people adopt streaming music and video
apps. For example, around 60 percent of the
visits American made to websites on November
26, 2015—Thanksgiving Day—were from mobile
devices.
5
The move to smart mobile has resulted in sig-
nicant changes in the competitive dynamics
of the online economy. The increasingly wide-
spread use of mobile apps has accelerated
the growth of other companies, from publicly
tations/2015/Total-Audience-Report-Q2-2015.pdf.
3 Nielsen Total Audience Report 2015Q2; https://www.com-
score.com/Insights/Presentations-and-Whitepapers/2015/The-2015-
US-Mobile-App-Report; http://es.slideshare.net/comScoreInsights/the-
us-mobile-app-report-comscore-53067374.
4 comScore, “2015 U.S. Mobile App Report”, https://www.
comscore.com/Insights/Presentations-and-Whitepapers/2015/The-
2015-US-Mobile-App-Report.
5 Based on 180 million visits to over 4,500 United States
websites on November 26, 2015, as reported by Adobe. Hiroko Tabu-
chi, “Black Friday Shopping Shifts Online as Stores See Less Foot
Trafc,” NewYork Times, November 27, 2015, http://www.nytimes.
com/2015/11/28/business/black-friday-shopping-shifts-online-as-
stores-see-less-foot-trafc.html?_r=0.
traded ones such as Facebook, which secures
78 percent of its advertising revenue from mo-
bile,
6
to startups such as Uber that rely entirely
on mobile devices for delivering services to driv-
ers and riders. Meanwhile, in the last ve years
Apple has vaulted to preeminence.
7
In devel-
oped countries such as the US around two-thirds
of online activity on mobile devices takes place
on Apple’s mobile devices using its iOS mobile
software platform. Meanwhile, companies that
were considered central to the online econo-
my a few years ago, such as the Yahoo ad-sup-
ported web portal, have struggled to make the
transition from the desktop to mobile.
The story in developing countries will be simi-
lar as they become wealthier and deploy faster
mobile broadband networks. The penetration
and adoption of advanced technologies is
growing rapidly and will soon reach the critical
levels necessary for igniting the smart mobile
ecosystem. In India, for example, only 14 per-
cent of adults have smart mobile phones.
8
But
this number represents a 121 percent increase
between 2013 and 2015.
9
Only 5.5 percent of
households were served by mobile operators
that have fast enough broadband for most on-
line activities in 2014, but that too is increasing
rapidly—72 percent from 2014 to 2015.
10
Indian
6 Based on data for 2015 Q3. Facebook Inc., “10-Q for Period
Ending September 30, 2015,” p. 40.
7 Anuj Srivas, “The Rise and Rise of Apple,” The Hindu,
February 1, 2015, http://www.thehindu.com/business/Industry/the-rise-
and-rise-of-apple/article6845491.ece.
8 PewResearchCenter,“InternetSeenasPositiveInuence
on Education but Negative on Morality in Emerging and Developing
Nations,” March 2015, http://www.pewglobal.org/2015/03/19/1-com-
munications-technology-in-emerging-and-developing-nations/.
9 Ambika Choudhary Mahajan, “Worldwide Active Smart-
phone Users Forecast 2014-2018L Niew than 2 Billion by 2016,”
DaazeInfo, December 18, 2014, http://dazeinfo.com/2014/12/18/world-
wide-smartphone-users-2014-2018-forecast-india-china-usa-report/.
10 Broadband Commission, “The State of Broadband 2015:
Broadband as a Foundation for Sustainable Development,” September
2015, http://www.broadbandcommission.org/documents/reports/bb-an-
nualreport2015.pdf; Broadband Commission, “The State of Broadband
2014: Broadband for All,” September 2014, http://www.broadband-
commission.org/documents/reports/bb-annualreport2014.pdf.
32
telecom operators are expected to increase
high-speed (3G and 4G) capacities over the
next 5 years at a compounded annual growth
rate of 125 percent.
11
Technology entrepre-
neurs and businesses are innovating towards
this new reality. Technology start-ups such as
OlaCabs (ride-sharing), Snapdeal (online re-
tail), near.in (at-home fulllment of local goods
and services), and Paytm (nancial payments)
are examples of recent startups that exploit the
capabilities of connected mobile devices to
deliver services and goods efciently to Indian
consumers.
The online economy in India and other de-
veloping countries will look more like the US and
other developed countries but with an import-
ant difference: the ratio of mobile technologies
and social computing to traditional comput-
ing with PCs and xed broadband is likely to
exceed the ratio in developed, more prosper-
ous, economies. This is because less developed
countries have exhibited very low penetration
of personal computers and xed broadband
connections due to the high cost of these tech-
nologies and their dependence on unreliable
electricity and xed Internet connectivity. Only
11 percent of Indian adults have personal com-
puters, for example, compared to 14 percent
that have smart mobile phones and 81 percent
that have smart or feature phones.
12
In contrast, mobile devices are available
over a wide spectrum of price points stretching
to the very inexpensive, are untethered from
the burden of continuous electric power and
xed-line Internet connectivity, and universal
mobile service can be provided without large
scale disruptions to civic infrastructure. For in-
stance, the online shopping site Snapdeal.com
11 Indian Tower Industries,” The Future is Data,” Deloitte In-
dia, June 2015, p. 28.
12 PewResearchCenter,“InternetSeenasPositiveInuence
on Education but Negative on Morality in Emerging and Developing
Nations,” March 2015, http://www.pewglobal.org/2015/03/19/1-com-
munications-technology-in-emerging-and-developing-nations/.
lists the 4G-capable Moto E phone running the
Android 5 operating system for Rs. 6,500 (about
half the price of the most inexpensive desk-
top-PC system), and most mobile operators
provide voice and data service for a couple
hundred rupees per month.
13
As a result, smart
mobile devices will leapfrog personal comput-
ers in developing countries. In a few years, peo-
ple in India, and other fast-growing countries,
will rely relatively more on smart mobile phones,
and mobile apps, than on personal computers
and browsers than people in the US and oth-
er developed countries. Respected analysts
and consulting rms forecast that, in India, the
percent of adults with smart mobile phones will
reach 22 percent in 2018 from the current 13
percent today.
14
The growing size and signicance of the on-
line economy has attracted the interest of com-
petition authorities, particularly over the role of
large multi-national online platforms. The dra-
matic and continuing shift by online consum-
ers and businesses to smart mobile devices has
important implications for the analysis of online
markets that would be prudent for competition
authorities and courts to consider. The analysis
of market denition and market power needs
to account for rapid dynamic change result-
ing from the simultaneous change in consumer
behavior, development of new technologies,
entry of new players, and integration of online
and ofine markets.
The enormity of these changes is apparent
just by comparing the state of online compe-
tition in 2015 versus 2005 in a developed coun-
try like the US. Ten years ago, Google was the
leading provider of online search on the web,
Microsoft controlled desktop computing, four
13 SnapDeal.com, http://www.snapdeal.com/. A rupee equals
about US0.015 or 1.5 cents as of November 29, 2015.
14 Smashing Boxes, “The Smartphone’s Impact on Social
Change,” January 30, 2015, http://smashingboxes.com/ideas/the-smart-
phones-impact-on-social-change.
33
telecommunication giants exerted signicant
control over most aspects of mobile phones,
Facebook was a nascent social network used
mainly in colleges, and Amazon was an online
retailer. Today, search has migrated to online
marketplaces, with Amazon serving as a search
engine in front of a giant electronic mall, and
to social networks, where Facebook is greatly
sought after for online advertising because it
enables social search and recommendations.
Apple and Google have become signicant
players in the mobile ecosystem, and mobile
phones have eroded the sales of PCs and Mic-
rosoft Windows. Amazon has become a prom-
inent vendor of cloud computing resources
used by many of the websites and apps behind
the online economy.
Given the pace of change it is likely that the
state of competition will be vastly different in
2020 than in 2015. Changes are likely to occur
even more rapidly in fast-growing places like
India. While India has lagged the US and oth-
er developed nations in adoption and pene-
tration of landline phones, xed broadband
Internet, and PCs—the old technologies—it
has leapfrogged into mobile phones, mobile
high-speed Internet, and mobile computing,
suggesting that these newer technologies will
be even more consequential, than they have
been in the US, in shaping competition in the
online economy. Consequently, the analysis of
market denition and market power analysis
need to be less rigid, analyze a broader range
of competitive dynamics, and be more forward
looking.
The move to smart mobile, and the disrup-
tions that shift is causing to the online economy,
create four implications for antitrust analysis.
1) Changes in consumer behavior, on-
line entry based on mobile apps, and
increased competition between mo-
bile app-centric and website-brows-
er centric businesses, lead to crossing
and overlap between previously-sep-
arate markets, and are likely to re-
duce the extent to which online pro-
viders possess market power.
2) Rapid changes in consumer behav-
ior and online entry increase the like-
lihood of making mistakes in market
denition and market power analysis.
It has become increasingly difcult to
predict the future even a few years
ahead.
3) The rapid and unpredictable shifts
in competitive dynamics, and tech-
nologies, caused by the shift to smart
mobile make it more difcult to de-
sign remedies, which are effectively
shooting at a moving target.
4) There is a greater likelihood of rem-
edies having negative unintend-
ed consequences by, for example,
limiting competition by incumbents
against fast-moving entrants who
quickly emerge as powerhouses. That
is particularly so during these times of
intense disruptive innovation resulting
from the move to using mobile apps.
As the online economy produces innovative
new technologies, services, and business mod-
els, spurred by the move to smart mobile, it is
vital that policy and antitrust analysis account
for these four implications, in order to ensure
that these innovations continue to improve the
functioning of society, business, and the econ-
omy.
This paper has four sections including this
Introduction. Section II documents the growth
of smart mobile and its impact on online and
ofine businesses and on consumer behavior.
It focuses mainly on what’s happened in the
34
US and other developed countries. Section III
presents a detailed analysis of how smart mo-
bile is affecting consumers and businesses in
the fast-growing Indian economy. India exem-
plies countries in which smart mobile is likely to
leap frog traditional Internet industries based
on using a PC-based browser to access web-
sites. Section IV examines the implications of
disruptive innovations surrounding smart mobile
for antitrust analysis.
II. How Smart Mobile Has Changed
Online and Ofine Businesses and
Consumer Behavior
During the 2000s mobile feature phones
became ubiquitous around the world. They
changed how people communicated with
each other by untethering phones from xed
lines, by providing text messages, and by mak-
ing it easy to take and share photos. Initially,
these devices primarily served voice communi-
cation and a smattering of other features such
as text messaging, music, and FM radio. This
limited role of mobile devices was transformed
around 2005 with the development of “smart”
phones. Smartphones employ a full-blown op-
erating system and have essentially unlimited
capabilities, because they enable end-us-
ers to install third-party application programs
(or apps). Leveraging Internet standards and
cloud computing, these small portable devic-
es imported the full power of modern comput-
ing, through easy-to-use apps connected with
powerful computers, software, and data over
the Internet. Building on that foundation the
rapid spread of smartphones starting around
2010 is having profound changes in every facet
of the online economy.
A. Why the World is Moving Rapidly to
Smart Mobile
Mobile computing is characterized by a busi-
ness-technology-ecosystem. A high level of
adoption and usage requires a combination
of a massive user base, affordable but highly
capable hardware, fast data networks with af-
fordable access plans, and a large collection
of useful services and applications. Four devel-
opments have resulted in the widespread use of
mobile devices for online activities. In the 2000s,
mobile broadband technologies were devel-
oped that made it possible for mobile network
operators to build mobile broadband networks
that were fast enough for conducting online
activities. These technologies included meth-
ods for making more efcient use of the wireless
spectrum for transmitting data and chip tech-
nologies for mobile handsets that worked with
the new mobile broadband standards and pro-
vided powerful computing devices. Although
these mobile broadband networks didn’t be-
come widely available in developed countries
until after 2010 it was apparent earlier in the
2000s that they would be forthcoming.
That anticipation led to the second major
development. A number of technology com-
panies started investing in developing mobile
phones that could provide online access as
well as make basic phone calls. This required
developing mobile handsets, mobile operating
systems that could run those handsets and sup-
port applications, and applications that could
make the handset particularly useful. Apple
adopted a vertically integrated approach in
which it produced the mobile operating system
(iOS) and handset (iPhone). Google focused
on developing an open source operating sys-
tem (Android), providing a standard hardware
and software framework for third-party handset
makers, and organizing the Open Handset Alli-
ance (OHA) to produce mobile phones. Both
approaches worked well. Apple launched the
iPhone, based on the iOS operating system in
June 2007. To help kick off the Android ecosys-
tem, Google, working with a HTC, introduced
the HTC Dream phone based on the Android
35
operating system in October 2008.
Mobile apps made available through “app
stores” were the foundation for the third de-
velopment. Apple, Android, and other mobile
operating system providers made it possible for
developers to write apps that used the features
and functions of the phone, including loca-
tion-based services, and availed themselves of
a connection to the Internet that was usually
on so long as the phone was turned on. These
mobile apps also enabled people to consume
content on the app ofine as well as online. The
mobile operating system vendors then created
“app stores” to provide a convenient way for
developers to distribute apps to users and for us-
ers to obtain these apps. Consumers and devel-
opers saw the iOS and Android-based devices
as superior to existing offerings from Blackberry,
Microsoft, and Symbian. The positive feedback
between consumer adoption and app devel-
opment propelled Apple and Android mobile
adoption. By June 2015, there were around 1.5
million apps for each of these platforms.
15
Con-
sumers had downloaded more than 100 billion
apps by June 2015.
16
The fourth development was cloud com-
puting whose power goes hand-in-hand with
the development of faster mobile broadband.
There are now 5.3 million server computers con-
nected to the Internet.
17
Companies own or
lease servers, on which they store the content
that they make available to their customers and
15 David Curry, “Apple iOS App Store Reaches 1.5 Million
Apps,” June 15, 2015, http://www.itproportal.com/2015/07/15/ap-
ple-app-store-milestone/; AppBrain, http://www.appbrain.com/stats/
number-of-android-apps; Jose Maria Delos Santos, “Top 5 Best Native
Apps for Project Management,” project-management.com, August 18,
2015, http://project-management.com/top-5-best-native-android-apps-
for-project-management/.
16 Harrison Weber, “Apple’s App Store Passes 100B Down-
loads and $30B Paid to Developers,” VentureBeat, June 8, 2015, http://
venturebeat.com/2015/06/08/apples-app-store-passes-100-billion-
downloads/.
17 Netcraft, “June 2015 Web Server Survey,” http://news.net-
craft.com/archives/2015/06/25/june-2015-web-server-survey.html.
others. Together, these servers, which sit on the
edge of the physical network of networks, are
called the “cloud.” They provide the computa-
tional resources and data for what people do
on their personal computer and smart phones.
As Internet speeds have increased, there is little
difference between using an app on a mobile
device connected to the cloud and using a
software application installed on a hard drive
on a PC. Lightweight apps, many of which can
t on a smart phone, can function as front-ends
to elaborate software systems with extensive
databases and deep algorithmic search. For
instance, ride-sharing services such as Uber use
large amounts of historical data (such as about
trafc patterns and sharing patterns) as well as
real-time data (such as about trafc conditions
and the location and preferences of riders) as
the fuel for intelligent algorithmic search and
optimization programs that produce ride-shar-
ing allocations in real-time.
The rate of adoption of smart mobile devices
in the US accelerated with the rollout of fast-
er mobile broadband in the US. The number of
mobile broadband subscriptions with speeds
of 256 Kbps or more per inhabitant increased
from 65.5 in 2011 to 97.9 in 2014.
18
Over those
same years, Pew Research Center reports
that the percent of people 18 and older with
smartphones increased from 35 percent to 64
percent.
19
Likewise, comScore reports that the
18 This number overstates the penetration rate of mobile broad-
band since some inhabitants have more than one mobile broadband
subscription. Broadband Commission, “The State of Broadband 2015:
Broadband as a Foundation for Sustainable Development,” September
2015, http://www.broadbandcommission.org/documents/reports/bb-an-
nualreport2015.pdf; Broadband Commission, “The State of Broadband
2014: Broadband for All,” September 2014, http://www.broadband-
commission.org/documents/reports/bb-annualreport2014.pdf; Broad-
band Commission, “The State of Broadband 2012: Achieving Digital
Inclusion for All,” September 2012, http://www.broadbandcommission.
org/documents/reports/bb-annualreport2012.pdf.
19 Aaron Smith, “Smartphone Adoption and Usage,” Pew Re-
search Center, July 11, 2011, http://www.pewinternet.org/2011/07/11/
smartphone-adoption-and-usage/; Aaron Smith, “U.S. Smartphone Use
in 2015,” April 1, 2015, http://www.pewinternet.org/2015/04/01/us-
smartphone-use-in-2015/.
36
number of people 13 and older with smart-
phones increased from 98 million in the three
months ending December 2011 to 182 million
in the three months ending December 2015.
20
Figure 1 shows the rapid growth between 2007
and 2015 in the percent of American adults
with a smart mobile phone.
Figure 1: Evolution of US Smartphone Owner-
ship and Access to Mobile Broadband
Sources: Pew Research Center, “Device Ownership over Time,” July
2015, http://www.pewinternet.org/data-trend/mobile/device-owner-
ship/.
Less prosperous, but now rapidly growing,
countries are following a similar path. Until
now, although mobile phones have become
ubiquitous in developing countries, relatively
few consumers use smart mobile phones—only
about 30 percent of Indians who have mobile
20 comScore, “comScore Reports December 2011 U.S. Mo-
bile Subscriber Market Share,” February 2, 2012, https://www.com-
score.com/Insights/Press-Releases/2012/2/comScore-Reports-Decem-
ber-2011-US-Mobile-Subscriber-Market-Share; comScore, “comScore
Reports December 2014 U.S. Smartphone Subscriber Market Share,”
February 9, 2015, https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Market-Rank-
ings/comScore-Reports-December-2014-US-Smartphone-Subscrib-
er-Market-Share.
phones have smartphones.
21
Many of the peo-
ple who do have smart mobile phones do not
use them much for online access because their
mobile network operators (MNOs) do not offer
sufciently fast, or cheap, mobile broadband.
For instance, as 2014 Q4, the slower technology
dominated data networks in India; high-speed
data networks accounted for only 11 percent
of unique mobile phone connections in India vs.
85 percent in the US.
22
In India, one megabyte
per second costs around $61, which makes it
very expensive for the average person.
23
Three phenomena in historically poorer but
rapidly growing countries, however, are chang-
ing this situation rapidly. First, the MNOs are roll-
ing out fast mobile broadband networks across
those countries and the cost of mobile broad-
band is declining for their residents. For mobile
operators in India, cut-throat competition in
the voice market, where a preference for pre-
paid plans has driven the cost of calling below
50p per minute, provides an imperative to in-
vest heavily in high-speed data networks and
promote smartphones for data-intensive tasks
such as entertainment, shopping and multime-
dia communication. In India, for example, ac-
tive mobile broadband subscriptions increased
from 1.9 percent in 2011 to 5.5 percent in 2014
while telecom operators like MTS announced a
price reduction of about 33 percent of its mo-
bile broadband tariffs.
24
21 Kishalaya Kundu, “HSBC: India Surpasses China in Pre-
mium Smartphone Sales,” Android Headlines, July 11, 2015, http://
www.androidheadlines.com/2015/07/hsbc-india-surpasses-china-pre-
mium-smartphone-sales.html.
22 The slower networks are 2G and the faster ones are 3G and
4G/. GSMA Intelligence, https://gsmaintelligence.com/data/.
23 Darrell M. West, “Digital Divide: Improving Internet
Access in the Developing World through Affordable Services and
Diverse Content,” Center for Technology Innovation at Brookings,
February 2015, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/les/
papers/2015/02/13-digital-divide-developing-world-west/west_inter-
net-access.pdf.
24 Broadband Commission, “The State of Broadband 2015:
Broadband as a Foundation for Sustainable Development,” September
2015, http://www.broadbandcommission.org/documents/reports/bb-an-
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
May-11
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-12
Feb-13
May-13
Aug-13
Nov-13
Feb-14
May-14
Aug-14
Nov-14
Feb-15
May-15
37
Second, as average incomes increase, as
the price of smart mobile phones decline, and
as mobile broadband become cheaper and
faster, more people are adopting smart mobile
phones. Third, with higher incomes and lower
rates for mobile broadband, smartphone users
have increased their consumption of mobile
apps, data services, and mobile browsing.
B. How Mobile Changes Online Access
Before smart mobile devices became wide-
spread people used their personal computers
to engage in online activities. In the US, and
other developed countries, local cable and
telecom companies extended wires to house-
holds and businesses that connected these
households and businesses to the network of
networks that comprise the physical Internet. By
2010, about 23.7 percent of American house-
holds had xed broadband connections with
speeds of 3 Mbps or more.
25
People then used
a browser on their personal computer to access
websites from personal computers at home or
work. Starting with the birth of the commercial
Internet in the mid 1990s online businesses de-
veloped websites that people could access
from multiple browsers.
In retrospect there were two major limitations
to the “PC-xed broadband-browser” model.
The rst was the costs. The average price of a
personal computer in 2010 with a typical suite of
consumer software was $615 and the average
annual cost of a xed broadband connection
nualreport2015.pdf; Broadband Commission, “The State of Broadband
2012: Achieving Digital Inclusion for All,” September 2012, http://
www.broadbandcommission.org/documents/reports/bb-annualre-
port2012.pdf; Tech2 News, “MTS Drops Mobile Broadband Tariffs by
upto33Percent,”October6,2014,http://tech.rstpost.com/news-anal-
ysis/mts-drops-mobile-broadband-tariffs-33-percent-236836.html.
25 National Telecommunications and Information Administra-
tions (US), “U.S. Broadband Availability: June 2012 – June 2012,” May
2013, https://www.ntia.doc.gov/les/ntia/publications/usbb_avail_re-
port_05102013.pdf.
was $828.
26
As of 2010, 23 percent of American
households didn’t have a personal computer
and 29 percent did not use the Internet primar-
ily because they were poor households who
couldn’t afford it.
27
Other developed countries
were in a similar position. PC and broadband
penetration were much worse in poorer coun-
tries. In 2010, only 6.1 percent of Indian house-
holds had personal computers and only 8.5
percent had access to the Internet.
28
In fact,
except for the wealthiest of citizens, the online
revolution hadn’t really touched the billions of
people on earth who weren’t fortunate to live
in one of the developed countries.
The second limitation was the fact that when
it came to accessing the online world, people
were tethered to places that had xed broad-
band connections. Increasingly, locations,
such as airports and coffee shops, had “WiFi”
that provided Internet connectivity in their lo-
cations. But people generally didn’t have any
connection to the Internet when they were out
and about or even when they were wandering
around their homes.
Smart mobile phones with mobile broad-
band access changed this situation in funda-
mental ways. People got the equivalent of an
Internet-connected personal computer in a tiny
package that they could carry with them all
the time. That increased both the time during the
day, and physical places, where people could
engage in online activity. The proliferation of mo-
26 Ben Worthen, “Rising Computer Prices Buck the Trend,”
Wall Street Journal, December 13, 2010, http://www.wsj.com/articles/
SB10001424052748704681804576017883787191962; Federal Com-
munications Commission (US), “International Broadband Data Report
(Second),” May 20, 2011, https://www.fcc.gov/reports/internation-
al-broadband-data-report-second.
27 Thom File and Camille Ryan, “Computer and Internet Use
in the United States: 2013,” American Community Survey Reports,
ACS-28, US Census Bureau, November 2014, http://www.census.gov/
content/dam/Census/library/publications/2014/acs/acs-28.pdf.
28 OECD, Key ICT Indicators, 2012, http://www.oecd.org/
sti/ieconomy/Final_6.a_PC%20Households_2012.xls; Internet World
Stats, “India,” http://www.internetworldstats.com/asia/in.htm.
38
bile apps supported by the mobile operating sys-
tems provided innovative ways for developers to
provide services to consumers. Location-based
technologies enabled developers—through mo-
bile apps or websites accessed from the brows-
er—to provides services based on where the
consumer was or wanted to go
.
The adoption of smart mobile phones has re-
sulted in a high density of Internet connections
throughout physical space. Most of the people
moving around Manhattan by foot, car, or sub-
way, for example, now have a smart mobile
device and are online either actively, because
they are using an app or browsing, or passively
because they can receive alerts. A few years
ago most people could go online only if they
were sitting at a computer at their home or, in
some cases, their ofce.
Moreover, with new methods and standards
for machine-to-machine communication, enor-
mous amounts of computation and communi-
cation occur without the active participation of
the user. For instance, consider a smartphone
user who has a Nike Running app, a Facebook
account, online calendar, and a Picasa photo
account: for this user, a jog can automatical-
ly lead to a Facebook post, a camera picture
is instantly communicated to a Picasa group
or Instagram, and a calendar entry causes a
mapping service to communicate the best
travel option for the user’s next meeting.
Not surprisingly, enabling most people to be
connected most of the time, and using a pleth-
ora of apps, has had huge ramications for
people and businesses.
C. The Impact of Smart Mobile on How
People Spend Their Time
Now that people can always be online, they
go online more than they used to. Figure 2
shows the minutes a day that Americans spent
online using personal computers or mobile de-
vices from 2008 to 2015. The total number of
minutes more than doubled from 150 minutes in
2008 to 313 in 2015. The proportion of this time
spent on mobile increased from 12.7 percent in
2008 to 54.6 percent in 2015.
Figure 2: Daily Time Spent per Media Platform in
Minutes, United States
Source: David Pakman, “May I Have Your Atten-
tion, Please?” Medium, August 10, 2015, https://
medium.com/life-learning/may-i-have-your-at-
tention-please-19ef6395b2c3?curator=Medi-
aREDEF#.2rwedr27o.
Note: This data is consistent with that from oth-
er sources, including Nielsen, “The Total Audi-
ence Report: 2015Q2 2015”, http://s1.q4cdn.
com/199638165/files/doc_presentations/2015/
Total-Audience-Report-Q2-2015.pdf; eMarketer,
“Mobile Continues to Steal Share of US Adults’
Daily Time Spent with Media,” April 22, 2014,
http://www.emarketer.com/Article/Mobile-Con-
tinues-Steal-Share-of-US-Adults-Daily-Time-
Spent-with-Media/1010782.
39
People typically rely on apps when they use
their smartphones. The typical smartphone user
in the US used about 27 apps per month as of
the 2014Q4.
29
Table 1 shows the breakdown
of how people spend their time. Important-
ly, smartphones are really not used much as
phones in the US. Making phone calls and send-
ing text messages account for only 16 percent
of the time. Of the time people spend online, 90
percent is spent using mobile apps and only 10
percent is spent accessing websites using their
browser.
30
The story is similar for smart mobile
phone users in India.
Table 1: Mobile Time Usage in the United States
and India, 2015
United
States
India
Utility Features
and Apps
33% 20%
Multimedia Apps 16% 12%
Games 11% 9%
Other 10% 9%
Web Surng 9% 10%
Messaging 9% 2%
Phone Calls 7% 12%
Chat and VOIP 4% 26%
Source: Nielsen Informate, “International Smartphone Mobility Re-
port,” March 2015, p. 14.
D. Market Disruptions Resulting from the
Move to Smart Mobile
The shift of the time spent online to mobile
devices, and the shift from using browsers to
apps has, not surprisingly, disrupted many as-
pects of the online economy. Communication
29 Nielsen, “So Many Apps, So Much More Time for Enter-
tainment”, 2015, http://www.nielsen.com/us/en/insights/news/2015/so-
many-apps-so-much-more-time-for-entertainment.html.
30 Simon Khalaf, “Seven Years into the Mobile Revolution:
Content is King … Again,” Flurry Insights, August 26, 2015, http://
urrymobile.tumblr.com/post/127638842745/seven-years-into-the-mo-
bile-revolution-content-is.
among people is moving swiftly to messaging
apps, away from voice, text messaging, email,
and browser-based methods. According to
data from comScore, mobile apps accounted
for 52 percent of the time spent using digital
media while desktop-based digital media con-
sumption took 40 percent (mobile web brows-
ing took up the remaining 8 percent).
31
People
increasingly engage in social networking from
apps on their mobile devices rather than using
a browser from their personal computers. A re-
port by BI Intelligence conrms that 60 percent
of social media time is spent, not on desktop
computers, but on smartphones and tablets.
32
Commerce is moving from people using their
browsers on their personal computers in xed
locations to search, discover, and buy to using
apps on mobile devices often while they are
making shopping trips or just happen to be out
and about.
The changes taking place in shopping illus-
trate how quickly and dramatically the move
to smart mobile is changing the behavior of
people and businesses. Smart mobile devices
enable people to blend physical and online
shopping and retail stores are reacting to this
change in consumer behavior. People can use
specialized apps such as AroundMe to suggest
where they should shop given their current lo-
cations, using retailer apps get notications
from stores they’re near, and compare prices
using apps such as PriceGrabber.
As a result, a signicant amount of the activ-
ity surrounding the “path to purchase” for con-
sumers is moving to mobile devices in devel-
oped economies such as the US. That is seen in
31 Sarah Perez, “Majority of Digital Media Consumption Now
Takes Place in Mobile Apps,” TechCrunch, August 21, 2014, http://
techcrunch.com/2014/08/21/majority-of-digital-media-consumption-
now-takes-place-in-mobile-apps/; comScore, “The U.S. Mobile App
Report,” August 21, 2014, http://www.comscore.com/Insights/Presen-
tations-and-Whitepapers/2014/The-US-Mobile-App-Report.
32 http://www.businessinsider.com/social-media-engage-
ment-statistics-2013-12.
40
a number of ways. Many Americans, and most
“millennials”—those who are between roughly
20 and 35 in 2015—use smart mobile phones as
part of their process of buying goods. According
to Thrive Analytics, 90 percent of adults, and 97
percent of millennials, use smart mobile phones
as part of their typical shopping practices.
33
Advertisers are directing a signicant amount
of their spending to mobile devices. Facebook
earned 14 percent of its global advertising rev-
enue from mobile in 2012Q3.
34
As of 2015Q3 it
earned 78 percent of its advertising revenue on
mobile.
35
Consumers aren’t just using mobile to
help in the search for and discovery of things
to buy. Increasingly, they are consummating
their purchases on mobile devices. Americans
made 57 percent of their online purchases from
mobile devices in 2014 compared with virtu-
ally none before 2010.
36
As noted above, on
Thanksgiving Day, November 26, 2015, around
60 percent of US website visits were made from
mobile devices in the US.
37
Whereas online shopping was previously
based on computers and web browsers, online
commerce on mobile devices is largely con-
ducted via apps that enable people to buy
conveniently online or at physical stores. Sever-
al social networking and communication plat-
forms that are used predominantly on mobile
devices have transitioned from helping people
discover and evaluate products to enabling
people to buying products online. Twitter, for
example, has integrated a “Buy Now” button
33 http://www.thelsa.org/main/pressreleases/mobile-use-now-
surpasses-pcs-when-searching-for-lo-3080.aspx; http://www.defyme-
dia.com/2014/09/11/millennials-using-smartphones-store/.
34 Facebook Inc., “10-Q for Period Ending September 30,
2012,” p. 27.
35 Facebook Inc., “10-Q for Period Ending September 30,
2015,” p. 40.
36 http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2474217,00.asp.
37 Hiroko Tabuchi, “Black Friday Shopping Shifts Online as
StoresSeeLessFootTrafc,”NewYorkTimes,November27,2015,
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/28/business/black-friday-shopping-
shifts-online-as-stores-see-less-foot-trafc.html?_r=0.
as part of an effort to enable people to “have
even more opportunities to discover and pur-
chase products from the brands they love on
Twitter.”
38
Other platforms that are taking sim-
ilar approaches include Facebook, Facebook
Messenger, Pinterest, WeChat, and SnapChat.
39
These changes in consumer shopping be-
havior are resulting in a revolution in retail.
40
Retail stores are developing “omnichannel”
approaches that integrate physical stores, mo-
bile apps, and websites and provide consum-
ers with multiple choices of how to shop and
buy.
41
Because consumers have more and bet-
ter ways to make their purchase decisions they
increasingly go to a store only after making a
decision to buy something there. Since they en-
gage in less comparison shopping foot trafc
to stores is declining. Retailers are reducing the
size of stores and reorganizing their businesses
to cater to this change in behavior. More re-
tailers are letting consumers order online—often
with mobile—and pick up in store.
The latest step in this revolution is “hyperlo-
cal” retail, where physical and online stores aim
to provide instant gratication through same-
day delivery, in some cases within a few hours
of order placement. Hyperlocal retail is growing
38 Nathan Hubbard, “More Ways to Sell Directly on Twitter,”
Twitter Blog, September 30, 2015, https://blog.twitter.com/2015/more-
ways-to-sell-directly-on-twitter.
39 http://outtosea.co.uk/articles/social-commercetrends-2015/;
http://a16z.com/2015/08/06/wechat-china-mobile-rst/
40 See Evans and Schmalensee, Matchmakers: The New Eco-
nomics of Multisided Platforms, Chapter 12, forthcoming 2016.
41 Jennifer Kasper (Group Vice President, Digital Media and
Multi-Cultural Marketing), “Macy´s Goes Omni-Channel,” interview,
ThinkWithGoogle, October 2014, https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/
interviews/macys-goes-omni-channel.html; Angela Ahrendt (CEO of
Burberry), “Burberry’s Digital Transformation,” interview by Capgem-
iniConsulting,2012,https://www.capgemini.com/resource-le-access/
resource/pdf/DIGITAL_LEADERSHIP__An_interview_with_An-
gela_Ahrendts.pdf; Warby Parker, “Homepage,” accessed August
28, 2015, https://www.warbyparker.com/; Dennis Green, “Bonobos
Is Opening Retail Stores – But You Can´t Actually Take Any of the
Clothes Home,” Business Insider, July 16, 2015, http://www.busines-
sinsider.com/bonobos-opened-a-store-where-you-cant-physically-buy-
anything-2015-7.
41
rapidly in both developed countries such as the
US and developing countries such as India, and
is fueled by high-speed supply chains, highly lo-
calized data, and location-awareness due to
mass adoption of mobile devices.
E. Smart Mobile and Competitive Dynam-
ics of the Online Economy
The move to smart mobile is one of the ma-
jor factors in a dramatic shift in the compet-
itive landscape in the online economy. These
changes in the competitive landscape are driv-
en by a profound shift that combines techno-
logical innovation and business strategy. With
respect to market denition and competition, a
crucial feature of smartphones is that they are
based on full-edged operating systems, on ac-
count of which consumers can install third-par-
ty apps at any time after acquiring the phone.
This shift to operating systems has destroyed the
pipe-model of mobile telephony that was prev-
alent until the launch of the iPhone, in which
value and features came to consumers through
a strictly linear chain comprising feature de-
velopers, phone manufacturers and mobile
operators, and the “walled-garden” model in
which the mobile operators maintained strict
control of what was on mobile phones on their
systems.
42
The replacement of this linear model,
and the walled garden, with a “platform” mod-
el has transformed the market, resulting in the
demise of phone makers that could not keep
up (such as Nokia), and drastically reducing the
once considerable power of mobile network
operators in many developed countries.
To get a sense of the change in competitive
dynamics it is useful to consider what has hap-
pened to several key players.
The most dramatic change is that Apple has
become one of the most valuable companies
in the world largely based on its sales of iPhones.
42 “Why Business Models Fail: Pipes vs. Platforms,” Wired
magazine, http://www.wired.com/insights/2013/10/why-business-mod-
els-fail-pipes-vs-platforms/
One could argue that Apple is really a manu-
facturer and, except for its digital music busi-
ness, not a signicant online player at all. That
misses the essence of what Apple is and why
it sells iPhones. The Apple iPhone, and its other
mobile devices, are valuable primarily because
they provide a platform for online activity. Ap-
ple’s mobile operating system, iOS, and its App
Store anchor a vast ecosystem of mobile ap-
plications. Although Apple accounts for fewer
smartphone sales than Android, iPhones tend
to be used much more for online activity while
Android phones tend to be used much more
for voice calls and text. In the US, for example,
where Apple accounts for only about 38 percent
of the 2015 smartphone installed base, its users
accounted for around 62 percent of the time
spent on mobile and 71 percent of spending on
mobile apps occurs on iOS-based devices.
43
Another remarkable change involves Face-
book. In 2010, Facebook was only six years old
and two years away from its IPO. It was only
two years before, in May 2008, that Facebook
rst accounted for more pageviews than MyS-
pace, which was the leading social networking
site during the mid 2000s. As of 2015, Facebook
provides three of the 10 most popular mobile
apps as measured by downloads by American
smartphone mobile media users.
44
Facebook it-
self is the most popular mobile app, Facebook
Messenger is the third most popular mobile
app, and Instagram, which Facebook owns, is
the ninth most popular. Altogether, Facebook’s
apps account for 13 percent of unique visitors
on mobile phones according to a report by For-
rester Research.
45
Facebook makes money by
selling advertising that reaches people who vis-
it its properties. According to eMarketer, Face-
book’s share of the US mobile advertising rev-
43 Canalys, “Worldwide Smartphone/Mobile Phone Installed
Base Forecasts (Consolidated),” June 2015; comScore, “Mobile Met-
rix,” April 2015; App Annie, “Store Intelligence,” June 2015.
44 https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Market-Rankings/
comScore-Reports-August-2015-US-Smartphone-Subscriber-Market-
Share,
45 http://www.cio.com/article/2943866/mobile-apps/face-
book-and-google-dominate-time-spent-with-mobile-apps.html,
42
enues is expected to grow from 18.5 percent
in 2014 to 20.3 percent by 2017. Meanwhile,
Google’s share of overall advertising revenues
is projected to drop from 37.0 percent to 31.7
percent in the same period.
46
Microsoft’s fortunes online have faded since
2010 although it remains an immensely prot-
able rm as a result of its licenses for its Windows
desktop and server operating system and its Of-
ce productivity app. In 2007, Microsoft was the
second largest provider of operating systems
for smart mobile phones with a 13.7 percent
share of smart mobile phones; this share under-
states its importance because the leader was
Symbian, which was not a good platform for
app developers. It was widely expected by an-
alysts that Microsoft would leverage its success
on the desktop to mobile. Eight years later, as
of July 2015, rather than being the leader Mic-
rosoft accounted for only about 2.7 percent of
all smart mobile phone subscribers.
47
Moreover,
Microsoft has virtually no presence as a mobile
app provider—its worldwide share of mobile
app downloads on Google Play and the iOS
App Store is only 1 percent for free apps and
3 percent for paid apps, and its share of total
mobile minutes in the United States for all of its
properties is only 1 percent.
48
Google remains a signicant online play-
er and highly valuable company. Its various
properties account for about 12 percent of the
time people spend on smart mobile phones.49
The company, however, faces a very different
competitive environment on app-based smart
46 http://blogs.wsj.com/cmo/2015/09/08/facebook-projected-
to-narrow-mobile-ad-gap-with-google-as-emarketer-reverses-forecast/.
47 https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Market-Rankings/
comScore-Reports-July-2015-US-Smartphone-Subscriber-Market-
Share.
48 App Annie, “Store Intelligence,” June 2015; comScore,
“Mobile Metrix,” April 2015.
49 Cio, “Facebook and Google dominate time spent with
mobile apps”, http://www.cio.com/article/2943866/mobile-apps/face-
book-and-google-dominate-time-spent-with-mobile-apps.html; http://
techcrunch.com/2015/06/22/consumers-spend-85-of-time-on-smart-
phones-in-apps-but-only-5-apps-see-heavy-use/#.jkexdnu:5bJy.
mobile devices than it faced on the web-brow-
er-based desktop. The heavy use of mobile
apps, together with the natural use of voice on
smart mobile phones, has opened up a new
battleground for search. Apple, Google, and
others are developing new methods of search
that can canvass the vast amount of content
being generated within mobile apps, which are
not indexed by existing search engines, and
new methods of interacting with the mobile
device to conduct searches.
50
With the release
of iOS 9 in September 2015, Apple redesigned
Spotlight to include search results from content
within apps, apparently in an attempt to steer
users towards apps and away from websites.
51
Facebook recently launched search across
postings on its properties, which are walled off
from search engines and now include many
mobile-based postings.
52
While predicting the future is quite hazardous,
the history of dynamic competition in the online
economy, the rapid move from the PC-brows-
er centric model to the smart mobile-app-cen-
tric model, and the surge of investment in mo-
bile-app based startups, all suggest that 2020
will look dramatically different from 2015.
That is especially likely in historically poorer
but now fast-growing economies. What’s hap-
pening in India, which we detail next, is hap-
pening in many developing countries to vary-
ing degrees.
50 Contently, “Google and Apple Are in a War for the Future of
Search”, https://contently.com/strategist/2015/08/17/google-and-apple-
are-in-a-war-for-the-future-of-search/; http://www.ibtimes.com/apple-
incs-ios-9-spotlight-app-search-could-make-google-obsolete-indexing-
content-210083.
51 Salvador Rodriguez, “Apple Inc.’s iOS 9 Spotlight In-App
Search could Make Google Obsolete by Indexing Content From Ev-
ery App You Own 9And Some You Don’t),” International Business
Times, September 17, 2015, http://www.ibtimes.com/apple-incs-ios-
9-spotlight-app-search-could-make-google-obsolete-indexing-con-
tent-2100836.
52 Nick Statt, “Facebook is Unleashing Universal Search
Across its Entire Social Network,” The Verge, October 22, 2015, http://
www.theverge.com/2015/10/22/9587122/new-facebook-search-all-
public-posts.
43
III. How Mobile Is Disrupting Online in
Fast-Growing Economies: the Case of
India
India’s Internet population of 243 million is
the third largest in the world, after China with
642 million and the U.S. with 280 million, as of
July 2014.
53
The number of Internet users in In-
dia is expected to register exponential growth,
reaching an estimated 500 million by 2017, mak-
ing it the second largest population of Internet
users. The economic impact of this growth is
signicant. In 2013, the Internet contributed 2.7
percent of India’s GDP (USD 60 billion).
54
It is es-
timated to increase to over 4 percent of GDP
by 2020 and employ nearly 22 million people.
55
Beyond the contribution to GDP, the impact
of the Internet in India is manifest in improved
quality of life and empowerment of the coun-
try’s citizens through greater and more diverse
information consumption, improved access to
government and essential services, and greater
transparency in the delivery of these services.
Indeed, the Government of India, through its
“Digital India” campaign, has identied provi-
sion of digital infrastructure, digital literacy of
citizens56, and digitization of services as key pri-
orities for the government in the coming years.
53 http://www.internetlivestats.com/internet-users-by-coun-
try/. Other sources give somewhat higher estimates for the number of
Internet users in India. Internet and Mobile Association of India (IMAI)
and KPMG, “India on the Go: Mobile Internet Vision 2017,” http://rtn.
asia/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Report.pdf. It is estimated at over
340 million by December 2015 according to http://www.internetlives-
tats.com/internet-users/india/.
54 Boston Consulting Group and IMAI, “India@Digital.
Bharat: Creating a $200 Billion Internet Economy,” January 2015,
http://www.bcgindia.com/documents/le180687.pdf.
55 McKinsey, “Online and Upcoming: The Internet’s Impact on
India,” March 2013, http://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mckinsey%20
ofces/india/pdfs/online_and_upcoming_the_internets_impact_on_in-
dia.ashx. .
56 The National Digital Literacy Mission (NDLM) of the Gov-
ernment of India envisions imparting IT training to nearly 5.2 million
persons in the country so as to enable them to actively and effectively
participate in the democratic and developmental process and also en-
hance their livelihood.
For India, though, online is now, and will be,
centered on mobile.
A. Role of the Mobile Internet
The mobile Internet has led the exponen-
tial growth in the online economy in India. As
shown in Figures 3a and 3b, wireless Internet
has leapfrogged the wireline Internet access.
Mobile devices are the dominant ramp to the
Internet in India with 34 percent of Indians ac-
cessing the Internet exclusively from mobile de-
vices in 2014. As of March 2014, the PC pene-
tration rate in India was 5 percent in contrast to
75 percent for mobile devices.
57
Not surprisingly,
industry esti
mat
es
58
suggest that mobile Internet
users comprised over 60 percent of the online
population in 2014 and are expected to com-
prise 70-80 percent of the online population in
2018, representing a CAGR of 27.8 percent for
the period 2014-2018.
Figure 3a: Growth in Wireline versus Wireless
Internet Connections
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Internet Connections in India (in millions), 2013-2017(P)
150
24 20 22 25
27
210
Wireline
Wireless
273
337
402
Source: Internet and Mobile Association of India (IMAI) and KPMG,
“India on the Go: Mobile Internet Vision 2017,” http://rtn.asia/wp-con-
tent/uploads/2015/07/Report.pdf.
57 Ericsson, “Ericsson Mobility Report,” June 2014, http://
www.ericsson.com/res/docs/2015/ericsson-mobility-report-june-2015.
pdf.
58 Avendus,“India’s Mobile Internet: the revolution has be-
gun”, 2013, http://www.avendus.com/media/1366/avendus_india_mo-
bile_internet.pdf.
44
Figure 3b:
Growth in Mobile Internet Subscriptions
Source: Brookings (India), http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/
techtank/posts/2015/03/18-mobile-technology-india.
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Internet in India
Year
Mobile Internet
Subscriptions per 100 people
BROOKINGS
1
5
15
30
01
73
71
At the heart of the growth in the mobile Inter-
net population in India are two market factors,
notably, growth in affordable smartphones and
tablets, and improved performance of network
infrastructure of telecom operators at lower
costs of ownership. As shown in Figure 4, smart-
phone sales in India have had very high growth
over the last ve years, making the country the
third largest smartphone market in the world.
Although the smartphone penetration rate in
India is low at around 19 percent the average
annual growth rate in smartphone sales be-
tween 2013 and 2015 estimated at 121 percent
is very high.
59
The equivalent growth in China during the
same period is estimated at 31 percent. Re-
markably, annual smartphone shipments in-
creased almost ten-fold between 2012 and
2015. Helped by declining average selling pric-
es, increased competition and rising disposable
incomes, the Indian smartphone industry is likely
to sustain these high growth levels.
Figure 4: Growth in Smartphone Shipments,
2009-2014
59 http://www.bgr.in/news/smartphone-shipments-in-india-
grew-229-percent-in-q3-2013-idc/; http://www.digitimes.com/news/
a20151125PB200.html
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(P)
Smartphone Shipments in India (millions)
2.2
5.5
10.1
15.1
41.1
80
114
Source: International Data Corporation (IDC), KPMG
In addition to increasing smartphone sales,
the upgrading of network infrastructure and the
improved affordability of data services of tele-
com operators are key contributors to growth in
mobile Internet in India. Government policies,
including the National Telecom Policy of 2012
that seeks to achieve rural teledensity of 100 by
2020 and permits foreign rms to own up to 100
percent of the equity of telecom rms, act as
catalysts for investments in network infrastruc-
ture, especially in rural areas. While growth in
rural connectivity is likely to occur through slow
2G technologies, the latter is on the decline in
urban areas as an increasing number of cus-
tomers migrate from slow 2G to faster 3G ser-
vices.
McKinsey’s Digital Consumer survey nds that
nearly half of mobile users want to upgrade to
a smartphone and a third of these will adopt
3G solutions giving them reasonably fast broad-
band. There were approximately 82 million 3G
subscribers in India at the end of 2014 but this
number is projected to grow at a CAGR of
61.3 percent to reach 284 million by the end of
2017.
60
The amount of 4G data trafc in India is
60 KPMG-FICCI M&E Industry Report, “The Stage is Set,”
2014, https://www.kpmg.com/IN/en/Topics/FICCI-Frames/Docu-
ments/FICCI-Frames-2014-The-stage-is-set-Report-2014.pdf.
45
also expected to grow at a CAGR of 176 per
cent from 2014 to 2019.
61
The increased adop-
tion of smartphones is correlated with growth in
mobile Internet as well as increased revenues
since the average smartphone user spends al-
most twice the amount that an average mobile
user does on mobile Internet.
62
B. Key Online Players
As these trends suggest, mobile has become
important for online activity in India. For in-
stance, nearly 42 percent of e-commerce sales
occur through mo-
bile devices in India
compared with 15
percent for the US. As
shown in Figure 5 be-
low, in 2014, leading
Indian e-commerce
companies, including
Flipkart and Snap-
deal, obtained more
than 70 percent of
their sales (measured
by “gross merchan-
dise value” (GMV))
from mobile devic-
es as opposed to
Chinese companies
Alibaba.com and
JD.com that derived
40-50 percent of their
sales from mobile de-
vices. Similarly, more
than 90 percent of
Facebook's Indian us-
61 Cisco Visual Networking Index, VNI Mobile Forecast
Highlights, 2014-2019, http://www.cisco.com/c/dam/assets/sol/sp/vni/
forecast_highlights_mobile/index.html#~Country.
62 McKinsey, “Online and Upcoming: The Internet’s Impact on
India,” March 2013, http://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mckinsey%20
ofces/india/pdfs/online_and_upcoming_the_internets_impact_on_in-
dia.ashx.
ers
63
and 60 percent of Amazon’s Indian users
64
access the sites through mobile devices. The re-
cent launch and explosive growth of Paytm, a
digital payments company, is another catalyst
for increasing Internet and mobile commerce
in India.
The importance of the mobile Internet is re-
ected in strategies and investments of key
online companies that are idiosyncratic to the
Indian market. For example, leading online
fashion retailer Myntra has adoped an app-fo-
cused strategy, noting that 90 percent of trafc
and 70 percent of sales were coming from its
mobile app. Conducting business via mobile
63 http://www.bgr.in/news/90-of-facebooks-132-million-users-
from-india-come-from-mobile-phones/
64 http://www.afaqs.com/interviews/index.html?id=469_Over-
60-per-cent-of-our-trafc-comes-through-mobile-Manish-Kalra-Ama-
zon-India
Figure 5: Share of Mobile Trafc of Leading E-Commerce Players in India
46
apps enables the rm to leverage information
on the consumer’s location and social circle to
provide customized product recommendations
and timely promotions notications. Some rms
have given up on web commerce and have
decided to focus exclusively on conducting
business via apps. TruelyMadly, a dating and
matchmaking site, Tiny Owl, a food delivery
site, and RoomsTonite, an on-demand hotel
booking platform, are all examples of fast grow-
ing Indian online rms that have shut down their
websites, citing higher mobile trafc rates and
superior conversion rates for mobile Internet
customers in support of their strategy.
65
Firms that have not adopted an app-only
strategy have launched websites optimized for
the mobile environment, in general, and slow-
er 2G networks and areas with limited connec-
tivity, in particular. For instance, in November
2015, Flipkart launched Flipkart Lite, a website
optimized for mobile devices. The initiative was
quickly replicated by its competitor, Snapdeal
that launched Snap-lite. Similarly, Facebook
too has developed Facebook Lite, a mobile
website that uses less data, for India and other
emerging markets. Google meanwhile has de-
veloped ofine versions of YouTube and Maps
that people can use on their mobile phones
without consuming data and in places with
poor coverage. Browser companies too have
customized their offerings for the Indian mobile
environment. UC Browser, which has more than
50 percent share of browsers in India, incor-
porates a slew of features to compress data,
increase navigation speeds, and improve
download quality, all of which are aligned with
constraints in the Indian mobile environment, in-
cluding dropped connections, poor availability
and slow network speeds.
The importance of the mobile Internet in In-
65 Techstory, “Why Is Indian E-Commerce Adopting Mobile
Strategy & What It Means For Indian Consumers”, http://techstory.in/
app-only-strategy/.
dia is also seen in the mobile-focused business
models that characterize entrepreneurial ac-
tivity in the country. To illustrate, a sector that
has witnessed signicant start-up activity and
investment is hyperlocal businesses that rely on
geolocation awareness using the mobile phone
to enable local ofine services from anywhere,
anytime. In just over the past six months, over
$140 million has been raised by this class of busi-
nesses and over 28 funding deals closed.
Zopper, shopping marketplaces, PepperTap
and Grofers, grocery delivery rms, Swiggy, a
food delivery service, and UrbanClap, a ser-
vices marketplace, are all examples of start-ups
in the fast-growing hyperlocal space. Niche on-
line marketplaces such as those in the furniture
and decor category too are going hyperlocal
by partnering with ofine stores for a commis-
sion-based model rather than building a net-
work of designers, manufacturers and logistics to
create an online brand.
66
This category of busi-
ness models is but an illustration of mobile-rst
start-ups that are disrupting the traditional Inter-
net business in India. This transformation will be
facilitated by available of mobile-based digi-
tal payment services such as Paytm, which re-
ceived a $680 million investment from Alibaba
and Ant Financial in September 2015.
67
The rise of the mobile Internet, and the reduc-
tions in entry barriers has also made it easier for
domestic companies to challenge internation-
al ones. While it is too soon to know how com-
petition will play out in India Ola is challenging
Uber in the ride-sharing business and Flipkart
and Snapdeal are challenging Amazon.
C. Paths to Purchase in India
66 http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/startups/
startups-like-urban-ladder-fab-furnish-goes-hyperlocal-partners-with-
ofine-stores-for-commission-based-model/articleshow/49574337.cms
67 http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/banking/
nance/banking/alibaba-ant-nancial-invest-about-680-million-in-pay-
tm-up-stake-to-40/articleshow/49148651.cms
47
The increasingly widespread deployment of
mobile Internet in India, relying on smart mobile
phones, running apps, has important implica-
tions for buyer behavior and paths to product
search, discovery and purchase. Several in-
dustry reports worldwide nd that mobile apps,
such as those from large retailers such as Am-
azon and Flipkart, are used for search and dis-
covery by people with mobile phones in place
of using the websites, browsers and search en-
gines used in the desktop environment.
68
Indeed, a study by Criteo
69
nds that, world-
wide, apps convert at a rate 3.7 times higher
than mobile browsers in mobile commerce.
Similarly, a study by xAd/Telmetrics
70
on mo-
bile paths to purchase found that mobile users
in the U.S. that conduct retail research online
nalize their decisions with the help of sites as
Amazon, establishing the latter as a top refer-
ence for smartphone users narrowing their re-
tail decisions. The same
study found of the time
people spent on Am-
azon on their mobile
phones 79 percent was
spent using of apps ver-
sus 21 percent using the
web as of 2012.
Preliminary data from
India conrms these dif-
ferential paths to pur-
chase in Indian mobile
commerce too. Figure
6, adapted from a 2013
Nielsen consumer sur-
vey, documents the
“social” nature of the
mobile Internet in India,
68 e.g. http://www.mmaglobal.com/les/casestudies/xAd_Mo-
bile_Path_to_Purchase_Retail_FINAL.pdf
69 http://www.criteo.com/resources/mobile-commerce-report/
70 http://www.mmaglobal.com/les/casestudies/xAd_Mobile_
Path_to_Purchase_Retail_FINAL.pdf
where SMS, social networking and email and in-
stant messaging are the leading uses of smart-
phones.
71
Interestingly, the study nds that only
15 percent of Indian smartphone users use the
device to browse the web. This estimate is in
contrast to the case of China and U.S., where
the proportions of smartphone users who use
the device to browse the web are 75 percent
and 82 percent respectively. The Nielsen nd-
ings conrm the limited role of the mobile web
in Indian mobile commerce, and are consis-
tent with those of other reports, which nd that
WhatsApp and Facebook are the most down-
loaded apps in the Indian context.
72
Figure 6: Distribution of Smartphone Activity
by Proportion of Engaged Users
71 Nielsen, “The Mobile Consumer,” 2013, http://www.niel-
sen.com/content/dam/corporate/uk/en/documents/Mobile-Consum-
er-Report-2013.pdf
72 TNS, “Connected Life,” October 7, 2015, http://www.indi-
atechonline.com/it-happened-in-india.php?id=2011.
Activities performed on smartphones (India)
India
SMS
45%
17%
15% 15%
26%
13%
7%
11%
8%
7%
Email
Source: Nielsen mobile consumer report, a global snapshot 2013
Instant Messaging
Blowsing
VideoMobile TV
Apps
Streaming online music
Social Networking
Shopping
Mobile Banking
48
The buyer behavior discussed above is con-
sistent with differential paths to purchase docu-
mented in Indian mobile commerce. As shown
in Figure 7 below, mobile search drives a mini-
mal component of the trafc to leading online
retailers such as Flipkart, Snapdeal and Ama-
zon; the bulk of the trafc to these sites is driven
either directly through their app or through re-
ferrals. We expect that much like the U.S., where
Amazon is a rst stop for 43 product of consum-
ers for product search (compared with Google
for 34 percent of users), as the share of sales
made by online retailers increases in India, such
direct and referral trafc will increase many fold
relative to that driven through search.
D. Evolution of Smart Mobile Ecosystem
Growth in the data services of Indian tele-
com operators, mobile content service provid-
ers, and most important, smartphone shipments
is likely to drive accelerated adoption of the In-
dian mobile Internet in the future. A 2015 report
by KPMG nds that smartphone sales in India
are expected to grow at a projected CAGR of
53.8 per cent from 2013 to 2017, a growth rate
that is signicantly higher than that in other de-
veloped and developing markets. Further, while
the high growth rate of smartphones in the In-
dian market has primarily been an outcome of
domestic players that serve the low cost smart-
phone segment, it is expected that the country
will also be a prime market for more high-end
manufacturers, notably, Apple.
Figure 7: Source of Trafc for Major Indian
E-Commerce Platfor
Recent reports suggest that for the quarter
ending June 2015, Apple grew at 93 percent (al-
though off a signicantly lower base).
73
Apple
73 http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2015-07-23/
news/64773018_1_iphone-idc-india-tim-cook
Source: http://trak.in/tags/business/2014/06/04/top-10-indian-e-commerce-sites-comparison/.
49
has engaged in aggressive pricing and market-
ing strategies in India to stoke this growth. It has
discounted the iPhone4S and has introduced
buybacks and upgrade offers for the new iP-
hone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus. It has also been offer-
ing discounts and increasing its retail presence
through smaller-sized stores that target second
and third tier cities in the Indian market.
IV. Implications for Antitrust Analysis
The preceding discussion highlights funda-
mental changes in technology infrastructures,
technology adoption, technology use, and
conduct of business activity over the Internet.
These changes are transforming boundaries
between existing industries, creating overlap
between previously separate markets, and al-
tering competitive forces and actors in these
markets. These shifts have occurred not only
with respect to ofine vs. online commerce but
also within different forms of online commerce.
Competition authorities in developed and de-
veloping countries should factor in these chang-
es in how they monitor and govern the online
economy. Specically, the analysis of market
denition and market power needs to recog-
nize the impact of these changes, particularly
the move to smart mobile on demand-side and
supply-side substitution.
Changes in consumer behavior—in particular
how people discover, search and buy products,
how people communicate with each other
and with businesses, and how people consume
content—have important implications for ana-
lyzing substitution between various online and
ofine services. Consumers also have access to
many more options, in many more places, over
a much greater space of the day than they
had ve years ago. Consider something as sim-
ple as buying a new television.
Ten years ago a typical consumer in the US
probably did a search on their computer at
home, perhaps on a Saturday morning, of on-
line sellers and in doing that might have seen
some advertisements for physical sellers. That
consumer may have bought from one of the
online retailers or gone to some physical stores
to see what they had to offer and to inspect
some of the televisions available online. Today,
a typical consumer could easily do this on the
train on the way home or on their lunch break
using their mobile device. They could search
on Amazon, where the consumer could look
at offerings from Amazon itself as well as many
merchants that sell on Amazon Marketplace, or
check out information on their social network.
If they went to physical stores they could use
their mobile phone to compare prices, using
Amazon, Google, or various price comparison
apps, and decide based on this, while they are
standing at the physical store, to buy online or
at the store. Increasingly, people can also use
various apps to nd products, buy them online,
pick them up at the store, including televisions.
Competition authorities also need to consid-
er how the move to smart mobile and devel-
opment of cloud computing has altered the
supply-side of the equation. De novo entry is
far easier and cheaper as a result of the abili-
ty of entrepreneurs, as well as established rms,
to develop apps for mobile phones, that rely
primarily on the cloud-based delivery of ser-
vices and data analytics, and distribute them
globally to billions of people easily. The move
to smart mobile has, moreover, enhanced op-
portunities for entry and disruptive innovation.
For example, the rapid rise of Facebook as a
powerhouse in mobile advertising, challenging
Google, has resulted from the fact that Face-
book was able to develop a highly successful
mobile app and the fact that smart mobile is a
much better platform for social communication
since people can use it anywhere, all day.
The extent to which demand-side and sup-
ply-side substitution affect the analysis of mar-
ket denition and market power is ultimately an
empirical matter that needs to be addressed
50
on a case-by-case basis. The move to smart
mobile, along with other rapid changes in the
online economy, however, introduces new
considerations and expands the range of de-
mand-side and supply-side substitutes that
should be considered for that analysis. Function-
al approaches to market denition and market
power, which rely on comparing the detailed
features and functions offered by products,
are also increasingly less reliable. Consumers
and businesses use the features and functions
of apps, and mobile technology, in new and
creative ways that result in apps, which appear
very different, being used to accomplish the
same purpose. For instance, WhatsApp, which
is a messenging app, is being used in India for
e-commerce, and substitutes for Amazon and
Flipkart.
Market denition and marker power analysis
also needs to recognize the fact that the move
to smart mobile is changing the competitive
environment very rapidly and in unpredictable
ways as we saw above. For many areas of the
online economy in developed countries the set
of signicant players one would have identied
as demand or supply-side substitutes in 2010 is
very different that the set one would identify in
2015 or the set of players one would have iden-
tied in 2005. An analysis based on information
in 2005 would not have identied mobile-based
advertising as a competitive to web-based ad-
vertising and would not have anticipated that a
year-old company, Facebook, would become
one of the largest online advertising compa-
nies. Likewise, in 2010, few would have predict-
ed the extent to which messaging apps such as
WhatsApp and WeChat would obtain massive
global user bases and provide strong substitutes
for other methods of communication.
These changes entail that the analysis of
market denition and market power needs to
be forward looking—anticipating what is likely
to happen as this will affect the ability and in-
centive of rms to engage in abuse of domi-
nance—and modest and exible—since the
ability to predict the evolution of competition
has proven to be extremely difcult, and will
become more so as the smart mobile disruption
continues. This point is even truer in fast-grow-
ing economies such as India because the on-
line economy is developing much more rapid-
ly, from low levels, as mobile broadband and
smartphones reach critical levels.
The move to smart mobile, and the consid-
erations we have discussed, have four major
implications for antitrust analysis. In each case
we are recommending that competition au-
thorities exercise greater caution, not that they
adopt a laissez-faire approach.
First, apparent market power may not reect
real or durable market power because chang-
es in consumer behavior in response to new
technologies and the entry of new mobile apps
are likely, based on past experience, to provide
strong competitive constraints. It is increasing-
ly easy to develop new mobile apps to attack
market inefciencies, including that resulting
from market power. Previously separate markets
easily cross and overlap as digital technologies
lead to convergence. These changes expose
market leaders to competition from new play-
ers who speedily achieve huge penetration, as
well as to powerful players in adjacent markets.
Second, rapid changes in consumer behav-
ior and entry increase the likelihood of making
mistakes in the analysis of market denition and
market power. In static markets with well-de-
ned differences between rms competition au-
thorities can make judgments based on known
facts with great condence. In markets under-
going disruptive innovation, as is occurring in
the online economy generally, but particularly
as a result of the move to smart mobile, market
relationships are uid and are changing rapid-
ly. That disruption may give rise to an increased
number of complaints to antitrust agencies, but
the concerns of a traditional, potentially less ef-
51
cient, supplier may not be indicative of a risk
to consumer harm. Rather the rapid innova-
tion, often the cause of the disruption, may itself
be a sign of a competitive marketplace, with
consumers directly benetting from the lower
prices and better products brought about by
that innovation.
Third, there is a greater likelihood of rem-
edies having negative consequences. Since
we do not really know what the competitive
landscape will look like there is a lower chance
that any intervention designed based on cur-
rent knowledge will x a problem and there is a
higher chance that it will cause problems that
we cannot envision today. Put another way,
even if there could be a problem, any reme-
dy, in such conditions, may cause more harm
than good. Restraints on an incumbent rm
that is perceived to have abused a dominant
position, for example, could prevent that rm
from challenging even more powerful entrants
or other incumbents. Competition authorities
face a particular risk of negative consequenc-
es from remedies sought by companies that
have incentives to slow down fast-moving inno-
vative rivals.
Fourth, these same considerations make it
difcult to design remedies, or other interven-
tions, to correct perceived abuses of domi-
nance. A remedy that looks sensible from a
backward looking perspective may make no
sense in a few years, or possibly a few months,
after it has been put into place. The move to
smart mobile, for example, is at an extremely
early stage even in developed countries. Three
years ago people were still spending far more
time on the PCs than on their mobile devices.
There is no reason to believe that anyone can
predict what the world will look like in anoth-
er three years. Anyone designing interventions
needs to keep the limits of our knowledge in the
face of disruptive innovation rmly in mind.
We do not, however, want to overstate these
implications. Competition authorities need to
examine abuse of dominance allegations on
a case-by-case basis. There is no reason they
should stand down when it comes to the online
economy. They should monitor this important
sector of the economy vigilantly. There may well
be situations in which targeted interventions are
warranted. At the same time it would make no
sense to ignore the fact, which is apparent to
most people who use smart mobile phones in
their daily lives, that the online economy is un-
dergoing massive ux and that competition au-
thorities must be mindful of that in their analyses.
52
Failed Analogies:
Net Neutrality
versus “Search”
and “Platform”
Neutrality
Marvin Ammori
*
While many have lamented that the term
“network neutrality” is boring and unclear,
1
that
concept has inspired millions around the world
to le comments with national regulators,
2
and
led those regulators to take action in much of
the Americas, Europe, and Asia.
3
Perhaps as a
sign of net neutrality’s success in public debate,
some thinkers have started borrowing the word
“neutrality” for concepts that are supposedly
analogous to net neutrality, but really have very
little in common with it. The two best-known ex-
pressions are “search neutrality” and “platform
neutrality” (which apparently also encompasses
“app store neutrality), all of which have prompt-
ed discussion before regulators.
*
AfliateScholar,StanfordLawSchool’sCenterforInternet
&Society.MylawrmadvisestechnologycompaniesincludingGoo-
gle. Nonetheless, the views expressed in this paper are my own views
and should not attributed to Google or any other client.
1 John Olivers jokes about the term are perhaps the most
humorous—while also being accurate. See Marvin Ammori, “John Ol-
ivers Hilarious Net Neutrality Piece Speaks the Truth,” Slate, June 6,
2014.
2 Todd Shields, “It Took Four Million E-Mails to Get the FCC
to Set Net-Neutrality Rules,” Bloomberg, Feb. 3, 2015; Prasanto K Roy,
“India’s Fight for Net Neutrality,’ BBC News, April, 18 2015 (noting
over 800,000 emails on the issue).
3 Trey Williams, “Here’s How Other Countries Are Address-
ing Net Neutrality,” Marketwatch, Feb. 26, 2015
Whatever the potential merit of these two
concepts on their own (and there is good rea-
son to doubt their merit),
4
the supposed analo-
gy to net neutrality is awed and cannot justify
them. As I explain in this short paper, net neu-
trality is a specic concept backed by over a
decade of research and debate, descending
from common carriage, rooted in the partic-
ulars of the economics of Internet networks.
Search neutrality and platform neutrality lack
rigorous research or debate, are incoherent
new concepts unrelated to long-standing legal
doctrines, and the economics of “search” and
“platforms” are much different from those ani-
mating net neutrality.
The only thing that net neutrality has in com-
mon with search neutrality and platform neutral-
ity is the word neutrality. As a result, one would
have to justify search neutrality or platform neu-
trality based on different arguments than the ar-
guments that apply to network neutrality.
I. Net Neutrality
Net neutrality is the concept that Internet ser-
vice providers, which are mainly phone and ca-
ble companies in the US, should not be allowed
to block any websites or online software, nor to
technically discriminate against or in favor of
any of these sites or software, and should not
charge a fee for sites or applications to reach
users. In February 2015, the US Federal Commu-
nications Commission has adopted bright-line
rules against blocking, discriminating, and paid
prioritization. It also decided that access to the
Internet is a “telecommunications service” un-
4 Moreover, beyond failing as analogies to net neutrality, I
doubteither“search”or“platform”neutralitycanbejustiedonother
terms. See, e.g., Ryan Heath, CCIA, “The Wrong Suspect: A Debate
About Platform Neutrality Finds Little Evidence Of Consumer Harm,”
Project Disco, March 16, 2015; James Grimmelmann, “Some Skepti-
cism About Search Neutrality,” in The Next Digital Decade: Essays On
The Future Of The Internet (Berin Szoka & Adam Marcus, eds., Tech-
Freedom, January 2011).
53
der the US Communications Act, and therefore
subject to traditional common carrier rules that
applied to the phone networks. Phone networks
had been subject to rules against blocking calls
and discriminating, and network neutrality is ap-
plying that traditional concept to Internet ser-
vice providers.
5
Network neutrality is marked
by several facts.
First, there has been a lot of academic think-
ing about net neutrality. In the US, there have
been many, many academic conferences at
law schools, at economic schools, at business
schools; there have been dozens of expert
panels at the Federal Communications Com-
mission, the Federal Trade Commission, and the
United States Congress; there have been many
books, some very good, written on the subject;
hundreds of articles in law reviews; testimony by
the engineers who invented the Internet and the
World Wide Web. These experts have analyzed
the technical arguments; they have analyzed
the economic arguments, the competition ar-
guments, and the free expression arguments,
which do matter to many of the net neutrality
advocates. These experts have catalogued net
neutrality violations around the world, including
in the United States and in Europe. The research
is voluminous.
6
Second, the economic arguments for apply-
ing net neutrality rules are highly specic. They
include (rst) the notion that telecom networks,
particularly facilities-based providers, are likely
natural monopolies. Moreover, the US broad-
band market is marked by actual monopolies,
5 See In re Protecting and Promoting the Open Internet, Re-
port and Order on Remand, Declaratory Ruling, and Order, 30 FCC
Rcd. 5601 (2015) [hereinafter 2015 Open Internet Order].
6 Two good resources for arguments and citations are Barba-
ra van Schewick, Internet Architecture and Innovation (2010); Barbara
van Schewick, “Network Neutrality and Quality of Service: What a
Nondiscrimination Rule Should Look Like,” 67 Stan. L. Rev. 1 (2015).
as over seventy-ve percent of Americans have
only one choice (or zero) of a provider offer-
ing over 25 megabits per second of capacity.
7
In the US, only the incumbent companies that
were once monopolies—like Verizon and AT&T
and Comcast—dominate the markets even to-
day. There is no likelihood of that changing any
time soon and it has not changed for decades.
The monopoly (or at best oligopoly) on net-
works is durable. There are huge barriers to entry
in the market, both economic and governmen-
tal. On the wired side, a new entrant has to ne-
gotiate with every city and many private com-
panies for access to rights of way to lay wires in
the ground or to string them on utility poles. Even
with those permissions, the xed costs of serving
a community are often too high. One reason for
these monopolies is the overwhelming econo-
mies of scale deriving from very high xed costs,
although other factors include the difculty of
offering a compelling bundle of TV and broad-
band.
8
Indeed, in light of these costs, both the
phone wireline monopolies and the cable mo-
nopolies in the US were built under monopoly
regulation and with the federal and local gov-
ernments guaranteeing that the monopolist
would make a return on their investment. On
the wireless side, companies need permission
from the government, in the form of a wireless
license, which costs billions of dollars; after they
buy the license they have to build a network of
antennas and wires connecting them.
Moreover, these service providers have what
economists call a “terminating access monop-
oly” over the user. This economic circumstance
is the one that most experts, such as Barba-
ra van Schewick, emphasize, and the factor
7 FCC Chairman Tom Wheeler: More Competition Needed in
High-Speed Broadband Marketplace, https://apps.fcc.gov/edocs_pub-
lic/attachmatch/DOC-329160A1.pdf.
8 Daniel Frankel, “Google Fiber Chief: Program Rights Are
‘Biggest Impediment’ to Deployment,” FierceCable, Oct. 7, 2014.
54
is central to the FCC’s decisions in this space.
9
The most efcient way for me to get to Amazon.
com on my desktop computer is through my
Internet Service Provider. Once I choose one
company as my home Internet Service Provid-
er, the most likely way a website will reach my
desktop is through that provider. For many high-
data-use applications such as streaming video,
wireline Internet access is the only cost-effective
solution, meaning that the wireline provider fac-
es little or no competition from wireless solutions.
Relatedly, users usually do not choose multi-
ple providers of home Internet service. They usu-
ally have one home Internet service provider
and one wireless provider. And they treat these
two primarily as complements, not substitutes.
Because wireless ISPs generally have lower
data caps or provide throttled video, and Net-
ix even throttles its own video on some wireless
networks, users generally have to rely on wireline
connections for high-denition video streaming.
As a result, if a user’s wireline provider blocks
Netix, that user would likely not be able to
watch Netix in high-denition without chang-
ing wireline providers.
10
Finally, the switching costs are quite high, as
the FCC concluded. If my provider blocks Ama-
zon or Facebook, I can try to switch Internet pro-
viders. But I have to break a long-term contract,
and pay fees for canceling. Moreover, as noted
above, most Americans do not have options for
high-speed access, even if the switching costs
were low
.
That’s the economics.
Net neutrality also reects a policy judgment.
The judgment is that the users and creators of
9 The FCC’s reliance on this rationale was upheld in court.
See Verizon v. FCC, 740 F.3d 623 (D.C. Cir. 2014).
10 Sam Gustin, “Netix’s Shady Mobile Throttling Policy
Doesn’t Break Net Neutrality Rules,” Vice, Mar. 28, 2016.
applications, not the owners of the networks,
should decide the applications on the net-
works. The Internet should function much like
the electricity grid, where the users and the de-
vice-makers can plug in whatever they want,
without permission from the electricity networks.
That approach has led to great competition
and innovation.
11
(This is why, for example, net
neutrality applies to all Internet Service Provid-
ers—whether or not the provider has signicant
market share.)
Net neutrality is also a solution to an existing
problem. There have been violations around
the world.
12
And that is why the US has adopted
rules, and so have countries in other continents
such as South America and Europe.
Finally, those advocating for net neutrality in
the US have been primarily consumers, nonprof-
it organizations, small business, smaller startups,
churches, and democracy and civil society
groups. Somewhat famously, the FCC explained
that Google and Facebook were hardly en-
gaged on the issue, leaving it to small players to
advocate for the issue.
13
II. Search neutrality
Search neutrality is much different from net
neutrality. The concept is not extraordinarily
well-dened, but the notion is that search en-
gines, especially dominant search engines,
should not favor their own websites in the main
search results.
14
In addition, they should not favor
11 See Barbara van Schewick, Internet Architecture and Inno-
vation (2010).
12 See, e.g., Marvin Ammori, “Net Neutrality: A Solution to an
Existing Problem,”
Ammori.org, Apr. 16, 2014
13 JeffRoberts,“FCCOfcialSaysGoogle,FacebookHadLit-
tle Say on Net Neutrality,”
GigaOm, Mar. 3, 2015.
14 See Oren Bracha & Frank Pasquale, “Federal Search Com-
55
their own thematic or vertical searches through
boxes and answers.
15
For example, when
someone searches for a location in a general
search tool, search engines respond with their
own mapping results; Google Maps for Google
Searches and Bing Maps for Bing searches. Oth-
er companies offering maps would prefer if their
maps were shown instead.
The main object of search neutrality com-
plaints has been Google. A weather website
complained in Germany, a shopping site in
Brazil, and a restaurant comparison site among
others in the US, and each time the complaint
failed because Google was able to demon-
strate that including boxes and thematic an-
swers was good for consumers and there was
no evidence of Google manipulating results.
16
The leading article dismantling the concept of
search neutrality is perhaps James Grimmel-
man’s demonstration of the concept’s incoher-
ence.
17
The FTC rejected calls for search neutral-
ity, deciding that many of Google’s practices
reected those of its competitors and were, in
fact, pro-consumer.
18
mission - Access, Fairness, and Accountability in the Law of Search,”
93 Cornell L. Rev. 1149 (2008). See also James Grimmelmann, “Some
Skepticism About Search Neutrality,” in The Next Digital Decade: Es-
says On The Future Of The Internet (Berin Szoka & Adam Marcus, eds.,
TechFreedom, January 2011).
15 What it means to “favor” one’s own service is not a sim-
ple concept; is “favoring” the correct term for directing users to what
the search engine genuinely believes is the best result, when it is the
search engine’s own result? Who decides what the best result is, if not
the search engine itself? But I put that question aside for purposes of this
discussion.
16 Anunofcialtranslationof the Germanorderis available
at http://united- kingdom.taylorwessing.com/leadmin/les/docs/pdf-
german/Google_Weather_InBox_-_Court_Order_2013-04- 04_Unof-
cial_Translation.pdf. See also Greg Sterling, “Google Wins Major Anti-
trust Victory In Brazil, Does It Foreshadow Broader EU & US Wins?,”
SearchEngineLand, September 10, 2012; David Goldman, “Google
Dodges Major Antitrust Bullet,” CNN, Jan. 3, 2013.
17 James Grimmelmann, “Some Skepticism About Search
Neutrality,” in The Next Digital Decade: Essays On The Future Of The
Internet (Berin Szoka & Adam Marcus, eds., TechFreedom, January
2011).
18 Statement of the Federal Trade Commission Regarding
Google’s Search Practices, In the Matter of Google Inc., FTC File Num-
Whether there is merit to the theory of search
neutrality, it is not analogous to net neutrality.
First, the academic research is far thinner and
less sustained.
The concepts are far less understood and
have less support.
Second, the history is very different. Search
is not a traditionally regulated common carri-
er service or network; search engines were not
created as government-regulated monopolies;
they were born of competition in unregulated
markets, and did not need monopolies for in-
vestment.
Third, the economics are very different.
There are lower barriers to entry for search.
Entrants need not negotiate with cities for rights
of way, dig ditches and string wires on poles, or
spend billions on licenses and build a network
of towers. There are other costs of engineering
and infrastructure, but of a lower order, with far
fewer government permissions. In telecommuni-
cations, there have been almost no successful
entrants who were not once government-pro-
tected monopolies in the US. In search, there
are several entrants in the past decade and
venture capitalists funded 60 search companies
in 2013 and 2014.
19
Not only are the economic barriers lower, but
multi-homing is common and switching costs are
low. Users can switch from Google to Bing—both
of which are free—without breaking a contract,
waiting for a technician for a home-visit, or pay-
ing any fees. Shoppers consult on average 10.4
sources when researching a purchase.
21
Eco-
nomic consultancy Oxera showed that almost
ber 111-0163, January 3, 2013; Greg Sterling, “FTC Closes Google
Antitrust Case: ‘Law Protects Competition Not Competitors,’” Search-
EngineLand, Jan. 3, 2013.
19 Conor Dougherty, “Start-Ups Try to Challenge Google, at
Least on Mobile Search,”
N.Y. Times, May 3, 2015.
56
two thirds of consumers in France, Germany,
Spain, and Poland use more than two websites
or apps for the same task.
22
Users can reach the
competition in a single click.
And there is no terminating access monopoly.
So long as the network provider is not blocking
the site, a user can come to a restaurant-rank-
ing site by typing its URL into dozens of browsers,
multiple search engines, an app download, or
through Facebook or Twitter pages.
Beyond economics, there should not be a
policy judgment that search be “neutral.” The
whole point of search is to discriminate, to nd
the very best sites based on each query, and to
show them to users.
23
Meanwhile, the network
would provide most value as a general purpose
network, agnostic among uses.
24
Finally, the advocates for search neutrality
are not consumer groups or civil society, but
competitors. The FTC noted as such in rejecting
search neutrality arguments in 2013.
25
Indeed,
some of the main proponents of search
neutrality are telecommunications compa-
nies.
26
These companies seem to be deecting
attention from their own regulation, such as net
neutrality, and strategically argue for rivals to be
regulated instead. Few consumer groups have
voiced any support for search neutrality.
III. Platform Neutrality
Finally, “platform” neutrality is the latest en-
trant to the “neutrality” circle. It is also the most
confused and incoherent of the three concepts.
Generally, platform neutrality seems to mean
that online platforms are special and distinct as
a category, and also that this category should
be regulated in a category-specic way to re-
duce their power over all sides using the plat-
forms.
27
These platforms are sites that connect
some people to other people, which encom-
passes a wide range of businesses, such as mar-
ketplaces like Uber or Airbnb or eBay or Amazon
and entertainment or communications sites like
YouTube or Facebook. It also includes sites that
connect users to other websites, such as search
engines, or app stores that connect users and
developers, or dating apps that connect wom-
en and men, sites that connect employers with
recruits like LinkedIn, or that connect creators
with funders such as Kickstarter, and that con-
nect startups with investors such as Angellist.
The biggest problem with platform neutrality
is that these platforms have very little in com-
mon with one another in terms of their market
dynamics and characteristics. Devising ex ante
rules for a grab bag of “platforms” doesn’t
make sense. Plus, the remedies proposed are
very diverse, so platform neutrality is less a con-
cept than a slogan.
Many American nonprots, trade groups,
and startups have argued that the concept is
incoherent. These groups led survey respons-
es with the European Commission in response to
a consultation on platform regulation. Creative
artists, blogging platforms, handcraft market-
places, crowdfunding sites, and video platforms
all led explaining that the denition of platform
was incoherent and overbroad. Rather, they ex-
21 “The Zero Moment of Truth Macro Study,” Google/Shop-
per Sciences, April 2011.
22 “BenetsofOnlinePlatforms?”,Oxera,Oct.2015.
23
James Grimmelmann, “Some Skepticism About Search Neutrali-
ty,” in The Next Digital Decade: Essays On The Future Of The Internet (Berin
Szoka & Adam Marcus, eds., TechFreedom, January 2011).
24
Barbara van Schewick, Internet Architecture and Innovation (2010).
25 Greg Sterling, “FTC Closes Google Antitrust Case: ‘Law
Protects Competition Not Competitors,’”
SearchEngineLand, Jan. 3, 2013.
26 Nate Anderson, “Search Neutrality? How Google Became
a ‘Neutrality’ Target,” Ars Technica, Apr 29, 2010.
27 See also “Principles for Europe’s Digital Ambitions,” Me-
dium (collecting articles opposing platform regulation); Tom Fairless,
“EU Digital Chief Urges Regulation to Nurture European Internet Plat-
forms,” Wall St. J., Apr. 14, 2015.
57
plained, generally applicable law can address
issues in these markets, and a new regulation
lumping together disparate online businesses
could likely not reect any clear underlying prin-
ciple and would do more harm than good. For
example, the Internet Association wrote that
“regulatory intervention is not warranted be-
cause less restrictive solutions are not only avail-
able but already exist in the digital realm.”
28
Ac-
cording to Engine Advocacy, a leading voice
for startups in public policy, trying to regulate all
“online platforms” is “troublesome because it
lumps together a large set of companies, func-
tionalities, and systems. This dilutes the mean-
ing of the phrase and depending on how this
phrase will be used going forward, there is dan-
ger in regulating a broad swath of companies
that have little more in common than that they
operate online.”
29
The economics of all these “platforms” is not
extremely well understood, as these examples
include multi-sided markets, where the site has
to cater to both advertisers and users or to sell-
ers and buyers. Far from being conned to on-
line players, platforms have historically included
everything from newspapers to shopping cen-
ters, credit cards, and TV networks, and their
economics are all quite different.
There has been very little discussion from con-
sumer groups or nonprot organizations or citi-
zens clamoring for platform neutrality, at least in
the US. Indeed, based on the lings to the Euro-
pean Commission, the opposite is true.
30
To explore this vague concept more con-
cretely, we can focus on one form of platform
neutrality here—that concerning app stores. Un-
like net neutrality, there has not been tremen-
dous research in the area of app-store neutrali-
ty. While this lack of research is one reason to be
wary of jumping to regulation, it is also a reason
why I offer the following as somewhat tentative
thoughts.
First, the barriers to entry for app stores may
be signicant for an online service, but they are
nothing like those governing telecom networks.
Apple and Google have app stores. But so do
Amazon and Microsoft. There are also dozens of
smaller and regional app stores, such as the Op-
era Mobile store which has 30 million app down-
loads a month or Wandoujia in China which has
200 million users and 30 million app downloads
daily.
31
So the barriers may be signicant, but
not insurmountable. None of these app stores
are historical remnants of government-regulat-
ed monopolies obviously, nor do they need to
purchase licenses at auction or petition for local
rights-of-way.
Second, users can multihome and so app
stores do not have a terminating access mo-
nopoly. On handsets with Android OS, at least,
the user can download another app store
through the web or through a browser. Users
can also use websites if an app is not in the app
store. Sometimes a hardware maker or the car-
rier will preload its own app store or an inde-
pendent app store, and there can be multiple
app stores preloaded on a phone, such as both
a Samsung and a Google app store on a Sam-
sung phone.
32
To be sure, antitrust issues may be possible in
any market, including with app stores or plat-
28 Internet Association Position Paper on the Regulatory En-
vironment for Platforms, Online Intermediaries, Data and Cloud Com-
puting and the Collaborative Economy, at 2, Jan. 6, 2015.
29 Evan Engstrom, “U.S. Advocates Express Concern—And
Some Hope—For EU’s Digital Ambitions,” Medium, Feb. 10, 2016
(linking to Engine comments and many others).
30 Groups including Public Knowledge and the Center for De-
mocracy&Technologyhaveled.
31 See “App Stores/Service Providers,” One Platform Foun-
dation, http://onepf.org/partners/; see also Jamie Giggs, “The Ultimate
App Store List,” Business of Apps, Feb. 24, 2015
32 Dan Rowinski, “Why Samsung Is Cloning Google Play On
Its Smartphones,” ReadWrite, Apr. 25, 2013.
58
forms. One can imagine contracts keeping
competing apps out of an app store in some
aggressive way, or the owner of an app store
disallowing any competitors in its app store while
having enough market share for that to matter.
But traditional competition law can handle
that issue. A new concept of platform neu-
trality is unnecessary and perhaps counterpro-
ductive
.
IV. Conclusion
Hopefully this short paper helps shed light on
the stark differences between net neutrality and
search neutrality and platform neutrality. In my
view, the rst is well theorized and justiable. I
am not alone in that view, as net neutrality is
popular around the world.
But even were it not, net neutrality lacks com-
monalities with search neutrality theories and
platform neutrality theories. Therefore, it should
not be a good or bad precedent for either.
Search neutrality and platform neutrality must
stand on their own underlying justications, not
merely as analogies to net neutrality. And, when
asked to stand on their own, the two new con-
cepts appear wanting.
59
Antitrust,
Regulation and the
Neutrality Trap:
A plea for a smart,
evidence-based
internet policy
Andrea Renda
*
No. 104 / April 2015
Abstract
When they look at Internet policy, EU policy-
makers seem mesmerised, if not bewitched, by
the word ‘neutrality’. Originally conned to the
infrastructure layer, today the neutrality rhetoric
is being expanded to multi-sided platforms such
as search engines and more generally online
intermediaries. Policies for search neutrality and
platform neutrality are invoked to pursue a va-
riety of policy objectives, encompassing com-
petition, consumer protection, privacy and me-
dia pluralism. This paper analyses this emerging
debate and comes to a number of conclusions.
First, mandating net neutrality at the infrastruc-
ture layer might have some merit, but it certain-
ly would not make the Internet neutral. Second,
since most of the objectives initially associated
with network neutrality cannot be realistically
achieved by such a rule, the case for network
neutrality legislation would have to stand on dif-
ferent grounds. Third, the fact that the Internet is
not neutral is mostly a good thing for end users,
who benet from intermediaries that provide
them with a selection of the over-abundant in-
formation available on the Web. Fourth, search
neutrality and platform neutrality are funda-
mentally awed principles that contradict the
economics of the Internet. Fifth, neutrality is a
very poor and ineffective recipe for media plu-
ralism, and as such should not be invoked as the
basis of future media policy. All these conclu-
sions have important consequences for the de-
bate on the future EU policy for the Digital Single
Market
.
I. Introduction
Recently, EU policymakers seem to have be-
come obsessed by the concept of ‘neutrality’
when discussing future digital policy. This is true
not only for the well-known and long-lasting de-
bate on ‘network neutrality’, which refers to the
impossibility for an Internet Service Provider (ISP)
to discriminate between the bits of trafc ow-
ing on the portion of the network it manages.
1
The past few months have seen the concept
of neutrality spread like an oil spot, giving rise
to neologisms such as ‘search neutrality’ (e.g.
in the Google antitrust case), ‘device neutral-
ity’ (as invoked by the European Parliament
already in 2011), and lately ‘platform neutrali-
ty’ (as endorsed at the end of 2014 by French
1 SeetherstcontributionintheliteraturebyT.Wu(2003),
“Network neutrality, broadband discrimination”, Journal on Telecom-
municationsandHighTechnologyLaw,Vol.2,pp.141–178.Therst
response to the net neutrality problem was given by C.S. Yoo (2004),
“Would Mandating Broadband Network Neutrality Help or Hurt Com-
petition?: A Comment on the End-to-End Debate”, Journal on Tele-
communications and High Technology Law, Vol. 3 and elaborated later
in C.S. Yoo (2005), “Beyond Network Neutrality”, Harvard Journal
on Telecommunications and High Technology, Vol. 19 and C.S. Yoo
(20018), “Network Neutrality, Consumers, and Innovation”, University
of Chicago Legal Forum. For an illustration of the network neutrality
debate, see A. Renda (2008), “I own the pipes, you call the tune: The net
neutrality debate and its (ir)relevance for Europe”, CEPS Special Re-
ports, CEPS, Brussels, and A. Renda (2011), “Neutrality and Diversity
in the Internet Ecosystem”, CEPS Special Report, CEPS, Brussels. See
also, for a literature review and a progress report, Jan Krämer, Lukas
Wiewiorra and Christof Weinhardt (2013), "Net neutrality: A progress
report", Telecommunications Policy, Vol. 37(9), pp. 794-813.
*
Andrea Renda is Senior Fellow in the Regulatory Affairs re-
search unit at CEPS.
60
and German governments).
2
In all this, EU pol-
iticians, and especially Members of the Euro-
pean Parliament, intuitively attach a positive
meaning to the word: they would never dare
to vote against it, as this would portray them as
enemies of the public good, and in particular of
end users. Not surprisingly, the Parliament’s vote
on the Connected Continent package in April
2014 pointed at a much stricter view of neutrali-
ty than the one originally proposed by the Euro-
pean Commission. Similarly, in the United States,
net neutrality was publicly endorsed by Barack
Obama in a message recorded at the end of
2014, in which the US President called on the
Federal Communications Commission to strong-
ly endorse net neutrality in its revision of the 2010
Open Internet Order. The FCC, formally an in-
dependent agency, eventually followed the
desiderata of the President by casting a vote
in favour of network neutrality on 26 February
2015. The unprecedented feature of that vote
was that net neutrality was presented, more
than a mere regulatory issue, as a fundamental
right of the end users, thus calling for protection
at a higher, constitutional level.
3
All in all, reality suggests that no politician
feels comfortable when standing against the
‘neutrality’ totem. And indeed, there are many
reasons to believe that neutrality is, in many cir-
cumstances, a useful attribute for the Internet:
but it amounts to a means, not an end in itself.
At the same time, a closer look raises doubts as
to whether neutrality, applied to the Internet
ecosystem, is always the best choice for end
2 See the European Parliament’s Resolution of 17 Novem-
ber 2011 on the open internet and net neutrality in Europe (www.
europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?pubRef=-//EP//TEXT+TA+P7-
TA-2011-0511+0+DOC+XML+V0//EN). On platform neutrality, see
the report published by the French national digital council (https://edri.
org/french-digital-council-publishes-report-platform- neutrality/). See
also J.-H. Jeppesen, “French and German Ministers Should Not Con-
fuse Platform Neutrality with Net Neutrality”, (https://cdt.org/blog/
french-and-german-ministers-should-not- confuse-platform-neutrali-
ty-with-net-neutrality/).
3 See http://www.fcc.gov/document/fcc-adopts-strong-sus-
tainable-rules-protect-open-internet
users or for society as a whole. Moreover, the
current state of the EU debate on Internet policy
reveals that, in many domains, EU proposals are
at once sanctifying neutrality as the Holy Grail
of the Internet, at the same time sneakily pro-
posing rules that fundamentally contradict the
neutrality principle. This is leading to the birth of
an array of new monsters, including rules that
seek to achieve net neutrality through 24/7 pa-
trolling of the Internet;
4
rules on platform liabil-
ity coupled with search neutrality obligations;
legislation pursuing media pluralism and access
to content through neutrality obligations; and
policy that pursues neutrality at the same time
that it seeks to segment the Internet through the
imposition of cloud localisation requirements.
5
In this brief paper, I argue that these rules are
fundamentally awed and critically detrimental
to end users and to the Internet ecosystem as a
whole.
1. Why did we want network
neutrality in the rst place?
The word neutrality has been given many dif-
ferent denitions and interpretations over the
past decade. Interestingly, if not worryingly, it
was used as a synonym of very disparate terms.
More specically, in the net neutrality debate
the following angles have been taken by com-
mentators and advocates.
4 See A. Renda (2013), “Net Neutrality and Mandatory Net-
work-Sharing: How to disconnect the continent”, CEPS Policy Brief
No. 309, CEPS, Brussels, 18 December (on the “Stockholm syn-
drome”).
5 The debate on cloud localisation requirements emerged af-
ter the Snowden revelations and gave rise initially to commercial offers
to store data within the EU (or a given member state). The debate on
the US-EU safe harbour framework is leading to proposed legislation to
force the localisation of EU citizens’ data within the territory of the EU
or any other jurisdiction with adequate data protection legislation. See
A. Renda (2015), “Cloud privacy law in the United States and in the Eu-
ropean Union”, forthcoming in Regulating the Cloud: Policy for Com-
puting Infrastructure, Christopher S. Yoo and Jean-François Blanchette
(eds), Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
61
• Anonymity. When the network neutrali-
ty debate was in its infancy, in the early
1990s, neutrality was considered as a key
safeguard to preserve a user’s anonymity
and freedom to upload and download
any content without being inspected
or prosecuted. This attribute was closely
related to the end-to-end design of the
network, which entailed that the intelli-
gence would be exclusively located at
the edges of the Internet (i.e. with end us-
ers), and not at the core.
6
Early legislation,
such as, inter alia, the 1998 Digital Millen-
nium Copyright Act in the United States
and the 2000 E-Commerce Directive in
the EU, reected this original design: ISPs
(Internet service providers) were consid-
ered as ‘mere conduits’, and thus could
not be held liable for the conduct of their
subscribers. They could not (and were in
any case not supposed to) monitor user
behaviour and inspect trafc, just as gov-
ernments, too, could not monitor and in-
spect trafc.
• Competition and fair business practic-
es. Since the mid-2000s, and in particular
after the 2005 Madison River case in the
US, net neutrality was framed as a prob-
lem of competition between telcos and
over-the-top (OTT) players.
7
The concern
raised by the ‘neutralists’ was that verti-
cally integrated ISPs had a strong incen-
tive to block OTT applications such as
VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol), which
could potentially erode their revenues.
Even without blocking them altogether,
according to this view, ISPs may have an
incentive to intentionally degrade the
6 On the role of anonymity in net neutrality in the debate ani-
mated by David D. Clark, one of the original creators of the end-to-end
protocol on the Internet, see in particular D.D. Clark and M.S. Blumen-
thal (2007), “The End-to-End Argument and Application Design: The
Role of Trust” (http://groups.csail.mit.edu/ana/People/DDC/E2E-07-
Prepub-6.pdf).
7 See Renda (2011), “Neutrality and Diversity”, op. cit.
quality of OTT applications, in a way that
could tilt the competitive balance in fa-
vour of the ISP’s own products. This would
amount to a form of non-price discrimina-
tion, or a refusal to deal in more orthodox
antitrust terms. More recently, the debate
on anticompetitive behaviour by ISPs has
extended to so-called ‘fair business prac-
tices’ in vertical value chains: these are
most often related to the fact that, ab-
sent mandatory net neutrality legislation,
ISPs could intentionally degrade the qual-
ity of the most QoS-dependent applica-
tions, to induce them to accept to pay
a minimum QoS (quality of service) fee.
Even Tim Berners Lee, one of the founders
of the Web, recently observed that, ab-
sent neutrality legislation, innovative app
providers might be forced to “bribe their
ISPs to start a new service”.
8
• Innovation. Part of the debate on net
neutrality focused on its impact on in-
novation. This entails the so-called ‘next
Google’ or ‘next Facebook’ argument,
according to which, since the neutral de-
sign of the Internet has made it possible
for very small start-up companies to en-
ter the marketplace and become huge
players, modifying this feature would
jeopardise the stunning level of innovation
observed so far, raising barriers to entry in
the market and transforming the Internet
into a ring-fenced property of the ISPs. In
addition, should the Internet evolve into
a two-speed or multi-speed environment,
with some applications enjoying better
QoS than others thanks to the payment
of an ad-hoc fee, new entrants with limit-
ed nancial resources would be doomed
to occupy the ‘dirt track’ of the Internet,
and this would inevitably prevent them
8 See Brian Fung (2014), “World Wide Web inventor slams
Internet fast lanes: ‘It’s bribery’”, Washington Post, 19 September
(http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/09/19/
world-wide-web-inventor-lashes-out-at-internet-fast-lanes-its-bribery).
62
from showing what they’re great at.
• User choice. Quite often the debate on
net neutrality focuses on the need to en-
sure that end users have access to all the
content and applications they want, any-
where and from any device. Blocking or
throttling applications would, of course,
reduce the amount of information that
users can have access to, at any time.
Accordingly, legislation that allows the
creation of specialised services or ‘toll
lanes’ over the Internet, and even ze-
ro-rating offers that tie the use of a device
to access to a restricted number of inter-
mediated services would be contrary to
the fundamental principles of user choice
and empowerment.
9
• Openness. In presenting the 2013 Con-
nected Continent proposal, the Europe-
an Commission referred to network neu-
trality as “what keeps the Internet open”.
As explained by the U.S. FCC in reviewing
its Open Internet Order in February 2015,
“an Open Internet means consumers can
go where they want, when they want”.
10
In more practical terms, at the infrastruc-
ture level, this means that ISPs should not
be allowed to block access to legal con-
tent, applications, services or non-harmful
9 Over the past few years, zero-rating has spread in many
OECD countries. Regulators in Chile, the Netherlands, Slovenia and
Canada explicitly prohibited zero-rating, while regulators in Germany,
Austria and Norway publicly stated that zero-rating violates network
neutrality. A scholar who has been quite active in arguing against ze-
ro-rating offers is Barbara van Schewick of Stanford Law School. She
has recently proposed that the new FCC rules should explicitly ban two
types of zero- rating: 1) zero-rating in exchange for edge-provider pay-
ment and 2) zero-rating of selected applications within a class of simi-
lar applications without charging edge providers. See B. van Schewick
(2015), “Analysis of Proposed Network Neutrality Rules”, 18 Feb-
ruary (http://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/downloads/vanSchewick2015Anal-
ysisofProposedNetworkNeutralityRules.pdf). See also Antonios Dros-
sos (2015), "Guest blog: The real threat to the open Internet is zero-rated
content", World Wide Web Foundation, 17 February (http://webfounda-
tion.org/2015/02/guest-blog-the-real-threat-to-the- open-internet-is-ze-
ro-rated-content-continued/).
10 http://www.fcc.gov/openinternet.
devices (no blocking); to impair or de-
grade lawful Internet trafc on the ba-
sis of content, applications, services, or
non-harmful devices (no throttling); and/
or to favour some lawful Internet trafc
over other lawful trafc in exchange for
consideration of any kind (no paid prior-
itisation). More generally, the FCC estab-
lished as a more general rule that broad-
band providers shall not unreasonably
interfere with or disadvantage consum-
ers' access to the Internet.
• Mediapluralism andfreedom of expres-
sion. In the past few years, net neutrality
has also been prominently described as
tightly related to media pluralism.
11
For ex-
ample, in its contribution to the NET Mun-
dial Conference, the European Broad-
casting Union stated: “it supports a strong
regulatory framework for net neutrality,
reecting the fact that the openness and
non-discriminatory features of the Internet
are key drivers for innovation, economic
efciency and safeguarding media free-
dom and pluralism.”
12
The relationship be-
tween neutrality and pluralism stems from
the simple observation that if ISPs block,
throttle or in any way discriminate against
trafc, they might lter out unwanted
media outlets or intentionally degrade
non-afliated sources of information. An
ad-hoc EU High Level Group on Media
Pluralism and Freedom of Expression pub-
lished a report in January 2013, recom-
mending that “channels or mechanisms
11 See L. Belli and P. De Filippi (2013), “The value of Net-
work Neutrality for the Internet of Tomorrow: Report of the Dynamic
Coalition on Network Neutrality”; and also L. Belli and M. Van Bergen,
(2013). “Protecting Human Rights through Network Neutrality: Further-
ing Internet Users’ Interest, Modernising Human Rights and Safeguard-
ing the Open Internet”. Steering Committee on Media and Information
Society. And on free speech, see also www.aclu.org/net-neutrality and
www.savetheinternet.com/net-neutrality-what-you-need-know-now
12 See EBU’s position relating to the Commission proposal
for a regulation laying down measures concerning the European Sin-
gle Market for Electronic Communications and to achieve a Connected
Continent, 22 November 2013.
63
through which media are delivered to
the end user should be entirely neutral in
their handling of this content. In the case
of digital networks, Net Neutrality and the
end-to-end principle should be enshrined
within EU law”.
13
2. Is current net neutrality policy
tackling these concerns?
This section looks at the policy objectives pur-
sued by net neutrality, as described in section
1 above, and assesses if current approaches
have been, or are likely to prove, effective in
addressing the related concerns.
2.1. From anonymity to Big Brother?
Concerning anonymity, it is clear that the cur-
rent debate on Internet policy does not look at
the right to surf anonymously as a policy goal
per se, with some isolated exceptions.
14
This is
due to a number of concurring reasons. First,
the need to ensure copyright enforcement and
protection on the Internet has led to a gradual
relaxation of the ‘mere conduit’ principle that
entailed the lack of ISP liability for the infringing
behaviour of their subscribers. Measures such
as the French HADOPI ‘three-strikes law’ and
numerous other laws introducing a graduated
response to copyright infringement effectively
considered ISPs as cyber-police.
15
Second, se-
curity reasons have led to the explosion of mass
surveillance activities on the Internet, undertak-
en both by public authorities alone, and in coop-
eration with private Internet intermediaries such
as ISPs. The last generation of network and in-
formation security legislation, such as the recent
Executive Order on Cybersecurity adopted by
13 http://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/sites/digital-agenda/les/
HLG%20Final%20Report.pdf.
14 See e.g. www.torproject.org/.
15 See A. Renda (2011), Law and Economics in the RIA
World, Amsterdam: Intersentia, section 5.8.
the White House in April 2015, critically targets
intermediaries as potential facilitators of unlaw-
ful activities and encourages them to share all
relevant information about potential threats to
the resilience of the national critical information
infrastructure.
16
Third, the explosion of an array
of new applications and the Internet of Things
requires extensive packet detection and trafc
management in order to ensure communica-
tions at various levels of quality and latency.
17
Against this background, the EU debate has
rapidly moved towards protecting net neutrality
through pervasive monitoring of quality of ser-
vice, as already foreseen (although implicitly) in
the 2009 Universal Service Directive, which intro-
duced the possibility for national regulators to
intervene and impose a minimum quality of ser-
vice, should ISPs not intentionally throttle certain
trafc. The latest ofcial version of the draft Con-
nected Continent package, currently under tri-
logue between the European Commission, the
European Parliament and the Council, de jure
forces regulators to monitor the Internet on a
24/7 basis, in all portions of their territory, to nd
out if a given bit of trafc is being discriminated
against. Against this background, ensuring the
neutrality of the network no longer means pur-
suing user anonymity; rather, it is based on Big
Brother-like patrolling of the Internet, to ensure
that non- discriminatory behaviour is detected
and sanctioned.
18
2.2. Competition and fair business
practices: Is there a level play-
ing eld?
16 See Executive Order -- Promoting Private Sector Cyber-
security Information Sharing (www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-of-
ce/2015/02/13/executive-order-promoting-private-sector- cybersecu-
rity-information-shari).
17 See the declarations by Nokia’s CEO (www.cnet.com/news/
nokia-knocks-net-neutrality-self-driving-cars-wont-get-the-service-
you-need/).
18 See A. Renda (2013), “”Net Neutrality and Mandatory
Network-Sharing: How to disconnect the continent”, CEPS Policy
Brief No. 309, CEPS, Brussels, 18 December (on the “Stockholm syn-
drome”).
64
While original concerns on the anticompeti-
tive effects of trafc management practices fo-
cused on the ISPs’ potential to abuse their mar-
ket power (i.e. Section 2 of the US Sherman Act
and Art. 102 TFEU in Europe), today the issue is
often reversed. As a matter of fact, while it is true
that dominant ISPs could potentially engage in
anticompetitive conduct, such as discrimination
or refusal to deal, resulting in instances of block-
ing, or granting different treatment to equiva-
lent transactions (throttling, paid prioritisation),
EU policymakers are gradually discovering that
market power is distributed across all layers of
the value chain, and thus that potentially a
large IT giant could exploit superior bargaining
strength vis-à-vis ISPs. In Europe, this is leading to
rather counter-intuitive situations in which mo-
bile operators are considered dominant by tele-
com regulators and, at the same time, victims
of predatory behaviour on the part of large IT
rms.
19
All this is inconsistent with antitrust law and
economics, as dominance must be assessed in
light of existing constraints exerted not only from
rivals, but also from upstream and downstream
players.
20
A market player cannot be dened as
dominant by one authority, and as dominated
by another.
Competition between an ISP and an OTT ser-
vice can also be imbalanced if the former bears
costs that the latter does not face, such as net-
work maintenance and upgrade costs. Just as
network maintenance and upgrade are nor-
mally included in access charges determined
by regulators for new entrant e-communica-
tions operators that rely on the incumbent’s in-
frastructure under the EU Access Directive, there
19 See interalia http://bgr.com/2014/12/12/apple-iphone-an-
titrust-investigation/, http://www.androidauthority.com/apple-ip-
hone-carrier-deals-europe-examination-antitrust-abuse-176512/,
and http://www.zdnet.com/article/apple-under-european-investiga-
tion-over- iphone-ipad-sales-tactics-and-4g-restrictions/.
20 See Court of Justice of the European Union in Hoffman-La
Roche,deningdominanceasthepowerto“behavetoanappreciable
extent independently of competitors, customers and … consumers”; C-
85/76 - Hoffmann-La Roche v Commission, 1978.
is no economic reason why the same cost would
not have to be charged to those operators that
provide a similar service thanks to the existence
of a pre-existing telecoms infrastructure. Further-
more, if an OTT service ends up representing half
of the IP trafc carried by a single ISP, the issue
becomes critical: while it is true that the OTT ser-
vice creates positive externalities and increases
trafc for the ISP, not being able to monetise this
additional trafc can be disastrous for the infra-
structure operator. This is the issue that led the
DC Circuit Court of Appeals to decide against
the 2010 Open Internet Order in Verizon v. Net-
ix in January 2014. Furthermore, the relationship
between net neutrality and competition ulti-
mately rests in the principle of non-discrimina-
tion. To the extent that an ISP does not discrim-
inate between types of trafc, i.e. applications
that ideally fall into the same relevant market
(including, where appropriate, the ISP’s own
vertically integrated service), there is no reason
to believe that charging for minimum service
quality would be of any relevance to antitrust
law, let alone economic regulation.
Moreover, despite the absence of ad-hoc
neutrality legislation, OTTs have been gaining
market share everywhere in Europe: players
such as Skype and Whatsapp (now adding
voice calls to its successful messaging service)
have eroded the margins of ISPs without having
to pay for the use of the bandwidth. While this
is certainly a short-term benet for the end us-
ers, one wonders whether ISPs will nd it useful to
continue investing in an infrastructure that will in-
crease prot opportunities for other companies.
As a result, end users might suffer in the long
term due to lack of sufcient incentives to invest
in new infrastructure. Against this background,
the concerns about securing a level playing
eld that were raised after 2005 have led to a
situation in which the pendulum has swung to
the other extreme, with possible consequences
in terms of infrastructure investment.
65
In summary, net neutrality seems neither a
sufcient, nor an essential remedy for the per-
ceived lack of a level playing eld between
telcos and OTTs. The European Commission’s
current attempt to help national regulators in
considering, where appropriate, OTT players in
dening relevant markets is a more meaning-
ful approach to inter-layer competition than a
remedy that tilts the balance in favour of OTTs.
Depending on market circumstances, market
power might be found upstream or downstream,
thus in the hands of OTTs or telcos. But the rele-
vance of this debate is now weakened, at least
in the US, since the FCC is placing emphasis on
the ‘public utility’ nature of Internet access, and
is thus imposing neutrality obligations on all car-
riers regardless of their monopoly power: this re-
alises a quantum leap from net neutrality, from
regulatory issue to constitutional right.
2.3. Innovation and neutrality:
Friends or foe?
T
he fact that neutrality is essential for innova-
tion is a recurring mantra, especially in Brussels.
However, reality seems to be far more nuanced
compared to the ctitious, partisan statements
we hear on net neutrality every day. We at-
tempt to explain in plain words below why this
is the case, although the issue is rather complex
in and of itself.
To be sure, the original design of the Internet
has made it possible for companies like Google
and Facebook to emerge and quickly become
Internet giants (too big, according to some EU
policymakers). At the same time, the gradual
‘platformisation’ of the Internet has gradually
shifted the most turbulent and creative areas
of the Web into higher layers. The original, lay-
ered architecture of the Internet is now being
replaced by a patchwork of multi-sided plat-
forms operating with different business models
and with differing levels of openness.
21
Platforms
21 K.C. Claffy and David D. Clark (2013), “Platform Models
such as Apple’s iOS, Google Android, Amazon
Web Services and Microsoft Windows/Azure
are lowering barriers to entry for smaller play-
ers wishing to enter the Internet ecosystem.
22
At
the same time, importantly, such platforms are
being commoditised by applications that are
platform-independent: in most cases, this oc-
curs when apps are downloadable for free on
any platform, and then manage their custom-
er bill and data directly from the cloud. This is
the case of very successful apps such as Uber,
Spotify and many others. This blossoming rich-
ness and diversity at the app layer is one of the
key drivers of innovation in the current Internet
ecosystem. Entry possibilities are simply shifting
to higher layers, or downstream in this complex
supply chain.
23
Other issues must be crucially taken into ac-
count. Importantly, certain innovative services
cannot emerge without minimum quality of ser-
vice: think about Netix, but also e-Health, IoT
applications, innovative payment systems and
many others, which denitely cannot work if
they are not aided by some guarantee of ser-
for Sustainable Internet Regulation”, TPRC 41: The 41st Research Con-
ference on Communication, Information and Internet Policy, 15 August
(http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2242600).
22 See Manuel Palacin, Miquel Oliver, Jorge Infante, Simon
Oechsner and Alex Bikfalvi (2013), “The Impact of Content Delivery
Networks on the Internet Ecosystem”, Journal of Information Policy,
Vol. 3, pp. 304-330.
23 A deeper reection reveals that this has always been the
case in the history of the Internet revolution, and more generally in the
history of information technology. In complex systems with multi-lay-
ered value chains, strong indirect network effects and a modular de-
sign,certainmodulesbecomepivotalastheychieyaffectendusers’
preferences. This was initially the case of so-called ‘de-facto industry
standards’, such as the IBM processors, and later Microsoft Windows;
more recently they have taken the form of multi-sided platforms, such
as Google’s home page and Facebook’s social network page. In the fu-
ture, they are likely to become more centred on the Internet of Things
and content delivery: players such as Spotify and Netixare already
eroding the leadership of the GAFA (shorthand for American tech gi-
ants Google, Apple, Facebook and Amazon), triggering reactions such
as Google’s YouTube restructuring and Apple’s new music streaming
service. In all this, the tendency of innovation over the Internet is quite
consistent over time: large-scale innovation moves network effects and
leading platforms at higher layers of the Internet ecosystem, at the same
time commoditising lower layers.
66
vice quality and latency. Similarly, the lack of in-
centives to invest in new infrastructure can also
jeopardise the emergence of innovative ser-
vices, which critically depend on the availability
of sufcient bandwidth. Furthermore, new tech-
nologies such as 5G mobile broadband systems
will adopt a multi-tier architecture consisting
of macrocells, different types of licensed small
cells, relays, and device-to-device networks
to serve users with different quality-of-service.
Since this clearly entails trafc management
and prioritisation, it is not clear if pro-neutrality
legislation would lead to a major drawback in
the rollout and uptake of 5G networks.
24
Finally, net neutrality legislation at the infra-
structure layer can, under certain circumstanc-
es, divert investment incentives towards the
creation of private networks for the provision of
enhanced quality services: this might lead to
acceleration in the fragmentation of the Inter-
net, and an even speedier loss of neutrality. A
good example is the creation of large Content
Delivery Networks that interconnect with the
public Internet very close to the end users, such
as those owned by Netix and Akamai. I return
to this point below.
In summary, innovation can emerge both un-
der neutrality and diversity: the more the Web
grows, the more applications diverge in terms
of required latency and capacity; the more
user attention becomes scarce, the more some
degree of trafc optimisation will be needed to
protect the end user experience.
2.4. User choice and democracy
Is net neutrality really so effective in promot-
ing user choice and empowerment? To be sure,
it allows users to access all content of choice,
without undue discrimination. But it does not
protect end users against restrictions to con-
24 See, inter alia, S. Lauson (2015), “Suddenly, net neutrality
doesn't look so great for 5G”, IDG News, 4 March (www.pcworld.com/
article/2893032/5g-net-neutrality-may-be-headed-for-a- showdown.
html).
tent availability and application discrimination
applied by platforms located at higher layers.
A quick observation of current practice on the
Internet reveals that most of the discrimination
takes place at the higher layers, not at the in-
frastructure layer. Large platforms block or
degrade certain applications, and search en-
gines, by denition, have to make a selection in
order to prove useful for their end users. Whether
these practices are good or bad for end users
is a question that still awaits a good, evidence-
based, debate. In principle, behavioural eco-
nomics suggests that on the Internet, “a wealth
of information creates a poverty of attention”.
25
This, in turn, leads end users to increasingly rely
on any intermediary that is credibly able to se-
lect the most relevant information and offer it to
the end user, thus reducing search costs and,
more generally, transaction costs. At the same
time, it is important to reect on the extent to
which market forces alone could provide the
right incentives for intermediaries to select infor-
mation in a way that offers the best possible ser-
vice to the end user. And most importantly, as I
will argue below, there is reason to doubt that
neutrality in the selection of information would
be necessarily in line with the interest of the end
users.
Also, the jury is out concerning questions of
democracy. It is very important to avoid extrem-
ist stances in the debate: while neutrality can
in many circumstances contribute positively to
democracy, intended as the granting of equal
rights to all users and the absence of censor-
ship (at least at the network level), the com-
plete standardisation of Internet offerings has
very little to do with democracy. The prevailing
rhetoric in Brussels (and now Washington) is as
follows: since Internet should be treated as a
service of general interest, just like water, every-
body should have access at the same (afford-
25 See H.A. Simon (1971), "Designing Organizations for an
Information-Rich World", in Martin Greenberger (ed.), Computers,
Communication, and the Public Interest, Baltimore. MD: The Johns
Hopkins University Press. pp. 40–41.
67
able) terms and conditions. No one should be
able to access the Internet at a better speed,
or at more favourable conditions than others.
However, while this statement sounds very at-
tractive, in reality it is controversial. Is a world
in which everybody has access to the basic
postal service, but no one can have access to
express courier services more democratic than
the world we live in? Does democracy entail
that only public hospitals exist, and no private
clinics? Is it democratic to have just state high-
ways with no toll lanes, rather than forms of traf-
c optimisation based on users’ preferences?
Rather than mirroring democracy, full-edged,
rigid net neutrality rules are equivalent to what
the Trabant was in Eastern Germany: the only
car that people could have, very neutral, very
bad, very cheap, identical for everybody. It be-
came famous in the Western world when the
Berlin wall fell 25 years ago, and thousands of
East Germans drove their Trabants over the bor-
der: once in the ‘free’ world, they immediately
abandoned their ‘neutral’ cars, and started to
enjoy their new, non-neutral life.
As a result, the openness and democracy an-
gle of the net neutrality debate appears to be
heavily polluted by a layer of rather supercial
ideology. Once again, I do not mean to argue
that neutrality is always bad for democracy. On
the contrary, I believe that censorship should be
avoided at all layers of the Internet architecture.
At the same time, presenting democracy as a
situation in which only one Internet offer exists
for all users does not do justice to the richness of
user preferences and of the Internet itself. Once
again, reality is more complex; we need a more
evidence-based debate before we propose
unacceptably extreme visions of what is good
and bad on the Internet
.
2.5. Openness:
A means, not an end
On the question of ‘openness’, net neutrality
cannot be a stand-alone, self-sufcient solution.
While it is true that the Internet could develop
initially also thanks to the non-proprietary stan-
dards that govern it, it would be a mistake to
believe that once net neutrality is mandated,
the Internet would become open, let alone
neutral. Hence, the European Commission is
wrong in stating that net neutrality is what keeps
the Internet open.
Following the most widespread denition,
openness means that users can have access to
any content, anytime, anywhere and from any
device. But it is clear that the Internet ecosys-
tem has never been like this, and is increasingly
less so. Since the development of mass personal
computing, all business models on the Internet
have evolved in a way that mixes proprietary
elements with open ones. Microsoft Windows
was an early example of a semi-open archi-
tecture: it brought enormous advantage to its
end users due to enhanced standardisation
and network effects, despite the fact that it was
not interoperable with other operating systems.
Even free and open source software, initially
characterised by full openness (to the extent
that the rst licenses like the GPL were ‘viral’,
i.e. they could not be used in combination with
proprietary software), gradually became part
of largely proprietary business models. And as
a matter of fact, the real champions of open
source software today are companies that pos-
sess huge patent portfolios, and often use open
source software as a ‘Trojan horse’ to conquer
customers (e.g. IBM has become over the past
decade the most powerful sponsor of Linux).
In recent years, mobile access to the Internet
has been dominated by platforms that are not
completely open. iPhone owners cannot use
Android or access Android-specic or Windows-
specic applications, and vice versa. More gen-
erally, many great inventions at the logical and
applications layer of the Internet have initially
entailed a mostly proprietary model, and later
became more open. Forcing openness from the
very beginning might just not be a good idea to
68
start with.
26
At the same time, there is a more subtle as-
pect of the openness debate that is worth re-
calling here. As a matter of fact, it is not always
true that more openness is better. For example,
the usage restrictions featured by PDF les are
harming users’ ability to modify the les they re-
ceive: but it is exactly this feature that has made
the fortune of the PDF. Given restrictions on le
manipulation, documents can circulate much
more easily, and trust between senders and re-
ceivers becomes easier to establish. Likewise,
the closed nature of the iTunes-iPod- FairPlay
architecture has made it possible, for Apple, to
create the rst online store for legal music down-
loads with a sustainable business model. Any al-
ternative, including a more open architecture
with no vertical integration between the de-
vice and the format of the downloaded songs,
would have meant the failure of the business
model itself.
27
Openness of course does not coincide with
neutrality, and is broader since neutrality entails
strict non-discrimination between bits of trafc.
28
That said, since openness is not entirely a reality
on the Internet, neutrality a fortiori cannot be.
And indeed, it is clear that even with mandatory
network neutrality, trafc on the Internet would
be discriminated and toll lanes would continue
to abound. Just think about the growing role
that Content Delivery Networks (CDNs) play on
the network: players such as Akamai, Limelight
and Level 3 offer services that accelerate trafc
on the Internet, and are used by IT giants such as
Apple to ensure that services such as FaceTime
work better than the average, non-accelerat-
26 See Boston Consulting Group (2011), “The new rules of
openness’ (www.libertyglobal.com/pdf/new_rules_%20of_open-
ness6-en.pdf).
27 See Martijn Poel, Andrea Renda and Pieter Ballon (2007)
"Business model analysis as a new tool for policy evaluation: Policies
for digital content platforms", info, Vol. 9, No. 5, pp.86–100.
28 In practice, the two concepts are often used interchangeably.
ed application.
29
In addition, some other play-
ers have built this capacity to exploit in-house
caching rather than buying it from third parties:
this is the case for many players, including Skype
and Google, which invested in a private infra-
structure made of a large networks of servers in
order to be able to offer a better service to their
end users. Netix itself used Limelight until 2012
and later moved to an in-house CDN called
OpenConnect.
30
Against this background, one would con-
clude that the only way to keep the Internet
fully open and neutral would be to impose neu-
trality obligations at all layers of the Internet ar-
chitecture. Would this be desirable? Not really:
Internet freedom should imply also freedom to
experiment with closed or semi-open architec-
tures, and with vast differentiation of product
offerings to match different user preferences.
Conversely, being forced to accept openness
and neutrality has very little to do with freedom.
2.6. Net neutrality will never be an
answer to media pluralism
Media pluralism is one of the most pressing
challenges of today’s digital policy. While some
commentators originally expected that the In-
ternet would address the issue of pluralism by
exponentially increasing the sources of informa-
tion available to the end users, reality showed
that the provision of information on the Internet
is becoming even more concentrated than in
traditional media. This trend has been captured
well by Columbia University Professor Eli Noam,
who showed in 2011 that media ownership
tends to become more concentrated at every
new generation of communications, from radio
to newspapers, to televisions and the Internet.
29 See D. Rayburn (2014), “Apple Building Out Their Own
CDN To Deliver Content To Consumers” (http://blog.streamingmedia.
com/2014/02/apple-building-cdn-software-video-delivery.html).
30 Seehttps://openconnect.itp.netix.com/
69
The issue of pluralism was associated even
more strongly with net neutrality as govern-
ments have shown the tendency to violate
neutrality by shutting down social networks and
ltering out forms of communication such as mi-
croblogs, in countries like Egypt, Turkey, China,
Russia, Venezuela and others.
However, there are three main reasons why
net neutrality cannot be the answer to the
thirst for media pluralism evoked by many pol-
icy-makers and scholars.
Censorship, even if made impossible at
the infrastructure layer, can be exercised
by forcing intermediaries to lter com-
munication, even if no blocking takes
place at the infrastructure layer. One
clear example is the decision by the Turk-
ish government to temporarily shut down
Facebook, YouTube and Twitter until they
removed from their sites the picture of a
prosecutor taken hostage and killed by
militants in Istanbul in early April 2015.
31
Relatedly, media pluralism is not guaran-
teed at all by the absence of blocking or
discriminatory behaviour by ISPs. Rather,
it would require a similar approach at all
layers of the value chain, since content
could otherwise be ltered out by large
platforms, news outlets, cloud providers,
etc.
32
Even if no blocking, throttling or discrim-
ination takes place at all layers of the
value chain, neutrality tout court would
31 See “Facebook, Twitter to Appeal as Turkey Blocks So-
cial Media”, Bloomberg, 6 April 2015 (www.bloomberg.com/news/
articles/2015-04-06/social-media-blocked-in-turkey-on-prosecutor- or-
der-hurriyet).
32 In order not to increase complexity for the reader, I leave
aside here the rst amendment debate raised by Verizon in the US,
which raises the issue whether prohibiting ISPs from exercising edi-
torial powers on the content they transfer would amount to a violation
of their freedom of speech http://www.globalresearch.ca/when-net-neu-
trality-becomes-programmed-censorship-2/5434400 (last visited on
April 12, 2015).
not be sufcient to guarantee pluralism.
The reason is simple: pluralism requires not
only that a plurality of sources of informa-
tion is present on the Internet; on the con-
trary, it requires that a plurality of sources
of information is exposed to the end user.
Against this background, a neutral plat-
form would inevitably end up selecting in-
formation from the most popular sources:
the polarisation of sources of information
would be exacerbated, rather than re-
duced, by a strict neutrality requirement.
33
2.7. Summing up: What reasons remain
valid for net neutrality regulation?
The previous sections have shown that, re-
gardless of the intrinsic merit of the word and
the underlying concept, a lot more has to be
proven before net neutrality can be considered
as a universal principle, able to address all the
concerns raised with respect to ‘net diversity’
scenarios. Even the decision by the US Feder-
al Communications Commission (FCC) on net
neutrality of February 2015 is not based on any
in-depth evidence-based analysis, or at least
no such analysis has been published. As things
stand, net neutrality does not appear to be a
stand-alone remedy that would x any of the
identied problems, nor would it achieve any
of the ofcially pursued objectives as set out in
section 1 of this paper. That said, one should not
immediately conclude that net neutrality should
not be mandated at the infrastructure layer.
Simply no one has brought sufcient evidence
that this is the case, and probably the debate
has focused on the wrong motivations. Impos-
ing network neutrality might still be a good idea,
but for other reasons. In this section, I try to imag-
ine such potential motivations.
A rst reason why it might be a good idea to
33 See e.g. C.R. Sunstein (2001), Republic.com, Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press and C.R. Sunstein (2009), On Rumors: How
Falsehoods Spread, Why We Believe Them, and What Can Be Done,
Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
70
impose net neutrality is that the infrastructure
layer is by far the most stable in the Internet
ecosystem. Accordingly, it might be easier to
monitor practices adopted by ISPs compared
to what takes place at higher layers, where the
Schumpeterian gale of ‘creative destruction’
operates at the speed of light, making it impos-
sible to dene markets, detect practices and
administer sanctions. Net neutrality legislation,
in this respect, would mean keeping the Inter-
net open at the lowest level of its architecture,
and then monitoring the market at higher levels
to discourage abusive practices, which would
result in a violation of end-users’ rights to a rea-
sonably open Internet. This regulatory option, of
course, would come at a cost, i.e. the loss of in-
centives to ISPs to roll out new public infrastruc-
ture.
A second, related reason that might favour
pro-net neutrality legislation is that it is a lot eas-
ier and efcient to implement this rule, com-
pared to any of the alternatives
34
. This would be
due to the fact that, as I have noted in a previ-
ous paper, implementing legislation that implies
difcult judgments such as whether the open in-
ternet is being ‘materially impaired’ might prove
to be impossible.
35
What is material impairment?
When does an impairment become material?
How do we get to know the counterfactual (i.e.
how much would a given ISP have invested in
broadband infrastructure absent the neutrali-
ty provision)? Where in the network would we
measure the impairment? Would this be in a
sample of locations, or everywhere in the ‘last
mile’, or in each apartment? How would we
allocate responsibility between providers that
manage consecutive trunks of the network,
34 A similar argument, referring to net neutrality as a “bright-
line rule”, is made by B. van Schewick (2015) “Analysis of Proposed
Network Neutrality Rules”,18 February (http://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/
downloads/ vanSchewick2015AnalysisofProposedNetworkNeutrali-
tyRules.pdf)
35 See A. Renda (2013), “Net Neutrality and Mandatory Net-
work-Sharing: How to disconnect the continent”, CEPS Policy Brief
No. 309, CEPS, Brussels, 18 December (on the “rst legislate, then
think” syndrome).
in case congestion is slowing down a service?
Would this imply an ex-ante regulatory remedy
or an ex-post enforcement tool?
36
Which pa-
rameters will we use to judge whether impair-
ment is below or above the admitted threshold?
Which services will be taken as a benchmark for
QoS parameters? There is enough uncertainty in
these questions to make any legislator want to
run away from the issue.
A third reason why one would want to have
neutrality legislation at the infrastructure layer is
that this is a rst step towards imposing neutrality
at all layers of the Internet. As I argue in the next
section, however, and despite the current em-
phasis being placed on neutrality as a universal
concept, there are reasons to believe that this
would be terrible news for Internet users (see be-
low, section 3).
Finally, regardless of the underlying reason,
several key observations emerge from the pre-
ceding discussion:
Strict net neutrality regulation would re-
move some of the incentive motivating
ISPs to invest in the open Internet and
might lead to the creation of alternative,
private networks in the attempt to reach
end users with selected content (like
Comcast does in the United States).
In a related vein, treating the Internet as
a service of general interest, subject to
strict neutrality requirements, may lead to
enhanced public funding of basic Inter-
net access, aimed at avoiding all sorts of
discrimination between end users’ terms
of access and the ability to send and re-
ceive content. This approach might be
pursued at the EU level through a prior-
36 David D. Clark, Steven Bauer, William Lehr, K.C. Claffy,
Amogh D. Dhamdhere, Bradley Huffaker and Matthew Luckie (2014),
“Measurement and Analysis of Internet Interconnection and Conges-
tion”, paper prepared for 43rd Research Conference on Communica-
tions, Information and Internet Policy, Arlington, VA, 9 September
(available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2417573).
71
itisation of broadband investment in the
so-called ‘Juncker plan’.
Expecting ISPs to invest in the open Inter-
net without being able to optimise traf-
c or create specialised services, and
without being able to compete with
CDN-enabled content providers, comes
very close to “having your cake and eat-
ing it”, or what I referred to as the ‘Gal-
ileo syndrome’ in a previous paper.
37
The only remaining incentive for ISPs to
invest in better networks would be com-
petitive pressure exerted by other ISPs.
But either such competitive pressure is
already there (in which case, there is no
specic need to introduce net neutrality
legislation, according to many), or there
is a tiny chance that a less and less prof-
itable market, such as EU broadband ac-
cess, could attract signicant investment
and, accordingly, generate more vibrant
competition in the years to come.
3. Should we expand neutrality to
higher layers of the Internet ar-
chitecture?
While the network neutrality debate still looms,
the rst steps of the Juncker Commission seem to
have led to new efforts to extend the neutrality
principle to Internet ‘platforms’, including, inter
alia, wireless operating systems (Android, iOS,
Windows Phone) and web services managed
by Internet giants (e.g. Amazon cloud services).
These proposals echo the recent positions ad-
opted by the European Parliament (following
mostly the German and French governments)
on the need to adopt structural measures to re-
duce the market power of large Internet players
(notably Google) and to ensure the portability
of data across platforms to (allegedly) stimulate
competition and avoid user lock-in effects. This
37 See Renda, Net neutrality and mandatory network sharing,
op. cit.
trend conrms what some commentators had
envisaged a few years ago: that the neutrality
debate can easily spread to cover all layers of
the Internet ecosystem and be transformed into
a more general call for an all-neutral Internet.
Whether this trend will continue in the next Eu-
ropean Commission’s proposed packages on
the Digital Single Market and on Audiovisual
Services, both expected in the coming months,
is too early to predict. The European Commis-
sion has announced that it intends to launch a
stakeholder consultation on the possible regu-
latory approach to ‘digital platforms’, although
the contours of this initiative are still unknown at
the time of writing.
Below, I briey reect on two possible exten-
sions of neutrality principles that have been con-
sidered in the past months at EU level: search
neutrality and platform neutrality.
3.1. Search neutrality: Heaven or hell?
One of the most famous applications of the
concept of neutrality at higher layers of the
internet architecture is emerging from the still
rather obscure antitrust investigation launched
by the European Commission against Google,
reportedly coming closer to a nal judgment in
mid- 2015. From the few documents that have
left the premises of the European Commission
in the past months, as well as from the ofcial
statement of Commissioner Margrethe Vestag-
er on 15 April 2015 announcing the formalisation
of allegations against Google for abuse of dom-
inance, it seems clear that the most important
part of the investigation is related to Google’s
alleged abuse of dominance, consisting of the
manipulation of search results in favour of ‘pre-
ferred’ (often, Google’s own) content and to
the detriment of other results, demoted for var-
ious reasons.
38
Such behaviour, according to
38 38 See European Commission Factsheet, Antitrust: Com-
mission opens formal investigation against Google in relation to An-
droid mobile operating system, Brussels, 15 April 2015 http://europa.
eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-15-4782_en.htm.
72
the European Commission, has the potential to
foreclose smaller search engines such as those
specialised in specic sectors (‘verticals’), which
end up being disadvantaged vis-à-vis the giant
search engine powered by Google.
The main allegation against Google turns out
being one of ‘non-neutrality’: Google is thought
to unduly discriminate between Internet content
by providing a non-neutral, non-objective view
of the Internet. This implies, inter alia, algorithmic
choices that demote bad-quality services, sites
that only aggregate information without adding
new one, and ltering out of illegal sites, hate
speech and copyright infringing content.
39
But
the obvious counter-argument is that a search
engine is not supposed to be neutral: in particu-
lar, Google had just completed a transition from
a ‘ten blue links’ model to that of an integrat-
ed search engine, which entails more editorial
responsibility, and at the same time more rele-
vant and satisfactory results for the end users.
Paradoxically, the European Commission’s case
against Google is mostly summarised by this di-
vergence: the Commission accuses Google of
not being neutral, but any search engine, not
39 For example, in both investigations carried out by the US
Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and by the European Commission,
UK search comparison site Foundem was one of the leading claimants,
arguing that Google had anti-competitively degraded its ranking, caus-
ing loss of market share. As explained by Crane (2014), inter alia, the
FTC found that Google’s transformation of its search engine from a
“ten blue links” system to an integrated search portal, in which Goo-
gle itself takes more editorial responsibility, has meant innovation and
enhanced consumer welfare, and positive results also for the types of
content that were considered to be useful for the end users. Foundem
was found to be a lousy service, and as such demoted by Google in
what is denitely, and fortunately, a non- neutral search engine. See
Daniel A. Crane (2014), "After Search Neutrality: Drawing a Line be-
tween Promotion and Demotion", I/S: Journal of Law and Policy for the
Information Society, Vol. 9, No. 3; Marvin Ammori and Luke Pelican
(2012), “Competitors’ Proposed Remedies for Search Bias: ‘Neutrality’
and Other Proposals”, Journal of Internet Law, Vol. 15, No. 11.; Daniel
A. Crane (2012), “Search Neutrality and Referral Dominance”, Journal
of Comparative Law and Economics; Daniel A. Crane (2012), “Search
Neutrality as an Antitrust Principle”, George Mason Law Review, p.
1199; and Geoffrey A. Manne and Joshua D. Wright (2012), “If Search
Neutrality is the Answer, What’s the Question?”, Columbia Business
Law Review, 151.
just Google, would reply “why should I be neu-
tral?”
Should search neutrality be a policy objec-
tive at all? Indeed, there are reasons to believe
that a neutral search engine would be hated by
consumers. As I mentioned in the previous pag-
es, the key role of Internet intermediaries, and
especially search engines, is to eschew neu-
trality by selecting the information that is likely
to prove more useful and relevant for the end
user. It is this reduction of complexity that makes
them so pivotal in their role of gatekeepers of
the Internet: just like our brain simplies reality
to make the abundance of information in the
outside world more manageable and useful,
a search engine has to reduce complexity to
help us nd our way through the Internet. This
requires, inevitably, a ranking (and thus, a dis-
crimination) of results, which can be based on
relevance as well as on any other factor that
is likely to increase customer satisfaction when
using the search engine. As recalled by James
Grimmelman,
40
users continually return to a spe-
cic search engine because they nd the ‘bi-
ased’ or ‘subjective’ results to t their needs, not
because they nd the results to be objective.
Without entering into the merit of the Google
investigation, which would go beyond the sub-
ject matter of this paper, it is clear that advo-
cating neutrality for search engines is far from
being a straightforward policy stance. Apart
from what has already been explained above
(that users are unlikely to want neutrality in a
search engine), it is clear that implementing
search neutrality would be undesirable in many
respects. First, the polarisation of results induced
by search engines purely based on relevance
might lead to even greater barriers to entry for
new companies that seek to enter the market.
Since they have never been listed on the Inter-
40 J. Grimmelman (2011), “Some Skepticism about Search
Neutrality”, in Berin Szoka and Adam Marcus (eds), The Next Digital
Decade: Essays on the Future of the Internet, TechFreedom, and NYLS
Legal Studies Research Paper No. 10/11 #20 (available at SSRN: http://
ssrn.com/abstract=1742444).
73
net, any crawling and mapping of the Internet
performed by a search engine would not nd
them. And before they achieve a minimum
scale of popularity, which would enable them
to appear in the rst page of a neutral search
engine’s home page, they might have already
gone bankrupt.
Second, search neutrality would need to be
veried, and this might require that Google, as
well as all competing search engines, disclose
their algorithms in a fully transparent way. How-
ever, apart from the fact that this would chill in-
novation by denying trade secret protection to
the result of massive R&D investment, it would
also expose the algorithm to attacks, as well
as strategic behaviour aimed at exploiting the
weaknesses of the algorithm to rank better in its
results. Even this outcome would not be neutral
in the end
41
.
Third, and relatedly, such a remedy is being
proposed as an antitrust remedy, although the
current debate on platform regulation also hints
at search neutrality as a way to promote plu-
ralism (see next section). As an antitrust reme-
dy, however, search neutrality requires a nding
of dominance within a given relevant market,
and this is prohibitively difcult to imagine if one
takes antitrust seriously. More specically, dom-
inance – let alone its abuse – requires a situa-
tion in which an undertaking is able to behave,
to an appreciable extent, independently of its
competitors, customers and consumers. In other
words, a situation in which a company is able to
sit down and relax since no one is able to effec-
tively and seriously challenge its market power.
Notwithstanding the very high share of search
queries that Google holds in Europe, the deni-
41 The Financial Times reported on 16 April 2015 that a pro-
posal currently making its way through the French senate could force
Google to publish the details of how its search rankings are calculated.
According to the newspaper, the proposed bill would allow the coun-
try’s national telecoms regulator to monitor search engines’ algorithms,
with powers to ensure its results are fair and non- discriminatory (see
www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/643f49ec-e285-11e4-aa1d- 00144feab7de.ht-
ml#axzz3XGqpfF5O).
tion of dominance as ascribed by the Court of
Justice of the European Union (CJEU) portrays a
different situation compared to the one Google
seems to be experiencing in Europe and global-
ly. A market leader that constantly innovates to
preserve its leadership is not a dominant com-
pany under EU antitrust law, regardless of the
market share.
In summary, search neutrality is a awed rem-
edy, both in antitrust terms and even more as
a general regulatory measure. In terms of anti-
trust, it amounts to throwing the baby out with
the bath water, runs counter to consumer wel-
fare and should be dened at a minimum as a
disproportionate remedy under EU law. In reg-
ulation, it is simply an ill-conceived extension of
the important, but per se controversial, principle
of network neutrality
.
3.2. Platform neutrality and regulation:
Where all contradictions explode
The intrinsic contradictions of EU digital policy
become fully apparent if one considers the pro-
posals to regulate platforms and impose forms
of neutrality on online intermediaries that have
recently been tabled in Brussels. One of the
rst to use the expression ‘platform neutrality’
was the French National Digital Council (Con-
seil National du Numérique), which published
a detailed report on this same concept in June
2014, following a 2013 request from the Min
is-
try of the Economy and Digital Affairs as well as
the Secretary of State on Digital Affairs.
42
The
report argued that platforms such as so-called
GAFTAM (Google, Amazon, Facebook, Twitter,
Apple, Microsoft) maintain their dominant po-
sition by three main operations: acquisition, di-
42 See Conseil National du Numérique (2014), “Platform Neu-
trality: Building an open and sustainable digital environment”, Opinion
No. 2014-2, of the French Digital Council, Paris (www.cnnumerique.fr/
wp-content/uploads/2014/06/PlatformNeutrality_VA.pdf).
74
versication and exclusion,
43
and that in doing
so, they harm competition to the detriment of
consumers. In the following weeks, the French
and German governments explicitly called on
the Commission to establish regulation for es-
sential platforms, invoking neutrality as one of
the attributes of such platforms’ future con-
duct.
44
The debate also surfaced in the US this
year, when Blackberry CEO John Chen ofcially
complained that Netix had not made movies
available for Blackberry phones, and invoking
platform neutrality – or ‘app neutrality’ – as a
much-needed remedy.
45
The echo of these calls is also heard inside
the European Commission. Some of the leaked
documents related to the upcoming policy ini-
tiatives on the Connected Continent and the
Digital Single Market hint at platforms as, very
generically, multi-sided markets where suppli-
ers and consumers of content, goods and ser-
vices meet. In consideration of the fact that
more than one third of Internet trafc goes to
the only 1% of websites which are used in all
member states, these ‘platforms’ are thought to
signicantly alter consumer choice by providing
misleading information. Reference is also made
to the difculty for consumers in distinguishing
between organic and paid-for search results, as
well as the ‘ranking’ (order) of results. Being so
43 Platforms buy innovative start-ups that could threaten their
dominance in the long run and/or that can be fruitfully integrated in
theirexistinginfrastructureinordertoprovideamorediversiedplat-
form. The report lists the acquisitions of the GAFTAM from 2010 to
January 2014, which shows that these platforms have been engaging in
acquisitionanddiversication.Thelastmainmoveoftheplatformsis
exclusion. For instance, the report argues that, when Google introduced
Google Maps and Google Shopping, the trafc of websites offering
similarservicesdroppedsignicantlybecausetheirpageranksuddenly
worsened.
44 See i.a. “Europe's demands on Google mount”, Financial
Times, 26 November 2014 (www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/66b5149e-758a-
11e4-b082-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3WpR2sSn7).
45 See Karl Bode, “No, 'App Neutrality' Is Not A Thing”,
13 February 2015 (www.techdirt.com/blog/netneutrality/arti-
cles/20150122/08093329777/no-app-neutrality-is-not- thing.shtml).
powerful, platforms can also impose unfair con-
tractual clauses to SMEs. Moreover, the digital
single market is perceived as negatively affect-
ed by the lack of interoperability between plat-
forms, and in particular by the fact that some
apps only run on specic operating systems,
some e-books are readable only by specic
e-readers, etc.
That is all to say that the European Commis-
sion seems to have been pervaded by a neu-
trality delirium, which so far has not produced
ad-hoc legislation, although this might just be
a matter of weeks away. There are many rea-
sons why platform neutrality is a contradictio
in terminis. First, as already recalled, platforms
are dened very broadly. Some commentators
have observed that based on the proposed
denition, even a mall can be a platform. Any
newspaper is a platform, just like any game con-
sole. Spotify is a platform. Uber is a platform too.
So, maybe the most vocal governments and
the European Commission only wanted to refer
to large, digital platforms. Or maybe to domi-
nant, digital platforms. Or maybe to GAFTAM, or
to GAFA, or perhaps only to Google. But then,
an explanation should be given of why compe-
tition law would not be sufcient to tackle the
problem. Maybe because it is an uphill battle for
these platforms to dene a relevant market and
nd dominance in contrast to what occurs at
the infrastructure level, especially if one follows
an orthodox antitrust approach. As a matter of
fact, the common feature of these platforms is
that they compete for end users, but they do it
with a rather different mix of products and ser-
vices, and very different business models. And
the ght to conquer end users’ attention is a
common feature of all market players, even in
the traditional world. Since users can, and do,
‘multi-home’ by using services provided by vari-
ous platforms at the same time, the existence of
a number of large and heterogeneous players,
which can be dened as large digital platforms,
does not say anything about the existence of
75
an antitrust problem. And even if one tries to
dene relevant markets for each of those plat-
forms, possibly ending up with a single market
for each of the GAFTAM, then the existence of
high market shares could not be used as a proxy
for dominance, since the economics of network
effects and tipping suggests that in these mar-
kets the winner takes it all, and competition is
normally very aggressively dictated by the need
to secure a paramount role in the next genera-
tion of market products.
46
Second, platform neutrality is an oxymoron,
since platforms capture the attention of end us-
ers exactly because they violate the neutrality of
the Internet and offer users a selection of Inter-
net content. They normally do not block or hide
content, but they necessarily prioritise content.
App stores present end users with a selection of
the best apps, the newest apps and those that
best t the user’s needs. Search engines are all
about relevance and salience, and compete
on the quality of their selection, as well as on
their ability to capture the attention of end users,
which in turn becomes a target of proled ad-
vertising. It is inherent in the nature of platforms
that these subjects will end up violating the neu-
trality principle. Again, the possibility (effective-
ly achieved in reality) for users to multi-home
is what determines the degree of competition
between various users: in this respect, recent re-
search on the multiplicity of channels that rms
can user to reach end users and evidence of
the increasingly cross-platform nature of apps
suggest that competition between non-neutral
platforms is producing virtuous results for end us-
ers.
47
And innovation at the app layer, as already
46 See C. Shapiro and H. Varian (1999), Information Rules:
A Strategic Guide to the Network Economy, Cambridge, MA: Harvard
Business School Press and R. Pardolesi and A. Renda (2002), “How
safe is the king’s throne? Network externalities on trial”, Chapter 11
in R. Pardolesi, A. Cucinotta, R. Van den Bergh (eds), Post-Chicago
Developments in Antitrust Law, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
47 See P. Nooren, W. Koers, M. Bangma, F. Berkers and M.
Boerkers (2014), “Regulation in the Converged Telecom-Media-Inter-
net Value Web”. TNO Report R11428, October 2014, the Netherlands.
observed, seems to be extremely vital, because
of this hybrid form of competition between dif-
ferentiated platforms. Recent data suggest that
400,000 Europeans are building apps, and that
the broader App Economy supported already
1.8 million European jobs in 2013, with a reve-
nue of €17.5 billion that same year, expected to
grow by 300% (to €63 billion) by 2018.
48
How can
this evidence be reconciled with the claim that
platforms are choking innovation?
Third, the platform neutrality debate evident-
ly clashes with a simultaneous trend, i.e. the at-
tribution of greater responsibilities to digital plat-
forms for the conduct of their users.
49
Such trend
is visible in several initiatives adopted at the
EU level, including the European Commission’s
plans to review the 2000 e-commerce Directive
to modify the ‘mere conduit’ principle (Article
12) to introduce a ‘duty of care’ principle, i.e. a
requirement for online intermediaries to act pro-
actively and remove illegal content hosted on
their platforms,
50
the attribution of growing liabil-
ity to online intermediaries for copyright protec-
tion, enforcement of privacy laws (including the
‘right to be forgotten’), defamation, spam lter-
ing, notication of security breaches, the ght
against terrorism and other monitoring activi-
ties. The contradiction lies in the fact that some
parts of EU law seem headed in the direction
of imposing neutrality obligations on online in-
termediaries; whereas on the other hand, other
legislation is requiring intermediaries to be more
proactive in managing, prioritising and editing
the content they pass on to the end users. How
would this work? Can, for example, search en-
gines be forced to operate ‘neutrally’ and at
48 See “How Europe can win in the global app economy”, Eu-
ractiv, 3 February 2015 (www.euractiv.com/sections/innovation-enter-
prise/how-europe-can-win-global-app-economy- 311788).
49 “Europe enlists Internet giants in ght against on-
line extremism”, by C. Spillman, 9 October 2014 (http://phys.org/
news/2014-10-eu-internet-giants-online-extremism_1.html#inlRlv).
50 See inter alia www.internetsociety.org/sites/default/les/
ISOC%20EU%20Newsletter%2027%20March%20201 5%20FINAL.
PDF.
76
the same time be attributed editorial responsi-
bility and related liability? This would amount to
saying “you can’t control or lter your results, but
if anything unlawful comes out of user queries,
you’ll be responsible”. It would also be a new
generation (if not an aberration) of the mere
conduit principle, in which a company is forced
to act as a mere conduit, but is also considered
liable for whatever happens in the conduit.
Which company would accept to continue op-
erations under these rather tricky terms?
Finally, the platform neutrality principle is in
stark contradiction with the objective of media
pluralism, which is also being pursued by EU law
and is currently subject to a ‘tness check’ (or
‘REFIT’ exercise) in the European Commission,
in view of reforms to be adopted in 2016. The
problem is similar to the one already outlined
for net neutrality in section 1 of this paper, but
exacerbated by the scarcity of attention and
trust that characterises the provision and con-
sumption of media content. In short, platforms
need to select content, and in selecting con-
tent polarise the attention of end users on a sub-
set of available information. A neutral search
engine would not address media pluralism,
since it would simply convey the most popular
and relevant results to the end user, and would
leave aside the long tail content that otherwise
adds to the plurality of voices we would want to
see on the Internet. Again, this does not mean
that nothing can be done to pursue media plu-
ralism; however, that ‘something’ that can be
done has nothing to do with neutrality. Sever-
al scholars, including Gillespie (2010), Helberg-
er (2012), Crawford (2013), Latzer et al. (2014),
Sunstein (2009), Zittrain (2014) and Goodman
(2014) have fuelled the debate
51
on how to
51 See Tarleton L. Gillespie (2010), “The Politics of 'Plat-
forms'”, New Media and Society, Vol. 12, No. 3 (available at SSRN:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=1601487); N. Helberger (2012), “Exposure
diversity as a policy goal”, Journal of Media Law, 4 (1), 65-92. doi:
10.5235/175776312802483880; Latzer et al. (2015), “The Economics
of Algorithmic Selection on the Internet”, forthcoming in Johannes
Bauer and Michael Latzer (eds), Handbook on the Economics of the
Internet, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar; Sunstein (2009), On Rumors,
design a proactive media policy in the age of
online intermediaries: this debate is inspired by
an understandable sense of urgency as regards
the need to address the prominent role played
today by platforms in conveying news and con-
tent to end users. But at the same time, this de-
bate has nothing to do with extremist neutrality
positions and rightly recognises that the way to
ensure plurality of content exposure (not merely
presence) in the age of algorithms is much more
complex than simply dictating the neutrality of
platforms. The debate is in its early stage, how-
ever. Authors like Zukerman (2013) even pro-
pose a serendipity engine that brings in random
content that might be relevant for the end user,
while Grimmelman (2011) convincingly demon-
strates that any lter or algorithmic rule entails
an editorial choice.
52
Very recently Grötker
(2015) proposed the creation of a public search
engine that acts as a benchmark for the results
of private engines, but the proposal stops short
of explaining how such public engines could be
made at least as attractive as the commercial
ones.
53
Summing up, platform neutrality seems to
represent a awed response to a badly dened
problem. This does not mean of course that
there are no problems to solve: monitoring the
way in which platforms make use of their editori-
al power is the biggest challenge for media pol-
icy in the years to come. What I am arguing in
this paper is simply that such a challenge will not
be addressed by imposing neutrality obligations
on platforms, but rather by seeking cooperation
op. cit.; Jonathan Zittrain (2014), “Engineering an Election”, Harvard
Law Review Forum, Vol. 127, and Harvard Public Law Working Paper
No. 14-28 (available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2457502); and
E.P. Goodman (2014), “Informational justice as the new media plural-
ism”, LSE blog, 19 November (http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/mediapolicyproj-
ect/2014/11/19/informational-justice-as-the-new-media-pluralism/).
52 See Grimmelman, op. cit.
53 See R. Grötker (2015), “The Citizens’ Internet: The Many
Threats to Neutrality”, Netopia, Brussels, March (www.netopia.eu/
wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Netopia-Report-The-Citizens- Internet.
pdf).
77
with platforms to ensure that the design of their
algorithms and their editorial choices are com-
patible with media pluralism objectives that are
considered to be in the public interest.
4. Conclusion
This short paper digs into the roots of the neu-
trality debate and comes to a number of con-
clusions, which I hope will be of interest to the
reader. They are summarised below.
First, while there might be reasons to impose
neutrality at the infrastructure layer of the Inter-
net, these reasons have little to do with the idea
that the network should be fully neutral. Rather,
they have to do with the ease of implementa-
tion, the stability of the infrastructure layer, the
possibility of identifying dominant positions and
the difculty of establishing a threshold for the
‘material impairment’ of the best-effort Internet.
At the same time, this policy choice comes with
a trade-off: policymakers should recognise that
this means diverting incentives to invest in the
best-effort Internet towards private networks;
and that this might also imply a greater involve-
ment of public funding to secure investment in
a high-capacity network. Policymakers should
also be open to the possibility that this policy
option brings more fragmentation of public
and private networks, and the ow of many val-
ue-added services into private networks.
Second, whatever outcome the net neutrality
debate produces, this will not make the Internet
neutral. The juxtaposition of various multi-sided
platforms with varying degrees of openness and
the use of various forms of trafc acceleration
make the Internet non-neutral, inevitably and
fortunately. Whether keeping the infrastructure
layer neutral would be a way to ensure that the
rest of the ecosystem evolves towards open
and innovative platforms, rather than to deprive
the trafc acceleration market of one category
of players, is a matter worthy of further research.
Third, the neutrality debate should not be ap-
plied to the higher layers of the Internet. Doing
this would fundamentally contradict the eco-
nomics of the Internet and the evolution of the
Internet itself. The fact that the Internet is no
longer a place where “nobody knows you’re a
dog” is an acknowledged fact, and allows no
turning back.
54
A fortiori, imposing both neutral-
ity and liability all at once on online intermedi-
aries would undesirably place them between
a rock and a hard place. Rather, the extent to
which online intermediaries can cooperate with
public authorities to protect and empower on-
line users is the key research and policy question
of the future. Both the liability of intermediaries
in e-commerce, copyright, data protection and
the protection of fundamental rights, and the
design of a smarter and proactive media policy
represent key challenges and opportunities for
EU policymakers in view of a ourishing and cre-
ative digital single market.
54 I refer here to a cartoon authored by Peter Steiner and pub-
lishedin1993ontheNewYorker.Thecartoonshowedapetdogsurng
the Internet and enthusiastically telling a fellow dog: “On the Internet,
nobody knows you’re a dog!”
78
Multisided
Platforms, Dynamic
Competition and
the Assessment
of Market Power
for Internet-Based
Firms
David S. Evans
*
10 March 2016
Abstract
Market power on each side of a multisided
platform, whether in the form of increasing pric-
es or decreasing quality, is constrained by the
risk of losing sales on the other sides. That tends
to weaken market power on each side and en-
courages platforms to keep prices lower and
quality higher than they would absent these
feedback effects. In some cases the nature of
the business model, and competition, result in
the platform allowing one type of customers to
participate in the platform for free or even to
subsidize their participation. Non-price methods
of attracting customers are especially import-
ant in this case, particularly when the business
model adopted by the industry makes it dif-
cult for platforms to move from free participa-
tion. To provide a reliable assessment of com-
petitive constraints, market power analysis must
consider the interdependencies in demand by
the participants on the platform as well as have
heightened focus on non-price competition
when the participation for one group is free.
Market shares should be used cautiously in as-
sessing market power for multi-sided platforms,
especially when they reect only one side of the
platform, and therefore do not account for the
interdependent customer groups, or concern a
free platform side where there is no monetary
measure of value. Finally, dynamic competition
makes the analysis of market power complex
because it results in feature competition, and
potentially drastic innovation, on one side of a
platform that has feedback effects on the other
side of the platform. The courts and authorities
have recognized these points in Qihoo 360 v.
Tencent, Cartes Bancaires v. European Com-
mission, the Facebook/WhatsApp merger, and
the Microsoft/Skype merger. These principals
should become part of the standard analysis of
multi-sided platforms by courts and competition
authorities globally. These concerns are illustrat-
ed in the context of multi-sided platforms that
offer online services where free services and dy-
namic competition are especially important.
I. Introduction and Summary
Many online businesses operate multi-sid-
ed platforms that help different types of par-
ticipants get together and enter into value-in-
creasing exchanges. Facebook, for example,
makes it possible for friends, businesses, adver-
tisers, and developers to interact with each other.
This business model has ancient roots going back
at least as far as the village matchmaker. Many
traditional businesses, such as newspapers and
shopping malls, use this model. New technologies,
particularly mobile and the cloud, however, have
* Evans is the Executive Director, Jevons Institute for Com-
petition Law and Economics and Visiting Professor, University College
London; Lecturer, University of Chicago Law School; and Chairman,
Global Economics Group. The authors gratefully acknowledge funding
from Google and excellent research support from Clara Campbell and
Nicholas Giancarlo at Global Economics Group.
79
turbocharged the multi-sided platform business
model. Online platform businesses are forming at
a rapid clip and disrupting not only traditional in-
dustries but relatively new ones as well.
1
Online multi-sided platforms pose a challenge
for competition policy analysis. Some have be-
come large national or global enterprises quick-
ly. Competition authorities are, quite properly,
vigilant about making sure that these successful
rms adhere to sound competition-law princi-
ples. In making economically reliable assess-
ments, however, competition authorities, as
well as courts, should account for three features
of these online platforms set them apart from
many other businesses in evaluating the market
power held by these platforms.
First, the demands by the different groups
of participants served by multi-sided platforms
are interdependent. As a simple mathematical
matter, that interdependency renders stan-
dard formulas wrong at least without signicant
modications.
2
In particular, a price increase, or
quality decrease, to one group of participants
reduces the demand not only by that group
but also by the other groups who then have
fewer participants with which to interact. That
does not mean that an online platform could
not have market power, only that the analy-
sis needs to consider these interdependencies
and the resulting feedback effects.
Second, many online businesses make the
platform “free” to one group of participants,
or even subsidize those participants, and earn
prots from the other groups of participants who
they do charge.
3
Although the basic concepts
1 See David S. Evans and Richard Schmalensee, Matchmak-
ers: The New Economics of Multisided Platforms (Boston, MA: Har-
vard Business School Press, 2016) Available at Matchmakers.
2 See David S. Evans, “The Consensus among Economists on
Multisided Platforms and Its Implications for Excluding Evidence That
Ignores It,” Competition Policy International, April 13, 2013. Avail-
able at http://ssrn.com/abstract=2249817 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/
ssrn.2249817
3 See Evans and Schmalensee, Matchmakers, Table 2.1, and
of competition policy analysis apply to free pric-
es, many of the traditional tools used for com-
petition policy analysis, such as the SSNIP test,
do not work, without signicant modication, as
a straightforward mathematical matter. Most
importantly, though, the existence of a group of
customers who are served for free highlights the
importance of considering the other interde-
pendent sides in assessing market power. The
platform is ordinarily making participation “free”
for a group because that group is very import-
ant for attracting paid participants. Anything
that deters “free” users from participating—such
as a decrease in quality—also reduces the in-
centives for the paid users, who generate all the
prots, from participating as well.
Third, online platforms often engage in con-
stant incremental innovation as they seek to
obtain advantages over rivals to attract par-
ticipants on multiple sides and are subject to
episodic, but increasingly frequent, disruptive
innovation in which new, or seemingly different,
rms attract their customers away. This dynam-
ic competition is particularly important for “at-
tention” platforms for which competition is de-
signed to attract the attention of users, which is
then resold to marketers, including advertisers,
who want to persuade those users to buy things.
An attention seeker is under constant threat that
someone will come up with an entirely clever
new way to grab people’s attention. For com-
petition policy analysis, this means that market
power analysis needs to consider the constraints
imposed by dynamic competition and in new
products and services that may appear very dif-
ferent than the rm under investigation.
Courts and competition authorities have
come to recognize these points as they have
had the chance to analyze online platforms
and absorb the teachings of the new econom-
ic literature on multi-sided platforms. Although
it did not involve online businesses, the Europe-
the detailed discussion in Chapter 7.
80
an Court of Justice recognized that the analysis
of competitive effects, and therefore implicitly
the exercise of market power, needed to con-
sider the linkages between the separate sides
of multi-sided platforms.
4
The Chinese Supreme
People’s Court concluded that dynamic com-
petition among platform businesses, including
one seeking and selling attention, limited mar-
ket power.
5
Antitrust regulators, including those
in the European Union and United States, ap-
proved Microsoft’s acquisition of Skype and
Facebook’s acquisition of WhatsApp in be-
cause they recognized how uid market bound-
aries and dynamic competition would discipline
the market power of the merged entities.
6
None of these judgments or decisions in
any way suggests that competition authorities
should let their guard down when it comes to
online platforms. Taken together, however,
with the new economics of multi-sided plat-
forms, and the growing body of evidence on
the dynamics of online competition over the
last two-decades, these judgments and deci-
sions do indicate that courts and competition
authorities should exercise caution, and adjust
their tools, in analyzing market power for online
platforms.
4 Groupement des cartes bancaires v European Commission,
Judgement of the Court, September 11, 2014, available at: http://curia.
europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf;jsessionid=9ea7d0f130d57c-
17cb5e4cdc4d5f8196c74dd814db12.e34KaxiLc3eQc40LaxqMbN4O-
c3iSe0?text=&docid=157516&pageIndex=0&doclang=EN&mode=l-
st&dir=&occ=rst&part=1&cid=293160; Federic Pradelles and
Andreas Scordamaglia-Tousis, “The Two Sides of the Cartes Bancaires
Ruling: Assessment of the Two-Sided Nature of Card Payment Systems
Under Article 101(1) TFEU and Full Judicial Scrutiny of Underlying
Economic Analysis,” Competition Policy International Journal, Autumn
2014, Volume 10 Number 2.
5 David Evans and Vanessa Zhang, “Quhoo 360 v Tencent:
First Antitrust Decision by the Supreme Court,” October 21, 2014,
https://www.competitionpolicyinternational.com/qihoo-360-v-tencent-
rst-antitrust-decision-by-the-supreme-court.
6 Case No Comp/M.6281 - Microsoft/Skype, Ofce of the
Publications of the European Union, July 20, 2011, http://ec.europa.eu/
competition/mergers/cases/decisions/m6281_924_2.pdf and Case No
COMP/M.7217 – Facebook/WhatsApp, Ofce of the Publications of
the European Union, March 10, 2014, http://ec.europa.eu/competition/
mergers/cases/decisions/m7217_20141003_20310_3962132_EN.pdf.
This paper describes the new economics of
multi-sided platforms in Section II. Then it shows
in Section III how new technologies have turbo-
charged this business model and led to online
mobile platforms anchored by websites and
mobile apps. Section IV examines the implica-
tions of the online multi-sided platform business
model for the analysis of market power for at-
tention seekers. Section V offers some conclud-
ing observations.
II. The New Economics of Multi-
Sided Platforms
Although multi-sided platforms have ancient
roots economists came to understand them as
an important, and distinct type of businesses in
2000 when a now classic paper by Rochet and
Tirole began circulating.
7
Soon after, economists
began exploring the implications of the new
economics of multi-sided platforms for antitrust
issues.
8
As this work has become mainstream,
courts and competition authorities have grad-
ually absorbed the new learning and applied it
to cases.
A. Fundamentals of Multi-Sided Platforms
A multi-sided platform is called multi because
it provides a way for two, or more, types of par-
ticipants to get together. It is called a platform
because it typically operates a physical or vir-
tual place that enables these different types of
agents to interact. Each side of the platform
consists of the participants who have the option
of using the platform to connect. A shopping
mall is a physical platform. It provides a place
where shoppers and stores—the participants
7 Jean-Charles Rochet & Jean Tirole (2001) "Platform Com-
petition in Two Sided Markets," Working Paper, November 26, 2001.
An earlier version was in circulation in 2000.
8 David Evans, “The Antitrust Economics of Two-Sided
Markets,” Yale Journal of Regulation, Summer 2003, http://ssrn.com/
abstract=363160.
81
on the two sides—can connect. A ride-sharing
app is a virtual platform. It uses cloud-based
software, accessed through Internet-connect-
ed mobile phones, to match up drivers and
passengers who are the participants on the two
sides.
Multi-sided platforms typically reduce frictions
that get in the way of economic agents nding
each other, interacting, and exchanging value
on their own. Buyers and sellers, for example,
could nd each other in a variety of ways. A
marketplace, such as Flipkart in India, makes it
easier for them to nd each other through, for
example, posting tools for sellers and search
tools for buyers. It also makes it easier for them
to engage in a transaction through the use of
electronic payment methods and with con-
dence through Flipkart’s Replacement Guar-
antees and Seller Protection Fund.9 Multi-sided
platforms also create value by increasing the
odds that participants will nd counterparties
that generate value for value. An online dating
site, such as eHarmony, secures many women
and men thereby increasing the likelihood that
people will nd someone they would like to date
and perhaps even marry.
Multi-sided platforms face a chicken-and-
egg problem when they start as a result of what
they are trying to accomplish. Consider a plat-
form that is in the business of getting Type As to-
gether with Type Bs. Type As may not want to
consider the platform unless they know it has
attracted Type Bs, but Type Bs may not want to
consider the platform unless they know it has at-
tracted Type As. The platform has to gure out a
way to get both types of participants on board,
in sufcient numbers, to provide value to either.
When YouTube started, for example, it had trou-
ble persuading people to upload videos since
no one was coming to the site to watch them
9 Flipkart, “Returns and Cancellations” available at http://
www.ipkart.com/s/help/cancellation-returns; Flipkart, “Seller Hub:
GettingStarted”availableathttps://seller.ipkart.com/slp/faqs.
and trouble persuading people to come to the
site to view videos since there were few videos
to watch.
10
Typically, Type As value a platform if it has
more Type Bs and vice versa.
11
There are, in
economic terminology, positive indirect net-
work effects and positive feedback effects. A
platform that gets more Type As becomes more
attractive to more Type Bs, which in turn makes
it more attractive to more Type As, and so forth.
These positive feedback effects drive platform
growth. YouTube, for example, persuaded more
people to upload videos, more people came
to watch those videos, that got people more
interested in uploading videos, and that in turn
attracted more trafc to the site.
12
Positive indirect network effects can give big-
ger platforms economic advantages. These are
often limited in practice, however, by platform
congestion, or other diseconomies of scale, and
by platforms differentiating themselves on one
or more sides. In most countries, for example,
there are several competing payment card net-
works despite the positive feedback effects be-
tween cardholders accepting merchants and
despite scale economies in operating the net-
work. Mobile money platforms—where mobile
phones are used to send and receive money
and provide other nancial services—are evolv-
ing in the same way. More than 20 mobile wal-
let providers have started in India.
13
Based on
the experience of countries in Africa, where the
mobile money markets are more mature, we
10 For a detailed discussion of how they solved this problem
see Evans and Schmalensee, Matchmakers, Chapter 5.
11 As we discuss below ad-supported platforms may have pos-
itive externalities in one direction—advertising value more viewers but
viewers may not value more advertising.
12 Importantly, positive feedback effects work in reverse as we
discuss below. The loss of users on one side leads to losses of users on
the other side and so on. Positive feedback effects in reverse can result
in a death spiral.
13 See, http://letstalkpayments.com/wallet-wars-in-india-in-
tensies-with-uber-and-others-being-the-battleeld/
82
would expect the in the long run the market will
have several competing providers.
14
Multi-sided platforms differ fundamen-
tally from the traditional rms described in eco-
nomic textbooks and business school courses.
Traditional rms typically buy inputs, they make
products, and they sell those products to cus-
tomers. They operate along linear supply chain.
And since they do not have customers with in-
terdependent demands they are single-sided.
Multisided platforms sell participants in each
group access to the participants in each other
group. As a result, the customers are the main
inputs into providing the platform service. A typ-
ical retail store, which is a single-sided rm, buys
products from wholesale distributors or manu-
facturers and then sells them to customers. A
shopping mall, which is a two-sided rm, recruits
stores for its mall, and recruits shoppers to come
to its mall, and provides a platform where the
stores get access to the shoppers and the shop-
pers get access to the stores.
B. Pricing Structures and Strategies
The fact that the demand for one group de-
pends on the demand by the other group has
interesting implications for how multisided plat-
forms price their services. Platforms have to
choose prices that balance these demands.
Higher prices for Type As would discourage them
from participating in the platform. That would
deter Type Bs from participating in the platform
since they would have access to fewer Type A
participants. In fact, it may make sense to price
very low to one group of participants because
the other group will pay a high price for access
to them. That, in fact, is the secret behind ad-
vertising-supported media as we show below.
It could even make sense to subsidize one
group by charging them a price less than the
incremental cost of serving them, including let-
14 See GSMA, State of the Industry: Mobile Financial Ser-
vices for the Unbanked: 2014. Available at http://www.gsma.com/mo-
bilefordevelopment/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/SOTIR_2014.pdf
ting them use the platform for free, or even giv-
ing them rewards for participating. Economists
have shown that, as a matter of theory, plat-
forms may be able to maximize prots by sub-
sidizing one side of the platform in this way and
that, as matter of fact, many platforms have do
just that.
15
A popular restaurant reservation site
in the U.S., OpenTable, for example does not
charge people to make reservations with its site
and it gives them rewards that they apply to re-
duce the cost of their meals. Although “free”
is popular for online platforms it is by no means
universal. Dating sites, such as Trulymadly in
India and FarmersOnly.com in the US, charge
men and women the same. They contrast with
nightclubs which, in the US, have “Ladies Night
Free” pricing.
C. Advertising-Supported Platforms
Some multi-sided platforms connect consum-
ers and advertisers. This might seem odd since
in many cases consumers do not like advertis-
ing. They even spend money to avoid it by, for
example, buying DVRs that make it easy to skip
over ads and paying for alternative sources of
media, such as Pay TV, or ad-free versions of ser-
vices, such as Spotify Premium.
These platforms, however, have gured out
ways to connect consumers and advertisers in
ways that make both groups better off. They
typically offer valuable content to persuade
people consumer to come of their platforms
where these people are exposed to advertising
messages. Meanwhile they persuade advertis-
ers to pay for reaching these people. The view-
ers are the subsidy side of the platform and the
advertisers are the money side. So long as the
advertisers are willing to pay more for deliver-
ing messages to these consumers than the plat-
form spends on content the advertisers benet,
the consumers benet, and the platform makes
money.
16
15 See Evans and Schmalensee, Matchmakers, Table 2.1.
16 In fact this advertising supported media is a clever way of
83
One can think of ad-supported platforms as
buying eyeballs—usually by paying with valu-
able content—and selling those eyeballs to ad-
vertisers. The Internet has made that far easier
as we see next.
III. Online Multi-Sided Platforms
Online platforms have become more com-
mon and prominent participants in domestic
economies and some have rapidly become
global players. Many of these online platforms
provide free content or services to people to
attract their “attention” and then charge ad-
vertisers for delivering messages to these peo-
ple. These attention seekers engage in dynamic
competition in which they are constantly intro-
ducing new ways of attracting attention, and
copying methods used by others, to persuade
people to come to their platforms. Smart mo-
bile phones have accelerated the pace of dy-
namic competition, the frequency of disruptive
innovation, for online platforms.
A. The Technology Revolutions Behind On-
line Platforms
Several mutually reinforcing technologies,
and the businesses the make those technolo-
gies available, have made multi-sided platforms
increasingly powerful methods for reducing fric-
tions, and creating valuable new services, on a
global basis.
1. The PC-Web-Browser Revolution
The rst wave of innovation launched the
web-economy in the mid 1990s. The Internet
provided a physical network and standards for
solving the following exchange problem. Rahul would pay $20 to meet
Aditya. Aditya doesn’t like Rahul and would pay $5 to avoid him. Still
there is room for trade and an intermediary can make Aditya and Rahul
both better off. The intermediary pays Aditya $12 to meet Rahul and
charges Jose $14 for the introduction. Aditya is ahead $7 (-$5+$12),
Rahul is ahead $6 ($20-$14), and intermediary earns a prot of $2
(-$12+$14). In the case of advertising, instead of paying $14, the media
property provides entertainment or other content that Aditya values at
$14.
connecting computers around the world, the
Web provided a framework and software tech-
nologies for creating and linking content on
those computers, and the web browser provid-
ed an application for personal computers that
enabled people to consume Web content.
Businesses could use these technologies to
provide content and services on websites. The
cost of doing so was relatively low since it in-
volved writing software, using server computers,
and the small fees for connecting to the Inter-
net. And the company could reach an entire
country immediately and, in fact, much of he
world. Almost all the content, data, and pro-
cessing work resided in the cloud and consum-
ers accessed it through using a browser on their
Internet-connected personal computers.
The number of web-based businesses and In-
ternet trafc exploded following the launch of
the commercial Internet in the 1990s. A num-
ber of global online platforms emerged such as
Amazon, eBay, Facebook, Google, PayPal, and
Yahoo. This growth was made possible by the
development and expansion of increasingly fast
broadband delivered over xed wires such coax-
ial cable, ber optic line, or even a copper wire.
2. The Mobile-App Revolution
Mobile phones were in widespread use in the
U.S. and other countries by the late 1990s. Cel-
lular networks, however, were not able to carry
enough data fast enough for people to use the
Internet from their mobile phones. Innovations
in cellular technology starting in the mid 1990s
increased the potential capacity and speed of
cellular networks and mobile devices for mak-
ing better use of these faster more capacious
broadband technologies. Anticipating the roll
out of mobile broadband a number of com-
panies started investing in developing various
components of smart phones, including mo-
dem and processing chips, operating systems,
and handsets in the early to mid 2000s.
84
Innovations by Apple and Google, in particu-
lar, have led to spread of smart mobile phones
around the world, enabling billions of people
to consumer Internet-based services and mil-
lions of businesses to provide mobile-app based
services to them. Apple introduced the iPhone,
which consisted of a powerful computer, a mo-
bile operating system, and a standard set of
applications including a mobile browser in June
2007. Google invested in developing a mobile
operating system, Android, which it ran as an
open-source project, and developing and or-
ganizing an ecosystem of handset makers, mo-
bile network operators, and other technology
partners. It introduced the rst Android phone in
October 2008.
17
Apple and Google also stim-
ulated the production of mobile apps by pro-
viding software tools for developing apps for
their operating systems, creating a quality cer-
tication process for these apps, and creating
“app stores” that provided centralized places
for developers to distribute apps and for users to
download them on their mobile devices.
Smart mobile phones changed the online
game in a number of ways as they became
widely adopted, millions of apps became avail-
able for them, and faster and more capacious
mobile broadband networks were rolled out
around the world. People could access the
Internet anywhere and anytime using smart-
phones running on mobile broadband networks.
More people could do that because mobile
phones and data plans were much cheaper
than buying PCs and xed broadband connec-
tions. Businesses could reach billions of people
by developing mobile apps and distributing
them in apps stores. Apps could exploit the GPS
capabilities of phones, which make it possible
to know where individuals are in physical space.
This, together with the related development of
the “Internet of Things” is leading to the deep
integration of the online and physical worlds.
17 Kent German, “A Brief History of Android phones,” August
2, 2011, http://www.cnet.com/news/a-brief-history-of-android-phones/.
3. The Movement from PCs/Browsers to Mo-
bile/Apps
Businesses that want to provide online ser-
vices, and consumers who want to consume
online services now have several choices. App
developers can develop websites that people
can visit from browsers on their PCs or from their
mobile devices. They can develop mobile apps
that people use on their mobile phones or mo-
bile browser-apps that try to mimic these apps.
Different businesses have adopted different ap-
proaches depending on the content and ser-
vices they are providing. Consumers have, how-
ever, shifted their use dramatically from PCs to
mobile devices and from using websites to using
apps.
Consider the US. Between 2008 and 2015 the
proportion of time spent online using mobile de-
vices increased from 12.7 percent to 54.6 per-
cent. Commerce has moved dramatically from
PCs to mobile. Americans made 57 percent of
their online purchases from mobile devices in
2014 compared with likely none before 2010.
18
On Thanksgiving Day, November 26, 2015,
around 60 percent of US website visits were
made from mobile devices in the US.
19
Advertis-
ing has moved to mobile in response. Facebook
earned 78 percent of its global advertising reve-
nue from mobile in 2015Q3
20
compared with 14
percent in 2012Q3.
21
These trends are expected
to continue.
22
18 David Murphy, “IBM: Christmas Day Sales Up 8.3 Percent,
Mobile Purchases up 20.4 Percent,” PC Magazine, December 26, 2014,
http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2474217,00.asp.
19 Hiroko Tabuchi, “Black Friday Shopping Shifts Online as
StoresSeeLessFootTrafc,”NewYorkTimes,November27,2015,
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/28/business/black-friday-shopping-
shifts-online-as-stores-see-less-foot-trafc.html?_r=0.
20 Facebook Inc., “10-Q for Period Ending September 30,
2015,” p. 40.
21 Facebook Inc., “10-Q for Period Ending September 30,
2012,” p. 27.
22 Chantal Tode, “M-Commerce Sales to Reach $142B in
2016: Forrester,” Mobile Commerce Daily, October 8, 2015, http://
85
On mobile devices people typically access
Internet-based services using mobile apps rath-
er than using websites with their mobile browser.
Mobile apps accounted for nearly 90 percent
of the time Americans spend using mobile apps
or browsers on their mobile devices.23 As a re-
sult the proportion of time people spend online
using mobile apps has increased from what was
likely a very low level in 2008 to 54 percent in
2015.24 This share is likely to increase further as
the shift from PCs to mobile continues and as
the shift from browser-based to mobile app-
based delivery continues.
25
Many countries have had low penetration of
PCs and xed broadband because of their ear-
ly stages of economic development. The adop-
tion of smart mobile phone and mobile broad-
band are increasing rapidly in those countries
because it is cheaper and even more rapidly in
the faster growing ones. More than 90 percent
of Facebook's Indian users
26
and 60 percent of
Amazon’s Indian users
27
access it through mobile
www.mobilecommercedaily.com/mcommerce-sales-to-reach-142b-in-
2016-forrester; Matthew Hobbs, “Internet Advertising,” 2015, http://
www.pwc.com/gx/en/industries/entertainment-media/outlook/seg-
ment-insights/internet-advertising.html.
23 Simon Khalaf, “Seven Years into the Mobile Revolution:
Content is King … Again,” Flurry Insights, August 26, 2015, http://
urrymobile.tumblr.com/post/127638842745/seven-years-into-the-mo-
bile-revolution-content-is; https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Presen-
tations-and-Whitepapers/2015/The-2015-US-Mobile-App-Report.
24 comScore, “The 2015 U.S. Mobile App Report,” Sep-
tember 22, 2015, https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Presenta-
tions-and-Whitepapers/2015/The-2015-US-Mobile-App-Report.
25 Total time spent on digital media using mobile apps in-
creased at a compound annual growth rate of 38 percent per year be-
tween 2013 and 2015, compared to 7 percent for desktops and 24 per-
cent for mobile browsing. The share for mobile apps increased from
43 percent to 54 percent over this period, an increase of 11 percentage
points, or a compound annual growth rate of 12 percent. Data are not
available back to 2008.
26 BGR, “90% of Facebook’s 132 million users from India
come from mobile phones,” September 27, 2015, available at http://
www.bgr.in/news/90-of-facebooks-132-million-users-from-india-
come-from-mobile-phones/
27 AshwiniGangal,“’Over60percentofourtrafccomes
through mobile’: Manish Kalra, Amazon India,” August 28, 2015,
http://www.afaqs.com/interviews/index.html?id=469_Over-60-per-
cent-of-our-trafc-comes-through-mobile-Manish-Kalra-Amazon-In-
dia
devices. In 2014, leading Indian e-commerce
companies, including Flipkart and Snapdeal,
derived the majority of their gross merchandise
value from mobile devices.
28
B. Overview of Online Multi-Sided
Platforms
The development of online technologies has
made it cheaper and easier to reduce frictions
through multi-sided platforms and to do so over
large geographic areas. The Internet makes
it possible to connect participants over wide
geographic areas and in principle from around
the world. Software programs running on high-
speed computers in the cloud provide power-
ful technologies for nding good matches and
consummating exchanges. Mobile has extend-
ed these capabilities throughout the day and
throughout physical space.
Almost immediately after web commerce
became viable in the mid 1990s entrepreneurs
started using the new technologies to start
multi-sided platforms. Not everyone chose a
multi-sided model. Amazon, for example, start-
ed with a typical retail model in which it bought
products, initially books, wholesale and sold
them to people through its online store. Many,
though, used a multi-sided approach often be-
cause it was the only way to provide the prod-
uct or service. eBay started an online market-
place for buyers and sellers, match.com started
an online matchmaker for men and women,
and Yahoo started a online portal that used
content to attract viewers and then attracted
advertisers who wanted to reach those views.
Many of the established platforms followed
the shift from the PC-browser-centric model to
the mobile-app centric model. Entrepreneurs,
however, discovered that the mobile-app cen-
28 BGR, “Smartphone shopping to contribute up to 70 per-
cent of total revenue in online shopping: Experts,” November 30, 2014,
available at http://www.bgr.in/news/smartphone-shopping-to-contrib-
ute-up-to-70-percent-of-total-revenue-in-online-shopping-experts/.
86
tric model provided new opportunities. Uber,
for example, has built a business that connects
drivers and riders in real-time and in physical
space using mobile apps.
Tables 1 and 2 provide an overview of online
multi-sided platforms based on their presence
in the US, which reects global platforms, and
India, which reects domestic platforms and
global ones. In each country we have select-
ed 20 platforms. We include the largest ones
based on the number of times over the space
of a month people clicked on pages on those
sites (“pageviews”). That is a particularly useful
measure for content-oriented sites. We have
erred on the side of showing diversity of online
platforms and the table is not intended to be an
accurate summary of the economically most
important online platforms. In each case we
summarize the multi-sided business model and
the extent to which one side receives service for
free.
As these tables show online platforms are
highly diverse. However, they often have sever-
al of the following features that are relevant for
antitrust analysis. First, they are all based on soft-
ware. They can add new features, and intro-
duce new products and services, by modifying
or adding software code and related databas-
es. That is much different than physical plat-
forms. Second, the marginal cost of participants
to software-based platforms running in the cloud
is virtually zero. That increases the normal ten-
dency of multi-sided platforms to allow a group
of participants to use the platform for free. Third,
dynamic competition is more intense for online
platforms because technological change has
reduced the capital cost of starting a platform
and the software-based nature of these plat-
forms makes it easier for platforms to offer new
products and services in competition with oth-
er platforms.29 Fourth, dynamic competition is
29 Case No Comp/M.6281 - Microsoft/Skype, Ofce of the
Publications of the European Union, July 20, 2011, http://ec.europa.
also more intense for online platforms because
the participants have lower switching costs,
and face less lock-in, than on physical platforms
where they often have to make costly sunk-cost
commitments to the platform. Fifth, online plat-
forms are in the midst of a massive technolog-
ical shift resulting from the move of consumers
from the PC-browser to the mobile-app centric
way of using online services.30 These points are
especially true one of the largest categories on
online platforms.
C. Online Attention Seekers
A
t is has turned out many online platforms
make money primarily by helping businesses
sell things to consumers through advertising and
marketing.
31
As we discussed above the way
they do this is simple but clever. They provide
reasons to consumers to come visit them by of-
fering engaging content or services valued by
consumers. Consumers typically do not pay for
obtaining the content or services. They are free
in that sense. But consumers are receiving val-
ue by coming to these platforms. In that sense
the real price of participating in the platform is
even better than free, it is negative, so that plat-
form is paying consumers to come visit. Once
they have gotten consumers to spend time of
the platform they allow businesses to present
advertising or other marketing messages to con-
sumers. They charge businesses for this and that
eu/competition/mergers/cases/decisions/m6281_924_2.pdf ; “FTC
NotiesFacebook,WhatsAppofPrivacyObligationsinLightofPro-
posed Acquisition,” Federal Trade Commission, April 10, 2014, https://
www.ftc.gov/news-events/press-releases/2014/04/ftc-notifies-face-
book-whatsapp-privacy-obligations-light-proposed; and Case No
COMP/M.7217 – Facebook/WhatsApp, Ofce of the Publications of
the European Union, March 10, 2014, http://ec.europa.eu/competition/
mergers/cases/decisions/m7217_20141003_20310_3962132_EN.pdf.
30 See Hemant Bhargava, David S. Evans, and Deepa Mani,
“The Move to Smart Mobile and its Implications for Antitrust Analysis
of Online Market In Developed and Developing Countries,” Forthcom-
ing.
31 David Evans, “Attention Rivalry Among Online Platforms,”
Journal of Competition Law & Economics, May 14, 2013, Volume 9 Is-
sue 2:313-357, http://jcle.oxfordjournals.org/content/9/2/313.abstract.
87
is how they cover their costs and make prots.
Online attention seekers compete to get the
attention of consumers and then sell portions of
that attention to businesses that aren’t able to
get it easily on their own. They seldom make any
money directly from providing content or ser-
vices to consumers. Recognizing this is important
for understanding the dynamics of competition.
Entrepreneurs compete to come up with clever
ideas for attracting eyeballs—say by inventing
tweeting or pinning—not so they can charge
people for clever content or services they are
providing but so they can sell access to those
eyeballs to advertisers. Attention seekers may
come up with ways to differentiate themselves
88
from the standpoint of attracting consumer at-
tention and selling advertising. But overall they
are competing to attract a limited pool of at-
tention and advertising and marketing budgets
to reach those consumers. Now consider the
ve features that we highlighted above.
Attention seekers are all built on software
platforms. They do not have printing presses, ca-
ble networks, or radio towers. When they want
to add features to the platforms they hire soft-
ware engineers to write code. They can often
make changes quickly and roll those changes
out globally. It took about 5 months, for exam-
ple, for Facebook to develop Facebook Mes-
senger which is one of the leading apps for
89
smartphones.
32
The marginal cost of another participant on
an attention seeker is essentially zero. Google
does not incur any signicant out of pocket
cost when a person conducts another search
or when it puts another search ad on a search
results page. That is true for virtually all attention
seekers with the exception of some, such as
Pandora, that have to pay for the content they
deliver.
The capital cost of starting an attention seek-
er is low and that has intensied dynamic com-
petition. That is more so true now as a result of
mobile apps. The founders of WhatsApp had
to write software code so that messaging app
would work for Apple and Android phones and
for the cloud-based service those apps were
connected with.
33
Once they did that they
had a platform that could provide messaging
services globally to unlimited number of users
with the addition of some cheap server capac-
ity. Many other mobile messaging apps have
started. They compete with older messaging
PC-based messaging apps as well as the new
mobile-based ones.
It is easy for consumers to reduce the amount
of attention they provide one platform, or drop
it altogether, and increase the amount of at-
tention they provide another platform. Since
the platforms are free they can use as many as
they want and switch their attention depend-
ing upon the relative attractiveness to spending
time on one or the other. The consumer bears
no cost from shifting time from looking at Yahoo
to looking at Flipboard. While some online plat-
32 Facebook, “Building Facebook Messenger,” August 12,
2011, available at https://www.facebook.com/notes/facebook-engineer-
ing/building-facebook-messenger/10150259350998920/.
33 One estimate is that it would cost about $250,000 and take
about nine months to build a robust version of an app like WhatsApp.
See Courtney Boyd Myers, “How much does it cost to build the world’s
hottest startups?” TNW News, December 2, 2013. Available at http://
thenextweb.com/dd/2013/12/02/much-cost-build-worlds-hottest-start-
ups/#gref
forms involve some cost of switching in practice
it does not limit people from doing so. In the
case of social networks, Americans switched
from Friendster to MySpace and then from MyS-
pace to Facebook.
34
People in other countries,
such as Brazil and India, switched from Orkut to
Facebook.
35
Finally, the shift of consumers from looking
at websites with their browsers to using apps on
their mobile phones has resulted in dramatic
changes in attention seeking platforms. There
has been a dramatic increase in the amount
of online attention available as a result of peo-
ple being able to go online with their mobile
devices for much more of the day. The oppor-
tunities for connecting businesses with consum-
ers have also changed now that people carry
mobile phones all the time and in particular
when they go shopping. Search is one of the
attention-seeking businesses that is undergo-
ing disruption as a result of this.
36
Search en-
gines index websites and allow people to nd
things on those websites. But now an enormous
amount of online activity is happening with
mobile apps. At this point it is unclear how
people will be able to nd app-based content
and what companies will ultimately succeed in
doing so. Apple, Facebook, and Google are
among the companies that are trying to gure
this out.
37
What’s should be clear from the discussion so
far is that multi-sided platforms are governed by
different rules than traditional linear businesses
and that competition among online platforms
is often more intense and more dynamic than
among physical platforms. Both point have im-
34 Evans and Schmalensee, Matchmakers, Chapter 9.
35 Elena Trost, Social Media Marketing in BRIC Countries
(Zurich, Lit Verlag GmbH & Co., 2013), Chapter 3.
36 ErinGrifth,“Facebook,Googleandthebattleformobile
intent,” September 8, 2015, available at http://fortune.com/2015/09/08/
facebook-google-mobile-search-advertising/
37 ErinGrifth,“Facebook,Googleandthebattleformobile
intent,” September 8, 2015, available at http://fortune.com/2015/09/08/
facebook-google-mobile-search-advertising/
90
portant implications for antirust analysis.
VI. Market Power Analysis of Online
Attention Seekers
Economists typically assume that the de-
mand for a product depends on the price of
that product, the price of substitute products,
and the price of complementary products. The
demand for a particular brand of beer, for ex-
ample, depends on the price of that brand, the
prices of other kinds of beer and other alcoholic
beverages, and perhaps the demand for nuts,
chips, and other things that people eat with
beer. Most economic theories relied on in anti-
trust analysis, such as those involving predatory
pricing, and economic tools, such as SSNIP tests,
are based on this model of product demand.
All of those factors are relevant for consider-
ing the demand for product and services pro-
vided by multi-sided platforms. But those stan-
dard factors do not include the most critical
factor that drives the demand for platforms. The
demand by members of one group of custom-
ers, say Type A, depends, roughly speaking, on
the participation of the other group of custom-
ers, say Type B, in the platform.
38
To avoid be-
ing mathematically wrong and unreliable, eco-
nomic models and tools must account for the
interdependent demand and consider all sides
of the platforms. The fact that the demands by
the various groups of platform participants are
interdependent also means that analyses that
focus on one group of participants in isolation
are not correct as a straightforward mathemat-
ical matter.
39
38 More precisely, platform customers care about the likeli-
hood that they will be able to enter into valuable exchange on the plat-
form; we are using the number of potential trading partners as a short-
hand for describing all of the characteristics of one side of the platform
that affects the demand by the other side.
39 David Evans and Richard Schmalensee, “The Antitrust
Analysis of Multi-Sided Platform Businesses,” January 30, 2013, http://
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2185373; Roger Blair
and Daniel Sokol, eds., Oxford Handbook on International Antitrust
Economics, Oxford University Press, 2015; University of Chicago
Antitrust analysis needs to examine the plat-
form overall taking these interdependencies
into account.
40
Generally, that requires treating
the platform as a whole, rather than focusing on
one group of customers or another, or at least
carefully considering the inter-linkages between
these groups. Platform competition tends to
force overall prices down and reduces the prof-
its the platform can earn. Typically, though, it
does not force prices down to incremental costs
for all, or even any, sides of the platform. Even
with competition platforms may choose to sub-
sidize one side of the platform and make prots
for other sides of the platform.
The magazine business, for example, is high-
ly competitive yet most magazines subsidize
readers; the cover price for the magazine often
does not cover printing and distribution costs let
along the cost of the content that attracts read-
ers. In fact, competition to attract participants
to the platform can result in greater subsidies
to one side. For example, in the U.S., compe-
tition among payment card networks appar-
ently resulted in bidding up payments (called
interchange fees) to banks that issue cards to
consumers.
41
As a result, evidence that price
Institute for Law & Economics Olin Research Paper No. 623. Avail-
able at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2185373; David Evans, “The
Consensus Among Economists on Multisided Platforms and its Impli-
cations for Excluding Evidence that Ignores It,” Competition Policy
International, (April 13, 2013). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/ab-
stract=2249817 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2249817.
40 In Cartes Bancaires v. European Commission, the European
Court of Justice concluded that to analyze competitive effects it was
necessary to consider the two interlinked sides of the platform. See
Groupement des cartes bancaires v European Commission, Judgement
of the Court, September 11, 2014. In, Qihoo 360 v. Tencent, the Chinese
Supreme People’s Court found that it was necessary to consider plat-
form competition in evaluating market power. See, David Evans and
Vanessa Zhang, “Quhoo 360 v Tencent: First Antitrust Decision by the
Supreme Court,” October 21, 2014, https://www.competitionpolicyin-
ternational.com/qihoo-360-v-tencent-rst-antitrust-decision-by-the-su-
preme-court; Charles Rivers Associates, “Qihoo v. Tencent: economic
analysisoftherstChineseSupreme
Court decision under Anti-Monopoly Law” February 2015, available at
http://www.crai.com/sites/default/les/publications/China-Highlights-
Qihoo-360-v-Tencent-0215_0.pdf
41 OECD, “Competition and Payment Systems,” June 28,
2013, http://www.oecd.org/competition/PaymentSystems2012.pdf.
91
is great than incremental cost on one side pro-
vides no meaningful evidence that the platform
has market power and evidence that the plat-
form charges a price less than marginal cost on
another side provides no meaningful evidence
that the platform is engaging in predatory pric-
ing. The analyst needs to look at the platform
overall to assess market power and predation.
In practice, it often makes sense to look at pric-
ing and competition on both sides but then ac-
counting for the interdependencies.
This section applies these general principles
to the analysis of market power for online atten-
tion seekers which is one of the most important
categories of online platforms.
A. Free and Feature Competition
Traditional antitrust analysis assesses market
power by considering whether the rm can in-
crease price protably. That approach does
not make any economic or business sense for
online attention seekers. The business is based
on paying consumers to use the platform and
charging advertisers for access to those con-
sumers. An exercise of market power over
consumers would could involve increasing the
price to them but, more likely, would involve re-
ducing the quality of the content and services
the platform is providing to attract their atten-
tion.
42
Whether that reduction in quality is prof-
itable depends on the extent to which it would
decrease the attractiveness of the platform to
advertisers. A platform could consider reduc-
ing its expenditures on quality improvements
by $1 million. Whether this is protable depends
on whether the lower quality would reduce the
amount of advertising, given the lower atten-
tion it attracts, by less than $1 million.
This highlights the importance of feature and
42 The decision by online attention seekers to charge fees is
quite rare even for ones that are highly successful. Some online news-
papers have tried paywalls with mixed success.
quality competition. Online attention seekers do
not compete based on price. Therefore, to assess
market power, one needs to assess the extent to
which a lower provision of quality would divert at-
tention to other online platforms. In considering
that diversion there is no business or economic
reason to limit the inquiry to online platforms that
provide the same service. It is an empirical ques-
tion whether consumers would turn their atten-
tion to completely different services.
In practice market power analysis for online
attention seekers can consider substitution pos-
sibilities by considering a small but signicant
increase in price or a small but signicant de-
crease in quality. Either one reduces the value of
the platform for users and could induce switch-
ing. The SSNIP, however, must consider small ab-
solute increase in price since a percentage in-
crease is undened when the initial price is zero.
The Chinese Supreme People’s Court, in Qihoo
360 v. Tencent, decided that the SSNIP evidence
was not relevant and considered informally how
consumers would react to small but signicant
decreases in quality (SSNDQ) of the instant mes-
sage products under consideration.
43
Since attention makers make virtually all of
the revenue and prot from advertisers the other
issue concerning market power is whether they
can take actions that increase the price of ad-
vertising above competitive level. The analysis
of that question needs to consider the extent to
which advertisers can get the attention of con-
sumers in other ways and the extent to which
the online platform offers some consumer atten-
tion, perhaps based on demographic proles or
the context in which they’ve captured that at-
tention, for which there are limited substitutes.
Free pricing, however, shouldn’t be ana-
lyzed in isolation. In fact, the existence of con-
sumers being offered something for nothing is
43 See, David Evans and Vanessa Zhang, “Quhoo 360 v Ten-
cent: First Antitrust Decision by the Supreme Court,” October 21, 2014,
https://www.competitionpolicyinternational.com/qihoo-360-v-tencent-
rst-antitrust-decision-by-the-supreme-court.
92
almost always an indication that the business is
a multi-sided platform. That means that the de-
mand by consumers on the “paid side” is linked
to the demand by consumers on the “free side”
to the demand. The SSNIP and SSDNQ analy-
ses should account for the interdependencies
of demand for taking a holistic approach, and
considering the platform overall, or by carefully
considering the linkages in demand and their
implications for competitive constraints.
B. New Entry, Cross-Category Entry, and Fea-
ture Competition
Market power analysis needs to consider the
ease of entry and of feature competition for on-
line attention seekers. As discussed above the
capital cost of entry for online attention seekers
is low. The main difculty is attracting consumers
to the platform with persuasive content and ser-
vices. Importantly, though, the analysis needs
to at least consider the impact on the platform
of entry by completely different services. For
example, suppose Facebook reduced its in-
vestment in the quality of its social networking
platform. It could lose advertising revenue in
part because that increases the likelihood that
consumers will more likely to shift attention to
“the next new thing”—not necessarily to a so-
cial network—and that will cost the company
advertising revenues. In addition, market power
analysis needs to consider entry from other cat-
egories. Because it is easy to change features
through software online attention seekers can
add features that mimic those of other very dif-
ferent attention seekers. Twitter and Pinterest,
for example, have both recently introduced
“buy buttons” that help businesses make sales
on their platforms, like Amazon Marketplace, in
addition to just advertising to those consumers.
That feature competition is an example of dy-
namic competition which we turn to next
.
B. Dynamic Competition
Dynamic competition has characterized on-
line attention seekers for the last twenty years
and shows no signs of abating. Attention seek-
ers have no guarantee that they can hold onto
consumers without engaging in persistent incre-
mental feature and disruptive innovation. We
see this in a variety of ways.
First, the relative importance of attention
seekers changes dramatically over time.
44
Table
3 shows the 20 largest advertising-supported at-
tention seekers by time spent on the webpage
in 2002, 2007, and 2012. Pinterest (8) is a US ad-
vertising supported webpages that users spent
the most time visiting during September 2012 did
not exist in September 2007, while several web-
pages were in the early stages of development
including Facebook (1), Youtube (2), The Huff-
ington Post (9), and Tumblr (10). This illustrates
how quickly and dramatically the landscape for
online advertising can change.
Second, successful attention seekers have
declined and in some cases failed when they
have not kept up, while new ones have risen
quickly. Orkut was the dominant social network-
ing site between 2005 and 2010 in India.
45
Face-
book overtook it in July 2010.
46
MySpace had a
similar experience in the US where it was the larg-
est between 2005 and 2009 and also displaced
by Facebook.
47
Yahoo was a highly successful
attention seeker for many years. While it still at-
tracts a large number of pageviews the market
44 See David Evans, “Attention Rivalry Among Online Plat-
forms,” Journal of Competition Law & Economics, May 14, 2013, Vol-
ume 9 Issue 2:313-357.
45 Sahil Shah, “Social Networking War in India: Facebook
vs Orkut,” January 25, 2011, https://www.techinasia.com/indian-so-
cial-networking-wars-facebook-vs-orkut-2
46 comScore, “Facebook and Orkut Growth in India,” Novem-
ber 4, 2010. http://www.comscore.com/Insights/Data-Mine/Facebook-
and-Orkut-Growth-in-India
47 Pete Cashmore, “MySpace, America's Number One,” July
11, 2006, http://mashable.com/2006/07/11/myspace-americas-num-
ber-one/#tqA37Md.SgqA; Choloe Albanesius “Home/News & Analy-
sis/More Americans Go To Facebook Than MySpace
More Americans Go To Facebook Than MySpace,” June 16, 2009,
http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2348822,00.asp.
93
value of the portion of advertising-supported
portion of the business is negligible according to
various reports
.
48
Third, mobile apps have provided opportu-
nities for the creation of new attention seekers
and have reduced the relative importance of
incumbent attention seekers. Facebook, for ex-
ample, has become one of the largest online
advertising platforms in the world through its
success in attracting attention of mobile device
users and selling that attention to advertisers. It
now provides three of the ten mobile apps that
attract the largest number of page views.
49
Tra-
ditional search advertising, while still important
on mobile, is much less signicant than it is on
the web.
C. Market Shares as Indicia of Market
Power
A number of commentators have pointed
out that market shares must be used with care in
assessing market power.
50
This advice is particu-
larly sound when it comes to measuring market
power on the consumer side of online attention
platforms. In traditional markets sound practice
involves measuring market shares based on val-
ue to account for quality differences between
products. It also makes sense to focus on price
because it is an important dimension of com-
petition. Most online attention seekers do not
charge consumers for using the platform. Price
48 Steven Levy, “Yahoo and Alibaba: Joined at the Balance
Sheet,” March 3, 2015, https://medium.com/backchannel/yahoo-
and-alibaba-joined-at-the-balance-sheet-94b459233894#.cklylx3x3;
Lawrence Meyers, “Yahoo Stock: Is YHOO Worth Nothing Without
BABA?,” September 21, 2015, http://investorplace.com/2015/09/ya-
hoo-stock-yhoo-baba-alibaba/#.VnNaiPkrKM8.
49 comScore, “comScore Reports July 2015 U.S. Smartphone
Subscriber Market Share,” September 3, 2015
50 Louis Kaplow, “Market Denition, Market Power,” May
2015, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2605179##
; Jonathan B. Baker and Timothy F. Bresnahan, “Economic Evidence
in Antitrust: Dening Markets and Measuring Market Power,” Eco-
nomic Evidence in Antitrust, http://web.stanford.edu/~tbres/research/
buccirossi_01_ch01_001-042.pdf; Howard H. Change, David S. Ev-
ans, and Richard Schmalensee, “Assessment of the Relevant Market in
Competition Matters,” March 30, 2011.
is therefore not available as a measure of qual-
ity differences and for that matter is not an im-
portant element of competition relative to the
content and service subsidies.
Market shares are poor indicia of market
power for online attention seekers in part be-
cause precise market boundaries are more dif-
cult to establish. Narrow market denitions, con-
ned to functional substitutes for the content or
services provided by the platform, seldom make
sense because consumers shift their attention
uidly among different platforms. That is not to
say that a broad denition is appropriate either
since many platforms have some source of dif-
ferentiation that makes consumers more likely to
give them their attention. To the extent market
shares are used they should be calculated using
different plausible denitions of the relevant set
of substitutes.
V. Conclusion
Multi-sided platforms comprise an increas-
ingly large portion of the economy, in part as a
result of the technological changes described
above. Online multi-sided platforms are now
behind waves of creative destruction. Protect-
ing competition in this part of the economy is
important and competition authorities should
be commended for being vigilant in making
sure that dominant platforms do not violate the
competition rules and that rent-seeking incum-
bents do not stand in the way of innovative new
platforms.
Antitrust analysis, however, needs to adjust
the standard tools for assessing market power
so that they are accurate, as a matter of eco-
nomics and mathematics, for multi-sided plat-
forms. That includes recognizing that important
implications of interdependent demand, and
interlinked sides, for platforms. Particular care
is needed to online platforms, and especially
online attention seekers, because of the impor-
tance of non-price competition, the pervasive
use for zero prices, and the role, at least for now,
of intense dynamic competition
.
94
95
The double duality
of two-sided
markets
Alfonso Lamadrid de Pablo
*
Introduction
The increasing relevance of multi-sided mar-
kets
2
and business models in the economy has
over the past few years been mirrored in aca-
demic writings, mostly in economic literature,
3
and increasingly in competition law enforce-
ment.
The intention of this brief intervention is not to
incorporate novel theories into the discussion of
multi-sided platforms nor to summarise the main
ndings of the literature that is currently avail-
able. As an avid reader of academic works
on the subject, and although I much appreci-
ate their lessons, when I read them I realise that
the vast majority of papers have been authored
by economists, mostly academics, and only in
very rare cases by lawyers in private practice.
This – like other features I will comment on lat-
er – has dual implications: on the one hand it
means that practitioners haven’t (yet) muddied
the discussion by writing one-sidedly in defence
of the positions they are hired to represent;
4
on
the other hand, it also means that certain prac-
tical legal issues may not have received the at-
tention they perhaps should.
When legal scholars have touched upon the
application of competition law in two-sided
platforms they have moreover done so for the
most part in relation to specic markets, notably
payments, media and search engines. There
is nothing to criticise this focus, but while
specicity has advantages, it also has down-
sides. Indeed, in my view, complex problems
are better assessed with perspective; it is only
with a wider approach that patterns become
clear and that conclusions intended to be of
general application can be adopted without
inuence or prejudice derived from fact, case,
or market-specic elements.
The relative lack of attention on the part of
legal scholars has not been compensated by
any clarication by competition authorities. In-
deed, the majoritarian position of competition
authorities has been one that at rst sight may
appear as prudent, but that on closer inspec-
tion may not be proving the wisest: to argue that
*
Garrigues, Brussels. The following pages are an edited tran-
script of the authors’ intervention at the Swedish Competition Authori-
ty’s 2014 Pros and Cons Conference in Stockholm. The presentation that
accompanied the oral intervention is available at: https://antitrustlair.
les.wordpress.com/2014/11/lamadrid_the-double-duality-of-two-sid-
ed-markets.pdf. I am most grateful to Pablo Ibañez Colomo and Kevin
Coates for their comments on a previous version of this paper, and to
Sam Villiers and Miguel Ángel Bolsa for their help with the editing
work.
2 Whereas the title of my intervention at the Pros and Cons
conference referred to ‘two sided markets’, I will hereinafter refer to
‘multi-sided platforms’ in order to avoid misunderstandings with the
competition law notion of ‘market’ as well as to acknowledge that plat-
forms may have more than only two sides.
3 For a survey of economic literature on the topic, see D Ev-
ans and R Schmalensee, ‘The Antitrust Analysis of Multi-Sided Plat-
form Businesses’, in R Blair and D Sokol (eds), Oxford Handbook on
International Antitrust Economics (Oxford University Press, 2015)
or University of Chicago Institute for Law / Economics Olin Research
Paper No 623, available at:http://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/cgi/
viewcontent.cgi?article=1482&context=law_and_economics.
4 Some of the articles written by practicing lawyers (and
practicing economists) in this regard are indeed so one-sided that it
is surprising to see them written on both sides of the paper. Contrary
to this tradition, this article does not intend to defend the particular
position of a given client; I have, rather, chosen to adopt a different
forward-looking approach and present both the ‘pros and the cons’ of
market structures and business practices in multi-sided settings. This
balancing exercise is not only in line with the theme of the Pros and
Cons conference, it also should also have the positive externality of
lowering my switching costs should that be necessary.
96
the economic literature is still at an early stage,
that there is little empirical work from which to
draw lessons and, in sum, that more economic
research is needed prior to advancing changes
in the way the law is applied.
5
Against this background, the pages that
follow seek to provide the personal views of a
practitioner on how to deal with a subject that
has become increasingly relevant to the prac-
tice of competition law and that lies at the core
of some of the most prominent cases in recent
times.
6
I essentially intend to submit that – con-
trary to the most widely held stance – perhaps
we know all we need to know about two-sided
platforms in order to rene our legal approach
tothem.
Indeed, ‘unlike, say, macroeconomics or
behavioral economics, there is no serious con-
troversy among economists’ on this topic and
therefore it seems fair to claim that ‘the multisid-
ed platform analysis is well within the economic
mainstream’;
7
over the past few years thanks to
the work of many economists we have robust
theoretical and empirical grounds on which to
build, these theories already have their Nobel
prize,
8
and perhaps the time is ripe for the law
to take the driver’s seat in these discussions.
My concern, however, is that we, as lawyers
and jurists, seem not to know what to do with
it. Indeed, authorities and lawyers are used to
(let us not change metaphors)driving in autopi-
lot, repeatedly resorting to the same tools, tests
and rules, and feel uncomfortable in multisid-
ed platforms because the setting forces us to
go back to basics and to interrogate ourselves
about where we really want the application of
competition law to take us.
In other words, by breaking the inertia of busi-
ness as usual, multi-sided platforms place us out
of our comfort zone, expose our contradictions
and insecurities and oblige us to think. This may,
on the one side, be most uncomfortable but, on
the other side, presents us with a most interest-
ing opportunity to go back to the basics of our
discipline, perhaps too often forgotten.
In sum, I will argue that what is missing is not
empirical work but a wider reection on the
goals of competition law and on how they are
to be attained.
The complexity and duality of
multi-sided scenarios
On the need to rene traditional
tools and rules
It already has become commonplace to say
that multi-sided platforms pose particular chal-
lenges to competition law enforcement, and it
is true in many ways that the logic, the rules and
the tools we are accustomed to are not valid in
these settings, at least not without importantre-
nements.
Such claims are not unusual. As a lawyer, I
5 See for example European Commission, ‘Note to the
OECD’s Roundtable on Two-Sided Markets’, 28 May 2009, p 5, stat-
ing that ‘empirical research is lacking’ and is ‘indispensable’ and that ‘it
isstillearlyforacompetitionauthoritytoadoptanydenitiveviews,
let alone concrete policies or assessment methodologies, concerning the
application of competition policy un cases involving two-sided plat-
forms’.
6 These include various investigations in Google’s search and
mobile OS products, several investigations into payment networks as
well as on Most Favoured Nation clauses in online websites.
7 D Evans, ‘The Consensus among Economists on Multi-
sided Platforms and Its Implications for Excluding Evidence that Ig-
nores It’ (2013), p 3, available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.
cfm?abstract_id=2249817.At p 11 he states that ‘[w]hile the result that
traditional models may not be applicable to multisided platforms is in-
convenient in practice, it is not controversial among professional econ-
omists’.
8 At roughly the same time both the Swedish Competition Au-
thority and the Swedish Academy decided to honour the developments
intheeldoftwo-sidedmarkets,albeitsomehowasymmetrically:the
latter by granting a Nobel Prize to Jean Tirole, one of the pioneers of this
literature and the former inviting me, among others, to participate at the
Pros and Cons conference.
97
9 European Commission note to the OECD’s Roundtable, n 5,
above, p 4. For a ‘not necessarily complete compendium of known and
well-documented problems with applying results based on a single-sid-
ed analysis to multi-sided platforms’, see Evans, n 7, above, p 9. For a
list of eight one-sided fallacies in which may occur when dealing with
multi-sided platforms,seeJWright,‘One-sidedLogicinTwo-sidedMar-
kets’(2004)3(1)ReviewofNetworkEconomics44–64.
do not recall having ever worked on a case in
which someone did not claim that the sector at
issue deserved special antitrust scrutiny; all sec-
tors claim to be special and, in a sense, they all
are. Admittedly, however, multi-sided scenarios
(which might arise in many markets, both tech-
nological and not) do seem to pose, or rather
exacerbate, practical problems that take com-
petition law out of its comfort zone.
Most of the theoretical models on which com-
petition law typically relies assume one-sided-
ness, in that they consider one single set of cus-
tomers and their reaction to changes in supply,
as well as the response of suppliers to changes
in that demand. In multi-sided platforms howev-
er, the assessment becomes multi-dimensional.
In these settings one needs to factor in the ex-
istence of multiple customer groups with inter-
dependent demand and analyse how each
side will react to a given move on the part of
the platform; (ii) how will the platform react to
moves on the different sides; and (iii) how each
side will react to each other.
The complexity of these exercises is further
enhanced by another important dimension to
consider: time. One of the crucial features of
these markets – particularly technology markets
is the speed at which they progress; business
practices are not only complex, but also highly
dynamic; the ability of these platforms to grow,
and the speed at which they scale, is unprec-
edented in any other business. Accordingly,
these platforms are constantly increasing their
depth and reach, constantly redening their
boundaries as well as those of entire industries.
In case things were not difcult enough, com-
petition authorities are asked to react swiftly to
rapidly evolving situations. Moreover, and aside
from substantive questions, the time dimension
also raises enforcement issues: when should
competition authorities intervene? Is it prefera-
ble to prevent or to cure?
Interdependency, the pattern of cross-re-
sponses and speed are, in sum, what makes ev-
erything a bit more complicated, in life, in eco-
nomics and also in multi-sided platforms. And
by ‘everything’ I mean, literally, everything. As
acknowledged by the European Commission,
‘[t]his pattern of cross responses will generally
affect each step of standard antitrust analysis,
from product market denition, the competitive
assessment, entry, efciencies, etc’.
9
In light of the above, it is unquestionable that
having to apply competition law to multi-sided
platforms breaks the inertia and forces us not to
do things like we used to, thereby obliging us to-
think.
Against this background, I submit that the
thinking has been asymmetrical on the part of
economists, on the one side, and lawyers on the
other.
Much attention on the part of economists
and scholars has lately centred on how to adapt
and make practicable the tools we are most
accustomed to (such as the small but signicant
and non-transitory increase in price (SSNIP) test
or the Areeda-Turner/AKZO test), and progress
has certainly be made in this regard.
Whereas the renements and adaptations
to our toolkit proposed by economists are most
valuable and welcome, my contention is that
they may be of little use if jurists continue not to
address other questions raised by these markets
which go more profoundly both to the rootoft-
hedisciplineandtothewayinwhichtherulesareen-
forcedinpractice.
98
As I will submit in the discussion which follows,
the duality or ambiguity for competition purpos-
es of practices carried out in multi-sided plat-
forms has not been properly accounted for in
the law. As will be explained below, this duality
raises substantive and practical questions that
expose the inconsistencies and insecurities of
competition law and oblige us to question the
very values we purport to defend and the ob-
jectives we intend to pursue.
On the double duality of business
practices in multi-sided platforms
The platforms discussed in this contribution
typically receive special attention because of
their already explained duality; that is, they are
said to be peculiar because they involve two (or
more) sets of users that interact with each other
through the platform which, in turn, means that
business practices will be felt on multiple sides of
the market.
But in my view there is a second element of
duality of two-sided platforms that has not re-
ceived equal attention and that relates to the
competitive ambiguity of the practices carried
out in these settings.
Indeed, the circumstances in which practices
in multi-sided platforms may lead to foreclosure
are precisely the same ones in which they may
yield benets for consumers.
The dening characteristic of a multi-sided
platform is that it solves a transaction prob-
lem and creates value by bringing together
– physically or virtually – different groups/sides
that need each other but that cannot get to-
gether easily on their own. The platform makes
users better off by harnessing indirect network
effects by ensuring that there are enough play-
ers on both sides. This means that advantages
arise when a platform or intermediary manages
to attain a critical mass of users, and balances
and optimises the network effects (often by re-
sorting to asymmetric pricing, exclusivity and/or
tying, among other possible strategies).
On the other side, however, attaining the
necessary scale may very well imply depriving
competing platforms of the critical mass they
need, thus leading to their exclusion from the
market. Such exclusion may occur as a result
either of the natural tipping of the market to-
wards the most valuable platform
10
or of exclu-
sionary strategies which in other contexts would
be deemed irrational (in these settings each
time a competing platform is deprived of a giv-
en customer it loses not only the potential reve-
nues from that customer but also suffers a loss
in the overall value of the platform). One illus-
trative example is that of interoperability deni-
als. Although lack of interoperability diminishes
the value of a given network, it may appear as
a rational strategy given that it may particular-
ly damage small networks by denying them a
minimum viable scale.
This second dimension of the duality of
two-sided markets (ie their competitive ambi-
guity) is indeed not exclusive to this context but
rather derives from the existence of network
externalities which although present by de-
nition in multi-sided settings – may well exist in
one-sided ones. It implies, in sum, that moves
to increase the scale of the side of the market
generating those externalities might result both
in greater scale and concentration (typically as-
sumed to be detrimental to consumer welfare)
as well as in increased platform value (which is
welfare enhancing for its members).
11
10 Whereas it is by now acknowledged that in most instanc-
es multi-sided platforms (or more generally speaking markets charac-
terised by network externalities) do not tend to monopolise given the
prevalence of product differentiation on attributes or quality and of the
possibilities for multi-homing, switching and, in many cases, interoper-
ability, the fact is that many multi-sided platforms operate in highly con-
centrated environments. This is not necessarily good (except for com-
petition lawyers) or bad, it simply is part of the background in which
competition rules are to be applied.
99
The problem that competition law faces
in these settings is similar to the one faced by
multi-sided platforms when conducting busi-
ness – in essence, how to strike a balance be-
tween the two sides, in this case the offensive/
anti-competitive and the defensive/pro-com-
petitive.
In what follows, I will contend that whereas
it is clear in economics that business practices
in multi-sided platforms setting have both an
offensive and defensive potential, and where-
as this seems to have been acknowledged on
a theoretical basis by competition authorities
and courts, the practical application of the
competition rules results in an imbalance that
overplays the offensive, or anti-competitive, po-
tential of such practices and makes defences
effectivelyunavailable.
Multi-sided market features
as a sword
Competition authorities have been aware
since the early 1990s of the offensive potential
of network effects, including in multi-sided plat-
form settings.
Interestingly, both the doctrine and the appli-
cation of the law in the face of network effects
have tended to focus on their anti-competitive
potential (which is somehow paradoxical for a
positive, theoretically desirable, externality). In-
deed, most of the attention paid to network ef-
fects by antitrust enforcers and scholars – later
consolidated in precedents and guidelines
12
eminently relates to their characteristic as a bar-
rier to entry. As a result, network effects have
proved to be, in practice, a most effective basis
for legal arguments challenging allegedly an-
ti-competitive conduct.
13
This has been evident with regard to a wide
array of practices, both price and non-price re-
lated, as well as in relation to merger control.
11 HJ Hovenkamp, The Antitrust Enterprise, Principle and
Execution (Harvard University Press, 2005), at 281 (‘These same
features that make networks attractive also create the opportunity for
anticompetitive practices’); M Schanzenbach, ‘Network Effects and
AntitrustLaw:Predation,AfrmativeDefenses,andtheCase ofU.S.
v. Microsoft’ (2002)4 Stanford Technology Law Rev 3 (asserting that
‘network competition provides unique opportunities for anti-competi-
tive strategies’, but emphasises that ‘network competition also provides
someuniquepro-competitivejusticationsforpracticesthathavetra-
ditionally received antitrust scrutiny, such as tying, exclusive dealing,
and low-pricing strategies’, concluding that ‘network effects can be
a double-edged sword’); GL Priest, ‘Rethinking Antitrust Law in
an Age of Network Industries’ (2007) 4 Yale Law & Economics Re-
search Paper No 352, at 4 (‘[M]any practices in the context of networks
that may seem puzzling become understood when the need to correct
for positive network externalities is taken into account’); DJ Gifford,
‘The European Union, the United States, and Microsoft: A Comparative
Review of Antitrust Doctrine’, CLEA 2009 Annual Meeting Paper,
available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1434089or http://dx.doi.
org/10.2139/ssrn.1434089,pp 19–20: ‘Network effects carry a double
edge’; SF Ross, ‘Network Economic Effects and the Limits of GTE
Sylvania’sEfciencyAnalysis’(2001) 68AntitrustLaw Journal951:
‘Firms that produce goods with network effects can engage in con-
ductthatpromotesefciency,inthesensethattheresultingproductis
cheaper, intrinsically superior in quality, or that the product’s greater
use by others increases each consumers utility. The same conduct can
simultaneouslyhave signicant exclusionaryeffectsbecause thecon-
ductmakesitevenmoredifcultfornewentrantstoovercomethefact
that so many consumers now use the dominant rm’sproduct’; WH
Page, ‘Microsoft and the Limits of Antitrust’ (2009) Journal of Com-
petition Law & Economics (forthcoming), University of Florida
Levin College of Law Research Paper No 2009–40, available at SSRN:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=1501079,at 9: ‘The very existence of network
effects makes certain practices that resemble antitrust violations social-
lybenecial…’;WJKolasky,‘NetworkEffects:AContrarianView’
(1999) 7 George Mason Law Review 578: ‘Network effects may
well exhibit unique characteristics, but these characteristics do not all
point in one direction. Network effects will as often provide a valid
precompetitivebusinessjusticationforconductastheywillareason
for holding otherwise lawful conduct unlawfully’.
12 European Commission, Guidance on the Commission’s en-
forcement priorities in applying Article 102 TFEU to abusive exclu-
sionary conduct by dominant undertakings, paras 17–20 (‘The Com-
mission will normally intervene under Article 82 where, on the basis of
cogent and convincing evidence, the allegedly abusive conduct is likely
to lead to anti-competitive foreclosure. The Commission considers the
following factors to be generally relevant to such an assessment: (…)
the existence of economies of scale and/or scope and network effects.
Economies of scale mean that competitors are less likely to enter or
stayinthemarketifthedominantundertakingforeclosesasignicant
part of the relevantmarket. Similarly, the conduct may allow the dom-
inant undertaking to ‘tip’ a market characterised by network effects in
its favor or to further entrench its position on such a market. Likewise,
ifentrybarriersintheupstreamand/ordownstreammarketaresigni-
cant, this means that it may be costly for competitors to overcome pos-
sible foreclosure through vertical integration’), 24; Guidelines on the
assessment of horizontal mergers under the Council Regulation on the
control of concentrations between undertakings (2004) OJ C 31/5, para
72; Guidelines on the assessment of non-horizontal mergers under the
Council Regulation on the control of concentrations between under tak-
ings (2008) OJC265/6,paras62,101.
100
The approach of competition authorities to
pricing practices is perhaps most striking, at least
at rst sight.
14
As observed by Rochet and Tirole,
‘theoretical models predict that skewed pricing
is more likely to be the norm than the exception
for MSPs [multi-sided platforms]’ but ‘surprising-
ly, skewed pricing has sometimes been used by
competition authorities in completely opposed
ways’.
15
Indeed, proving true a well-known
quote that is often used to ridicule competi-
tion law enforcement,
16
competition authorities
and courts in the EU have taken action against
prices that were too high (notably concerning
the multilateral interchange fee (MIFs) applied
by card payment systems), against prices that
were allegedly too low (see eg the allegations
on predatory pricing on the part of Google re-
garding maps and mobile operating systems)
as well as against prices that were considered
to be too stiff (eg the recent investigations
into MFNs/best price guarantees applicable
to online resellers in hotel reservation systems,
e-books or Amazon’s marketplace). In relation
to non-pricing practices attention has tended
to focus on exclusivity arrangements,
17
as well
as on tying/bundling
18
and on alleged ac-
cess and discrimination issues against so-called
‘gatekeepers’ – a fashionable term nowadays
– or ‘competitive bottlenecks’ (which arise
when a given platform is an unavoidable trad-
ing partner for agents on one side of the market
to reach the single-homing agents on the other
side).
19
The same vigilant approach is visible in the pre-
ventive eld of merger control. The predominant
tendency on the part of antitrust agencies has typ-
ically
20
been to assume that network effects may
increase barriers to entry as well as incentives to
act anti-competitively following a change of mar-
ket structure pursuant to a merger.
21
Multi-sided market features
as a shield
Whereas discussions on network effects have
typically focused on their offensive potential,
discussions on multi-sided platforms (which, as
explained, deal in reality with the same root
13 Perhaps with the exception of the Microsoft / Skype case
(in which the Commission’s unconditional authorisation in Phase I was
validated by the judgment of the General Court of 11 December 2013
in Cisco Systems, Inc and Messagenet SpA v European Commission
(CaseT-79) EU:T:2013:635, but for reasons not attributable to (and
still not well understood by) the lawyers representing the applicants,
including myself. For my comments on this case, see http://chilling-
competition.com/2014/05/12/a-comment-on-case-t-7912-cisco-sys-
tems-and-messagenet-v-european-commission-microsoftskype/.
14 In reality, the apparent contradictions observed in this regard
may not be such, given that, in practice, pricing practices can cer-
tainlybeusedtoexploit,excludeandreinforcearm’sposition.That
there may not be a real inconsistency in the approach of competition
authorities does not mean that the approach in all individual cases has
been the right one.
15 J-C Rochet, J Tirole, ‘CPI Introduction to the Symposium’
(2007) 3(1) 148, available at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.
cfm?abstract_id=987339
16 ‘Ronald [Coase] said he had gotten tired of antitrust because
when the prices went up the judges said it was monopoly, when the pric-
es went down they said it was predatory pricing, and when they stayed
the same they said it was tacit collusion’, W Landes, ‘The Fire of Truth:
A Remembrance of Law and Econ at Chicago’ (1981) Journal of Law
and Economics 193.
17 The prevalent thinking among competition authorities with
regard to exclusivity on one side of multi-sided platforms is that it
wouldarticiallyincreaseswitchingcosts,therebyhinderingcompet-
ing platforms’ ability to obtain the necessary critical mass with which
to gain a foothold on the market. In these circumstances it is generally
assumed that network effects exacerbate the collective choice problem,
since consumers will be aware of the disincentives created by exclu-
sivityforotherconsumerstoshiftnetwork.Consequently,arivalrm,
even one which could offer a superior product or service, would not
have any opportunities unless users have the ability to act coordinately,
whichmayberare.
18 Tying and bundling are looked at more suspiciously in in-
dustries with network effects, economies of scale and high barriers
to entry (see, eg, the Microsoft cases, concerning the tying of Windows
Media Player and Internet Explorer; see also the European Commis-
sion’s Staff Discussion Paper on the application of Article 82 EC to
Exclusionary Abuses, para 180 (2005), available at http://ec.europa.
eu/competition/antitrust/art82/discpaper2005.pdf).
19 Theories of harm alleging the existence of competitive bot-
tlenecks have been brought in relation to search engines, computerised
reservation systems, mobile communication networks, Internet Service
Providers, credit card networks and supermarkets, amongothers.
20 Perhaps with the exception cited at n.13(apologies for the
one-sidedness on this one).
21 Accordingly, network effects are generally seen as factors
with the potential to complicate the anti-competitive effects of a merger.
101
phenomenon) rather tend to highlight their the-
oretical defensive potential.
The key idea I want to convey here is that the
economic literature shows that demand-side
efciencies achieved by multi-sided platforms
may turn typically condemned practices into
welfare enhancing ones. This is the case, for ex-
ample, with horizontal cooperation agreements
within the network aimed at capturing external-
ities or expanding the network (think of the MIFs
in the payments industry, of standard setting
agreements, of collecting management societ-
ies or of airline alliances), of what could prima
facie be regarded as predatory/excessive pric-
ing,
22
as well as with other unilateral practices
such as exclusivity arrangements
23
and tying/
bundling,
24
all of which might be used to harness
network effects.
In spite of these conceivable defences, it is
still most rare to see demand-side efciencies
being effectively acknowledged as a valid de-
fence in real cases.
25
My contention is that this lack of consider-
ation for possible redeeming virtues arising from
demand-side efciencies stems both from the
inability of economics to quantify the external-
ity, as well as from the inability of the law to ac-
count for this gap and adapt to it.
I attribute this problem to three main causes:
First, competition authorities are out of their
comfort zone when asked to assess defences
based on the internalisation of network exter-
nalities (ie the increase in the value of the plat-
form to make it viable or more effective) in the
absence of quantication. The lack of a reliable
method to quantify the advantages derived
from the externality means that, in practice, at-
tempts to bring up defences related to the ef-
ciencies arising from a larger or more balanced
platform are typically doomed.
26
The requirement of objective quantication
contrasts with the much lighter burden imposed
Perhapstherstexampleoftheapplicationofnetworktheorytotheas-
sessment of merges lies on the MCI/WorldCom case, which was cleared
both by the European Commission and by the DOJ upon the condition
that WorldCom would divest MCI’s internet business. Since then, the
European Commission has approached mergers in multi-sidedplat-
formswithparticularcare;think,forinstanceofMicrosoft/Yahoo,Travel-
port/Worldspanand Google/DoubleClick, all of which were centered on
theories of harm which were explicitly based on cross-market effects.
Once again, the outlier here is Microsoft/Skype, a case in which a the-
oretically straightforward cross-market effects theory of harm was put
forward but was labelled as ‘conglomerate’ and rapidly dismissed too
‘complex’and‘uncertain’.
22 Contrary to the Areeda/Turner and AKZO assumption that
underlying a price below marginal cost there is generally an anti-com-
petitive purpose, exclusionary intent is not necessarily present in rela-
tion to penetration pricing aimed at providing incentive for one side to
join, thus making the platform viable or expanding its reach and, conse-
quently, its value. In fact, low pricing is the most obvious way in which
a network owner can internalise the consumption externality by setting
the price charged for joining at a price below the costs that the addition
impliesforthenetworkrmwithaviewtobuildingcriticalmass.Ina
way,therm usingsuch strategy isinvesting inthe networkthrough
the purchase of its most valuable input: the customer. Low prices on
one side of the platform may very well be accompanied by what could
be regarded as excessive prices on the other side thereof. Admittedly,
the increase in the value of the network could also be coupled by the
exclusion of competitors, there by making it necessary to balance pro
andanti-competitive effects.
23 As observed by Shapiro, whereas it is widely assumed that
in network settings pro-competitive features will be outweighed by
greater competitive harm, exclusivity can also serve to differentiate
products and networks, to encourage investment in these networks, and
to overcome free riding. Exclusivity obligations may also act to the det-
rimentofanincumbentrmfacingaparticularlystrongentrantgiven
that it may ‘[induce] customers who would otherwise be a member of
both networks to join only the new network’. In addition, multi-sided
platforms may possibly enhance some of the pro-competitive effects of
exclusivity. It is commonly admitted that exclusivity might facilitate
long-termplanning, thus reducing the risk of incurring xed costsin
production. This contribution to the elimination of uncertainties is par-
ticularly useful in multi-sided markets, characterised by the necessity
of incurring large sunk costs in unpredictable contexts. C Shapiro,
‘Exclusivity in Network Industries’ (1999) 7 George Mason Law
Review675.
24 In certain multi-sided settings tying may contribute to pre-
serving or expanding the positive network externality by adding new
functionality to network platforms, by helping entrants overcome barri-
ers to entry. See, eg Priest, n 11, above, p 8 andPage,n11,above,p9.In a
multi-sided market tying / bundling canal so be used as a monetisation
strategy.
25 This has lead even Nobel-prize winners to underline the ‘in-
sufcientattentionpaidtoefciencyconsiderationsrelatedwithusage
externalities’, Rochet and Tirole, n. 15, above, p. 148.
102
on the authorities, which are not obliged to ‘ob-
jectively quantify’ restrictions; they can meet
their burden of proof on the basis of qualitative
factors, but private undertakings having to de-
fend themselves cannot. This unevenness in the
applicable standard of proof risks – as will be
discussed in detail later – an effective shift of the
burden of proof from the Commission to the
undertaking. Consequently, in doubtful cases
authorities and courts may risk following the
reex of condemning complex practices de-
spite, or precisely because of, the impossibility
to adequately assess their effects.
Secondly, the legal principles typically used
to assess redeeming virtues have not always
been interpreted in a manner well-suited to ac-
count for cross-market efciency assessments,
which will obviously be necessary when more
than one side of a platform is affected by a giv-
en practice.
27
This is in contrast with the lessons
derived from economics, which tell us that the
ideal solution here would be to strike a balance
between all interests at play (balancing favour-
able and detrimental effects of the agreement
across markets and across customer groups).
According to the Guidelines on the applica-
tion of Art 101(3) efciency gains are in principle
assessed ‘within the connes of each relevant
market to which the agreement relates’.
Whereas the guidelines envisage that where
two markets are related one can take into ac-
count the efciencies in the other, they never-
theless require that the group of consumers af-
fected by the restriction and benetting from it
be substantially the same.
28
The Guidelines on 101(3) not only reected,
or rather set, the creative – and in these settings
problematic – approach adopted by the Com-
mission in this regard, but they also somehow
captured the General Court,
29
which validated
them on this point its Mastercard judgment.
30
On
appeal, however, despite upholding the Gener-
al Court’s Mastercard ruling, the Court of Jus-
tice of the European Union (ECJ) made it clear
that when assessing compliance with 101(3) ‘it
is necessary to take into account the system of
which that measure forms part, including, where
27 The two dualities that we have referred to can furthermore
be apparent at the same time whenever a reduction of competition on
one side is coupled by welfare enhancing effects on another side of the
platform. This, moreover, will frequently be the case for affecting the
cross-group externality; those practices might both enhance users’ wel-
fare and exclude third parties, often at the same time.
28 Commission Guidelines on the application of Article 81(3)
oftheTreaty,OfcialJournalNoC101of27.4.2004,at43.
29 For more developed comments on this issue, see
http://chillingcompetition.com/2015/01/20/on-the-misapplica-
tion-of-article-1013-of-judicial-capture-and-cross-market-assess-
ments/.
30 In its judgment of 24 May 2012 in MasterCard, Inc and
Others v European Commission (Case T-111/08) EU:T:2012:260,
the General Court acknowledged at para 228 that ‘the appreciable ob-
jectiveadvantagestowhichtherstconditionofArticle[101(3)]EC
relates may arise not only for the relevant market but also for every
othermarketonwhichtheagreementinquestionmighthavebenecial
effects’, but nevertheless ruled that ‘as merchants constitute one of the
26 An illustration can be found in the Mastercard Interchange
Fees case. In a nutshell, a 2007 Commission decision concluded that
MasterCard’s intra-EEA cross-border multilateral interchange fees for
credit and debit cards were contrary to Art 101(1) TFEU in as much as
theyrestrictedcompetitionbetweenacquiringbanksbyarticiallyin-
creasing the basis on which these banks set their charges to merchants.
MasterCard argued that the anti-competitive effect outlined above
couldbeoutweighedbyefcienciesstemmingfromMIFintheformof
lower cardholder fees on the opposite side of the market. In other words,
MasterCard’s reasoning was that in light of the ‘two-sided’ nature of the
payment card industry, MIFs were ‘set to balance issuing and acquiring
demands, so as to ‘get both sides on board’, thereby internalising net-
work externalities and maximising output and consumer welfare. The
CommissionobservedthatMIFswerealsoabletogeneratesignicant
efcienciesinlightofthe‘two-sided’natureofthemarket.Nonetheless,
it rejected MasterCard’s allegations considering that even though MIFs
couldbeapotentialsourceofefciencies,‘MasterCardfailedtosubmit
the required empirical evidence to demonstrate any positive effects on
innovation and efciency which would allow passing on a fair share
oftheMIFbenetstoconsumers’.Thedecisionwasappealedbefore
the General Court and subsequently before the ECJ, both of which
upheldtheCommission’sdecision,thusconrmingthedifculties
incumbentupon any partywishing to claim the benets arising from
network effects in multi-sided markets. The General Court ruled that
Mastercard had ‘failed to submit empirical evidence on the positive ef-
fect of MIFs on system output’ and that since these had not been ‘objec-
tivelyquantied’,theycouldnotbetakenintoaccount.TheECJdidnot
disputethisnding.
103
appropriate, all the objective advantages ow-
ing from that measure not only on the market in
respect of whichthe restriction has been estab-
lished, but also on the market which includes the
other group of consumers associated with that
system, in particular where, as in this instance, it
is undisputed that there is interaction between
the two sides of the system in question’.
31
The
same idea, in relation to Art 101(1) underscores
the judgment in Groupement des Cartes ban-
caires rendered by the ECJ on the very same
day.
32
In these judgments the ECJ showed that it
had become aware of this aw in the traditional
analytical framework, and appears to have set
the law on a new course, at least with regard
to multi-sidedplatforms.
Thirdly, we have so far proved unable to
trade off the benets and the perils of having
one large scaled platform as well as the circum-
stances in which one platform is preferable to
having several.
The Mastercard case once again provides a
useful example of a circumstance in which, in
the face of doubt or ambiguity, the offensive
theory is favoured.
33
A similar illustration can be
found in the CFI’s judgment inMicrosoft.
34
Addressing a practical imbalance – back to
basics
We have seen that while business practices
in multi-sided platforms are often pro-competi-
tive, or at least ambiguous from a competitive
standpoint, the practical application of the law
reects an imbalance in which offensive argu-
ments are favoured and conceivable defences
are most often effectively ignored.
This results partly from the inability to quanti-
fy the value of the externality, partly from the
wording and the ‘funnel structure’ of compe-
tition law provisions, partly from the difculties
inherent in cross-group assessments and partly
from our natural inclination to favour narrow
prisms and one-sidedness in the face of com-
plexity.
In my view, this imbalance results in a prob-
lematic imbalance or, putdifferently, in enforce-
menthemiplegia.
35
Against this background, what this contri-
two groups of users affected by payment cards, the very existence of the
second condition of Article [101(3) TFEU] necessarily means that the
existence of appreciable objective advantages attributable to the MIF
must also be established in regard to them’. In other words, since no
quantiable advantages benetted merchants, there was no need to
verifywhetheranysuchadvantagesbenettedcardholders.
31 MasterCard Inc and Others v European Commission (Case
C-382/12 P) EU:C:2014:2201, para 237. In spite of this sensible state-
ment, para 248 of the same judgment implicitly validates the contrarian
approachadoptedinrstinstancebytheGeneralCourt.
32 Groupement des cartes bancaires (CB) v European Commis-
sion (Case C-67/13 P) EU:C:2014:2204, paras 76–79.
33 Paragraph 222 of the General Court’s judgment states that
‘anincreaseintheplatform’soutputcanbethesourceofefciencies,so
inadditiontogivingrisetoefciencies,itcouldalsoenableMastercard
to extract rents’. In the case at issue, the Court understood that the fact
thatMastercardcouldextractrentswasautomaticallysufcienttonulli-
fytheadvantagesowingfromtheoutput/networkexpansionsoughtby
MIFs(whichtheoreticallyshouldbenetallmembers)withoutconsid-
ering it necessary to undertake any balancing exercise.
34 In this case the Courtrejected Microsoft’s arguments on the
existence of an objective justication for its conduct. Microsoft had
contended that integrating Windows Media Player in Windows pro-
videdsoftwaredeveloperswithastableandwell-denedplatformfor
software development that could facilitate their tasks. In response to
this claim, the CFI stated that ‘[a]lthough, generally, standardization
may effectively present certain advantages, it cannot be allowed to be
imposed unilaterally by an undertaking in a dominant position by means
of tying (…) [I]t cannot be ruled out that third parties will not want the
de facto standardization advocated by Microsoft but will prefer it
if different platforms continue to compete, on the ground that that will
stimulate innovation between the various platforms’. (See Microsoft
Corp v European Commission (Case T-201/04) EU:T:2007:289,
paras 1152–1153.) As pointed out by Larouche, the Court’s argu-
ment that some third parties would rather prefer competition between
platforms is little more than a mere unsupported conjecture. See in this
regard Larouche arguing that the CFI’s reasoning in this regard calls
for ‘further research on the link between competition policy, innova-
tion policy, and standardization’, P Larouche, ‘The European Microsoft
Case at the Crossroads of Competition Policy and Innovation’
(2008) 22 TILEC Discussion Paper No 2008–021,available at http://
ssrn.com/abstract=1140165.
104
bution posits is that if there is a problem at the
legal level, it is there that we need to act; it is
therefore not only economic tools that need to
be rened in the presence of multi-sided plat-
forms, but also the law, or rather the application
thereof.
These renements I am referring to do not re-
quire a policy revolution, but rather increased
analytical vigilance, mainly concerning (i) the
assessment of welfare enhancing features;
and (i) the upholding of certain basic limiting
principles that should not be forgotten.
Assessment of welfare enhancing
features/efciencies
To start with, in my view many of the identied
problems in two-sided markets would be avoid-
ed if we were to adopt a more reasonable in-
terpretation of Art 101(3) TFEU and of the ‘ef-
ciency defences’ as part of the assessment of
practices and mergers under Art 102 TFEU and
the MergerRegulation.
In what follows I will mainly refer in this regard
to Art 101, given that it incorporates an explicit
and specic sub-provision laying down the an-
alytical principles governing the assessment of
welfare enhancing features that also inspire – in
practice – the operation of Art 102 TFEU and of
the Merger Regulation,
36
and that make more
evident some of the issues that I intend to ex-
plain.
From an orthodox perspective, welfare en-
hancing features pertain to an Art 101(3) anal-
ysis, but nevertheless assessments carried out at
this stage very rarely prosper in individual cases.
I would argue that the overly restrictive interpre-
tation of Art 101(3) endorsed by competition
authorities and exposed in soft law instruments
is at the root of many contemporary controver-
sies and contortions in EU competition law, also
regarding multi-sided platforms.
In my view, reasonable competition law en-
forcement should be characterised by fewer
object cases, more effects cases, and many
more Art 101(3) cases, and it is therefore here
that we should rst take action. Among others,
and in line with what has been explained
above, I submit that a proper interpretation of
this sub-provision (and of analogous analytical
steps in other areas of competition law) should
not require ‘objective quantication’ of de-
mand-side efciencies, and that it should allow
for cross-market assessments, also regarding dis-
tinct groups of customers, contrary to what had
been done in the recent past.
The EU Courts more recently seem to have
acted at this level, but with a twist that is, in my
view, a second best, but welcome, solution.
In the light of the truncated analysis carried
out under competition law and the circum-
stances already explained, what we see now-
adays is that in any given case the accusing
party is able to more easily discharge its burden
of proof in a rst step of the analysis, whereas
the defendant will very rarely be able to com-
ply with the burden of showing the existence of
sufcient, objective, in-market welfare enhanc-
ing features.
Perhaps the acknowledgement of this situa-
tion may have led the EU Courts increasingly to
tolerate and encourage that redeeming con-
35 As José Ortega y Gasset said in one of my favourite quotes,
included in Toward a Philosophy of History (WW Norton & Company
Inc, 2002): ‘Aligning oneself fully with the left, as with the right, is only
one of the numberless ways open to man of being an imbecile: both are
forms of moral hemiplegia.’
36 See eg para 30, Communication from the Commission –
Guidance on the Commission’s enforcement priorities in applying Ar-
ticle 82 of the EC Treaty to abusive exclusionary conduct by dominant
undertakings (2009) OJ C 45; Art 2(1) of Council Regulation (EC) No
139/2004 of 20 January 2004 on the control of concentrations between
undertakings (the EC Merger Regulation) (2004) OJ L 24; Section VII
of Guidelines on the assessment of horizontal mergers under the Coun-
cil Regulation on the control of concentrations between undertakings
(2004) OJC31.
105
siderations be looked at within a rst stage in
which the burden of proof remains on the ac-
cusing party.
This, once again, is particularly evident in the
Mastercard and Cartes bancaires judgments of
11 September 2015, in which the ECJ arguably
conveyed the message that welfare enhanc-
ing features derived from two-sidedness can be
better assessed as part of Art 101(1), instead of
within Art101(3).
37
In my view, the analytical framework called
for in these two recent judgments implies that,
in the future, if a competition authority or com-
plainant were to suspect a prima facie Art 101
or 102 infringement in a case, it would then be
up to the defendant to bring a prima facie
– even if abstract – claim that the practice is
necessary to create, maintain, balance or ex-
pand the platform at issue. Should the defen-
dant then be able to make such claim, it would
be up to the party claiming the existence of
an infringement to motivate why such conten-
tions are not valid and/or to conduct itself the
balancing of pro- and anti-competitive effects,
dispensing the defendant of that burden.
This is also in many ways the message that, in
the US the DC Circuit Court sent in its Opinion
in Microsoft II with regard to similar issues: that
one should not hurry to condemn practices for
which a prima facie justication could be put
forward.
38
Given that, in practice, the operation of the
burden of proof often determines the outcome
of cases, acting at this level – by alleviating the
burden of proof incumbent upon the defendant
– is probably the most simple and effective
way of addressing these difculties
.
Do not forget the value of limiting
principles – back to basics
In addition to the above, and in order to
achieve consistency in the application of
competition rules in these markets, I believe
that we also need to revisit some basic tenets of
competitionlaw.
The ‘double duality’ of two-sided markets
raises substantive and practical questions that
expose the inconsistencies and insecurities of
competition law and oblige us to interrogate
ourselves about the very valued we purport to
defend and of the goals we intend to pursue.
In my view, the main challenge posed by
these markets/platforms lies not in the novelty
of the issues they raise, but on the intensity with
which those issues – notably related to the ‘old’
phenomenon of ‘scale’ – arise in these settings.
This means that the questions we are facing
now are to a great extent ones to which anti-
trust already replied in earlier days; the differ-
ence is mainly one of degree.
Indeed, in any given case involving multi-sid-
ed platforms competition enforcers will invari-
ably face certain empirical questions
39
but,
ultimately there will remain other more ‘philo-
sophical’ ones that go to the heart of the disci-
pline and that risk being answered on casuistic,
inconsistent and almost reexive or ideological
– and, as such, unsupported – grounds.
Against this background, I submit that it is nec-
essary to recall clear principles, lters or bright
37 See notably Groupement des cartes bancaires (CB) v Euro-
pean Commission (Case C-67/13 P) EU:C:2014:2204, paras 72–79 and
MasterCard Inc and Others v European Commission (Case C-382/12 P)
EU:C:2014:2201, paras 170–180.
38 United States v Microsoft Corp, 253 F.3d 34 (DC Cir 2001),
at 58–59. (‘If a plaintiff successfully establishes a prima facie case un-
der s.2 by demonstrating anticompetitive effect, then the monopolist
mayproffera“pro-competitivejustication”foritsconduct.Ifthemo-
nopolistassertsa precompetitivejustication–a nonpretextualclaim
that its conduct is indeed a form of competition on the merits . . . then
the burden shifts back to the plaintiff to rebut the claim . . . [I]f the
monopolist’s pro-competitive justication stands unrebutted, then the
plaintiff must demonstrate that the anticompetitive harm of the conduct
outweighstheprecompetitivebenet.’)
106
lines capable of adding some predictability to
the law or, in other words, to go back to basics.
I would propose to go back to basics and to
reinstate some key principles that competition
law has learnt over the years, but that are worth
recalling now that some of the earlier questions
antitrust faces are resurfacing with increased in-
tensity.
In my view, we should hold the following to be
self-evident, also, and particularly, in multi-sided
settings:
(1)
Absence of rivalry does not equal in-
fringement (protecting competition vs
protecting competitors).
Economics teaches us – and compe-
tition authorities have accepted in some
settings
40
– that, at the extreme, a mo-
nopolistic structure could in some scenar-
ios (natural monopoly, no diseconomies
of scale on the cost side, no congestion
effects on demand, homogeneous con-
sumers on both sides) be the most efcient
market structure. In this regard, it is per-
fectly conceivable, at least in theory, that
the benets of a larger platform outweigh
other possible downsides of market power
such as higher prices.
41
(2)
Remedies and objective justications
follow the establishment of an infringe-
ment by the
authority,not the other
way around.
As competition law has become increasingly
more regulatory
42
this – I would say obvious –
principle seems to have been partly forgotten.
Competition law, which is repeatedly held to
be quasi-criminal in nature, is not supposed to
kick-in in the face of a sub-optimal functioning
of markets, but only when an infringement has
been established by the authority or plaintiff.
(3)
Companies must be free to choose
their business model.
It is companies and not competition enforcers
which will strive or fail in the adoption of their
business models, and it is therefore companies
and not competition enforcers who are to de-
cide on what business models to use. Some will
prove successful and others will not; some com-
panies will thrive and some will disappear, but
with experimentation with businessmodels,suc-
cessandfailureareandhavealwaysbeenpartoft-
hegame.
43
In other words, we should not forget that com-
petition law is, or should be, business-model
agnostic, and that regulators are – like anyone
else – far from omniscient.
(4)
Competition law is about protecting
the process of competition from un-
due restraints.
It is not about shaping the process (see above),
and it is not about creating or preserving com-
petition in the face of the natural evolution of
markets.
41 Kolasky, n 11, above, at 585. (‘[S]ince positive network ef-
fectsgiverisetoefciencieswhichrmsmaycaptureandpassonto
consumers, it is important that we not interfere with the natural oper-
ation of the market, making the old mistake of protecting competitors,
rather than competition.’)
42 P Ibañez Colomo, ‘On the application of competition law as
regulation: elements for a theory’ (2010) 29 Yearbook of European Law
261–306.
39 Among others, how strong is the interdependency/network
affects across the different sides? What is the relative strength of differ-
entiation versus network effects? How easy is it for users to switch plat-
form? Is multi-homing possible and/or prevalent? What is the optimal
scale and what is the minimum critical mass for others to compete?
40 See the European Commission note to the OECD’s Round-
table on Two-Sided Markets, n 5, above, p 7: ‘… as in all markets
with network externalities, there is often the possibility that one plat-
form will corner (both sides of) the market if the inter-group external-
ities are powerful. It can be very hard for an entrant in such markets to
get started. However, this outcome is not necessarily bad from asocietal
point of view when externalities are strong’.
107
(5)
Competition law should be applied con-
sistently and there is no reason to favour
one parameter of competition over oth-
ers.
There will be situations in which our natural re-
exes will lead us to think – in the abstract – that
an apparent reduction in static competition
might possibly reduce
innovation, choice or
quality even if (or especially when) the analyt-
ical framework centred on price does not en-
able us to nd an infringement.
However, since we are not yet capable of ade-
quately balancing the benets of differentiation
and possible innovation against the increases in
value of a multi-sided platform these decisions
may be adopted on the basis of ideological
considerations,
44
which are, in my view, ill-suited
to be the basis of a sanctioning regime.
45
In sum, the fact that it is harder to measure pa-
rameters other than price and output does not
mean that these should be privileged over oth-
ers (rather the contrary) or that it is justied to
depart from well-established principles when
intervention is a response to the alleged impact
of a practice on a parameter other, and more
abstract, than price.
(6)
In dubio pro reo (or, when in doubt,
don’t chill competition).
In many ways, the above can be summed up
in one simple idea, that competition law should
explicitly acknowledge its limitations and not
condemn what it does not fully understand.
Indeed, being aware of the fact that many
practices carried out by or within multi-sided
platforms may be efciency enhancing and
that the prohibition of such arrangements may
greatly damage consumer welfare is useful and
necessary, and pleads in favour of the inade-
quacy of outdated and simplistic per se rules
to these settings. In other words, traditional as-
sumptions and inclinations should be relaxed,
and particular caution is needed to approach
multi-sided platform issues with more humility.
Established economics tells us that any wel-
fare enhancing policy should encourage, or
at least tolerate, internalisation strategies. On
the contrary, failing to identify and protect net-
work efciencies in multi-sided platforms will be
to the detriment of societal welfare. The main
competition law issue must therefore be to sort
the practices that effectively contribute to bal-
ancing the externalities and contribute to the
optimal size of the platform from those that
do not.
To be sure, this is not to say that competition
law does not have a role to play in multi-sided
platforms markets. The fact that authorities are
to try harder does not mean that they may not
be able to bring solid theories of harm; it only
means that they cannot do this in a simplistic
manner or in the abstract. In particular, I believe
that the proposed lter does not in any way hin-
der authorities’ ability to purse cases concern-
ing what should perhaps be their main target in
these markets: ‘cheap exclusion’.
46
Finally, I submit that it would be most useful for
these principles to be reected in some informal
guidance, deserving specic treatment within
the main soft law instruments issued by competi-
tion authorities. Competition law is often seen as
too special an animal by companies and judg-
43 See FA Hayek, ‘Competition as a Discovery Procedure’,
in New Studies in Philosophy, Politics, Economics and the History of
Ideas (University of Chicago Press, 1978), at 179.
44 Interestingly, the use of an ideological approach to con-
demning conduct in network markets has been explicitly advocated
by some commentators. See Ross, n 11, above, at 947 (proposing that
‘wheremonopolisticconductsignicantlyinhibitstheabilityofrivals
to engage in fair competition by means that to some extent frustrate con-
sumer preferences, and network effects suggest that courts cannot prac-
ticallydetermineifclaimedefciencybenetsoutweightheseharms,
courts should employ a “Jacksonian” value of equal economic oppor-
tunity to proscribe the conduct and give others a meaningful chance to
competewiththedominantrm’).
45 On a personal level I could even agree with the contention
thatinsomesettingsthemosteconomicallyefcientoutcomemightnot
be the most convenient for societal welfare. That, however, is a problem
that can, if needed, be addressed via regulation, but not through the use
of competition law.
46 See in this regard SA Creighton, DB Hoffman, TG Kratten-
maker and EA Nagata, Cheap Exclusion (2005) 72 Antitrust Law Jour-
nal 975.
108
es, and all of them would benet from having
an established analytical framework in writing,
which would moreover contribute to minimising
the risk of divergences in the resolution of cases.
Conclusions – a reminder of the
fallibility of competition law
The preceding pages submit, rst, that a cru-
cial peculiarity of multi-sided settings derives
from the fact that when there are various sides
to one platform, there are often two sides for ev-
ery story or theory of harm; that everything has
pros and cons.
Economic lessons have served us well in this
regard by providing us with a balanced view
of the ambiguity of business practices in these
settings and conrming that some problems are
so complex that one needs to be very well in-
formed just to be undecided about them.
In spite of economic consensus on the duality
or ambiguity of practices carried out in multi-sid-
ed settings (as a subset of the situations in which
network effects are key), I have attempted to
show that there is an imbalance in the practi-
cal application of the law that favours offensive
theories to the detriment of equally plausible
defensive ones.
Against this background, what my contribu-
tion posits is that we need to be aware of that
imbalance with a view to correcting it at the
level of the application of the law, and that
what is needed is not a policy revolution, but
analytical prudence.
In many ways, however, the ideas that I have
tried to develop in this contribution do not relate
to multi-sided platforms alone. In reality, they
are pertinent to the application of competition
law in general.
Indeed, and as already noted, the main spec-
icity of multi-sided markets is that they pose the
very same issues that have troubled antitrust law
since its inception; the difference is that those
same issues arise now with renewed strength,
particularly in technology enabled markets in
which the phenomenon of scale has reached
new heights.
By presenting us with extreme cases and
questions, multi-sided platforms not only reveal
the inadequateness of traditional tools and
proxies to these specic settings, they also ex-
pose the insecurities and inconsistencies of this
discipline by reminding us that, in those tools
and proxies are, in reality, and irrespective of
multi-sidedness, never accurate.
In this sense, the challenges raised by multi-sid-
ed platforms are a useful reminder of the fallibil-
ity of competition law, and of the need for hu-
mility, prudence and clear limiting principles.
109
Should Uber
be allowed to
Compete
in Europe?
And if so How?
Damien Geradin
*
The disruptive market entry of Uber has gener-
ated lively debate, several taxi drivers’ demon-
strations and a number of court decisions all over
the world. The question of whether such entry
should be accommodated or banned by regu-
lators has been the object of thoughtful analysis
by policy-makers, judges and scholars. Damien
Geradin goes a step forward and, recognizing
that sooner or later innovative services will nd
their way to the market, explores different alter-
natives of making such transition smoothly and
compatible with EU and domestic regulations.
Abstract
Uber’s arrival in Europe has generated mas-
sive demonstrations by taxi drivers and a num-
ber of court judgments banning or restricting
Uber’s services on the ground that the company
engaged in “unfair competition”. Uber and oth-
er online-enabled car transportation services to
connect passengers with drivers offer an attrac-
tive alternative to regular taxi services.
The difculty is that these services are pro-
tected by regulatory measures that create sig-
nicant barriers to entry. Uber’s business mod-
el presents many efciencies and there is little
doubt that it will prevail over time. Regulatory
authorities thus face two options. One option
is to resist the market entry of Uber and other
similar companies. This approach would deprive
users of attractive services and trigger many
years of litigation. The other option is to em-
brace technological change and allow Uber
to compete on a level playing eld with taxi
companies. The regulatory changes that will
be needed raise complex questions, but these
questions are unavoidable and it is important to
tackle them early. Taxi companies can also em-
brace technologies and rely on the competing
online-enabled car transportation services that
are already available to them.
I. Introduction
While many industries are characterized by
constant innovation, the development of the
peer-to-peer economy has injected dynamism
in industries, which for a long time operated un-
der static business models. That is, for instance,
the case of the taxi industry. For almost a centu-
ry, taxi companies in all parts of the world relied
on a similar business model. Passengers can hire
taxis by queuing at a cab stand, by hailing them
in the street or by making a telephone reserva-
tion. Historically, technology played little role
in the industry, which is not surprising since taxi
services are subject to barriers to entry created
by regulatory intervention. Taxi regulations, for
instance, limit the number of vehicles authorized
to provide taxi services in a given locality. This
would not matter so much if the industry was
characterized by high levels of performance.
However, taxi fares remain often expensive
while the quality of the service can be mixed.
At certain periods of the day, taxis tend to be
scarce. Users may thus experience long waiting
times and, in some cases, taxis do not show up
*
Founding partner, EDGE Legal, a boutique competition and
litgationlawrmbasedinBrussels.ProfessorofCompetitionLaw&
Economics, Tilburg University; Professor of Law at George Mason Uni-
versity; visiting Professor, University College London. Email: dgera-
110
at all. This led some countries to engage dereg-
ulatory initiatives to improve the performance of
the taxi sector, but the often reverted to regula-
tion given the mixed results of these initiatives.
1
Until recently, it seemed that this sector was not
called to evolve and that users would have to
put up with the service as it is.
This situation changed with the arrival of
Uber and other providers of what I will refer to
as online-enabled car transportation services
to connect passengers with drivers.
2
While Uber
likes to call itself as a ride- or car-sharing service,
the ride or the car are not truly shared. What
characterizes Uber compared to regular taxi
services is that it is a marketplace where inde-
pendent drivers are connected to passengers
through an online platform. Uber’s mobile app
is user-friendly and its rates are generally attrac-
tive compared to the rates charged by regular
taxis.
3
That made the service popular in many
cities. While Uber has acionados among users
and investors,
4
it has however a large number of
enemies in the taxi industry. The arrival of Uber in
Europe has triggered massive protest from taxi
drivers and companies on the ground that Uber
does not comply with taxi regulations and there-
fore engages in “unfair competition”.
5
This led
taxi companies to seize the courts and Uber ac-
1 See, e.g., Ambrosius Baanders and Marcel Canoy, “Ten
Years of Taxi Deregulation in the Netherlands – The case for Re-reg-
ulation and Decentralisation”, Association for European Transport and
contributors, 2010, available at http://abstracts.aetransport.org/paper/
index/id/3411/cond/16
2 The notion of online-enabled platform has, for instance, has
been used by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC). See
infra footnote 45. While Uber is the best known online-enabled plat-
form, other companies such as Lyft or Sidecar provide comparable ser-
vices.
3 See, e.g., Sara Silverstein, “These Animated Charts Tell
You Everything About Uber Prices In 21 Cities”, Business Insider, 16
October 2014 at www.businessinsider.com/uber-vs-taxi-pricing-by-
city-2014-10
4 Sarah Mishkin, “Uber raises $1.6bn from Goldman clients”,
Financial Times, 21 January 2015 (indicating that Uber had a $40bn
valuation”)
5 See Matthew Field, “’Uber protest’ by black cab drivers
bringstrafcchaostoWestminster”,The Guardian, 26 May 2015.
tivities have been banned or subject to serious
restrictions in Member States, such as Belgium,
6
Germany,
7
Italy
8
and Spain.
9
Although some
public authorities are considering changes in
the applicable regulatory framework in order to
accommodate Uber and similar companies,
10
the situation remains chaotic.
Against this background, this short essay ar-
gues that the restrictions that have been placed
on Uber’s activities are undesirable as they de-
prive users of an attractive and innovative al-
ternative to regular taxi services. While some of
these restrictions can possibly be challenged
under EU law, this does not mean that Uber
should be allowed to operate in a legal void.
Innovation does not alter the need for measures
designed to ensure public safety, as well as to
protect users from various categories of risks. This
means that the regulatory framework should be
adapted to allow Uber to operate legally, as
well as to compete on a level playing eld with
taxi services. The legalization of Uber and similar
services raises, however, a number of complex
issues that will only be briey touched upon in
this essay. A complex question is, for instance,
whether online-enabled car transportation ser-
vices and taxi services should be subject to the
same regulatory regime or to separate regimes
adapted to their characteristics. Another ques-
tion is whether taxi companies and/or drivers
should be compensated for the loss of the in-
6 JamesFontanella-Khan,“€10,000nesthreatforUbertaxis
in Brussels”, Financial Times, 15 April 2015.
7 Eric Auchard and Christoph Steitz, “German court bans
Ubers unlicensed taxi services”, Reuters, 18 March 2015, available at
www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/18/us-uber-germany-ban-idUSKBN-
0ME1L820150318
8 “Italian court bans unlicensed taxi services like Uber”, Re-
uters, 26 May 2015, available at www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/26/
us-italy-uber-idUSKBN0OB1FQ20150526
9 Harriett Alexander, “Judge in Spain bans Uber taxis”, The
Telegraph, 9 December 2014.
10 Frances Robinson, “Brussels to Propose New Laws Gov-
erning Uber”, 24 November 2014, available at blogs.wsj.com/dig-
its/2014/11/24/brussels-to-propose-new-laws-governing-uber/
111
vestment that they may have made in, for in-
stance, acquiring a license, the value of which
will considerably decrease following Uber’s
market entry. These questions will be briey ex-
amined in this essay and looked at in greater
detail in a subsequent paper.
This paper is divided in VI sections. Section II
provides a brief history of the regulation of taxi
services, which in some cities is almost one cen-
tury old. Section III describes Uber’s business
model and how it contrasts with the services
provided by traditional taxi companies. Section
IV discusses the EU law provisions that could be
used by Uber and other similar companies to
challenge the regulatory restrictions that pre-
vent them from offering their services in many
parts of the EU. Section V argues that the way
forward is for the relevant public authorities to
revisit the regulatory framework applied to taxi
services in order to allow Uber to compete legal-
ly against taxi companies. Section VI concludes.
II. A brief history of taxi regulation
Although taxi services are fairly basic in na-
ture (transporting passengers from point A to
point B) and do not require much capital or
skill (a car and a driver), they have been for a
long time subject to fairly intrusive regulation
with variations across countries and localities.
11
Among the reasons evoked for regulating taxi
services gure, for instance, the fact that in the
absence of control on entry there would be too
many taxis in the streets and this would create
congestion.
12
There has also been a fear, par-
ticularly during the great depression, that if taxis
were in excessive numbers, they would engage
in ruinous competition, which would in turn lead
11 For an historical perspective, see Paul Stephen Dempsey,
“Taxi Industry Regulation, Deregulation & Reregulation: The Paradox
of Market Failure”, (1996) 24 Transportation Law Journal 73.
12 See, e.g., House of Commons - Transport Committee, The
Regulation of Taxis and Private Hire Vehicle Services in the UK, Third
Report of Session 2003–04 Volume I, at p. 15, available at www.publi-
cations.parliament.uk/pa/cm200304/cmselect/cmtran/251/251.pdf
to low quality of service.
13
Regulation has also
be seen as necessary to correct information
asymmetries as, in the absence of rate control,
consumers would have no guarantee that the
fares they pay are fair and reasonable.
14
Simi-
larly, besides having a supercial look at the as-
pect of the car, users have no means to know
whether they will be driven in a safe vehicle.
Hence, regulatory requirements are needed to
ensure the safety of passengers.
As a result, with some degree of variation,
regulation of taxi services typically involves: (i)
control of entry (with local authorities, for in-
stance, setting the maximum number of vehi-
cles that can be used to provide taxi services);
(ii) licensing and performance requirements (for
the drivers and the taxi companies) designed,
for instance, to ensure safety standards for both
drivers (who need to receive proper training)
and vehicles (which must be inspected on a
regular basis); (iii) nancial responsibility stan-
dards (such as compulsory insurance); and (iv)
the setting of maximum rates based on various
methodologies.
15
The regulation of taxi services created, how-
ever, a series of problems, such as for instance
the insufcient availability of cars during peak
hours or in certain areas (seen as less protable
by drivers). In many instances, efforts to pre-
vent the oversupply of taxi services effectively
led to an undersupply of such services leading
to user discontent.
16
With the prices and quality
standards set by public authorities, taxi regula-
tions also did not incentivize taxi companies to
innovate or provide superior quality of service.
This led some countries or local authorities to de-
13 See Dempsey, supra note 11, at p. 77.
14 See “The Taxi Market in Ireland: To Regulate or Deregu-
late?”, Public Policy.IE, 23 October 2014, available at http://www.pub-
licpolicy.ie/the-taxi-market-in-ireland-to-regulate-or-deregulate/
15 Dempsey, supra note 11, at 75.
16 See “The Taxi Market in Ireland”, supra note 14.
112
regulate taxi services.
17
While in most cases, the
number of taxis increased, this did not necessar-
ily translate into lower waiting time and cheaper
services. In fact, some studies report that service
performance often decreased following dereg-
ulation,
18
which led authorities to re-regulate the
sector.
19
A critically important aspect is that these de-
regulatory efforts did not lead to major innova-
tion as new entrants essentially used the same
business model as incumbents. Of course, these
efforts occurred for the most part before the
development of the peer-to-peer platforms,
which, as observed in several industries (air trav-
el, hospitality, etc.), are true game changers in
that they are remarkably effective at matching
the demand with the supply of services without
the need for costly intermediaries. Thus, the fact
that deregulation did not bring innovation in the
past does not mean that it will not happen in
the future.
III. Uber’s disruptive business model
Uber is a marketplace connecting drivers
offering rides and passengers seeking them
through its mobile application.
20
A prospective
passenger who has downloaded the software
on his smartphone and set up a user account
can, when clicking on the application, see Uber
drivers near his location and on that basis sub-
mit a trip request which is then routed to the
drivers. The passenger is given an estimation on
17 See supra note 14. Note that in France, the report of the so-
called Commission Attali, which aimed to stimulate growth in France,
also suggested that taxi regulations should be relaxed in order to fa-
cilitate entry. See Rapport de la Commission pour la libération de la
croissance française, 2008, available at http://www.ladocumentation-
francaise.fr/var/storage/rapports-publics/084000041.pd, at 161.
18 See Dempsey, supra note 11, at 102 et seq.; Baanders and
Canoy, supra note 1; Roger F. Teal and Mary Berglund, “The Impacts of
Taxicab Deregulation in the USA”, Journal of Transportation Econom-
ics and Policy, January 1987, 37.
19 Id.
20 See Bill Gurley, “A Deeper Look at Ubers Dynamic Pric-
ing Model”, Above the Crowd, available at http://abovethecrowd.
com/2014/03/11/a-deeper-look-at-ubers-dynamic-pricing-model/
how long his car will take to show up at his loca-
tion. Uber charges are based on a combination
of time and distance parameters and all pay-
ments are handled automatically by the Uber
service, which will charge the passenger’s busi-
ness card on le. Once destination is reached, a
receipt is sent automatically to the passenger’s
email address. On average 80% of the fares will
go to the driver, the rest being kept by Uber.
21
The strength of the Uber model is that it con-
siderably reduces search costs for users.
22
Rath-
er that calling a dispatcher and waiting without
knowing for sure whether and when the taxi will
show up, users can hail a car through Uber’s on-
line platform and watch it progress toward their
location. During periods when available cars
are scarce (e.g., Friday and Saturday nights),
Uber can incentivize drivers to take the road
by increasing their fees (a process referred to
as “dynamic” or “surge” pricing).
23
Dynamic or
surge pricing changes are “driven algorithmi-
cally when wait times are increasing dramat-
ically, and ‘unfullled requests” start to rise.”
24
Prices increase will at same time increase supply
as drivers will be incentivized to take the road to
earn higher fees, but also reduce demand as
price-sensitive users are incentivized to consid-
er alternatives, such as take their car or public
means of transport.
In sum, Uber’s business model offers several
advantages to users.
25
First, the software is ex-
tremely easy to use and it gives users a clear in-
dication of where the car they have just hired is
located, as well as the ability monitor its prog-
ress on the screen of its mobile devices. This re-
duces the anxiety associated with desperately
21 Id.
22 See “Pricing the Surge”, The Economist, 29 March 2014.
23 See Gurley, supra note 20.
24 Id.
25 It is important to note that some of these features are not
unique to Uber. Other companies like for instance Hailo also offer soft-
ware that allow users to hail cars through an online platform. See infra
footnote 41.
113
waiting for a taxi. Second, surveys suggest that
compared to regular taxi services, Uber prices
tend to be attractive.
26
Third, there is no need for
users to carry cash or cards as all transactions
are performed electronically. Finally, users can
rate their driver and thus incentivize the driver to
provide good service in order to boost his or her
reputational score.
Because of its attractive features, Uber’s en-
try on a given market is usually bad news for taxi
companies and their drivers. For instance, the
chart below indicates that during the period
between January 2012 and August 2014, cab
use in San Francisco declined 65%.
27
Figure : Average monthly number of trips per
cab (San Francisco)
This has led taxi drivers to vigorously protest
against Uber’s effort to penetrate their market,
as well as taxi companies to challenge the le-
gality of Uber’s activities before the courts. In re-
cent months, several national courts declared
that Uber services are illegal on various grounds
26 See supra note 3.
27 See Sergiy Golovin, “The Economics of Uber”, Bruegel,
30 September 2014, available at http://www.bruegel.org/nc/
blog/detail/article/1445-the-economics-of-uber/
(such as, for instance, the fact that Uber drivers
operate without a license and that Uber engag-
es in “unfair competition”).
28
As a result, Uber is
no longer able to provide services in some EU
Member States and operates in a “grey zone”
in many others. This is far from ideal for Uber and
the passengers who would like to use its services.
The question for Uber is of course to nd out
what it can do to restore its ability to provide its
service unimpeded by regulatory restrictions. As
will be seen in the next section, EU law may pro-
vide some solutions.
IV. Could public restrictions
preventing Uber to compete be
challenged under EU law?
Although Uber has announced that it has
led a complaint to the Commission against the
German and Spanish bans of its services,
29
it has
not revealed the legal arguments on which it
relies in its complaint. Prima facie, the EU trea-
ties contained several provisions that can be
invoked by companies whose
activities are impeded by pub-
lic restrictions of competition.
Whether these provisions can
be relied upon to challenge
these restrictions, however, de-
pends on the circumstances of
each case since the regulatory
frameworks applicable to taxi
services can vary considerably.
A rst possibility for Uber
would be to invoke Articles
101 and 102 TFEU with Article
4(3) TEU,
30
which provides for a
28 See supra notes 6 to 9.
29 SeeJulia Fioretti, “Uber les complaintsagainst German
and Spanish bans”, Reuters, 1 April 2015, available at www.reuters.com/
article/2015/04/01/uber-eu-complaint-idUSL6N0WY2TP20150401
30 The duty of “sincere cooperation” set out in Article 4(3)
114
duty of loyal cooperation between the EU and
the Member States.
31
In its case-law, the Court
of Justice of the European Union (“CJEU”) has
found that a Member State could breach its ob-
ligations under these provisions by adopting or
maintaining legislation that could deprive the
competition rules of their effectiveness.
32
The
application of this case-law, however, requires
the existence of an agreement contrary to Ar-
ticle 101(1) TFEU, which will be strengthened
or encouraged by the legislation in the Mem-
ber State.
33
In some cases, the CJEU also found
that Article 101 TFEU and Article 4(3) TEU were
breached when the Member State had del-
egated the power to x prices to operators.
34
In practice, this means that a pure regulatory
measure adopted by a public authority, i.e. a
decree regulating taxi services, cannot be chal-
lenged under these provisions unless this decree
transforms an anti-competitive agreement ad-
opted by taxi operators into binding law or,
alternatively, delegates to taxi operators the
power to set taxi fares or impose other regulato-
ry requirements.
Another possibility consists in invoking Articles
101 and 102 TFEU in conjunction with Article 106
TFEU. Article 106(1) TFEU provides that
“In the case of public undertakings and un-
dertakings to which Member States grant spe-
cial or exclusive rights, Member States shall nei-
TEU requires Member States to take appropriate measures to “ensure
fulllmentoftheobligationsarisingoutoftheTreatiesorresultingfrom
the acts of the institutions of the Union” as well as to “refrain from any
measure which could jeopardise the attainment of the Union’s objec-
tives”.
31 In theory nothing prevents to combine Article 102 TFEU
with Article 4(3) TEU, but this provision has been essentially applied in
the context of Article 101 TFEU. As will be seen below, State measures
raising issues in relation to abuses of a dominant position have usually
arisen in the context of Article 106(1) TFEU.
32 See Case 13/77, Inno v. ATAB, [1977] ECR. 2115.
33 See, e.g., Case 231/83, Cullet v. Leclerc, [1985] ECR. 305
(challengetoaxedminimumpricefailedbecausetheminimumprice
was a pure State measure unrelated to any agreement between competi-
tors).
34 See, e.g., Case 136/86, BNIC v. Yves Aubert, [1987] ECR.
4789; Case 66/86, Ahmed Saeed, [1989] E.C.R. 803.
ther enact nor maintain in force any measure
contrary to the rules contained in the Treaties, in
particular to those rules provided for in Article 18
and Articles 101 to 109.”
While there is an abundant case-law of the
CJEU in which Article 102 TFEU is combined with
Article 106(1) TFEU, the difculty in this case is that
the application of Article 106(1) requires that the
State measure in question, e.g. a decree regu-
lating taxi services, should benet companies
which have been granted exclusive or special
rights. While it cannot be excluded that a taxi
company could have been granted an exclu-
sive right to provide the service in a given lo-
cation, in the majority of the cases, the right to
provide such services is granted to the limited
number of companies or drivers that are allowed
to acquire a license. The question is thus whether
the licenses granted would amount to “special
rights” as understood in EU law.
35
While there is no
clear denition of the notion of special rights (as
the case law typically lumps together this notion
with the notion exclusive rights by referring to “ex-
clusive or special rights”), it can be inferred from
EU legislation that “special rights” concerns rights
that are granted by a Member State to two or
more undertakings within a given geographical
area.
36
Moreover, given the combination with Ar-
ticle 102 TFEU, the State measure in question must
maintain or strengthen a dominant position. Thus,
even if the taxi companies can be considered as
enjoying exclusive or special rights, they still need
to exercise a “single” or “collective” dominant
position, which is by no means a given.
A further possibility is to argue that the taxi
legislation in question breaches the free move-
ment provisions of the TFEU, such as Articles 49
(right to establishment) or 56 (freedom to pro-
vide services). As the CJEU observed “Articles
[49 and 56 TFEU] preclude any national measure
which, even though it is applicable without dis-
35 Article 1(4) of Directive 2008/63
36 See, e.g., Article 1.4 of Directive 2008/63 on competition
in the markets in telecommunications terminal equipment, O.J. 2008, L
162/20.
115
crimination on grounds of nationality, is liable to
prohibit, impede or render less attractive the ex-
ercise by Community nationals of the freedom
of establishment and the freedom to provide
services guaranteed by those provisions of the
Treaty.”
37
It should thus be possible to argue that
taxi regulations making very hard for companies
based in other Member States to provide their
services could fall foul with Articles 49 and/or 56
TFEU. Restrictions to the free movement princi-
ples contained in the TFEU are, however, per-
mitted when “those provisions are necessary to
meet overriding requirements of general public
importance […], whether they are proportion-
ate for that purpose and whether the aims or
overriding requirements could have been met
by less restrictive means.”
38
The question thus
becomes whether the restrictions that are con-
tained in taxi regulations in question are neces-
sary to meet overriding requirements of general
public importance and whether they propor-
tionate to achieve the objectives they seek to
protect. This is of course an intensely factual as-
sessment.
While the above approaches may help Uber
and other online-enabled car transportation
services to remove specic obstacles to the
provision of their services, they do not create
a framework allowing regular taxi services and
online-enabled car transportation services to
compete on a level playing eld. In my view,
allowing competition between regular taxi ser-
vices and online-enabled services requires an
overhauling of the various lawyers of taxi legisla-
tion in place in the Member States.
V. The need for a regulatory solution
From a high-level standpoint, the most effec-
tive way to set up a pro-competition regulatory
37 Case C-376/08, Serrantoni Srl, [2009] ECR. I-12169, at §
41.
38 Joined cases C-34/95, 35/95 and 36/95, De Agostini, [1997]
ECR I-3843, at § 52.
framework might be for the EU to adopt a Direc-
tive setting up the principles that should govern
the regulation of taxi services and online-en-
abled car transportation services, while leaving
the implementation of such principles to the
Member States. Such an approach would, how-
ever, be resisted on subsidiarity grounds as such
services are likely to be seen as a local matter.
39
Moreover, the elaboration of a proposal by the
Commission and its adoption by the Council of
Ministers and the European Parliament would
likely take several years to complete during
which Uber and other similar services would
continue to operate in a grey zone to the det-
riment of users. The better approach is thus for
the national authorities in charge of regulating
taxi services in the Member States to take the
initiative and elaborate regulatory frameworks
allowing taxi and online-enabled car transpor-
tation services to compete on a level playing
eld.
Conceptually, there are several alternative
ways to create such a pro-competitive frame-
work. First, regulatory authorities could create a
single framework applying to both taxi services
and online-enabled car transportation services.
The advantage of such an approach is that it
would ensure a high degree of convergence
in the ways in which these services are regulat-
ed. Yet, this approach would face several dif-
culties. Because the services proposed by taxi
companies and online-enabled car transporta-
tion services are currently so far apart, it may be
difcult to nd a regulatory regime suiting them
both. While incumbent taxi companies may
wish to ensure that Uber is forced to comply with
the same regulatory requirements as applying
to them, such an approach is a non-starter for
Uber and other online-enabled car transporta-
tion services as it would eviscerate their business
39 “Giventheessentiallylocalsignicanceoftaxiservicesand
in line with the principle of subsidiarity, existing Community legislation
intheeldoftransportdoesnotcovertaxiservices”,Answergivenby
Commissioner Tajani on behalf of the Commission to a Parliamentary
Question, 22 June 2009, E-3230/2009
116
model. Ideally, taxi companies should realize
that in the medium-term Uber’s business model
is likely to prevail and that it is therefore a mat-
ter of time before they will have to revisit their
modus operandi. In the short-term, such an
approach is, however, likely to be resisted be-
cause it would lead to job losses, as well as an
acceptance by taxi companies that the busi-
ness model they have so much decried is the
right way to go.
The commercial triumph of online-enabled
car transportation services is, however, only a
matter of time because of its inherent efcien-
cies. This is also what investors seem to think.
40
Thus, unless local authorities decide to protect
taxi companies through anti-competitive regu-
latory requirements, it will not take long before
all market actors realize it is in their own ben-
et to start relying on online platforms. Some
taxi companies already do so as alternatives
to Uber’s platform exist.
41
There might still be a
role for traditional taxis waiting for passengers at
cab stands, but traditional reservation models
will likely go away. This type of evolution is by no
means unique to the taxi industry as the power
of the Internet and online reservation systems
have already allowed consumers to largely do
away with travel agents.
42
There is no reason why
you would want to pay a fee to an intermediary
when you can book a ight, hotel accommo-
dation and a car as effectively. The difference,
however, between many industries affected
by the online platforms and the taxi industry is
that the latter is protected by regulation, hence
making the transition slow and difcult.
43
40 See supra note 4.
41 Some taxi companies are, for instance, relying on Hailo,
technology platform that matches taxi drivers and passengers through
its mobile phone application. See https://www.hailoapp.com/
42 See Danny King, “Report nds agents losing ground to
online”, mobile bookings, 23 December 2014, available at www.trav-
elweekly.com/Travel-News/Travel-Agent-Issues/Report-nds-agents-
losing-ground-to-online-and-mobile-bookings/
43 Although companies, such as Airbnb are also facing regula-
tory changes, see Roberta A. Kaplan and Michael L. Nadler, “Airbnb:
In the meantime, the better approach is prob-
ably to set up a new regulatory regime speci-
cally designed for online-enabled car transpor-
tation services.
44
The challenge for this regime
will be to allow Uber and other similar compa-
nies to compete on the merits with regular taxi
services. This means that this regime should be
no less favorable than that the regime being ap-
plied to regular taxi services. After all, in all reg-
ulated industries, new entrants are subject to a
lighter regular burden than incumbents.
45
While
there is perhaps no reason why Uber should
benet from a more favorable regime than taxi
services, there is no reason either why it should
penalized for offering an attractive alternative
to these services and create competition in a
rather amorphous sector. What equal treatment
means is difcult to determine in the abstract as
it largely depends of the local circumstances,
but it should be one of the guiding principles of
the regime that applies to online-enabled car
transportation services.
A Case Study in Occupancy Regulation and Taxation”, 82 (2015) U
Chi L Rev Dialogue 103, https://lawreview.uchicago.edu/page/airb-
nb-case-study-occupancy-regulation-and-taxation
44 This is, for instance, what has been done in California where
theCaliforniaPublicUtilitiesCommission(CPUC)createdaspecic
regime to apply to “companies that provide prearranged transportation
services for compensation using an online-enabled application (app)
or platform to connect passengers with drivers using their personal
vehicles”. See CPUC Establishes Rules for Transportation Network
Companies, Press Release, 19 September 2013, available at http://docs.
cpuc.ca.gov/PublishedDocs/Published/G000/M077/K132/77132276.
PDF This regime establishes 28 rules and regulations for Transporta-
tion Network Companies whereby they must obtain a license from the
CPUC to operate in California; require each driver to undergo a crimi-
nal background check; establish a driver training program; implement a
zero-tolerance policy on drugs and alcohol; hold a commercial liability
insurance policy that is more stringent than the CPUC’s current require-
ment for limousines, requiring a minimum of $1 million per-incident
coverage for incidents involving TNC vehicles and drivers in transit to
or during a TNC trip, regardless of whether personal insurance allows
for coverage; and conduct a 19-point car inspection. Id.
45 That is, for instance, the case in the electronic communica-
tionseldwhereonlycompanieswithsignicantmarketpower(typi-
cally the incumbent telecommunications operator) are subject to regu-
latory remedies. See European Commission, Regulatory framework for
electronic communications in the European Union, available at https://
ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/sites/digital-agenda/les/Copy%20of%20
Regulatory%20Framework%20for%20Electonic%20Communica-
tions%202013%20NO%20CROPS.pdf
117
Prima facie, some regulatory requirements
should be equally imposed to taxi drivers and
operators, and to Uber and its drivers. That is,
for instance, the case of safety standards. There
is no reason why Uber cars should escape the
safety controls that apply to taxi vehicles. Sim-
ilarly, Uber drivers should not be less qualied
or trained than taxi drivers, and they should be
subject to background checks. There may also
be some areas where online-enabled car trans-
portation services should be subject to regulato-
ry requirements that do not necessarily apply to
taxi services. One example relate to the usage
of personal data. Uber is able to collect sensi-
tive information about its passengers, such as
their locations at various moments in time. They
also collect nancial information, such as credit
card details, etc. It is, however, not clear that
Uber and other online-enabled car transporta-
tion services should be subject to specic reg-
ulation regarding the storage and treatment of
their passengers’ personal and nancial data as
“horizontal” legislation typically exists prevent-
ing holders of such data to misuse them.
46
Now, if a specic regime is created for on-
line-enabled car transportation services, it is
subject to question whether taxi regulations
should also be modied. Does it, for instance,
make sense to continue to control taxi fares
when they are subject to competition from
Uber and other similar companies? This is a par-
ticularly difcult question, although one answer
may be to maintain price regulation until such
time online-enabled car transportation services
have captured a certain size of the market (as-
suming that there are in the same market as taxi
services, which is a complex question I do not
address here) and are thus able to exercise suf-
cient pressure to keep taxi rates at bay.
Another complex question in this respect is
46 See, e.g., Directive 95/46/EC of the European Parliament
and of the Council of 24 October 1995 on the protection of individuals
with regard to the processing of personal data and on the free movement
of such data, 1995 OJ L281/31.
whether incumbent taxi operators and/or driv-
ers should be compensated for the investment
they may have made in acquiring a license to
operate taxi services. This question may be par-
ticularly acute in cities where such licenses (or
medallions as they are called in some places)
trade at very high prices.
47
Giving the right an-
swer to this question is not necessarily easy, al-
though pioneering work has been done on this
type of issue.
48
On the one hand, offering com-
pensation may facilitate regulatory change as
it will make change easier to accept for the
likely losers. On the other hand, granting com-
pensation to taxi drivers or operators that have
invested in acquiring a license may create a
host of problems. First, compensation may not
be deserved when the investment has been ful-
ly amortized. Second, compensation creates a
problem of valuation.
49
Calculating the amount
to which a driver should be allowed will not be
simple and alleged calculation errors will lead
to litigation. Third, the prospect of obtaining
compensation in case of change of regulatory
regime may incentivize operators in a variety of
elds to try to obtain exclusive or special rights
from public authorities, hence reducing compe-
tition.
50
Finally, as the taxi industry is not the only
sector that is sheltered from competition by reg-
ulation, liberalizing the economy may become
a very expensive proposition that may induce
local authorities to not engage in desirable re-
forms. It thus seems on balance that there are
more reasons not to grant compensation to taxi
drivers or operators than to grant them com-
pensation for the investment losses that may
47 See Josh Barro, New York City Taxi Medallion Prices Keep
Falling, Now Down About 25 Percent, The Upshot, New York Times, 7
January 2015.
48 For an excellent discussion of the question of compensation,
see Michael J. Trebilcock, Dealing with Losers – The Political Econo-
my of Policy Transitions, Oxford University Press, 2014.
49 See Edmund W. Kitch, “Can we Buy our Way out of Harm-
ful Regulation” in Donald L. Martin and Warren F. Schwartz, Deregu-
lating American Industry: Legal and Economic Problems, Lexington
Books, 1976, 51, 54.
50 Id. at 52.
118
incur when Uber and other companies are al-
lowed to operate legally.
Another possible approach to address the
investment issue is to open the market to on-
line-enabled car transportation services only
gradually, hence giving taxi companies the
time to adapt to the arrival of Uber and other
companies providing similar services. That is the
approach that has been taken by the EU when
it decided to liberalize network industries, such
as telecommunications, energy and posts. One
of the reasons for this gradual approach is that it
was a political compromise between pro-liber-
alization Member States and anti-liberalization
ones. The need to broker such a compromise
would of course not be needed if the decision
to open the market to online-enabled car trans-
portation services is taken at a local level. More-
over, the problem with gradual liberalization
in this case is that it would unavoidably delay
the benets of competition by several years at
the expense of consumers. In any event, open-
ing the market in this case would be nowhere
as near complicated in legal and institutional
terms than opening the market in network in-
dustries, which for instance required the set-
ting-up of access to the network regimes and
the adoption of measures designed to protect
universal service.
These are some of the difcult questions that
will face local authorities seeking to develop a
regulatory regime allowing online-enabled car
transportation services to operate legally.
VI. Conclusion
While Uber has been subject to a great deal
of criticism, there is no doubt that it offers an
attractive alternative to regular taxi services.
There is therefore no reason why Uber and oth-
er online-enabled car transportation services
to connect passengers with drivers should not
be allowed to compete on a level playing eld
with taxi companies. Because taxi companies
are protected by regulation, it is for public au-
thorities to take the initiative. These authorities
have two options. One option is to resist Uber’s
market entry and face many years of litigation,
which will eventually result in Uber being able to
operate legally. The other, preferable, option is
to embrace technological change and adopt
a regulatory framework allowing Uber and oth-
er similar companies to compete. This does not
mean that Uber should be allowed to operate
free of regulation. For instance, passenger safe-
ty should remain a priority. As to the taxi com-
panies, they do not need to remain passive by-
standers waiting for their market share to be lost
to Uber and other similar companies. They can
also embrace change by, for instance, relying
on other existing online platforms.
119
Online Intermediation
Platforms and Free
Trade Principles –
Some Reections on
the Uber Preliminary
Ruling Case
Damien Geradin
*
Abstract
Commercial Court No 3 of Barcelona sent
a request for a preliminary ruling to the CJEU
regarding the extent to which Uber which op-
erated its uberPOP service in Spain without an
authorization from the Spanish authorities should
be protected by EU law provisions designed to
ensure the free movement of services in the
European Union. The paper demonstrates that
uberPOP is not a “transport service” falling under
under Title VI TFEU, but an “information society
service” within the meaning of the E-commerce
Directive. Therefore, uberPop benets from the
protection against undue trade restrictions pro-
vided by this directive, as well as by Article 56
TFEU. This implies that regulatory requirements
that do not protect a public interest objective
in a proportionate and non-discriminatory man-
ner are incompatible with EU law. The judgment
of the CJEU will have signicant implications on
the way EU Member States are able to regulate
Uber services, but also the services provided by
other intermediation platforms in the future.
I. Introduction
On 7 August 2015, the Commercial Court No
3 of Barcelona (the “referring Court”) sent a re-
quest for a preliminary ruling to the Court of Jus-
tice of the European Union (the “CJEU”) regard-
ing the extent to which Uber Systems Spain, S.L.,
which operated its services in Barcelona, as well
as in Madrid and Valencia, without authoriza-
tion from the Spanish authorities, should be pro-
tected by EU law provisions designed to ensure
the free movement of services in the European
Union (“EU”).
1
While the CJEU is unlikely to render
its judgment before the end of 2017, the ques-
tions raised by the Barcelona Court are of great
practical importance as the answers that will
be given to them are likely to shape the ways in
which Uber, but also other intermediation plat-
forms, will be regulated in the European Union.
Uber is a marketplace connecting drivers
offering rides and passengers seeking them
through its mobile software application.
2
A pro-
spective passenger who has downloaded the
Uber software on his smartphone and set up a
user account can, when clicking on the appli-
cation, see Uber partner-drivers near his location
and on that basis submit a trip request which is
then routed to the partner-drivers. The passen-
ger is given an estimate of how long the driv-
er who has picked up the ride will take to show
up at his location. Uber’s charges are based on
a combination of time and distance parame-
ters and all payments are facilitated by Uber.
Once destination is reached, a receipt is sent
automatically to the passenger’s email address.
On average 80% of the fares will go to the driv-
er, the balance representing the commission
1 Case C-434/15: Request for a preliminary ruling from the
Juzgado Mercantil No 3 de Barcelona (Spain) lodged on 7 August 2015
Asociación Profesional Élite Taxi v Uber Systems Spain, S.L., OJ
2015, C 363/21.
2 See generally, Damien Geradin, “Should Uber be Allowed
to Compete in Europe? And if so How?”, Competition Policy Interna-
tional, 18 June 2015, available at https://www.competitionpolicyinter-
national.com/should-uber-be-allowed-to-compete-in-europe-and-if-so-
how/
*
Professor of Competition Law & Economics at the Tilburg
Law & Economics Center (TILEC), Tilburg University; Professor of
Law, George Mason University School of Law; and visiting Professor
of Law, University College London. Founding partner, EDGE Legal,
Brussels ([email protected]). The author thanks his colleagues
Panagiotis Delimatsis for his helpful observations.
120
charged by Uber. Uber offers various categories
of services, such as uberPOP (relying on drivers
not professionally licensed) and UberX (relying
on professionally licensed drivers).
3
Although Uber’s business model is distinct
from traditional taxi companies, these compa-
nies see Uber as a major threat, and individu-
al taxi companies and taxi associations have
led lawsuits against Uber in several EU Member
States on the ground that, because it does not
comply with the license obligations imposed on
taxi companies, Uber would engage in “unfair
competition”.
4
This is one of such cases, where a
trade association called Asociación Profesional
Élite sued Uber, which led to the preliminary rul-
ing to the CJEU. This case opposes two distinct
logics. One the one hand, taxi companies see
no reason why Uber should be exempted from
the licensing requirements imposed on them
by public authorities. On the other hand, Uber
considers that unlike taxi companies it does not
provide transport services, but online intermedi-
ation services connecting prospective passen-
gers with drivers.
5
Uber’s view is that because of
the nature of its services, it should not have to
comply with the same requirements as taxi com-
panies as these requirements go beyond what
is needed to correct market failures, and do not
support innovation and consumer choice.
6
Using the questions asked by the Barcelona
Court to the CJEU as a departing point, the
objective of this paper is to help clarifying the
nature of the services provided by Uber, i.e.
whether Uber’s services are transport services or
intermediation services, as well as the regulato-
3 With variation from country to country, Uber offers a va-
riety of other services, such as for instance uberPOOL (a car pooling
service), uberRUSH (a courier package delivering service) or even
uberBOAT (a boat service across the Bosphorus).
4 See, e.g., Alissa J. Rubin and Mark Scott, “Clashes Erupt
Across France as Taxi Drivers Protest Uber”, New York Times, 25 June
2015, available at www.nytimes.com/2015/06/26/business/internation-
al/uber-protests-france.html?_r=0
5 See, e.g., Christine Lagorio-Chafkin, “Uber Advisor David
Plouffe: We’re ‘Not Driven by Greed’”, Inc., 3 November 2015, avail-
able at www.inc.com/christine-lagorio/uber-david-plouffe-gig-econo-
my-greed.html
6 Id.
ry implications of this distinction. An issue at the
core of the questions asked by the Barcelona
Court is the extent to which Uber should benet
from the free movement provisions contained
in the so-called “Services” and/or the “E-Com-
merce” directives, as well as the free movement
provisions of the Treaty on the Functioning of the
European Union (“TFEU”). In this paper, I volun-
teer some observations that should ideally assist
the CJEU in its analysis of these questions, as well
as provide a broader perspective on the regu-
latory challenges created by online intermedia-
tion platforms.
The issues discussed in this paper are not only
relevant to Uber, but also to other online inter-
mediation platforms, such as Airbnb. It is, for in-
stance, hotly debated whether Airbnb should
be allowed to escape the regulatory obliga-
tions imposed on hotels, such as for instance
safety rules and zoning requirements, as well as
various taxes.
7
However, the regulatory require-
ments applied to industries that are vulnerable
to challenges by online platforms contain mea-
sures designed to protect incumbents, hence
creating barriers to entry. The extent to which
these requirements are compatible with the free
movement principles contained in the Treaty on
the TFEU is thus an important question.
This paper is divided in six parts. Part II de-
scribes Uber’s activities in Europe, as well as the
way in which its smartphone software applica-
tion functions. Part III discusses the Spanish law-
suit, which led to the request for a preliminary
ruling by the Commercial Court No 3 of Barce-
lona. Part IV analyses the various legal issues
raised by the referring court and, in particular,
whether uberPOP is a “transport service” or an
“information society service”. Part V outlines the
implications that the answers given by the CJEU
to the questions raised by the referring court will
have beyond Uber’s activities. Finally, Part VI
concludes.
7 Ron Lieber, A Warning for Hosts of Airbnb Travelers,
New York Times, 30 November 2012, available at www.nytimes.
com/2012/12/01/your-money/a-warning-for-airbnb-hosts-who-may-
be-breaking-the-law.html?_r=0
121
In my view, uberPOP is not a “transport ser-
vice”, but an “information society service”.
Therefore, it falls within the scope of Directives
2006/123 and 2000/31, as well as under Article
49 and 56 TFEU. This does not mean that Uber’s
activities cannot be regulated, but that regula-
tion should be limited to protecting objectives
of public interest and they should be proportion-
ate to the accomplishment of these objectives.
In other words, licensing requirements and other
rules that may apply to Uber’s activities and oth-
er similar companies should be limited to what
is necessary to correct market failures. Measures
that have the object or effect to restrict entry
should be struck down unless they can be ob-
jectively justied.
II. Uber’s activities in Europe
Since its creation in 2009, Uber Technologies
(“Uber”) has developed a large worldwide pres-
ence, including in the European Union. As of
January 2016, Uber was active in over 20 Mem-
ber States and 50 European cities.
8
Uber has created a smartphone application
that allows it to provide a range of services. In
the EU, the two main services provided by Uber
are: (i) uberPOP , which Uber refers to as a
“peer-to-peer rideshare service” which enables
a rider to “share” the use of a vehicle with the
driver and owner of that vehicle (which Uber re-
fers to as “partner-drivers”) against the payment
of a fee; and (ii) uberX, which is a professional
transportation service provided by licensed
“private hire vehicle” (“PHV”) drivers operating
licensed private hire vehicles.
9
Thus, a key differ-
ence between these services is that while uberX
drivers are professional drivers who need to sat-
isfy the conditions applicable to licensed PHV
drivers, uberPOP drivers are non-professional
8 See https://www.uber.com/cities (last visited on 14 January 2016)
9 Uber has developed additional services, such as, for in-
stance, UberEATS, a service which allows a customer to order food
from a restaurant and have it home delivered.
drivers, who have to satisfy a number of condi-
tions set by Uber regarding their credentials and
car, such as the ownership of a driving licence,
a clean criminal record, proof of insurance for
the car, certicate of third party liability insur-
ance, etc.
10
The services which form the basis of the pre-
liminary ruling discussed in this paper, are pro-
vided by means of a smartphone application,
licensed by Uber BV to end user licensees locat-
ed in Spain, i.e. it is downloaded and installed
both by drivers and riders. This application li-
censed by Uber BV, a company located in the
Netherlands, performs a variety of intermedia-
tion functions, such as matching potential riders
with drivers, calculating the price to be paid
by the rider to the driver, facilitating the pay-
ment transaction of the service between the
rider and the driver, allowing drivers and riders
to rate each other through a one-to-ve stars
system, etc. Uber does not employ drivers (they
are self-employed) and does not own any cars
(they are owned by the drivers). It is a software
rm.
Uber’s software application is a source of
considerable efciencies, which has contribut-
ed to its success among users and investors.
11
However, Uber has a large number of enemies
in the taxi industry. The arrival of Uber in Europe
has triggered massive protest from taxi drivers
and companies on the ground that Uber does
not comply with the licensing and other re-
quirements that apply to them and therefore
engages in “unfair competition”.
12
This led taxi
companies to le lawsuits in the national courts
and uberPop has been banned in Member
10 See http://www.uberkit.net/blog/uberx/
11 Sarah Mishkin, “Uber raises $1.6bn from Goldman clients”,
Financial Times, 21 January 2015 (indicating that Uber had a $40bn
valuation”)
12 See Matthew Field, “’Uber protest’ by black cab drivers
bringstrafcchaostoWestminster”,The Guardian, 26 May 2015.
122
States, such as Belgium,
13
Germany,
14
Italy
15
and
Spain.
16
Although some public authorities are
considering changes to the applicable regula-
tory framework in order to accommodate Uber
and similar companies,
17
the situation remains
largely chaotic.
III. The lawsuit leading to the
preliminary ruling
In 2014, Uber BV started providing its uberPOP
service in Spain in the cities of Barcelona, Ma-
drid and Valencia. Based on the EU free move-
ment legislation on information society services,
Uber BV (or any of its related entities) did not re-
quest any prior authorization to the competent
Spanish authorities before initiating its activities
in Spain.
On 27 October 2014, Asociación Profesion-
al Elite Taxi, a trade association, led a lawsuit
against Uber Systems Spain on the ground that
its uberPOP service allegedly breached Spanish
Act 3/1991 on Unfair Competition (“Unfair Com-
petition Act”).
18
Specically, the plaintiff request-
13 JamesFontanella-Khan,“€10,000nesthreatforUbertaxis
in Brussels”, Financial Times, 15 April 2015.
14 Eric Auchard and Christoph Steitz, “German court bans
Ubers unlicensed taxi services”, Reuters, 18 March 2015, available at
www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/18/us-uber-germany-ban-idUSKBN-
0ME1L820150318
15 “Italian court bans unlicensed taxi services like Uber”, Re-
uters, 26 May 2015, available at www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/26/
us-italy-uber-idUSKBN0OB1FQ20150526
16 Harriett Alexander, “Judge in Spain bans Uber taxis”, The
Telegraph, 9 December 2014.
17 Frances Robinson, “Brussels to Propose New Laws Gov-
erning Uber”, 24 November 2014, available at blogs.wsj.com/dig-
its/2014/11/24/brussels-to-propose-new-laws-governing-uber/
18 Inparallel,asimilarlawsuithadbeenledbytheAsocia-
ción Madrileña del Taxi before the Commercial Court nº 2 of Madrid.
On 9 December 2014, this Commercial Court adopted inaudita parte
a preliminary injunction with an order to Uber Technologies Inc.
to cease operations in the whole territory of Spain. The injunction also
ordered local telecommunications and payments operators to block
trafcandtransactionswithwww.uber.comandtoUbersoftware
application. Uber BV complied with the order and suspended its elec-
tronic intermediation of uberPOP in Spain. See “Uber taxi app suspend-
ed the Commercial Court nº 3 of Barcelona to
declare that Uber Systems Spain had infringed
Article 5 (covering misleading practices that
can lead to a signicant distortion of the eco-
nomic behaviour of the consumer) and Article
15(2) (declaring unfair non-compliance with a
provision regulating competitive activity) of the
Unfair Competition Act.
19
The issue at the core of this case relates to
whether Uber’s services can benet from the
free movement provisions included in the TFEU,
and in particular Article 49 (free establishment)
and 56 (free movement of services), but also
from the guarantees included in:
Directive 2006/123/EC of the European Par-
liament and of the Council of 12 December
2006 on services in the internal market (the
“Services Directive”),
20
Article 9(1) of which
provides that Member States should not
make access to a service activity or its ex-
ercise “subject to an authorization scheme
unless the following conditions are satised:
(a) The authorization scheme does not dis-
criminate against the provider in question;
(b) The need for an authorization scheme
is justied by an overriding reason relat-
ing to the public interest ; (c) The objective
pursued cannot be attained by means of
a less restrictive measure, in particular be-
cause an a posteriori inspection would take
place too late to be genuinely effective.”
Directive 2000/31/EC of the European Par-
liament and of the Council of 8 June 2000
ed in Spain”, BBC News, 9 December 2014, available at www.bbc.com/
news/business-30395093
19 It is important to note that Uber Systems Spain only pro-
vides marketing and support services to Uber BV and its related entities.
It does not operate or license the software application service. There-
fore, Uber Systems Spain, S.L. has argued in the Spanish national
litigation that the subject-matter of the main proceedings – namely
thequalicationoftheserviceprovidedbytheUbercompany–pertains
to Uber BV’s activity not that of Uber Systems Spain.
20 O.J. 2006, L 376/36.
123
on certain legal aspects of information so-
ciety services, in particular electronic com-
merce in the Internal Market (“E-commerce
Directive”),
21
Article 3.2 of which provides
that Member States may not restrict the
freedom to provide information society ser-
vices from another Member State. Pursu-
ant to Article 3.4, Member States may only
adopt measures derogating from the free-
dom to provide information society services
if such measures are: (i) necessary for rea-
sons of public policy, the protection of pub-
lic health, public security, the protection of
consumers; (ii) taken against a given infor-
mation society service which prejudices the
objectives referred to in point (i) or which
presents a serious and grave risk of preju-
dice to those objectives; (iii) proportionate
to those objectives.
Whether or not uberPOP can benet from
these guarantees depends on how this service is
dened and, in particular, whether it can qualify
as an “information society service” which is “any
service normally provided for remuneration, at
a distance, by electronic means and at the indi-
vidual request of a recipient of services” as per
Article 1.2 of Directive 98/34/EC laying down a
procedure for the provision of information in the
eld of technical standards and regulations as
amended by Directive 98/48/EC.
22
Against that background the referring Court
suspended its proceedings and decided to
address four questions for preliminary ruling to
the CJEU (which I streamline a bit for reason of
space):
1. Inasmuch as Article 2(2)(d) of Directive
2006/123/EC … excludes transport activities
from the scope of that directive, must the
21 O.J. 2000, L 178/1.
22 Directive 98/48/EC of the European Parliament and of the
Council of 20 July 1998 amending Directive 98/34/EC laying down a
procedurefortheprovisionofinformationintheeldoftechnicalstan-
dards and regulations, O.J.1998, L 217/18.
activity carried out for prot by the defen-
dant, consisting of acting as an intermediary
between the owner of a vehicle and a per-
son who needs to make a journey within a
city, by managing the IT resources … which
enable them to connect with one another,
be considered to be merely a transport ser-
vice or must it be considered to be an elec-
tronic intermediary service or an information
society service, as dened by Article 1(2) of
Directive 98/34/EC … laying down a proce-
dure for the provision of information in the
eld of technical standards and regulations
and of rules on Information Society services?
2. Within the identication of the legal nature
of that activity, can it be considered to be
… in part an information society service,
and, if so, ought the electronic intermediary
service to benet from the principle of free-
dom to provide services as guaranteed in
the Community legislation — Article 56 TFEU
and Directives 2006/123/EC and … 2000/31/
EC?
3. If the service provided by UBER SYSTEMS
SPAIN, S.L. were not to be considered to
be a transport service and were therefore
considered to fall within the cases covered
by Directive 2006/123, the question arising is
whether Article 15 of the Law on Unfair com-
petition … is contrary to Directive 2006/123,
specically Article 9 on freedom of establish-
ment and authorisation schemes, when the
reference to national laws or legal provisions
is made without taking into account the fact
that the scheme for obtaining licences, au-
thorisations and permits may not be in any
way restrictive or disproportionate, that is, it
may not unreasonably impede the principle
of freedom of establishment.
4. If it is conrmed that Directive 2000/31/EC
is applicable to the service provided by
UBER SYSTEMS SPAIN, S.L., the question aris-
124
ing is whether restrictions in one Member
State [regarding] the freedom to provide
the electronic intermediary service from an-
other Member State, in the form of making
the service subject to an authorisation or a
licence, or in the form of an injunction pro-
hibiting provision of the electronic intermedi-
ary service based on the application of the
national legislation on unfair competition,
are valid measures that constitute deroga-
tions from paragraph 2 in accordance with
Article 3(4) of Directive 2000/31/EC.
23
These questions are not free of ambiguities.
First, it is not clear what the referring court un-
derstands by a situation where uberPOP could
be “in part” an information society service. Sec-
ond, I assume that in question 3, the issue is not
whether Article 15 of the Spanish Unfair Com-
petition Act breaches Directive 2006/123, but
whether its application in the case at hand vi-
olates Directive 2006/123. Moreover, as Article
15 considers as “unfair” a rm’s non-compliance
with a provision regulating a competitive activ-
ity, question 3 seems to presume that uberPOP
breaches Spanish legislation, which is not nec-
essarily a given if it is not a “transport service”, as
I will argue below. Third, while questions 3 and 4
refer to the services provided by Uber Systems
Spain, uberPOP is provided by Uber BV, Uber
Systems Spain’s activities being limited to mar-
keting and support. The fact that the Uber com-
pany the court has effectively in mind is Uber
BV (based in the Netherlands) rather than Uber
Systems Spain is conrmed by the following pas-
sage of question 4 whereby the question aris-
ing is “whether restrictions in one Member State
[regarding] the freedom to provide electron-
ic intermediary service from another Member
State.” (emphasis added)
IV. Analysis of the issues raised by
the referring court
23 See supra, note 1.
The issues at the core of this case are (i) wheth-
er the uberPOP service should be characterized
as a “transport service” or an “information soci-
ety service” or both and (ii) the regulatory impli-
cations of this characterization.
In order to address these issues, this part is di-
vided in four sections. Section A seeks to deter-
mine whether uberPOP should be characterized
as a “transport service” or an “information soci-
ety service” or both. Section B, C and D analyze
the regulatory implications of the answers which
can be given to the nature of Uber’s activities
and, in particular, whether – depending on the
answer given – these activities can be protect-
ed under Directives 2000/31 and/or 2006/123,
and/or the free movement of services and the
freedom of establishment rules contained in the
TFEU.
A. Is uberPOP a “transport service” or an
“information society service” or both?
Directive 2000/31 denes “information soci-
ety services” as services within the meaning of
Article 1(2) of Directive 98/34 as amended by
Directive 98/48. In turn, Directive 98/34 denes
such services as “any service normally provided
for remuneration, at a distance, by electronic
means and at the individual request of a recipi-
ent of services” and species that for the purpos-
es of this denition: “‘at a distance’ means that
the service is provided without the parties being
simultaneously present; ‘by electronic means’
means that the service is sent initially and re-
ceived at its destination by means of electronic
equipment for the processing (including digital
compression) and storage of data, and entire-
ly transmitted, conveyed and received by wire,
by radio, by optical means or by other electro-
magnetic means, and ‘at the individual request
of a recipient of services’ means that the service
is provided through the transmission of data on
individual request.”
125
There is little doubt that uberPOP meets the
different elements required by Directive 98/34
to be dened as an information society ser-
vice. First, uberPOP is provided “at a distance”
since the service is provided without the driver
and the rider being simultaneously present. Sec-
ond, uberPOP is clearly provided “by electron-
ic means”, i.e. a mobile software application.
Third, uberPOP is provided “at the individual
request of a recipient of services” in that Uber
provides its services to both users and drivers,
which request the service by connecting to the
Uber platform. Finally, uberPOP is a “service nor-
mally provided for remuneration”. While Uber’s
services are frequently referred to as “ride shar-
ing”,
24
there is a clear pecuniary element to the
transaction in that the driver expects a payment
for transporting the rider.
In fact, Uber can be described as an online
“market making” platform in that it connects
producers (in this case drivers) with “consumers”
(riders) and facilitates their interactions and ex-
changes. In other words, Uber does not create
value by performing transport services, but by
enabling direct interactions between two dis-
tinct categories of users. Like other platforms,
such as eBay or Airbnb, Uber’s platform is also
two-sided in that the two sides that the platforms
connects (partner-drivers and riders) are linked
by “indirect network effects” in that a large
number of drivers benets riders, and vice-ver-
sa.
25
Traditional taxi companies hold none of
these features, although companies that limit
their activities to dispatching services can also
probably be considered as market-making plat-
forms.
Another question is whether uberPOP should
24 See, e.g., Mark Harris, “Uber: why the world’s biggest
ride-sharing company has no drivers”, The Guardian, 16 Novem-
ber 2015, available at http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2015/
nov/16/uber-worlds-biggest-ride-sharing-company-no-drivers
25 See, “Everybody wants to Rule the World”, The Econ-
omist, 29 November 2014, available at www.economist.com/news/
brieng/21635077-online-businesses-can-grow-very-large-very-fastit-
what-makes-them-exciting-does-it-also-make
be considered as a “transport service” and
therefore be excluded from the scope of Di-
rective 2006/123. Article 2(2)(d) of Directive
2006/123 provides that “[t]his Directive shall not
apply to services in the eld of transport, includ-
ing port services, falling within the scope of Title
V of the Treaty [now Title VI TFEU],” but it does not
elaborate further on what a service “in the eld
of transport” within the scope of Title VI means.
However, Recital 21 of Directive 2006/123 pro-
vides that “[t]ransport services, including urban
transport, taxis and ambulances as well as port
services, should be excluded from the scope of
this Directive.”
Although such a conclusion may be tempting,
recital 21’s reference to “taxis” does not neces-
sarily mean that uberPOP should be considered
as a transport service. As pointed out by Advo-
cate General Wahl in its June 2015 Opinion in
Grupo Itevelesa, when a service falls under Title
VI TFEU neither the freedom to provide services
(Article 58(1) TFEU) nor Directive 2006/123 (Arti-
cle 2(2)(d thereof) apply, hence the exercise of
dening what constitutes a “service in the eld
of transport” must be carried out “with care”,
26
“especially in respect of services which are only
incidental, ancillary or even tangentially con-
nected to transport.”
27
In this respect, Advocate
General Wahl observes that
“a ‘service in the eld of transport’ must con-
sist of or be inherently linked to the physical act
of moving persons or goods from one place to
another by means of a vehicle, aircraft or wa-
terborne vessel. If the service in question does
not mainly involve actual transport, then the
mere fact that it can be linked in one way or
another to transport does not, in itself mean that
it ought to be characterised as such.” (empha-
26 Opinion of Advocate General Wahl delivered on 3 June
2015, Case C-168/14, Grupo Itevelesa et al. v. OCA Inspección Técnica
de Vehículos SA, Generalidad de Cataluña, [2015] E.C.R I-0000, at §
22.
27 Id.
126
sis added)
28
In Trijber, Advocate General Spuznar fol-
lowed a similar line of analysis.
29
In that case,
which concerned the transportation of passen-
gers by open sloop on the internal waterways
of Amsterdam for entertainment purposes, he
reected on the applicability rationae materiae
of Directive 2006/23. In this respect, he observed
that “the meaning and scope of a term must
be determined by considering its usual mean-
ing in everyday language, while also taking into
account the context in which it occurs and the
purposes of the rules in which it is part.”
30
On
that basis, he concluded that “where the main
purpose of the activity is not the physical con-
veying of goods or people but others matters
[…], one cannot speak of services in the eld of
transport.”
31
The CJEU followed the approach proposed
by Advocate General Spuznar in that it ob-
served that while transport by inland waterway
fell within Title VI TFEU, it does not mean that
“any service consisting in the provision of trans-
port by waterway must automatically be classi-
ed as ‘transport’ or ‘urban transport’ within the
meaning of [Directive 2006/123]” as
“A service of that type could include, besides
transport, one or more other elements that fall
within a commercial sphere that the EU leg-
28 Id. at § 28. Note, however, that in its judgment, the CJEU
concluded that the service in question (the provision of roadworthiness
tests) was a transport service. The CJEU observed in that the purpose
of Directive 2009/40 on roadworthiness tests (as amended by Direc-
tive 2014/45) sought to guarantee road safety and “Directives 2009/40
and 2014/45 were adopted on the basis of Article 71 EC and Article
91 TFEU respectively, both of those provisions being included respec-
tively in the EC Treaty and the TFEU under the Title ‘Transport’ and
constituting the legal basis expressly authorizing the EU legislature to
lay down ‘measures to improve transport safety.’”
29 Opinion of Advocate General Spuznar of 16 July 2015,
Joined Cases C-340/14 and C-341/14, R.L. Trijber and J. Harmsen,
2015 [E.C.R.] I-0000.
30 Id. at § 30.
31 Id. at § 37.
islature has included in the scope of Directive
2006/123. In those circumstances, it is necessary
to consider what the main purpose of the ser-
vice at issue is.”
32
Seen under that light, I submit that the “main
purpose” of uberPOP is not to provide a “trans-
port service”, but an intermediation service
connecting partner drivers with riders. First, un-
like regular taxi services, Uber is not in the busi-
ness of physically conveying people from point
A to point B. Thus, while many people may con-
sider that Uber provides transport services not
unlike those offered by taxi companies in that
“Uber cars” or “Uber taxis” (as they are some-
times referred to), there is no such thing as an
Uber car let alone an Uber taxi. Thus, the fact
that “taxis” are mentioned at recital 21 of Direc-
tive 2006/123 does not exclude Uber’s services
from the scope of that Directive. The purpose of
Uber’s service is not to “transport” passengers.
Uber does not own cars and its “partner drivers”
are independent contractors using their own
vehicles. They connect to the Uber platform
whenever they want for as long (or as short) a
period of time as they want.
In fact, Uber’s services share many features
with well-known online intermediation platforms,
such as Airbnb or Booking.com. For instance,
Uber facilitates the payment transaction of the
service between the rider and the partner-driv-
er like online booking websites typically provide
an electronic means of payment to the people
booking a room through their website. Another
feature that Uber shares with online platforms
is the ability for users to rate the quality of the
service provided. Online ratings are indeed an
essential element to ensure quality of service
and ensure trust amongst users.
33
Finally, like oth-
32 Judgment of the Court of 1 October 2015, Joined Cases
C-340/14 and C-341/14, supra note 29, at § 51.
33 James Cook, “Ubers internal charts show how its driv-
er-rating system actually works”, Business Insider, 11 February 2015,
available at uk.businessinsider.com/leaked-charts-show-how-ubers-
driver-rating-system-works-2015-2
127
er online platforms Uber generates revenues by
charging a commission to the service provider,
which it connects to users.
In fact, the distinct advantage of online inter-
mediation platforms is their ability to intermedi-
ate an extremely large number of transactions
between users and providers with limited staff
and physical assets through the use of software
solutions. This is also the strength of Uber, which
is able to intermediate millions of daily transac-
tions with limited physical and human assets,
precisely for the reason that it does not offer a
transport service by operating cars and employ-
ing drivers. Should that be the case, Uber would
be one of the world’s largest employers and
would own for billions of dollars of assets.
In light of the above considerations, I have
no doubt that uberPOP is an information society
and is not a transport service. Based on the in-
formation in my possession, it is the answer that
I would give to question 1 raised by the refer-
ring court. Now, if the CJEU was to disagree and
consider that uberPOP is a transport service, this
would not leave this service without protection
against regulatory interferences, but this protec-
tion would have to be based on the freedom of
services (Article 56 TFEU). We explore this aspect
below.
B. Regulatory implications of dening
uberPOP as “information society service”
and not a “transport service”
If, for the reasons discussed above, uberPOP
is not a “transport service” within the scope of
Title VI TFEU, but an “information society ser-
vice” within the meaning of Directive 98/34, this
means that uberPOP falls within the scope of
both Directives 2000/31 and 2006/123, as well
as Article 56 TFEU. In fact, both directives are
based on the principles developed by the CJEU
in its interpretation of Article 56 TFEU, and they
largely complement each other.
34
The referring court unbundles this scenario into
two separate questions, with question 3 taking
as a starting point the situation where uberPOP
is not a “transport service” and therefore falls
under the scope of Directive 2006/123, where-
as question 4 takes as a starting point the situa-
tion where uberPOP is an “information society”
service and therefore falls under the scope of
Directive 2000/31. I suppose that the reason for
this approach is that it is not because a service
is not a “transport service” falling under Title VI
TFEU that it is necessarily an “information society
service” within the meaning of Directive 98/34.
For instance, a service that would intermedi-
ate drivers with passengers without charging a
commission would neither be a “transport ser-
vice” nor an “information society service”.
Question 2 also raises a scenario were uber-
POP would be “in part” an “information society
service” and asks whether in that case uberPOP
can benet from the protection against regula-
tory interferences contained Article 56 TFEU, as
well as Directives 2006/123 and 2000/31.
This Section is divided in four subsections. Sub-
section 1 discusses the scenario where uberPOP
would be “in part” an “information society ser-
vice”. Then, subsections 2 and 3 respectively dis-
cuss the regulatory implications of the (non-mu-
tually exclusive) scenarios where uberPOP is not
a “transport” service and is an “information so-
ciety” service. Finally, subsection 4 emphasises
the point that even if Uber’s services fall under
the scope of Directive 2006/123 and/or Direc-
tive 2000/31, and/or Articles 49 and 56 TFEU it
does not mean that they cannot be regulated
by the Member States, but that regulation is sub-
ject to constraints.
1. uberPOP is “in part” an “information society
34 See Directive 2006/123, Recital 1; Directive 2000/31, Re-
cital 1.
128
service”
As mentioned above, the difculty here is
that the referring court does not clearly de-
scribe the scenario it has in mind. One interpre-
tation is that the court considers that uberPOP is
a “transport service” within the scope of Title VI
TFEU, but also an “information society service”
within the meaning of Directive 98/34. Other-
wise, it would not be easy to understand why
uberPOP would only be “in part” an information
society service. Another interpretation would be
that the court considers that uberPOP is com-
posed of two distinct services: (i) a transport
service performed by a “partner driver” (who is
driving his own car) and (ii) an intermediation
service based on Uber’s software application
and platform, which is “detachable” from the
transport service provided by the driver. In my
view, the latter interpretation is preferable be-
cause otherwise it would be hard to understand
why the court’s question would refer inter alia
to the applicability Article 56 TFEU and Directive
2006/123. If uberPOP was a transport service, this
would automatically rule out the application of
Article 56 TFEU and Directive 2006/123.
The legal consequences of the latter inter-
pretation would be that the intermediation
service provided by Uber would benet from
the principle of freedom to provide services as
guaranteed in Article 56 TFEU, as well as in Di-
rective 2006/123 and 2000/31. What this means
in practice will be discussed in subsections 2
and 3 below. This latter interpretation might still
create challenges for Uber, however, as its part-
ner-drivers, who physically convey people from
A to B and therefore provide a “transport ser-
vice” within the meaning of Title VI TFEU, might
be subject to the licensing obligations required
under Spanish law. While that may not impede
Uber’s uberX service, which relies on profession-
ally licensed drivers, it might create obstacles
to uberPOP, which relies on drivers who are not
professionally licensed.
2. uberPOP is not a “transport” service
In this sub-Section, I analyse the scenario
where uberPop is neither a transport service nor
an information society service. In that scenar-
io, uberPOP falls within the scope of Directive
2006/123 and can benet from the free move-
ment provisions it contains.
As we have seen, the claim made by Asocia-
ción Profesional Elite Taxi in the Barcelona court
is that Uber breaches Article 15 of the Spanish
Unfair Competition Act by operating its service
without the necessary authorization, this raises
the question – as asked by the referring court
– of whether the abovementioned provision is
compatible with Article 9 of Directive 2006/123.
As we have seen, Article 9 provides that Mem-
ber States shall not make access to a service
activity or the exercise thereof subject to an
authorization scheme unless : (i) the authoriza-
tion scheme does not discriminate against the
provider in question; (ii) the need for an au-
thorization scheme is justied by an overriding
reason relating to the public interest ; and (iii)
the objective pursued cannot be attained
by means of a less restrictive measure.
Article 15 of the Unfair Competition Act,
which Uber has allegedly breached, consid-
ers as “unfair”, and thus objectionable, the
non-compliance with a provision regulating
competitive activity.
35
Article 15 does not con-
tain any “substantive” regulatory requirements.
Thus, it seems to me that the question that is ef-
fectively at stake is whether the fact of imposing
the licensing requirements required for taxis or
so-called private hire vehicles (“PHV”) in Spain
on uberPOP is in breach with the requirements
contained in Article 9 of Directive 2006/123. In
my view, this question raises two distinct issues.
35 Ley 3/1991 de Competitia Desleal (Article 15): “Tendrá
también la consideración de desleal la simple infracción de normas jurí-
dicas que tengan por objeto la regulación de la actividad concurrencia”.
129
The rst issue is whether the Spanish authorities
can subject Uber’s activities to licensing require-
ments without breaching Article 9 of Directive
2006/123. This issue triggers two observations.
First, as in many other sectors, licensing require-
ments may be needed to ensure compliance
with important issues of public interest, such as
public safety and protection of the consumer.
When justied by genuine public interest objec-
tives, licensing requirements cannot in them-
selves breach Article 9 of Directive 2006/123
provided that these requirements are not dis-
criminatory and the objective sought cannot be
achieved in a less restrictive manner.
36
Second,
it is subject to question whether the licensing re-
quirements should be imposed on the platform
(Uber) or on the drivers operating through the
platform. The answer may depend on whether
it is by licensing the platform or the driver that
the objectives sought by the regulator are best
protected.
The second issue is whether the licensing re-
quirements required for taxis or PHVs meet the
above test. This is a factual issue that I am not
well placed to address, but I will nevertheless
make the following observations.
First, while the licensing requirements imposed
on taxis or PHVs often seek to address market
failures, they may also contain measures restrict-
ing competition. This is particularly so when, as I
understand is the case in Spain, the number of
licenses is strictly limited. Historically, these limita-
tions were justied by the need to prevent “ru-
inous” competition between taxis in situations
where there were too many cars chasing too
few passengers.
37
While one can seriously ques-
tion whether it is the role of the State to regulate
36 In this respect, it is interesting to note that Spanish law itself
seems to provide for a particularly light-touch approach to intermedia-
tion services. The prior authorization regime for intermediation of pas-
senger transport services has been abolished in Spain by Act 9/2003.
37 See Paul Stephen Dempsey, “Taxi Industry Regulation, De-
regulation & Reregulation: The Paradox of Market Failure”, (1996) 24
Transportation Law Journal 73, at 77.
supply and demand, the quotas sometimes im-
posed decades ago have not kept up with de-
mand and many cities are currently undersup-
plied, particularly at certain times of the week/
day.
38
In most cases, it is hard to see how they
can be objectively justied.
Second, while licensing requirements repre-
sent a burden for the taxi industry, it now seems
that the main objective of taxi companies is to
maintain these requirements and use them as
barriers to entry. As I have written elsewhere,
39
while licensing requirements may be needed to
correct market failures, regulation should not be
used to prevent Uber and other intermediation
platforms to offer their innovative services to the
benet of consumers. As will be seen below, the
CJEU has made it clear that the protection of
incumbent operators cannot be seen as a legit-
imate public interest objective.
In sum, licensing requirements restricting the
number of authorizations or imposing require-
ments that cannot be justied by market failures
should be inherently suspect under Article 9 of
Directive 2006/123 or, more generally, Article 56
TFEU.
For the sake of exhaustiveness, I note that if
the CJEU was to decide that uberPOP is a trans-
port service within the scope of Title VI TFEU, it
would not mean that national authorities would
be entirely free to regulate the service as they
wish. As the CJEU made clear in the Yellow Cab
case,
40
national legislation requiring that an au-
thorization be obtained to operate a transport
38 “Pricing the surge”, The Economist, 29 March 2014,
available at www.economist.com/news/nance-and-econom-
ics/21599766-microeconomics-ubers-attempt-revolutionise-taxi-mar-
kets-pricing-surge
39 BenjaminG.EdelmanandDamienGeradin,“Efciencies
and Regulatory Shortcuts: How Should We Regulate Companies like
Airbnb and Uber?”, forthcoming Stanford Technology Law Review
(2016), current draft available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.
cfm?abstract_id=2658603
40 Case C-338/09, Yellow Cab Verkehrsbetriebs v. Lande-
shauptmann von Wien, [2010] E.C.R. I- 13927.
130
service (in that case a transport bus service):
“constitutes, in principle, a restriction of free-
dom of establishment within the meaning of Ar-
ticle 49 TFEU, in that it seeks to restrict the num-
ber of services providers, notwithstanding the
alleged absence of discrimination on grounds
of nationality of the persons concerned. … Con-
sequently, it is necessary to examine whether
the legislation at issue … may be justied objec-
tively.”
41
Pursuant to the case-law of the CJEU, a leg-
islation “applicable without discrimination on
grounds of nationality, may be justied by over-
riding reasons of general interest, provided that
it is appropriate for ensuring attainment of the
objective pursued and does not go beyond
what is necessary for attaining that objective”.
42
Thus, licensing requirements needed to ensure
the protection of objectives such car and pas-
senger safety may be justied. The CJEU, how-
ever, observed in its Yellow Cab judgment that:
“[b]y contrast, the objective of ensuring the
protability of a competing bus service, as a
reason of a purely economic nature, cannot, in
accordance with settled case-law, constitute
an overriding reason in the public interest jus-
tifying a restriction of a fundamental freedom
guaranteed by the Treaty.”
43
Thus, licensing requirements that cannot be
justied by the need to correct a market failure,
but on the contrary seek to protect the eco-
nomic interests of incumbent operators are not
objectively justied.
3. uberPOP is an “information society service”
For the reasons discussed in Section A above,
41 Id. at §§ 45-46.
42 Case C-169/07, Hartlauer, [2009] ECR I-1721, § 44.
43 Id. at § 51.
there is no doubt in my view that uberPOP
should be considered as an “information so-
ciety service” within the meaning of Directive
98/34. Hence, Directive 2000/31 applies. In that
context, question 4 asked by the referring court
is whether restrictions in one Member State re-
garding the freedom to provide electronic inter-
mediation services from another Member States
either in the form of making the service subject
to a licence or in the form of an injunction based
on the legislation on unfair competition, are val-
id derogations from Article 3(2) in accordance
with Article 3(4) of Directive 2000/31. Thus, my
observations in subsection 2 on the type of mea-
sures than can be objectively justied, largely
apply to this subsection as well.
Although, as already observed above, the
drafting of that question is confusing as Uber
Systems Spain does not provide the uberPOP in-
termediation service, there is no question that
the Spanish legislation imposes restrictions on
the provision of Uber BV, a company located
in the Netherlands. As to the question’s refer-
ence to an injunction based on the legislation
on unfair competition, it should be understood
as an allusion to the preliminary injunction ren-
dered by the Commercial Court No 2 of Madrid
ordering on (i) Uber Technologies to cease its
operations in Spain and on (ii) telecommunica-
tions services providers and payment operators
to block the trafc and transactions with
www.
uber.com
and with Uber’s software applica-
tion.
44
The claim was once again that Uber had
breached the Spanish Unfair Competition Act,
and vice-versa.
Article 3(2) of Directive 2000/31 contains the
general principle that: “Member States may not,
for reasons falling within the coordinated eld,
restrict the freedom to provide information soci-
ety services from another Member State.” How-
ever, Article 3(4) provides that Member States
may nevertheless adopt measures derogating
44 See supra note 16.
131
from the freedom to provide information society
services if such measures are: (i) necessary for
reasons of public policy, the protection of pub-
lic health, public security, the protection of con-
sumers; (ii) taken against a given information
society service which prejudices the objectives
referred to in point (i) or which presents a serious
and grave risk of prejudice to those objectives;
(iii) proportionate to those objectives.
Given the conceptual proximity between
Article 9 of Directive 2006/123 and Article 3(4)
of Directive 2000/31, the analysis performed in
section 2 above is relevant as well here. The no-
tion of public interest contained in Article 9 of Di-
rective 2006/123 certainly covers the reasons of
public policy, protection of public health, public
security and the protection of consumers men-
tioned above. The principle of “proportionality”
is also conceptually close to the “least restric-
tive means requirement” contained in Article 9
of Directive 2006/123.
45
Thus, it is unlikely that a
measure that would fail under the Article 9 test
would succeed under Article 3(4) of Directive
2000/31.
There is little doubt that license requirements
restrict the freedom to provide information so-
ciety services across Member States. However,
as noted above, there may also circumstances
where regulation may be needed to achieve
public interest objectives, such as public secu-
rity and protection of consumers. It could, for
instance, be argued that by connecting pro-
spective passengers with unsafe drivers (or driv-
ers using unsafe cars), Uber could harm its users
(passengers) and non-users (pedestrian). Thus,
for instance, a measure requiring Uber to com-
ply with safety measures going beyond those it
voluntarily performs may not in itself be seen as
a breach of Article 3(4) of Directive 2000/31 pro-
vided, of course, that the measure adopted is
45 See Opinion of Mr Advocate General Van Gerven delivered
on 5 February 1991, Case C-347/89, Freistaat Bayern v Eurim-Pharm
GmbH., [1991] E.C.R. I-01747, at §§ 9 et seq.
proportionate to the objective sought. By con-
trast, imposing licensing requirements that have
the object or effect of creating barriers to entry
cannot be compatible with that provision.
As to the issuance by the Commercial Court
No 2 of Madrid of a preliminary injunction not
only ordering Uber to cease its activities in Spain,
but also telecommunications services providers
and payment operators to no longer assist Uber
in its transactions, it appears as an overkill. That
is particularly the case considering that the im-
plementation of this measure by Spanish mobile
operators not only prevent smartphone users
to use Uber’s services in Spain, but also in other
Member States. It is not clear why the extension
is necessary to protect a legitimate objective.
4. Regulating Uber in a proportionate manner
One concern that some may have with a
nding that Uber’s activities fall under the scope
of Directive 2006/123 and/or Directive 2000/31
is that these activities may end up being un-
regulated, or at least under-regulated, with the
risks that it leaves its users and non-users without
sufcient protection and give it an unfair com-
petitive advantage compared to taxi and other
regulated forms of services.
46
However, as not-
ed above, that does not need to be the case.
Neither Directive 2006/123 nor Directive 2000/31
prevent regulating Uber’s activities provided
that the regulatory requirements comply with a
series of principles designed to avoid unjustied
interference with Uber’s freedom to provide its
services.
For instance, the State of California has ad-
opted a regulatory regime specically designed
for “companies that provide prearranged trans-
portation services for compensation using an
online-enabled application (app) or platform to
connect passengers with drivers using their per-
46 Id.
132
sonal vehicles”.
47
This regime, which was adopt-
ed by the California Public Utilities Commission
(CPUC), establishes 28 rules and regulations for
so-called Transportation Network Companies
(“TNC”), such as Uber, whereby they must ob-
tain a license from the CPUC to operate in Cali-
fornia; require each driver to undergo a criminal
background check; establish a driver training
programme; implement a zero-tolerance policy
on drugs and alcohol; hold a commercial liabil-
ity insurance policy that is more stringent than
the CPUC’s current requirement for limousines,
requiring a minimum of $1 million per-incident
coverage for incidents involving TNC vehicles
and drivers in transit to or during a TNC trip, re-
gardless of whether personal insurance allows
for coverage; and conduct a 19-point car in-
spection.
48
Closer to home, Estonia adopted a new Pub-
lic Transport Act (“PTA”) in February 2015, which
comprises a regulatory regime applying to
occasional service providers, such as the driv-
ers that typically operate under the uberPOP
banner.
49
The PTA denes “occasional services”
as “the carriage by road, except for regular
services and taxi services, and the main char-
acteristic of which is the carriage of groups of
passengers constituted on the initiative of the
customer or the carrier.”
50
Providers of occasion-
al services are subject to a mandatory license
comprising requirements, such as obligations
to register as commercial or non-commercial
entity, to show the absence of criminal convic-
tions, the need to appoint a transport manager,
etc.
51
Moreover, Estonia is currently considering
47 See CPUC Establishes Rules for Transportation Network
Companies, Press Release, 19 September 2013, available at http://docs.
cpuc.ca.gov/PublishedDocs/Published/G000/M077/K132/77132276.
PDF
48 Id.
49 See https://www.riigiteataja.ee/en/eli/526032015005/con-
solide
50 Id. at § 5.
51 Id. at §§ 41 et seq.
further amending the TPA to allow ride-sharing
services.
52
The draft legislation would require
intermediation platforms such as Uber to meet
certain transparency and safety standards, for
instance by requiring transparency regarding
the fares are calculated, providing riders with
electronic receipts; and displaying a driver’s
photo and license plate number before the
passenger enters a vehicle. The draft legisla-
tion would not, however, subject Uber or other
equivalent service providers to an authorization
or licensing regime.
While it is early to tell how the Estonian re-
gime will apply in practice, the approach of the
CPUC seems a step in the right direction in that it
ensures that Uber’s activities are regulated, with
requirements that are however adapted to its
intermediation business model.
V. Looking beyond Uber
Uber is probably the best known and most
controversial online intermediation platform
in the world. The reasons why Uber has raised
so much attention is that, on the one hand, it
has attracted a large number of acionados
amongst users who enjoy the cheap and con-
venient service it offers, but, on the other hand,
it has drawn the hatred of taxi companies and
drivers as they see Uber’s services as an existen-
tial threat to their business. This situation is not
unlike what we have seen throughout the 1980s
and 1990s where a large number of sectors of
the economy (air transport, telecommunica-
tions, etc.) were liberalized, with incumbents
complaining that new entrants did not have to
comply with some of the heavy requirements
(such as, for instance, universal service obliga-
tions) that applied to them.
But Uber is only a pioneer in a segment of the
52 See Avi Pau, “Estonia to regulate Uber and Taxify ride-shar-
ers”, 15 February 2016, available at news.postimees.ee/3583509/esto-
nia-to-regulate-uber-and-taxify-ride-sharers
133
economy that is likely to grow as various activi-
ties historically carried out by humans (such as,
for instance, taxi dispatchers or booking agents)
can now be performed by software applica-
tions.
53
Already Airbnb has become a powerful
player in the hospitality industry drawing criti-
cism from hotels it is largely free from the regu-
latory burden they are subject to.
54
Hence, like
Uber is criticized for engaging in unfair compe-
tition and lawsuits abound.
55
Similar claims will
be made every time a popular platform creates
losers, although they generate signicant bene-
ts for both providers and users.
The answers that will be given by the CJEU to
the questions of the referring court are thus likely
to have an impact beyond the dispute oppos-
ing Uber and taxis. The broad question is how to
reach the dual objective of ensuring that online
intermediation platforms are allowed to provide
their (usually efcient and attractive) services,
while ensuring that they comply with the regu-
latory requirements needed to correct clearly
identied market failures.
56
While Uber’s services
have been subject to challenges in many coun-
tries inside and outside the European Union,
I strongly believe that the right approach for
regulatory authorities is to adopt regulatory re-
gimes that achieve the dual objective identied
above. This of course requires independence (as
there are strong vested interests) and creativity,
although the principles contained in Directives
53 Marc Andreessen, “Why Software Is Eating The World”,
The Wall Street Journal, 20 August 2011, available at www.wsj.com/
articles/SB10001424053111903480904576512250915629460
54 Asha Barbaschow, “Airbnb raises $100m and maintains
$25.5b valuation”, ZDNet, 23 November 2015, available at www.
zdnet.com/article/airbnb-raises-100m-and-maintains-25-5b-valua-
tion/?ftag=YHRe31c277
55 See, e.g., Jason Abbruzze and Jessica Plautz, “New
York Goes to War Against Airbnb for Disrupting Hotel Business”,
Mashable, 26 April 2014, available at mashable.com/2014/04/26/
new-york-vs-airbnb/#lSXkJBuoIEq1
56 Damien Geradin, “Uber and the Rule of Law: Should Spon-
taneous Liberalization be Applauded or Criticized”, forthcoming Com-
petition Policy International (2016), draft available at http://papers.ssrn.
com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2693683
2006/123 and 2000/31, as well as the case-law
of the CJEU on articles 49 and 56 TFEU may offer
useful guidance.
VI. Conclusion
The answers that will be given by the CJEU to
the questions asked by the Commercial Court
No 3 of Barcelona regarding the nature of uber-
POP, as well as the compatibility of Spanish leg-
islation restricting these activities with Directives
2006/123 and 2000/31, and the free movement
rules contained in the TFEU, will have a funda-
mental impact on the way Uber, but also oth-
er online intermediation platforms will be regu-
lated in the future. The judgment of the CJEU
could result in forcing Member States to rethink
the regulatory frameworks that apply to taxis
and/or VTCs in a manner that truly serves com-
petition, innovation and user choice.
In my view, uberPOP is not a “transport ser-
vice”, but an “information society service”.
Therefore, it falls within the scope of Directives
2006/123 and 2000/31, as well as under Article
56 TFEU. This does not mean that Uber’s activi-
ties cannot be regulated, but regulation should
be limited to protecting objectives of public in-
terest and they should be proportionate to the
accomplishment of these objectives. In other
words, regulatory requirements that may apply
to Uber’s activities and other similar companies
should be limited to what is necessary to correct
market failures. Measures that have the object
or effect to restrict entry should be struck down
unless they can be objectively justied.
134
Competition Policy
in Consumer
Financial Services:
The Disparate
Regulation of
Online Marketplace
Lenders and Banks
By Thomas P. Brown and Molly E. Swartz
*
I. INTRODUCTION
In October 2014, Washington D.C. City Coun-
cil passed legislation that effectively allowed
Uber to operate in the District. David Plouffe,
formerly an advisor to the President and now an
executive with Uber, greeted the new legisla-
tion with the following observation:
Obviously what we’re doing doesn’t neces-
sarily in all cases t in existing regulation. I think
that’s what Washington really wrestled with and
decided they needed to chart a new pathway
forward. So rather than say how do we t this
new technology and service into existing regu-
lations, let’s look at how do we create new regu-
lations that give citizens of the city the right kind
of condence on things like safety, on things like
insurance.
1
*
Thomas P. Brown is a partner and Molly E. Swartz is an
associate at Paul Hastings LLP. The views expressed are entirely their
own.Theirviewsdonotrepresenttheviewofthermoranyclientof
therm.
1 Dana Rubenstein, “Uber Publicly Embraces Regulation, the
‘Modern’ Sort,” Politico New York, October 29, 2014,
Uber is just one of many startups struggling to
t their businesses into existing regulatory frame-
works. As technological innovation leads to new
business models, there is increasing friction be-
tween these new companies and the existing
regulatory regime.
The tension between regulated entities and
new entrants is particularly acute in the con-
text of online marketplace lending.
2
While bank
lenders enjoy regulatory privileges that enable
them to lend immediately to consumers in all
50 states, non-bank lenders are forced to en-
gage in resource-intensive analyses to satisfy
state-specic compliance requirements. As
non-bank lenders expand access to credit to
those currently under served by banks—provid-
ing new underwriting methodologies, real-time
data transmission and new nancing mecha-
nisms—disparate regulation of banks and non-
bank lenders appears problematic.
In the past, where new entrants have chal-
lenged existing regulatory frameworks, restruc-
turing has occurred to ensure a functioning
market. This continues to happen in a number
of industries, with the Uber-led transformation of
taxi regulation being the most prominent. This
kind of regulatory reorganization is also need-
ed in the lending space. The existing framework
for regulating the delivery of nancial services
works against the interests of consumers, com-
petition, regulators and society as a whole. A
state-by-state legal regime serves as barrier to
entry protecting incumbent banks from compe-
tition and depriving consumers of alternatives.
http://www.capitalnewyork.com/article/city-hall/2014/10/8555647/
uber-publicly-embraces-regulation-modern-sort.
2 For purposes of this paper, we use the phrase “marketplace
lenders” to distinguish between bank lenders and technology driven
lenders. In our experience, however, this taxonomy is a bit narrow in
that technology driven lenders follow two variations—(1) those that in-
volve discrete sources of third-party capital and are generally described
as “marketplace lenders” such as Prosper, Lending Club, and OnDeck;
and (2) those that lend off their own balance sheet such as PayPal Credit
but that use an essentially identical origination model and are generally
described as “platform lenders.”
135
There is simply no reason why banks should en-
joy access to the common market while non-
bank lenders cannot.
This is not to say that banks and non-banks
should be treated similarly on all counts. There
are numerous situations in which it is appropriate
for banks to maintain regulatory privileges inac-
cessible to non- banks. In fact, in the context of
nancial services, banks tend to bear a greater
regulatory burden than non- banks (e.g., appli-
cation of customer identication program re-
quirements, required maintenance of leverage
ratios, etc.). In the lending context, however,
banks’ unique ability to offer products on a na-
tionwide basis remains largely unjustied.
In Part I below, we provide an overview of on-
line marketplace lending. We suggest that mar-
ketplace lenders offer value that is not currently
replicable by banks. Part II examines market-
place lending across state lines, recognizing the
near impossibility of full compliance. Part III pro-
vides examples of cases in which new entrants
have successfully challenged existing regulatory
frameworks. In these cases, regulatory change
reinvigorated competition to the benet of con-
sumers. Finally, in Part IV, we suggest the need
for reorganization of the existing lending regu-
latory framework. The current bifurcated regu-
latory framework increases costs to consumers,
limits consumer choice and insulates banks from
competition.
II. Online Marketplace Lending Ben-
ets Both Underserved Borrowers and
Investors
In the past few years, marketplace lending
has emerged as an alternative to traditional
bank lending. In the wake of the 2008-2009 -
nancial crisis, banks tightened credit guidelines.
This left many consumers and small businesses
without access to bank-issued credit. Total con-
sumer lending fell by 6.1 percent between Jan-
uary 2009 and March 2010.
3
At the same time
that they tightened credit standards, banks
found themselves a safe haven for deposits
even as yields on those deposits plummeted.
The simultaneous tightening of credit stan-
dards and drop in yields created an opportu-
nity for new credit intermediaries to emerge.
Marketplace lenders lled this gap. In their initial
incarnation, rms such as Prosper and Lending
Club enabled lenders to fund loans to borrow-
ers. They and other alternative lenders simulta-
neously expanded the pool of available credit
and enabled yield-starved investors to obtain a
positive rate of return on funds that would have
generated no return had they been left on de-
posit at banks and other depository institutions.
Marketplace lenders differ from traditional
nancial institutions in a number of ways. First,
marketplace lenders often serve demograph-
ics that are underserved by bank lenders. Mar-
ketplace lenders have enabled “thin le” bor-
rowers and small business borrowers to access
credit that traditional nancial institutions were
unwilling to extend. Borrowers rendered ineli-
gible by traditional bank underwriting models
may nd investors on online marketplaces will-
ing to nance their credit needs. Alternative un-
derwriting models may enable such lenders to
extend credit to thin le borrowers who would
not qualify for credit based solely on traditional
underwriting criteria such as FICO score.
Second, marketplace lenders rely on tech-
nology to reduce the cost of connecting bor-
rowers with lenders. They use algorithms, rather
than lending ofcers, to screen borrowers, and
they provide granular information about repay-
ment risk to investors. Further, many such plat-
forms have eliminated unnecessary or unwant-
ed services associated with traditional lenders,
3 “Epic Consumer Credit Crunch Unfolding,” Seeking Alpha,
March 2, 2010, http://seekingalpha.com/article/191517-epic- consum-
er-credit-crunch-unfolding.
136
such as branches and other physical locations.
4
Through better underwriting and more efcient
operations, marketplace lenders and other
lending platforms have lowered the cost of ob-
taining loans and are able to offer borrowers
credit on better terms.
Third, platform lenders offer value to investors.
Marketplace lenders have enabled investors to
diversify their investment portfolios by investing
directly in individual loans. Even to the extent
that investors choose to fund pools of loans rath-
er than individual loans, marketplaces may be
able to pass a larger portion of the interest that
those loans generate to the investors that fund
their loans.
5
III. Marketplace Lending Across
State Lines Triggers Signicant Com-
pliance Obligations
In lending across state lines, marketplace
lenders, like other non-bank lenders and, indeed,
all non- bank providers of nancial services,
confront a complex, unstable and fragmented
regulatory regime. The regulatory thicket that
surrounds the nancial services industry in the
United States, particularly the lending business,
is Byzantine. A rm that is considering launching
a product that provides liquidity to customers
must grapple with a long list of Federal laws and
regulations, including the Truth-in-Lending Act,
6
the Fair Credit Reporting Act,
7
the Electronic
Funds Transfer Act,
8
the Equal Credit Opportu-
nity Act,
9
Regulation Z,
10
and Regulation E
12
(to
4 Andrew Verstein, “The Misregulation of Person-to-Person
Lending,” U.C. Davis Law Review 45, (2011): 445, 457.
5 Id.
6 15 U.S.C. §§ 1601 et seq.
7 15 U.S.C. §§ 1681 et seq.
8 15 U.S.C. §§ 1693 et seq.
9 15 U.S.C. §§ 1691 et seq.
10 12 C.F.R. §§ 1026 et seq.
name but a few). Individual states have their
own laws. California, for example, regulates
non-bank lenders through the California Consti-
tution,
11
the Finance Lenders Law
12
and, in some
instances, the Consumer Legal Remedies Act.
13
How and whether any one of these laws or
regulations applies turns on a number of factors,
including the following: (1) whether the service
is provided for household use; (2) whether the
service provider is a bank (or other federal in-
sured deposit taking institution); (3) whether the
service creates a debt enforceable against
the customer; (4) whether the service involves
a nance charge on a loan or a “time-price”
charge associated with a sale; (5) whether the
service is associated with a prepaid account
but not a deposit account; and (6) whether the
information on which the decision to provide li-
quidity is collected from the customer directly,
third parties that have a direct relationship with
the customer, or third parties that collect infor-
mation from others about the customer.
This body of law and regulation is also unsta-
ble. Regulators, courts, and, of course, legisla-
tures change the rules from time-to-time, and
these changes can have signicant repercus-
sions for industry participants. The Second Cir-
cuit’s recent decision in Madden v. Midland
Funding, LLC,
14
provides one timely example.
Madden arose from a dispute between a con-
sumer and purchaser of debt owed by the
consumer to the bank that had issued the con-
sumer a credit card.
15
The consumer sued the
debt collector in New York state court alleging
that the fees charged by the debt collector ex-
11 Cal. Const. art. XV, § 1.
12 Cal. Fin. Code §§ 22000 et seq.
13 Cal. Civ. Code §§ 1750 et seq.
14 Madden v. Midland Funding, LLC, 786 F.3d 246 (2d Cir.
2015).
15 Id. at 247-49.
137
ceeded the cap set by New York usury law.
16
The Second Circuit held that federal preemp-
tion was not available to the debt collector in
collecting the debt pursuant to the terms of the
loan agreement because the debt collector
was acting on behalf of itself rather than the
bank.
17
The court deected criticism that its de-
cision would undermine the sale of charged-off
debt by banks by arguing that it “would not
signicantly interfere with any national bank’s
ability to exercise its powers under the [National
Bank Act].”
18
Among other things, Madden illustrates that
the regulatory burdens and benets are not
evenly distributed in the lending space. On its
face, the Second Circuit’s decision creates a
special privilege for banks relative to non-banks.
A bank purchaser of another bank’s debt can,
under the Second Circuit’s analysis, invoke its
ability to preempt state law to block a consum-
er’s challenge to the fees collected by the sec-
ond bank based on the loan originated by the
rst. Most non-banks not exercising the powers
of a national bank, according to the Second
Circuit, have no such right.
19
Both of the pub-
licly traded platform lender, Lending Club and
OnDeck, saw their valuations decline relative to
traditional lenders in the wake of the decision,
and commentators have attributed the relative
severity of the decline to regulatory risk.
20
16 Id.
17 Id. at 245-53
18 Id. at 249.
19 Id. at 251 (stating that “[i]n most cases in which NBA pre-
emption has been applied to a non-national bank entity, the entity has
exercised the powers of a national bank—i.e., has acted on behalf of a
national bank in carrying out the national bank’s business. This is not
the case here.”). See also Marquette Nat. Bank of Minneapolis v. First
of Omaha Service Corp., 439 U.S. 299, 308, 313- 316 (1978) (holding
that a federally chartered bank may offer loans to consumers in any of
the other 49 states at any interest rate allowed by the bank’s state of
residence regardless of whether the consumers home state recognizes
a lower usury cap); Smiley v. Citibank (South Dakota), N.A., 517 U.S.
735 (1996) (holding that the NBA preempts state limits on fees as well
asnancecharges).
20 Leena Rao, “Once-hot Online Lending Companies Go Cold
The existing regulatory framework for regu-
lation of non-bank lenders is a patchwork of
complicated and overlapping state laws and
regulations. Each state sets a different maxi-
mum interest rate that parties may contract for,
and this rate may vary depending on whether
the credit will be used for personal, household
or family purposes (i.e., consumer credit) or for
business purposes (i.e., commercial credit). In
many states, consumer and/or commercial
lenders may be authorized to charge interest
above a state’s usury cap if they obtain a state
lender license—a time-consuming and expen-
sive process. For example, a marketplace lend-
er may contract with a Utah-based borrower for
any rate of interest without a license.
21
In Virgin-
ia, a lender must obtain a lender license to offer
consumer loans to Virginia residents at interest
above 12 percent per annum.
22
In California, a
license is required to engage in the business of a
nance lender, regardless of what interest rates
are offered.
23
Lender license applications can also be quite
burdensome and appear designed to deter
applications. The applications often require ap-
plicants to submit background checks and n-
gerprints on all persons owning or controlling 10
percent or more of the lending entity, nancial
statements, and surety bonds. Nevada, for ex-
ample, requires lenders to maintain a physical
ofce in the state—a requirement that is partic-
ularly onerous for online lenders with no physical
location.
24
IV. To Avoid State Lending Laws,
Marketplace Lenders Are Forced to
Partner with Banks
in Face of Skepticism,” Fortune, June 30, 2015,
http://fortune.com/2015/06/30/lending-club-ondeck-shares.
21 Utah Code Ann. § 15-1-1 (West).
22 Va. Code §§ 6.2-1501, 6.2-303.
23 Cal. Fin. Code § 22100(a).
24 Nev. Rev. Stat. §§ 675.090(2)(a); 675.090(3).
138
To avoid this morass of state lending laws, a
number of marketplace lenders have chosen to
partner with banks. A regulatory regime where
the burden of compliance is so high that com-
panies are forced to partner with competitor
incumbents to provide cost-effective products
seems unequivocally problematic.
Both Prosper and Lending Club were, in their
original incarnations, fairly novel. They enabled
investors to fund loans extended to individuals
without a traditional nancial institution, either
a bank or licensed lender, serving as originator.
Yet although Prosper and Lending Club were
serving as intermediaries between borrowers
and investors, neither used the form that has
dominated the consumer lending business in
the United States since the early part of the
Twentieth Century—i.e., a chartered nancial
institution such as a bank, credit union or thrift.
And it was not at all clear how either compa-
ny thought that it was complying with the raft
of Federal and state laws related to consumer
lending.
25
But times have changed. In the almost ten
years that have passed since Prosper got its start,
Prosper and Lending Club have almost com-
pletely reinvented their businesses. Today, both
companies rely on banks to originate loans.
Likewise, both companies have jettisoned the
direct investment approach. Under the model
that both companies have now adopted, inves-
tors no longer directly fund loans to borrowers.
Rather, the companies interpose intermediaries
that own the right to the receivables generat-
ed by borrowers, and those intermediaries then
25 Eileen Ambrose, Peer-to-Peer Lending Alternative Runs
into a Regulatory Wall,” Baltimore Sun, December 7, 2008, http://
articles.baltimoresun.com/2008-12-07/business/0812060058_1_lend-
ing-sites-peer-to-peer-lending-prosper-loans (stating that “Peer-to-peer
lending . . . recently has come into regulators’ sights . . . [sidelining]
the largest peer-to-peer lending site, Prosper.com,” and also quoting
Lending Club CEO’s statement that he “concluded that the industry was
headed toward regulation.”).
pay investors based on the repayment history of
borrowers. Although the platforms offer inves-
tors far more visibility into the performance of
particular loans, the structure of the relationship
between investors in the loans and borrowers is
similar in form to traditional securitization.
26
Viewed through this lens, the “new” platform
lending businesses look pretty similar to “old”
consumer lending businesses. That is, a non-
bank contracts with a bank to help the bank
acquirer borrowers, underwrite those borrow-
ers, service those borrowers and manage the
resulting portfolio for the benet of third-party
investors. Although some of the details have ob-
viously evolved, the basic components of the
“new” platform- lending model should be famil-
iar to anyone who has followed the credit card
industry since General Motors offered the GM
Rewards card in the 1980s.
27
In fact, the 1996
Narratives to the Ofce of the Comptroller of the
Currency handbook issued for the supervision of
credit card lending describes the component
parts of a credit card business in terms that mir-
ror the relationship between platform lenders,
their bank origination partners, consumers, and
investors.
28
Having chosen to partner with a state char-
tered bank for the origination of the loans,
Lending Club and Prosper have subjected
themselves to regulatory supervision in more or
26 Jane Kim, “Peer-to-Peer Lender Relaunched, Wall
Street Journal, April. 28, 2009, http://www.wsj.com/articles/
SB124088142201761953; Prosper Funding LLC, August 2015 prospec-
tus for up to $500,000,000 in principal amount of Borrower Payment
Dependent Notes at *10, https://www.prosper.com/Downloads/Legal/
Prosper_Prospectus_2015-08-13.pdf ; Lending Club, August 2014 pro-
spectus for Member Payment Dependent Notes at *7, https://www.lend-
ingclub.com/fileDownload.action?file=Clean_As_Filed_20140822.
pdf&type=docs.
27 S. Evans and Richard Schmalensee, Paying with Plastic
(Cambridge: The MIT Press, 2005), 78-79.
28 See OCC Credit Card Handbook 1996 at 12 (“Although
some institutions develop their own scoring models, most are built by
outside vendors.”); id. at 5 (“Issuing banks often employ outside ven-
dors to perform solicitation, servicing, collections, or other functions
….”).
139
less the same way that non-bank technology
providers have been subjecting themselves to
regulatory supervision for decades. The loans
are bank products, and the banks that origi-
nate them are answerable to their regulators
for the nancial performance of those loans as
well as the many regulatory issues that arise in
connection with the issuance of such loans. In
short, Lending Club and Prosper have achieved
regulatory compliance by relying on banks’ pre-
emptive privileges.
V. Varied State and Federal Regu-
lation in the Airline, Telecommunica-
tions and Taxi Industries Demonstrate
the Need for Regulatory Reorganiza-
tion
The fact that Lending Club and Prosper felt
compelled to partner with a bank to reduce
the regulatory burden should be understood
as broad indictment of that regulatory regime.
In other industries where new business models
have challenged existing regulatory frame-
works, the government has been willing to revise
the overarching regulatory framework to ensure
a functioning market. In the airline, telecom-
munications, and taxi industries, for example,
existing regulations unfairly advantaged incum-
bents, thus precluding competition. To ensure
a functioning market, regulatory reorganization
was necessary.
Prior to passage of the Airline Deregulation
Act of 1978
29
(“ADA”), airlines were heavily reg-
ulated by the Civil Aeronautics Board (“CAB”).
The CAB had jurisdiction to control route entry
and exist of air carriers, regulate fares, award
subsidies, and control mergers and inter-carrier
agreements.
30
The inexibility of this federal reg-
29 Airline Deregulation Act of 1978, Pub. L. No. 95-504, 92
Stat.1705(codiedasamendedinscatteredsectionsof49U.S.C.).
30 Andrew R. Goetz and Paul S. Dempsey, “Airline Deregula-
tion Ten Years After: Something Foul in the Air,” Journal Air Law and
ulation made it increasingly difcult for carriers
to comply. A number of studies determined that
economic regulation resulted in excessively
high fares and a net economic loss to society
at large.
31
In an effort to avoid this stringent federal reg-
ulation, some carriers began investing in intra-
state travel—a market that remained outside of
CAB jurisdiction. Carriers operating in the unreg-
ulated intrastate markets were able to offer low-
er fares to consumers and avoid CAB regulation
all together.
32
As Lewis A. Engman, then chair-
man of the Federal Trade Commission stated,
If you have any doubt that one consequence
of the CAB’s control over rates and routes is
higher prices, you need only look at what hap-
pened some years ago in California when Pa-
cic Southwest Airlines, an intrastate carrier not
subject to CAB regulation or entry restrictions
entered the San Francisco/Los Angeles market
with rates less than half those being charged by
the interstate CAB certied carriers TWA, West-
ern, and United.
33
Fares were 30 percent less for the unregulat-
ed intrastate airlines in Florida.
34
Eventually, economists determined that
economic regulation in the airline industry was
distorting the efcient performance of the
marketplace. With leadership from Sena-
tor Edward Kennedy, Congress eventually
passed the ADA. The ADA rescinded CAB’s au-
Commerce 54, (1986): 927, 929.
31 Id. at 930.
32 Id.
33 Christine Chmura, “The Effects of Airline Regulation,” The
Freeman, Foundation for Economic Education, August 1, 1984, http://
fee.org/freeman/the-effects-of-airline-regulation/ quoting Lewis A. En-
gman, “Regulating Industry,” Washington Post, October 15, 1974.
34 Id. quoting Robert Lindsey, “Airline Deregulation is
Weighted,” New York Times, February 7, 1975, p. 39.
140
thority over route entry and exist, airline fares,
and mandated that the CAB be dissolved by
1984. In essence, the government acknowl-
edged that there was a problem: consumers
were poorly served by a system that incentiv-
ized airlines to provide only intrastate travel.
Similarly, the telecommunications faced sig-
nicant organization where state and federal
regulation were set up so as to encourage mo-
nopolistic behavior. Prior to 1969, the telecom-
munications industry was regulated as a lawful
monopoly.
35
Local telephone service was pro-
vided by an operating company of the AT&T-
owned Bell System or by one of approximately
1,600 independent telephone companies. Long
distance telephone service was provided by
the long Lines Department of AT&T in partner-
ship with the Bell operating companies.
36
In 1969, however, the Federal Communica-
tions Commission approved an application
submitted by AT&T competitor MCI to construct
and operate a long distance telephone system
between Chicago and St. Louis.
37
Effective-
ly, however, to provide long distance service,
MCI would need to rely on AT&T-owned inter-
connections and local distribution facilities. Al-
though MCI and AT&T attempted to negotiate
a permanent agreement regarding access to
this infrastructure, negotiations failed. Among
other things, MCI claimed that AT&T was unlaw-
fully denying it interconnections and that it was
being charged excessive and discriminatory
prices for local distribution facilities.
38
MCI led
suit. Shortly thereafter, the Department of Jus-
tice (“DOJ”) began an investigation.
35 MCI Communications Corp. v. American Tel. &
Tel. Co., 708 F.2d 1081, 1093 (7th Cir. 1983).
36 Id.
37 Id. at 1094.
38 Id. at 1096.
Again, consumers were unable to bene-
t from competition in the market. And again,
the government was forced to step in. After a
protracted lawsuit, AT&T settled with the DOJ.
Among other things, AT&T agreed to divest it-
self of the operating companies that provided
the local exchange service. Challenging AT&T’s
established monopoly, new entrant, MCI effec-
tively transformed the existing regulatory para-
digm, opening telecommunications up to mul-
tiple providers and offering consumers greater
choice.
This trend—new business models threatening
existing regulatory frameworks—continues to-
day. As noted at the beginning of this article,
Uber poses a tremendous threat to the incum-
bent taxi industry. While common carrier regu-
lations are well intentioned, these regulations
were written in a time before geolocation- en-
abled smartphones and ride-sharing appli-
cations. They reect and benet regulatory
concerns associated with taxi service, not peer-
to-peer ride-sharing. Yet as consumers continue
to use Uber’s services and demand regulatory
changes to support Uber’s business, state gov-
ernments have begun to revise state utility laws
to accommodate Uber—despite taxi industry
protests.
In California, for example, Uber was success-
ful in lobbying the California Public Utilities Com-
mission (“CPUC”) to create a new category
of regulated entities (“Transportation Network
Companies”) to cover peer-to-peer ride-sharing
services. Recognizing the value of Uber’s prod-
uct, the CPUC altered its regulatory framework,
thus expanding the market for transportation
services and consumer choice.
VI. Leveling The Playing Field
Between Banks and Non-Banks
In the same way that new entrants have
forced re-examination of the regulatory frame-
141
work for the airline, telecommunications and
now, taxi industries, the effort of Prosper, Lend-
ing Club and countless others to reinvent nan-
cial services should lead regulators to re-evalu-
ate the regulatory framework for that industry.
The fact that Lending Club and Prosper have
effectively joined the club by partnering with
incumbents does not give regulators in this in-
dustry a pass.
Banks have a vested interest in preserving
the regulatory status quo. Banks benet from
the complexity, instability and fragmentation of
regulation in two ways. First, banks are incum-
bent providers of services that others would like
to offer, and as incumbents, the complex and
unstable regulatory regime serves as a barrier to
entry. Second, banks have a unique ability to
export the terms of the loans that they offer from
the states in which are chartered to the states in
which their consumers reside.
39
There is no policy justication for giving banks
and other chartered nancial institutions a mo-
nopoly on the ability to export contract terms
from one state to another. Although banks are
subject to prudential supervision, there is no dis-
cernable connection between onsite govern-
ment supervision to protect against the systemic
risks that massively leveraged institutions create
for the economy as a whole and banks’ unique
ability to exploit the efciencies associated with
the common market. Exportation of product
terms is not a source or solution to the system-
ic risks created by the enormous leverage that
lurks on bank balance sheets. In short, the risks
that uniquely justify much of the supervision of
banks do not also justify their sole ownership on
exportation. After all, the massive risks of lever-
aged institutions simply are not present for online
lending marketplaces or other alternative lend-
ers. To the extent that exportation of product
terms creates regulatory issues, those regulatory
39 12 U.S.C. § 1831d; Greenwood Trust Co. v. Mass., 971 F. 2d
818, 826 (1st Cir. 1992).
issues fall in the realm of consumer protection,
and in the wake of the passage of Dodd-Frank,
that playing eld has been largely leveled with
the creation of the Consumer Financial Protec-
tion Bureau.
The bank monopoly on national contracting
is also a relatively recent creation. Until the mid-
1960s, the prevailing rule in U.S. courts when
faced with disputes about which law to apply
to a lending agreement— the law of the do-
micile of the lender or the law of the domicile
of the borrower—did not turn on whether the
lender was a bank or an unchartered nancial
institution. Courts generally enforced the law
of the lender, rather than the borrower.
40
When
the prevailing judicial approach to conict of
laws changed in the 1960s, banks sought new
ways to ensure that their contracts could be en-
forced on a nationwide basis, and courts even-
tually latched on to the pre-emptive force of
federal banking statutes. Although non-banks
cannot currently claim a similar right, they could
regain the ability to export terms if courts simply
reverted to the conict rule that used to apply
to lenders regardless of charter—i.e., that the
law of the state of the lender, not the borrower,
governs the relationship between the two.
V. Conclusion
The broader point goes well beyond giving
non-banks the same ability to contract across
state lines as banks. In the nancial services
industry today, as in the telecommunications
and transportation industries a generation ago,
competition has essentially been lost as a guid-
ing regulatory principle. Regulatory compliance
has become an economic moat that existing
providers are using to fend off disruptive com-
petition. Rather than looking for ways to force
upstarts to join with those incumbents, regula-
tors in this industry should look for inspiration in
40 Ury v. Jewelers Acceptance Corp., 227 Cal. App. 2d 11 (Ct.
App. 1964).
142
the examples of the past and nd ways to level
the regulatory playing eld. Leveling the playing
eld will ensure greater consumer access to bet-
ter nancial products.
143
Legal boundaries
of Competition in
the Area of
Internet:
Challenges and
Judicial Responses
By Zhu Li
*
Abstract
Some new characteristics of competition in
the Internet industry, e.g., competition for atten-
tion, innovation competition, cross-market com-
petition etc., have brought about new chal-
lenges and difculties for the legal regulation of
competition. In virtue of the theoretical innova-
tion and the innovation of law applicability, Chi-
nese courts gave creative judicial responses in
the scopes of Anti-Unfair Competition Law and
antitrust Law, claried the legal boundaries of
competition and effectively regulated compe-
tition in the online environment. Certain trends
and rules implicit in this kind of judicial responses
are worth noting.
The growth of the Internet industry in our
country has become a new engine for the
development of domestic economy. The on-
line technology has been updating rapidly;
new products, new services and new business
models have been emerging uninterruptedly,
impacting existing models and established or-
der of the traditional commercial community,
changing the structure of commercial interests
in the economy and the society. This process is
accompanied with the increasingly erce com-
petition in the Internet area and the continuous
emergence of new kind of competition that
constantly challenge legal boundaries. At the
early stage of Internet development, the chal-
lenge had mostly appeared to be the difculties
in protecting online copyright. In pace with the
maturity and progress of the Internet technolo-
gy, the scale of e-commerce enlarges rapidly,
new business models relying on the Internet are
emerging uninterruptedly, therefore the men-
tioned challenge has expanded to areas such
as trademark protection, competition regula-
tion, etc. in the Internet. By examining specic
cases, Chinese courts have claried and delim-
ited competition rules on the internet, lled the
legal gaps, and thus, played an important role
in the regulation of competition on the Internet.
First, the paper describes the characteristics of
competition on the Internet. Second, it explores
the special challenges this kind of competition
has brought to the judicature, and third, the pa-
per will analyze the creative judicial responses
to the challenge, and endeavor to reveal the
trend and the regular pattern in such judicial
action
s.
I. Basic features of competition in
the internet area
A. Competition for attention
The expansion of information continues con-
stantly in Internet, whereas everyone's time and
*
Zhu Li, the Judge of the Intellectual Property Division of
Supreme People’s Court, JD. The article represents only the author’s
own views beyond the position of its organization. Certain content of
this paper was discussed and reviewed in “Chinese IP judges Forum”
ofSouthwestUniversityofPoliticalScience&Law,№4,aswellasin
the second meeting of the Forum Internet Competition Policy and Inno-
vation, organized by the Electronics Intellectual Property Center of In-
dustry and Information Technology Ministry. Thanked the participants
of the forum for their comments, certainly the author is responsible for
any error in this paper.
144
energy are limited and valuable. Hence, Inter-
net users’ attention has become a scarce re-
source. Each Internet service provider tries to
do its best to obtain customers’ attention and
to focus it on its product by virtue of its particu-
lar tools, operations and services in purpose to
gain its business benets through customers’ at-
tention.
1
There are two ways to turn customers’
attention into business benets: 1) to develop
value-added services for interested customers
and thus gain prot and 2) to sell the gathered
customers’ attention to a third party that seeks
this kind of resource. Baidu, for instance, has
gathered great amount of Internet users via its
search engine platform and then began to gain
business benet by selling advertising or by of-
fering value-added services.
The competition to obtain customers’ atten-
tion in online environment has derived three
subsidiary features. First, the zero price (or nega-
tive price) competition. Internet service provid-
ers have found in the competition of obtaining
customers’ attention that the most effective
way to attract customers’ attention is zero price,
or even negative price. Zero prices for basic
services have become a mainstream business
model of Internet service providers. Recently, for
instance, in areas of instant messaging, search,
social networks, security, e-commerce etc. all
providers offer their basic services for zero prices.
In some areas of intensive competition providers
prefer even negative price competition by subsi-
dizing customers in order to continuously attract
and maintain users’ attention. Second feature
is the platform competition. In the online envi-
ronment the operations and services offered by
the providers are increasingly platform-related.
Services, offered by Internet service providers,
turn to be the platform, connecting two or more
groups of different entrepreneurs who take part
1 “Many network providers are competing in order to obtain
the limited attention of consumers, their featured products and services
are in fact just the tools to gain the customers’ attention in competi-
tion.” David S. Evans, “Attention Rivalry Among Online Platforms,”
University of Chicago Institute for Law & Economics, no. 627 (2013):
3. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2195340.
of business via the platform; in this form of busi-
ness the benet of one group of participants by
joining the platform depends of the scale and
the development of another group of entrepre-
neurs joining this platform. Internet service pro-
viders who offer the platform service will “create
value by virtue of reducing the conict between
different participants of the platform or lowering
the transaction cost.”
2
Internet service provid-
er will continuously increase the user's depen-
dence on their platforms and improve customer
stickiness by virtue of offering added particular
function that other platforms cannot propose
or supplying the function of better quality than
that of other platforms. Third of these features
is the motto “the customer is the king.” Internet
service providers pay high attention to custom-
ers’ needs, constantly update their products or
offer new type of services, and this way attempt
to improve the users’ experience, to enhance
the attractiveness of their products and ser-
vices, and nally to keep customers.
B. Innovation competition
Given the new ways to disseminate informa-
tion and the speed to do so, Internet, to a large
extent, provides endless resources and spaces
to expand innovation. The magic weapons in
the competition are rapid innovation and seize
and keep customers as soon as possible. In the
area of Internet the focus of innovation is shift-
ing from traditional innovation of technology
and production to innovation of business mod-
els, and the leading innovation factor is to shift
from a closed mode of innovation to an open
one. That is, innovation is no longer limited to the
companies’ development centers, but opened
to the community, providers and end-users, and
innovation is carried out in accordance with
customers’ demands and ideas. No doubt that
in online environments the customer is the de-
2 CitedfromDavidS.Evan,“MarketDenitionandMarket
Power for Internet Industries” (discourse in Seminar of Implementation
of Antitrust Law in ICT Industry of the Forum Internet Competition
Policy and Innovation, organized by the Electronics Intellectual Proper-
ty Center, 24 march, 2015).
145
cisive factor for the survival of the enterprise,
creativity is the leading factor for development
of the enterprise. Competition in online environ-
ments appears to be a dynamic competition,
where operators attempt to build their compet-
itive advantage by virtue of constant innova-
tion. “The period for leading enterprises of many
industries to keep their dominant position is get-
ting shorter. Enterprises resting on their domi-
nant position and revealing their former laurels
will soon be replaced by more innovative com-
petitors.”
3
Meanwhile products and services
differentiation offered by different providers is
becoming more relevant. Providers compete
for customers by offering different functions and
user experience.
C. Cross-market competition
Another obvious feature of competition in
the area of Internet is cross-market competi-
tion. Products and services, offered by a typical
network provider, are mostly based on software
and provided via Internet, where the market
entry threshold is not very high and the cost of
changing the scope of products and services
is relatively low. Thus, the network provider can
easily bring its existing customers into a new area
by adding services without customer churn, if
he has already obtained massive customer re-
source. Therefore, in the area of Internet, service
providers who offer different products and ser-
vices are used to look at each other as compet-
itors and do not stop to compete for customers’
attention.
D. Huge impact
T
he scope, magnitude, breadth, and depth
of impact caused by competition behavior
may expand unlimitedly and spread to the
entire Internet environment in a very short pe-
riod of time; it is difcult to eliminate the result
3 Jian-cai Zhang, “Dynamic competition and enterprise core
competitiveness,” East China Economic Management, no. 4 (2002):
81.
of such impact effectively. An Internet service
provider that faces intensive competition could
suffer customer churn for a couple of days, lose
its competitive advantage and even be forced
to withdraw from the market.
II. Challenges brought to court by
competition in the area of internet
The abovementioned characteristics of
the competition in the area of Internet have
brought about new challenges to court, con-
cerning at least three aspects: changes of judi-
cial functions; industry’s stronger expectation of
reasonably determined legal rules; right holders’
higher requirements for the prompt and effec-
tive judicial relief.
A. Changes of judicial functions
It is often difcult for the law to timely respond
to changes, occurring when technology and
business models are developing dramatically.
At the same time it is also difcult for the admin-
istrative law enforcement organs to promptly in-
vestigate the competitive behavior in the area
of Internet due to lack of a clear basis for en-
forcement. The court is thus inevitably pushed to
the forefront of solving disputes of network com-
petition. According to an incomplete statistics
report, Chinese courts have heard 126 cases
involving disputes of unfair competition in the
internet industry as of October 2014.
4
These dis-
putes demonstrate the following characteristics:
disputes occur frequently and easily shift along
with hot new technology and revolution of busi-
ness models; numerous disputes occur due to
new type of competitive behaviors that are not
yet clearly regulated by law and are to be ad-
justed by applying the guidelines of anti-unfair
competition law; many disputes are tentative,
i.e. the purpose of the litigation parties is not
4 For particularities of dispute of competition in the area of
Internet see Qin-kun Zhang, “A empirical analysis of unfair competition
cases of Internet development in China,” Electronics Intellectual Prop-
erty, no. 10, (2014): 26-37.
146
just ghting the interests of the pros and cons,
but rather requiring the judiciary clear industry
rules and code of conduct; disputes between
Internet service providers, spreading to disputes
between traditional enterprises and Internet
service providers, appear to be intense com-
petition for each one’s own interest. Thus, it be-
comes a major issue for the courts to provide
proper administered judicial rules for new type
of competitive behaviors, to guide and regulate
healthy competition while resolving disputes.
That means that the justice must assume not
only the functions of legal performer of compe-
tition law, but also the functions of competition
policy/rule maker. Along with implementing
national strategy of establishing an innovative
country and accelerating the pace of innova-
tion-driven development, the role of competi-
tion policy is increasingly prominent. “The closer
the forefront of knowledge, the higher the com-
plexity and uncertainty.”
5
The lower the accu-
racy and efciency of industrial policy and the
greater the role and value of competition pol-
icy, the more urgent of demands to maintain
a healthy competitive environment. The actu-
al situation requires justices to dene the legal
boundaries of the legality of acts by virtue of
creative application of the law in every specic
case, “bridging the gap between law and con-
stantly changing reality.”
6
To perform this function properly and to cre-
atively apply the law, the justice needs to be
not only prociency in the spirit of the law and
rules, but also to have a deep understanding of
the competition reality in the area of Internet,
knowledge of information technology and a
good understanding of the business develop-
ment model and innovation requirement. In the
process of dealing with some knotty disputes of
5 Rajneesh Narula, Globalization and technology: Interde-
pendence, innovation systems and industrial policy, (Blackwell Pub-
lishing Ltd., 2003).
6 Aharon Baraka, The Judge in a Democracy, trad. Bi Hong-
hai (Law Press, 2011), 17.
competition in the area of Internet, the court,
applying guidelines of Article II of the Anti-Unfair
Competition Law, has carried out certain explo-
ration of the standard of legitimacy of compet-
itive behavior. In Baidu, Inc. vs. Qihoo case of
violation of robots protocol, the trial court, for
instance, has put forward the rule of procedures
of “consultation-notice.”
7
In Baidu, Inc. vs. Qi-
hoo case of inserted standard, the trial court has
put forward the principle of “no interference in
case of non-public necessity.”
8
These explora-
tions have, to a certain extent, deepened the
understanding of the principle of Article II of the
Anti-Unfair Competition Law. These explorations
have, of course, sparked considerable contro-
versy that demonstrates a fact that a relatively
broad social consensus is not yet established in
this area.
9
The justice still has to take a heavy
burden and to embark on a long road for prop-
erly shaping the rule of law, responding to de-
mands of market and uniting social consensus.
B. Difculty of legal evaluation
The competition for obtaining customers’ at-
tention, innovative competition and cross-mar-
ket competition with the retrot of competition
means in the area of Internet leave a gray area
where competition bears the characteristics
between legality and illegality that cause seri-
ous difculty of legal evaluation. The difculty is
reected in the scopes of anti-unfair competi-
tion and antitrust laws.
This difculty is mainly reected in two aspects
of unfair competition. One of them is the prob-
lem of judging the competitive relationship. In
civil cases of unfair competition, the traditional
7 Ltd. vs. Beijing Qihoo Technology Co., Beijing Baidu
FMCT no. 2668 (Network Technology Co., Ltd. Case of unfair compe-
tition dispute (violation of robots protocol), (2013).
8 Baidu Online Network Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd v.
Beijing Qihoo Technology Co., Ltd. (Beijing High Court Civil Judg-
ment (2013) Gao Min Zhong Zi no. 2352)
9 Xue Jun: Question “the principle of no interference in case of
non-public necessity,” Electronics Intellectual Property, (2015): 66-70.
147
theory and practice of the anti-unfair compe-
tition law sets the existence of competition be-
tween the plaintiff and defendant as the pre-
conditions for relief of the plaintiff. In the online
environment the real and strong competition
exist also between the operators of different
products and services due to the competition of
obtaining customers’ attention, platform com-
petition and cross-market competition. Many
victims of unfair competitive behaviors cannot
be protected by law, if the existence of compe-
tition (even direct competition) remains to be
the precondition for legal remedy. It is thus ap-
pears to be the theoretic and practical issue the
justice should address to re-identify the compet-
itive relationship and to re-dene the competi-
tive relationship in anti-unfair competition law.
Another aspect of the difculty mentioned
above is to judge the legitimacy of competi-
tive behavior. Unfair competitive behaviors in
the Internet environment are carried out mostly
by means of the implementation of information
technology and often in the name of tech-
nological innovation with powerful technical
features. Operators tend to defend their com-
petitive behaviors on the excuse of necessary
measures to meet customers’ demands. The
competitive behavior of one operator usually
does not immediately have an impact on its
competitor, but it does through the customer as
the intermediary, i.e. the customer’s interest is
kidnaped by the Internet service providers who
exploit their customers as a shield to ght their
competitors for their own business benet. In
comparison with traditional competition, com-
petition in the Internet environment is more neu-
tral, at least on the surface; its boundaries of le-
gitimacy are blurred. Technological and neutral
features of competitive behaviors make more
difcult to dene the subjective fault of the op-
erator and the economic effects on competi-
tion. Under certain conditions, the competitive
behavior, though injuring the competitor, can
enhance consumer’s welfare or it might impact
consumer’s welfare for a short time, but can
enhance consumer welfare in the long term.
The traditional anti-unfair competition law sim-
ply denes the boundary of legality based on
the virtue of typical characteristics of conducts.
Such a method could not be used in an online
environment.
10
The “technologization” of com-
petition increases the relevance and interde-
pendence of competing operators: products
and services offered by one provider, inevitably
relate to products and services offered by other
providers, and thus will impact the business of
the latter. The standard of competition and busi-
ness achievement is characterized by compet-
ing for its own business results and trying not to
disturb others. Such standard increasingly shows
its drawbacks in judging the justication of com-
petition since it has wider scope of attack and
hampers free competition.
11
Meanwhile, the in-
novation in area of Internet is frequent, compe-
tition is complex and evolving. It is thus difcult
to form commonly recognized business ethics
timely. It is increasingly difcult to seek an ethical
consensus in a fragmented, divided society. The
moral evaluation criteria, applied in traditional
anti-unfair competition law, is fallen in straitened
circumstances, it is thus not an easy task for us to
extract stable and clear legal criteria.
Competition in the area of Internet also se-
riously challenges the applicability of antitrust
law. First of all, the difculty in dening the rel-
evant market. The zero price competition and
the platform competition and other features
10 The so-called typed features of behavior refer to the typical
characteristicsofabehaviorreectedonthesubject,object,subjectivity
and objectivity which are the four constituent elements of a behavior.
Constituent elements of unfair competition are commonly the follow-
ing: the subject is the participant of various market trade operations;
objectivity is the behavior which violates the principle of good faith or
generally accepted business ethics; the perpetrator is subjectively fault;
the object of the infringement is the interest of the operator, the interest
of the customer and the public interest of the society. See Wang Xian-
lin, Competition Law, (China Renmin University Press, 2006), 96-98.
11 The so-called performance competition refers to the perfor-
mance of their goods or services at competitive prices or to start com-
petition of their own business activities, also known as the effectiveness
competition. See Fan Chang-jun, A study of German Anti-Unfair Com-
petition Law, (Law Press China, 2010), 114-115.
148
of competition in the area of Internet have
brought about greater uncertainty in dening
the relevant market. Theorists and practitioners
are debating whether the free market under
conditions of zero price competition is the rele-
vant market in sense of antitrust law and how to
carry out Hypothetical Monopolist Test (“HMT”)
in this circumstance. Inuenced by the platform
effect due to the existence of bilateral or mul-
tilateral market, the market boundaries in the
area of Internet are characterized by the high
ambiguity and thus far less clear than that of tra-
ditional market. The widely applicable method
for market denition in traditional areas cannot
therefore be directly applied to dene the rele-
vant market in the area of Internet. Another issue
is the increasing difculty to dene the abuse of
dominant market position. Under the condition
of blurred market boundaries the market share
has signicantly reduced its role of indicators,
which used to measure the enterprise market
forces. The probability of miscarriage of justice
will increase in case of dening the dominant
market position based solely on market shares. It
is hence an urgent issue, which the justice must
resolve, to improve the rationality of denition of
the dominant market position and the abuse of
dominant market position.
C. New demands of judicial relief
The competition in area of Internet is a
far-reaching behavior, it increases rapidly, is
hardly eliminated so that the survival of some
enterprises will be threatened. The character-
istics of Internet competition have proposed
new requirements of the timeliness and effec-
tiveness judicial protection. If the innovation
and fair competition of an enterprise cannot
be promptly protected, the enterprise might fall
into the dilemma of “won the lawsuit, but lose
the market,” even if it could ultimately succeed
in the litigation. From the point of view of judi-
cial precedents the most serious problems the
Parties complain about are insufcient com-
pensation, delayed temporary remedial mea-
sures etc. Among more than 120 cases of dis-
putes of unfair competition in area of Internet,
the amount of highest compensation is RMB 5
million, only 4 percent of the claim of the Party
of this case.
12
The case of genuine “Kaixin001”
had lasted more than one year, the corpora-
tion, though had won the litigation and got RMB
400,000 for compensation, had lost its market
share, eroded by its competitors, and had not
been able to reemerge. The function of judicial
relief, suffering great shortage in the timeliness
and effectiveness, cannot yet fully meet the de-
mand of competition in area of Internet.
III. Creative responses and adjust-
ments from the judiciary
A. Innovation and breakthrough of com-
petition theory
The new characteristics of competition in the
online industry (e.g. competition for attention,
cross-market competition etc.) have redened
the competitive relationships and the role of ju-
dicial relief in unfair competition cases. Judicial
precedents have to break through the limita-
tions of existing theories by resorting to theoret-
ical innovation. In Baidu Inc. vs. Unicom Qingd-
ao, Osun Network and others, for instance, the
appeal court held:
There exists competition between Unicom
Qingdao and Baidu Inc, insofar as Unicom Qin-
gdao has carried out the commercial activity
of poping-up ads prior to the result of Baidu
search. Thus, Unicom Qingdao competes with
the paid search activity of Baidu, although
Unicom Qingdao (network provider) and Baidu
Inc. (provider of search service) offer entirely dif-
ferent services.
13
12 Qihoo vs. Tencent of “QQ guards”, civil judgment of CF no.
5 (the Supreme People’s Court. 2013).
13 Shandong Province Higher People's Court, the civil judg-
mentofLCSF№5-2.
149
This denition has broken through the
theoretic limitation of direct competition and in-
cluded indirect competition. Summing up prec-
edents, the Supreme Court further points out in
its justice policy: “the competitive relationship
should be correctly dened, i.e. among all com-
petitors that take part in the market and are
impacted by the unfair competition. Between
them, there exists competitive relationships, no
matter if it is direct competition or not.”
14
Ac-
cording to this justice policy, the competitive
relationship between operator A and other op-
erators, whose business is impacted by the com-
petitive behavior of operator A, can be dened
as such. In Heyi Information Technology (Beijing)
Co., Ltd vs. Security Software Company Kingsoft
Corp. about “Cheetah browser shielded video
advertising” the appeal court had proposed
two conditions to dene a relationship of com-
petition: whether the behavior of the operator
can harm the interest of other operators; wheth-
er the operator can gain actual or potential
benet by virtue of this behavior. Meanwhile
the trial court held that the criterion to dene
a competitive relationship does not rely on
whether competitors are of the same industry.
15
It can clearly be seen that the position of the
trial court is actually the specic application of
the Supreme Court’ justice policy. To a larger
extend, competitive relationship means that the
importance of a competitive relationship is de-
clining to nd unfair competition. Moreover, trial
courts do not even carry out particular investi-
gations of the competitive relationship between
the parties in many cases, which means that the
competitive relationship can no longer be an
obstacle to dene unfair competition. Thanks
to the theoretical innovation the justice has bro-
ken away with the legal predicament based on
the narrow understanding of competitive rela-
tionship, and thus has met the characteristics of
competition in the online industry.
14 Xi Xiao-ming, Vice President of Supreme People's Court, in
the forum of national IPR trial courts (28 November, 2011).
15 The Beijing First Intermediate People's Court, the civil
judgmentofFICF№3283.(2014).
B. Adjustments of judging the fairness of
competitive behavior
Given the new features of competition on In-
ternet such as technicality, neutralization, and
complexity of the effect of interests, courts have
proposed new alternatives to judge the fairness
of competitive behavior and new methodolog-
ical adjustments.
First, the criteria of business ethics tend to be
objective. In the traditional commercial sectors,
business operators have formed commonly ac-
cepted business ethics. These ethics become
dominant in determining the fairness of com-
petition behaviors. “All competitive behaviors,
violating conventional honest practices in com-
mercial activities, constitute unfair competi-
tion.”
16
The justice policy of the Supreme Court
points out:
Any action, even if it is not forbidden
by a particular provision of the anti-un-
fair competition law, can be regulated in
accordance of the provisions of the ap-
plicable principles, if such action can be
dened as unfair by harming the legitimate
rights and interests of other operators and
violating the principle of good faith and
commonly accepted business ethics, and
the fair competition order cannot be main-
tained without ceasing such action
.
17
Meanwhile, to prevent generalization and
subjectivity of moral judgment, the judicial
practice denes the business ethics as “stan-
dards of behavior, generally recognized and
accepted in specic business areas, its objec-
tivity is embodied in its common acceptance
and commonality.”
18
The criterion of business
16 Paris Convention for the Protection of Industrial Property,
September 28, 1979, Article 10.bis.
17 The Supreme People’s Court: “Some advices in consider-
ation of full trial function of intellectual property, promotion of devel-
opment and prosperity of socialist culture, promotion of the coordinated
and autonomy development of economic”, Article 24.
18 TheSupremePeople’sCourt,theciviljudgmentofCTF№
1065. (2013).
150
ethics continues to play an important role in the
denition of fairness in the new type of compe-
tition in Internet. Nevertheless, the commonly
accepted business ethics of Internet business is
still at the stage of formation and development
due to the innovation and rapidly developing
competition in this area. The court has to seek
a more objective form of business ethics when
applying the business ethics as the standard of
the competition fairness evaluation. In the cas-
es of “QQ Guards” and “Robots Protocol,” the
courts had considered the industry standards
and self-regulation in Internet as an important
origin of the criteria for discovery and denition
of standards of conventional industry behaviors
and commonly accepted business ethics.
19
The
standard of behavior is the means of adminis-
tration, whereas self-regulation is the means of
self-management of operators in the industry,
both means do not exactly accord to commonly
accepted business ethics. Therefore, the courts
emphasizes that it is necessary “to rely on the
judgment of their legality, impartiality and ob-
jectivity, (the mentioned) relevant means can
be taken as references for dening standards of
conventional industry behaviors and commonly
accepted business ethics in Internet.”
20
Second, evaluating the effect of competitive
behavior has become more important in the
judgment of its fairness. The objectivity of busi-
ness ethics in Internet is getting more difcult
because of the technicality and neutralization
of competitive behavior. Therefore, courts be-
gan to pay attention to the evaluation of the
effect of the competitive behavior and seek to
justify the fairness of the behavior by assessing
the impact of the behavior on the legal interest
protected by competition law. In the case of
“Cheetah browser shielded video advertising,”
19 TheSupremePeople’sCourt,theciviljudgmentofCTF№
5 (2013) and The Beijing First Intermediate People's Court, the civil
judgmentofFICF№2668.(2013).
20 TheSupremePeople’sCourt,theciviljudgmentofCTF№5.(2013).
the civil court had investigated and analyzed
the harm that Heyi Information Technology (Bei-
jing) Co., Ltd has suffered due to the behavior of
“Cheetah browser shielded video advertising”
based on the behavior’s perspective effects,
and assessed the long-term impact on the inter-
est of customers and public interest. Then came
to the conclusion that the behavior of “Chee-
tah browser shielded video advertising” consti-
tuted unfair competitive behavior.
21
More cases demonstrate a new mode of
evaluating the fairness of behavior: the judg-
ment is carried out on the basis of comprehen-
sive evaluation of the impact of competitive
behavior on the interest of competitors, the in-
terest of customers and the public interest of so-
ciety. The analysis of the harm that the operator
suffers as the result of competitive behavior is set
to be the logical starting point. For the opera-
tor’s interest is the object, directly protected by
the anti-unfair competition law. All concerned
cases have considered the impact on opera-
tors through competitive behavior. The custom-
er is the object of competitive behavior that
bears the result of competition and accepts the
market products; it is therefore the nal aim of
justice to enhance consumers’ welfare. It should
be an integral part of the judgment of fairness
of competitive behavior to consider the impact
of competitive behavior on the customers’ in-
terest with respect of enhancement of consum-
ers’ welfare and their fundamental benet. The
customers’ interest is itself multilevel and relative
due to differentiation of consumer groups and
their divergent interests. Trial courts have been
paying attention to this issue and assessing the
different interests of consumers with different
weights. Trial courts have been following more
closely the inuence of competitive behav-
ior on the right of customers to know and to
choose; to harm this type of customers’ inter-
est will more likely be conrmed to constitute
21 The Beijing First Intermediate People's Court, the civil
judgmentofFICF№3283.(2013).
151
unfair competition. Present judicial precedents
demonstrate that the positive customer experi-
ence and other kind of customers’ interest that
can be resolved via the market do not have a
signicant impact on evaluating the fairness of
competitive behavior. On this basis, many judi-
cial precedents have investigated the impact
of competitive behavior on the public interest
of society and analyzed whether this kind of
behavior could harm the healthy mechanism
of market competition. The method of compre-
hensive evaluation of negative and positive re-
sults is very close to the principle of rationality for
antitrust analysis; it indicates the integration and
interoperability of the anti-unfair competition
law and the antitrust law.
Third, the trend of multi-angle evaluation. Be-
cause there is no conict between criteria of
moral evaluation and criteria of evaluation of
competition result, the nationality and persua-
siveness of the evaluation result will improve if
the fairness of competitive behaviors is inspect-
ed under various angles, e.g. moral evaluation,
efciency competition, principle of proportion-
ality, assessment of competitive effects etc. The
typical cases of application of this method are
“QQ guards” and “Cheetah browser shielded
video advertising.”
C. Innovation in application of antitrust law
The competition in the Internet industry obvi-
ously differs from the competition in traditional
areas. The logic of analysis and method, widely
applicable for monopoly behaviors in tradition-
al areas, cannot be applied directly in the Inter-
net industry. The justice has carried out targeted
adjustments and innovation in accordance with
the competitive features on the Internet.
First, innovation in the analysis of abuse of
dominant market position cases in the Internet
industry. In the traditional antitrust law there are
three patterns of analysis of abuse the dominant
market position: patter 1 “relevant market-mar-
ket power- competitive effects (R-M-C)”, for
which the denition of relevant market is the
insurmountable starting point of analysis of the
monopoly. Pattern 2 “market power - compet-
itive effects (M-C)”, for which the starting pint
of analysis is the denition of market power that
can be tested and veried by virtue of direct or
indirect evidence. Under this pattern of analy-
sis the denition of relevant market can be cir-
cumvented. Pattern 3 “behavior - competitive
effects (C-C)”.
For traditional antitrust judicial cases, pat-
tern 1 is currently the leading pattern of anal-
ysis in European and American courts, where-
as pattern 2 is rarely applied in practice, and
pattern 3 has not yet been applied. In Inter-
net, the boundaries of relevant market are ob-
scured even more due to the competition for
customers’ attention, the platform competition
and cross-market competition. Thus, the justice
should keep the necessary caution when ap-
plying R-M-C patter and apply the two latter
patterns as the preferred tool of analysis. Chi-
nese courts have carried out valuable attempt
in this relation. In Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd
vs. Tencent computer system Co. Ltd. of abuse
the dominant market position, the trial court, in
an in-depth investigation of the relevant market
concerned and analyzing the market power of
Tencent in this market, had come to the con-
clusion that Tencent company does not possess
the dominant market position. Yet the trial court
did not cease the investigation and analysis at
this point, but had further evaluated the actual
or potential effect of the respondent monopo-
listic behavior on the market competition and
had carried out the nal judgment on this ba-
sis.
22
For this method of analysis of the relevant
market, the market power and the effect of
competitive behavior are considered related
and referenced factors, but not separate stag-
es of analysis; the rationality of the denition is
22 TheSupremePeople’sCourt,civiljudgmentofCTF№4.
(2013),
152
thus improved due to a cross-verication of all
mentioned factors. For this method of analysis,
these three patterns can be exibly chosen in
accordance with a particular case. The C-C
pattern could be chosen when it seems to be
difcult to dene the relevant market and the
market dominant position, thus the relevant
market could lie beyond a clear denition. The
caution should be kept in nding the indicator
effect of market share on the basis of features
of online competition even when the relevant
market and market share are dened by using
the former two patterns. In this case factors such
as market entry, market behavior and econom-
ic results become the focus of attention
.
The competition in circumstance of Internet is
highly dynamic, the boundaries of relevant mar-
ket are thus far less clear than that in traditional
areas, the indicator effect of market share in this
case should not be overvalued, more attention
should be paid to those factors such as market
entry, market behaviors of operators and their
inuence on the competition etc. which can
help to determine the facts and evidence of
dominant market position.
23
Meanwhile trial courts have applied more
exible methods to analyze various factors with
respect to the particularities of the competi-
tion in Internet: when dening relevant market
of goods and services of relative platform fea-
tures, possessing certain but not very close sub-
stitution, such products and services could be
involved in consideration of the inuence on the
behavior of hypothetical monopolist, no matter
whether they can be included in the scope of
relevant market or not. When determining the
dominant market position, the analysis of the re-
sult of competition should not be abandoned
even after certain preliminary conclusions, the
consideration of the result of competition and
the verication of the accurateness of judg-
23 Id.
ment of the dominant market position should be
carried out further.
Second, adjustment of Hypothetical Monop-
oly test (“HMT”). In Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd
vs. Tencent computer system Co. Ltd., the trial
court had explored the applicability of HMT in
the online industry and the method of its spe-
cic application. The trial court held that, as a
method to analyze relevant market, HMT has
universal applicability, yet the particular analysis
by means of HMT should be carried out in de-
pendence of the area of market competition,
concerned in the specic case, and the rele-
vant data that can be obtained. Competitors
in the area of Internet pay more attention to
quality, services, innovation etc., but not price.
Customers have very high price sensitivity, so
to them, it would seem a great change of the
features of products and the business model, if
free products or services would have turned to
paid ones. The HMT in terms of price increment
is thus not fully applicable in area of Internet, yet
the alternative forms of this method, e.g. HMT
on the basis of quality degradation, could still
be applied.
Third, innovation in the method of analyzing
relevant market and market power, related to
multi-sided platform cost-free for users. Econo-
mists usually apply the method of conversion
analysis for dening relevant market of platform
products or services for charge-free users by re-
garding the charge-free basic services as the
investment for platform products with the pur-
pose of converting the market of platform prod-
uct to common and paid single market.
24
This
method, though simple and convenient, might
not only exaggerate the inuence of platform
competition, but also to certain extent neglect
the connection and interaction of both ends
of the platform; it is hence neither scientic nor
24 Herbert Hovenkamp, The antitrust enterprise: principle
and execution, trad. Wu XU-liang (University of Finance & Econom-
ics Press, 2011), 48.
153
accurate. In Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd vs.
Tencent computer system Co. Ltd. the trial court
did not apply this method of analysis, but, had
investigated whether the features of platform
competition can affect the denition of relevant
market based on “whether the competition be-
tween online platforms, competing for custom-
ers’ attention and advertisers, totally steps over
the boundary determined by the features of
products or services and thus imposes sufcient-
ly strong competitive constraint on operators,”.
The trial court had chosen the free instant mes-
saging service as the criterion to dene the rel-
evant market because of the absence of exact
empirical data that could prove that platform
competition has imposed sufciently strong
competitive constraint on operators, as well as
in case that the competitive behaviors involved
in litigation occur mostly at the free users’ end.
At the same time, the trial court did hot neglect
the inuence of platform competition by taking
it in proper consideration when dening market
position and market power. We see that the tri-
al court has exibly applied the new method of
analysis for specic case when economics is not
yet able to supply any more persuasive pattern
of analysis for relevant judicial cases. The revela-
tion is: for platform-related products or services
there is no xed pattern of analysis, the relevant
market and dominant market position should be
determined depending on each specic case.
What the court has to do is to take into consider-
ation features of platform and the interaction of
both ends of the platform, and then accurate-
ly identify the actual or potential competitive
constraint the operators can face.
Fourth, advocate for an objective and ef-
fect-oriented method of analysis. The antitrust
action follows closely whether the respondent
monopolistic behavior will distort and destruct
the healthy, orderly and energetic competition
mechanism. Such action “has involved in itself
neither moral content nor ethic law, appropri-
ately designed for business.”
25
In the antitrust
case the important thing is industry reality and
economic rationality, the moral thinking must
thus be avoided. One should search the origi-
nal sin of monopoly merely in competition result
and economic reality. In Qihoo 360 Technolo-
gy Co Ltd vs. Tencent computer system Co.
Ltd. the trial court did not carry out any moral
evaluation of “either-or” and other behaviors
of Tencent, but had focused on the effect of
the respondent monopoly behaviors. After a
comprehensive evaluation of the actual and
potential passive and positive results that these
behaviors caused, the court came to the con-
clusion that such behaviors were legal. In this
process, the trial court had followed the meth-
od of investigation that especially focuses on a
specic industry and in a specic behavior. In
other words, to investigate a specic behavior
of a specic industry with respect to the charac-
teristics of the respondent monopoly behaviors
and its impact on the competition, to consid-
er in detail platform effect and network effect
on each specic case, and thus to more accu-
rately determine the impact of behavior on the
competition.
Fifth, the creative combination of legal judg-
ment and economic analysis. The analysis and
judgment of legality of the monopolistic behav-
ior usually relies on the economic analysis, yet
the ultimate decision will be carried out by the
judge. The economic analysis only makes avail-
able different tools for the proper legal judg-
ment; the judge cannot thus transfer the right to
rule to economists. Therefore the judge should
creatively combine the legal judgment and
the economic analysis in the antitrust case by
properly applying the conclusion of econom-
ic analysis for improving the accuracy of legal
judgment of monopoly behavior. In Qihoo 360
25 For price-related method of analysis see Peter Davis and
Eliana Garcés, Quantitative Techniques for Competition and Antitrust
Analysis, trad. Zhou De-fa. (China Renmin University Press, 2013),
139.
154
Technology Co Ltd vs. Tencent computer sys-
tem Co. Ltd. the trial court, analyzed whether
the acquisition costs of mobile terminal equip-
ment constituted an obstacle for including the
mobile instant message service in the relevant
market. In doing so, it considered that for the
customer who possesses both mobile terminal
device and a PC, the acquisition costs of mobile
terminal equipment had already become sunk
costs. This fact cannot be changed due to any
current or future decision of the provider, the
acquisition costs cannot any way inuence on
the customer’s choice between mobile termi-
nal device and PC as the preferred equipment
for instant message. Thus, the court came to
the conclusion that acquisition costs of mobile
terminal equipments will not constitute any ob-
stacle for including the mobile instant message
service in the relevant market in this case. This is
a typical example of applying economic com-
monsense in a specic case.
According to economists, the trial court has
carried out even more professional price-relat-
ed analysis determining whether social network
Weibo and instant message can be included
in the same relevant market. This is an example
of combination of economic analysis and legal
judgment. For a correct and reasonable appli-
cation of economic analysis, the methodolog-
ical errors should be prevented and the limita-
tion of data and constraint of conditions should
be properly considered. A judge should break
away from arrogance and prejudice when ap-
plying the method of economic analysis and
adopting a conclusion. It is important for justice
that the judge, besides the necessary econom-
ic knowledge, maintains the principle of “effect
rst.” In other word, the judge should follow close-
ly the actual or potential effect of respondent
monopoly behaviors on competition, and in do-
ing so, adequately apply the economic analysis
and stay away from possible methodological
errors, limitation of data and constraint of condi-
tions. The more realistic, more rational and more
accurate conclusion of the legal identication
of monopolistic behavior can nally be drawn
as long as the essence of the monopolistic be-
havior that causes actual or potential negative
effect on the competition will be grasped. The
result of the economic analysis based on direct
evidence will be veried pursuing to the “effect
rst” principle. This could explain the judicial ac-
tion in Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd vs. Tencent
computer system Co. Ltd., where the trial court,
applying an economic analysis, investigated
whether the monopoly’s actions will exclude
or restrict competition on the basis of almost all
testimonies related to the effect of its behaviors.
IV. Conclusion
From the point of view of interpretation and
application of substantive law, the analysis
abovementioned demonstrates that the jus-
tice has creatively responded to the competi-
tive behaviors in an online environment. It also
claried legitimacy boundaries of competitive
behaviors, and thus effectively regulated com-
petition on Internet. Some responding measures
and innovation of applicable judicial methods
has had a profound inuence on international
justice. Yet, needless to say that there are a lot
of shortcomings of the responding measures
and methods mentioned, e.g., there are many
misunderstandings, even mistakes in dealing
with the correlation between anti-unfair com-
petition law and antitrust law with respect of
applying the substantive law. There exist more
or less specious and vague criteria for judging
the legitimacy of competition; the economic
analysis of monopolistic behavior and the as-
sessment of the competitive effects are not yet
well skilled; the lack of timely and effective ju-
dicial relief seriously impacts and limits the fully
implementation of judicial efciency. A further
improvement is to be planned in the future judi-
cial practice.
155
Can Big Data
Protect a Firm from
Competition?
Anja Lambrecht and Catherine E. Tucker
*
December 18, 2015
Executive Summary
There is plenty of hype around big data, but
does it simply offer operational advantages, or
can it provide rms with sustainable competitive
advantage? To answer this question, we look
atbigdatausingaclassicframeworkcalledthe‘re-
source-basedviewoftherm,’whichstates that,
for big data to provide competitive advan-
tage, it has to be inimitable, rare, valuable, and
non-substitutable.
Our analysis suggests that big data is not in-
imitable or rare, that substitutes exist, and that
by itself big data is unlikely to be valuable. There
are many alternative sources of data available
to rms, reecting the extent to which custom-
ers leave multiple digital footprints on the in-
ternet. In order to extract value from big data,
rms need to have the right managerial toolkit.
Thehistoryofthedigitaleconomyoffersmanyex-
amples,likeAirbnb,UberandTinder, whereasim-
pleinsightintocustomerneedsallowedentryin-
tomarketswhereincumbentsalready had access
to bigdata.
*
Anja Lambrecht is an Assistant Professor at London Busi-
ness School, London NW1 4SA, UK. Catherine Tucker is the Distin-
guished Professor of Management Science at MIT Sloan School of
Management, MIT, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA. The authors thank
the Computer and Communications Industry Association for generous
funding of this research. All mistakes are our own.
Therefore, to build sustainable competitive
advantage in the new data-rich environment,
rather than simply amassing big data, rms
need to focus on developing both the tools and
organizational competence to allow them to
use big data to provide value to consumers in
previously impossible ways.
I. Introduction
The digitization of the ofine and online econ-
omy alike means that rms are naturally collect-
ing ’big data’, distinguished by its volume
1
, va-
riety of formats spanning text, image and video,
and velocity, meaning that data is recorded in
real time.
2
There is plenty of hype around big data.
Firms are constantly exhorted to set strategies in
place to collect and analyze big data (Bughin
et al., 2010; Biesdorf et al., 2013), and warned
about the potential negative consequences of
not doing so. For example, the Wall Street Jour-
nal recently suggested that companies sit on a
treasure trove of customer data but for the most
part do not know how to use it.3 Recent articles
such as McGuire et al. (2012) and McAfee et al.
(2012) have made cases for why big data of-
fers a short-term operational advantage, both
in terms of cost and performance, for rms who
nd ways of using it successfully.
1 Companies such as Amazon and Walmart already work with
petabytes of data in a single data set (McAfee et al., 2012).
2 Thisfunctionaldenitionofbiddatadoesnotspecifythe
depth of consumer insight it can provide. Big data
spansanonymizeduserdata,personallyidentiableinformation,search
query data, web browsing data or data on consumer sentiments or pur-
chaseintentions.Dependingonthespecictypeofdataunderconsider-
ation,howvaluableitistothermmaydiffer.
3 http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-untapped-value-of-cus-
tomer-data-1444734633?mod=djem_jiewr_MK_domainid4https://hbr.
org/2015/01/why-nordstroms-digital-strategy-works-and-yours-proba-
bly-doesnt. This article highlights that because digital technologies are
visible and accessible to competitors, it is hard to generate a competitive
advantage.
156
However, big data’s long-term strategic, rath-
er than operational, implications for rms are
less clear. Academic opinion differs on whether
it will lead to a new type of competitive advan-
tage (McGuire et al., 2012) or not.
4
The question
of whether big data can indeed confer sustain-
able competitive advantage is critical for rms
but has, to our knowledge, received surprisingly
little systematic attention.
To evaluate the strategic role of big data as
a source of sustainable competitive advantage
or as a barrier to entry, we use a classic frame-
work in strategic management sometimes re-
ferred to as the ‘resource-based view of the rm’
(Wernerfelt, 1984; Barney, 1991; Peteraf, 1993;
Barney, 2001). This literature is useful because
it sharply distinguishes factors that enhance an
entire industry from a ‘sustainable competitive
advantage’ that bts a single rm. For there to
be a sustainable competitive advantage, the
rm’s rivals must be unable realistically to dupli-
cate the benets of this strategy or input.
Specically, Barney (1991) suggests that for a
rm resource to be a source of competitive
advantage, the resource has to be inimitable,
rare, valuable, and non-substitutable. In a sim-
ilar spirit to Markman et al. (2004)’s analysis of
patents, we examine along each of these di-
mensions whether big data is a source of sus-
tainable competitive advantage to rms.
II. Is Big Data Inimitable?
For big data to be inimitable, no other rm
should easily be able to replicate the advan-
tage. There are two underlying economic rea-
sons for why big data in many instances is unlike-
ly to be inimitable. First, big data is non-rivalrous,
4 https://hbr.org/2015/01/why-nordstroms-digital-strategy-
works-and-yours-probably-doesnt. This article highlights that because
digital technologies are visible and accessible to competitors, it is hard
to generate a competitive advantage.
meaning consumption of the good does not
decrease its availability to others. Second, big
data has near-zero marginal cost of production
and distribution even over long distances (Sha-
piro and Varian, 1999). These two basic charac-
teristics, combined with the fact that customers
constantly leave footprints on the internet, have
lead to a thriving industry where consumer big
data is resold.
This type of commercially available big data
allows new entrants to gain insights similar to
those available to rms that own big data on
a large number of customers. There are many
examples of large commercially available data
sets. Acxiom has ‘multi-sourced insight into ap-
proximately 700 million consumers worldwide’
with over 1,600 pieces of separate data on
each consumer; Datalogix asserts that its data
‘includes almost every U.S. household.’
5
Com-
cast is planning to license TV viewing data col-
lected through set-top boxes and apps.
6
Other
companies, such as the Oracle- owned Bluekai,
sell cookie-based user information online to al-
low for targeting advertising based on a user’s
past activities or demographics. Bluekai states
that it has data on ‘750 million unique users per
month with an average of 10-15 attributes per
user.’
7
To protect both their customers and
themselves, such companies undertake to en-
sure that their data collection complies fully with
data protection rules.
Given the different possible types of big data,
an obvious question is whether this analysis ex-
tends to cases where the big data has what
appears to be unique or individual insights. For
5 See Acxiom Corp., 2013 10K Annual Report for the Period
Ending March 31, 2013 and Staff of S. Comm. on Commerce, Sci., and
Transp.,OfceofOversight&Investigation,AReviewoftheDataBro-
ker Industry: Collection, Use and Sale of Consumer Data for Marketing
Purposes.
6 http://www.wsj.com/articles/comcast-seeks-to-harness-
trove-of-tv-data-1445333401
7 https://docs.oracle.com/cloud/latest/daasmarketing_gs/D
157
example, recently the retail store Target hit the
headlines because of its alleged ability to use
its retail shopping data to predict a pregnan-
cy even before close relatives knew about it.
8
However, even such highly specic and timely
data-driven insights are easy to imitate for rms
that do not own a national database of retail
sales. For example, a marketing unit of the cred-
it-scoring agency Experian sells frequently up-
dated data on expecting parents, along with
income and rst-birth information.
9
In addition, data that is available due to indi-
vidual consumer-level tracking is complement-
ed by the explosion of user-generated content
where consumers themselves create a footprint
of their behavior, likes, opinions and interests
across the internet. Recent research in comput-
er science has emphasized that by combining a
myriad of external online proles, external rms
can gain huge insights into any one customer
(Narayanan and Shmatikov, 2008; Calandrino
et al., 2011). Firms can also use such content as
a direct substitute for customer data. For exam-
ple, Edelman (2015) discusses that Zillow.com
was able to build a successful home-buying
digital platform by relying on existing town as-
sessment data.
10
In short, where a market for data exists, it is
unlikely that big data is inimitable.
III. Is Big Data Rare?
For Big Data to be a ‘rare’ resource would
8 http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/19/magazine/shop-
ping-habits.html?_r=0 There are some doubts over the origin of this
story and whether Target actually did this - see for example http://www.
kdnuggets.com/2014/05/ target-predict-teen-pregnancy-inside-story.
html
9 http://www.experian.com/small-business/prenatal-lists.jsp
10 He highlights the interaction between publicly available
information and user generated content, saying, ‘Zil- low’s initial in-
formation was good enough to attract consumer interest, at which point
property owners happily contributed corrections, photos, and other in-
formation. Indeed, real estate agents were soon willing to pay to show
their advertisements in and around Zillow’s property listings.’
mean that few other rms possess it. However,
there are two reasons why this is unlikely to hold.
First, large shifts in supply infrastructure have
rendered the tools for gathering ‘big data’
commonplace (Greenstein et al., 2013). Cloud-
based resources such as Amazon, Microsoft,
and Rackspace make these tools not depen-
dent on scale
11
and storage costs for data con-
tinue to fall, so that some speculate they may
eventually approach zero
12
. This allows ever
smaller rms to have access to powerful and
inexpensive computing resources. Free open
source technologies such as Hadoop that allow
users to analyze large datasets are widely avail-
able and accessible.
Second, as consumers’ lives increasingly shift
to the web, consumers leave traces of their
needs and preferences everywhere. Firms who
embrace these low-cost digital technologies
have many opportunities to gather customer
data. Telecom companies can collect data on
calling behavior and browsing on their phones;
Amazon, Macy’s and Walmart collect detailed
consumer-level purchase data, while platforms
such as Bluekai collect a large range of detailed
consumer browsing and purchasing information
across multiple website.
13
Indeed, such ‘multi-homing’, that is the use
of multiple different digital services by consum-
ers, means that similar pieces of information are
often available to many different companies.
11 http://betanews.com/2014/06/27/comparing-the-top-three-
cloud-storage-providers/
12 http://www.enterprisestorageforum.com/storage-manage-
ment/can-cloud-storage-costs-fall-to-zero-1.html
13 The European Commission spoke similarly in 2014 when
concluding its investigation into Facebook’s acquisition of WhatsApp.
Itconcludedthat‘therearecurrentlyasignicantnumberofmarketpar-
ticipants that collect user data alongside Facebook, including Google,
Apple, Amazon, eBay, Microsoft, AOL, Yahoo, Twitter, IAC, LinkedIn,
Adobe and Yelp and that, in addition, ‘there will continue to be a large
amount of Internet user data that are valuable for advertising purposes
and that are not within Facebook’s exclusive control’. See (Tucker and
Wellford, 2014) as well as ”Case No COMP/M.7217 - FACEBOOK/
WHATSAPP”, http://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/ deci-
sions/m7217_20141003_20310_3962132_EN.pdf
158
Take, as an example, consumers who use mul-
tiple online social media such as Facebook,
Twitter, LinkedIn or Instagram and share broad-
ly similar information through each of them. Or,
consider access to information in the app eco-
system: Many apps, and not only those related
to location or weather, regularly ping location
data - as many as hundreds of times a week -
meaning that a user’s location is always avail-
able to a wide range of rms (Almuhimedi et al.,
2015). Of course, as we later discuss, these rms
still have to invest in ensuring that they have the
technical skills to transform this data into valu-
able insights.
Seeing that big data is not inimitable or rare,
we turn to the question of whether and when
big data is valuable for rms.
IV. Is Big Data Valuable?
Much of the current managerial literature is
focused on whether or not ‘big data’ is indeed
valuable for rms in that it enhances a rm’s abil-
ity to have protable relationships with custom-
ers (Chen et al., 2012). Cuzzocrea et al. (2011)
point to three open problems currently chal-
lenging analysts and researchers faced with
ensuring that big data is valuable to organiza-
tions. We discuss these challenges in turn and
conclude that by itself big data is not sufcient
to create prot-enhancing opportunities. The
rst challenge limiting the value of big data to
rms is compatibility and integration. One of the
key characteristics of big data is that it comes
from a ‘variety’ of sources. However, if this data
is not naturally congruent or easy to integrate,
the variety of sources can make it difcult for
rms to indeed save cost or create value for cus-
tomers. Such hindrances may prove particular-
ly burdensome in industries such as healthcare,
where prior research has shown that rms have
strategic incentives to ensure that data is siloed
and hard to integrate (Miller and Tucker, 2014).
The second challenge to making big data
valuable is its unstructured nature. As discussed
by Feldman and Sanger (2007), specialized ad-
vances are being made in mining text-based
data, where context and technique can lead
to insights similar to that of structured data, but
other forms of data such as video data are
still not easily analyzed. One example is that,
despite state-of-the-art facial recognition soft-
ware, authorities were unable to identify the
two bombing suspects for the Boston Marathon
from a multitude of video data, as the software
struggled to cope with the full-frontal nature
of the photo of their faces.
14
Given the chal-
lenges of unstructured data, rms tend to nd
big data most valuable when it augments the
speed and accuracy of existing data analysis
practices. In oil and gas exploration, big data is
used to enhance existing operations and data
analysis surrounding seismic drilling. However,
as emphasized by Feblowitz et al. (2013), ‘Ge-
ologists, geophysicists, and reservoir engineers
have been using massively parallel processing
capabilities of high-performance computing
(HPC) to perform analysis on petabytes (PB) of
data to inform exploration since the late 1990s.’
In other words, though big data may be a new
label for such practices, and the volume of data
may have increased, big data is valuable in oil
and gas as an extension of existing practices
and infrastructure. Most rms’ ability to analyze
the ‘variety’ of types of big data does not yet
match their ability to record its volume and
velocity.
The third challenge, and in our opinion the
most important factor that limits how valuable
big data is to rms, is the difculty of establishing
causal relationships within large pools of over-
lapping observational data. Very large data
sets usually contain a number of very similar or
virtually identical observations that can lead
to spurious correlations and as a result mis-
lead managers in their decision making. The
Economist recently pointed out that ‘in a world
14 http://www.wired.com/2013/05/boston-marathon-investi-
gation/
159
of big data the correlations surface almost by
themselves’ (Economist, 2010) and a Sloan
Management Review blog post emphasized
that while many rms have access to big data,
such data is not ’objective’,
15
since the difculty
lies in distilling ‘true’ actionable insights from the
data. Similarly, typical machine learning algo-
rithms used to analyze big data identify correla-
tions that may not necessarily offer causal and
therefore actionable managerial insights. Do-
mingos (2012) suggests that machine learning
algorithms should be used as a ‘guide to further
investigation’ in order that we might be able
to ‘predict the effect of our actions.’ In other
words, the skill in making big data valuable is
being able to move from mere observational
correlations to correctly identifying, potentially
outside of big data, what correlations should
form the basis for strategic action.
One well-known example of big data is Goo-
gle Trends, which uses Google’s records of ag-
gregate search queries. However, it is also an
example of a case where the fact that the data
is merely correlational limits its usefulness. But-
ler (2008) argued that this data could be
used to project the spread of u. However,
later researchers found that because the
data was backward-looking rather than for-
ward-looking, using search data only marginal-
ly improved performance relative to a ‘simple
autoregressive model’ (Goel et al., 2010).
16
To take a more specic example, imagine a
shoe retailer that advertises to consumers who
have previously visited their website on oth-
er websites. Raw data analysis would suggest
that customers exposed to these ads are more
likely to purchase shoes. However, these con-
sumers, who have previously visited the website
have already demonstrated their interest in
15 http://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/for-better-decision-mak-
ing-look-at-facts-not-data/
16 There were also other critiques of the usefulness of the ini-
tial predictive model: (Cook et al., 2011; Lazer et al., 2014)
the specic retailer even prior to viewing the
ad, and so are more likely than the average
consumer to purchase (Lambrecht and Tuck-
er, 2013). Was the ad effective? It is hard to
say.
17
Indeed, big data here does not allow any
causal inference about marketing commu-
nication effectiveness. To understand whether
such ads are effective, the retailer needs to run
a randomized experiment, where one subset
of consumers is randomly not exposed to the
ad.
18
By comparing the purchase probabil-
ities across consumers who were exposed to
the ad and those who were not, the company
can then determine whether exposing con-
sumers to an ad made them more likely to buy.
Value is delivered in such instances not primar-
ily by the access to data, but by the ability to
design and implement meaningful experiments.
Therefore, experiments are the main way rms
can understand whether a data relationship
is merely correlational or might be predictive
(because it is causal). Implementing eld exper-
iments, drawing the right conclusion and tak-
ing appropriate action is not necessarily easy
(Lambrecht and Tucker, 2015)
19
. However, suc-
cessful companies have developed the ability
to design, implement, evaluate and then act
upon meaningful eld experiments. It is this ‘test
and learn’ environment, coupled with the skill to
take action on the insights, that can make big
data valuable.
20
Thanks to diminishing returns to increasingly
17 This is emphasized by work such as Lewis et al. (2011) who
show that this kind of activity bias, that is the mere fact of being present
on a website signalling something about the consumer, makes the use
of non-experimental data in assessing advertising effectiveness almost
impossible.
18 Across many industries, eld experiments have widely
been used to evaluate advertising effectiveness (Lambrecht and Tucker,
2013; Draganska et al., 2014; Lambrecht et al., 2015; Lewis and Rao,
2015; Blake et al., 2015; ?)
19 https://hbr.org/2015/11/run-eld-experiments-to-make-
sense-of-your-big-data?utm_campaign=HBR&utm_source=face-
book&utm_medium=social
20 Note that even when using insights from experiments, man-
agersneedtocarefullyconsiderthescopeofanyndingsandhowrep-
licable they will be in different contexts (Ioannidis, 2005).
160
large data samples, such experimentation does
not necessarily require big data. For example,
Google reports that it typically uses random
samples of 0.1% of available data to perform
analyses (Varian, 2014). Indeed, a recent article
suggested that the size of big data can actually
be detrimental as ‘the bigger the database, the
easier it is to get support for any hypothesis you
put forward’.
21
In other words, because big data
often offers overlapping insights, a rm can get
similar insight from one-thousandth of the full
dataset as from the entire dataset.
Experimentation is not the only method com-
panies can use to infer valuable insights from
big data. Another potential skill rms can devel-
op is the ability to build better algorithms to deal
with big data. One example for such algorithms
is recommender systems. Recommender sys-
tems rely on algorithms trained on correlational
data to recommend the most relevant prod-
ucts to a customer. Yet, again, it is not the size
of the underlying data, but the ability to identify
the critical pieces of information that best pre-
dict a customer’s preferences. For example, it
has been shown that to predict preferences for
movies, ten movie ratings alone are more help-
ful than extensive metadata (Pilászy and Tikk,
2009). Indeed, often not the size of the data
but the machine learning algorithm used deter-
mines the quality of the results.
22
While predictive
power may increase with the size of the data
available, in many instances the improvements
in predictions show diminishing returns to scale
(Junqué de Fortuny et al., 2013).
Our analysis demonstrates that, by itself, big
data is unlikely to be valuable. It is only when
combined with managerial, engineering, and
21 https://www.london.edu/faculty-and-research/lbsr/diie-nov-
drowning-in-numbers#.Vk-OZvmrRNO
22 http://www.slideshare.net/xamat/10-lessons-learned-from-
building-machine-learning-systems,http://stackoverflow.com/ques-
tions/25665017/does-the-dataset-size-inuence-a-machine-learning-
algorithm
analytic skill in determining the experiment or
algo- rithm to apply to such data that it proves
valuable to rms.
23
This suggests that for rms, the
primary challenges lie in determining a big data
strategy,
24
implementing the systems and tools
to analyze the data
25
and adapting organiza-
tional capabilities (McAfee et al., 2012; Bughin
et al., 2010).
Given that our previous analyses suggest that
big data is neither rare nor inimitable, we con-
clude that the search for competitive advan-
tage in the new digital economy should focus
on attracting the kind of skilled workers who are
able to transform big data into valuable tools.
V. Is Big Data Non-Substitutable?
For a resource such as big data to provide a
sustainable competitive advantage, there has
to be no other means of achieving success in
the specic industry. Yet, in the digital world,
perhaps more so than ofine, there are many
examples of rms that came from nowhere and,
without any embedded data advantage, were
still able to disrupt an industry and attract more
customers because of a superior value prop-
osition. In this section, we discuss ve settings
where alternative rm capabilities have proved
to be compelling substitutes to big data and
consequently where big data has not been a
sufciently sustainable source of competitive
advantage.
First, it is natural to focus on an industry where
23 One potential way of evaluating whether this insights holds
inaspeciccontextistoexamine thepricingofdatarelativetorm
processing skills. Data being very cheap relative to processing skills
suggests that processing skills are more important than data in creating
valueforarm.
24 http://www.cio.com/article/2395010/data-management/the-
big-data-challenge--how-to-develop-a-
winning-strategy.html
25 http://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/overcoming-legacy-pro-
cesses-to-achieve-big-data-success/
161
data has, even before the internet, offered op-
erational advantages. The communications in-
dustry has long used large data sets to both im-
prove operations (e.g. data network ow) and
offer better value to customers (e.g. through
pricing plans that meet customer needs, see for
example Lambrecht and Skiera (2006); Ascar-
za et al. (2012)). Many traditional commu-
nications rms such as AT&T and Verizon as
well as newer online rms such as Skype and
Facebook have large data sets covering mes-
saging services. Despite this, the messaging
app WhatsApp became a serious competitor
to established messaging and social network
services by offering a product that satised so-
cial media users’ latent needs - an easy-to-use
interface and an extremely low-cost messaging
solution. Even when acquired by Facebook for
$22 billion, WhatsApp had only 55 employees,
suggesting its success was not due to large-
scale data analytics capacity.
26
A similar exam-
ple is Snapchat, which succeeded in com-
peting in this space without access to big
data because of its insight that people wanted
to share personal information more privately.
Another industry where big data could pro-
vide insights into consumer preferences and
therefore give advantages to large digital rms
when launching new products, is online gaming.
Yet, King Digital Entertainment was not among
the dominant digital gaming companies, nor
supported by rms with access to big data such
as Google and Facebook, when it launched the
smartphone hit Candy Crush Saga. By 2014, 93
million people played Candy Crush Saga more
than 1 billion times a day.
27
The fact that Candy
Crush is playable in short sessions and does not
26 http://www.forbes.com/sites/parmyolson/2014/10/06/face-
book-closes-19-billion-whatsapp-deal/,
http://www.businessinsider.com/why-facebook-buying-whatsapp-
2014-2?IR=T, http://www.bloomberg.com/ news/articles/2014-10-28/
facebook-s-22-billion-whatsapp-deal-buys-10-million-in-sales
27 http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/mar/26/can-
dy-crush-saga-king-why-popular, https:
//thinkgaming.com/app-sales-data/2/candy-crush-saga/ While Candy
Crush Saga is free to download and play, it makes its money from in-
app purchases of extra moves, lives and power-ups, with estimated daily
revenues of over $700,000, as of November 23, 2015
require extensive time investment explains its
appeal to the non-gaming population of time-
strapped parents, or commuters, ’from ofce ju-
niors through to CEOs’.
28
This example illustrates
that a superior value proposition to a new group
of consumers can be more important than ac-
cess to data, even in a sector where companies
routinely have access to big data.
Second, it is natural to ask whether there is
a substitute for insights from big data in sectors
where there has historically been little use of
data. It is possible that in such contexts, rms in
adjacent sectors who do have big data have
an executional advantage in terms of mod-
ernizing these sectors. However, the rise of the
new ‘sharing economy’ provides evidence that
to build up entirely new digital industries in tra-
ditional sectors does not require access to big
data. Uber and Lyft had no superior access
to data compared to established taxi services,
but they were better at putting together a prod-
uct that met consumer needs for a convenient
and reliable taxi service. AirBnB entered a highly
competitive industry where large travel compa-
nies have access to large swathes of data and
regularly run experiments to interpret their data
in a meaningful way to constantly improve busi-
ness practices. Yet, despite the lack of data,
AirBnB quickly became a dominant player be-
cause of its superior value proposition. Google’s
purchase of ITA along with its ight data and
data-processing capabilities did not give Goo-
gle a signicant presence in the ight search
market. This contrasts with the growth of Kayak
- a travel search engine - which grew from 2004
from a small start up with no user data to be-
ing acquired in 2012 by Priceline for $1.8 billion.
29
Indeed, recent spectators have argued that
for the sharing economy the secret sauce is not
data by itself, but instead the systems that such
platforms build around ensuring there is ‘trust
28 http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/mar/26/can-
dy-crush-saga-king-why-popular
29 http://thenextweb.com/insider/2012/11/08/priceline-com-ac-
quiring-travel-company-kayak-for-1-8b-in-cash-and-stocks/
162
and reputation’ among users of the platform.
30
Third, industries where data is important for
delivering a personalized experience, and
where this personalized system of recommen-
dations is particularly important for customer ex-
perience, may be another natural setting where
big data might have few substitutes. One obvi-
ous example of such an industry is online dating,
where the difculty of predicting human rela-
tionships likely puts a premium on the availability
of large data sets. However, Tinder entered the
online dating market in September 2012 with no
access to existing data and quickly became a
dominant player with 1.6 billion Tinder proles,
making more than 26 million matches per day
(as of April 2015). More than 8 billion matches
have been made since Tinder launched.
31
Tin-
der succeeded not because of big data but
because it offers a better solution for its market.
Critically, this included a simple user interface
that does not require long surveys and allowed
users to express interest using a simple game-like
‘swipe right’ and a ‘double opt-in’ for matches,
where both users must agree before they can
message each other. To build up its user base,
Tinder did not advertise or use mass emails
based on big data bases, but instead hosted
‘exclusive’ parties on college campuses with
admittance based on having downloaded the
app.
32
Fourth, another natural place to look for
non-substitutability is industries with switching
costs and network effects. Switching costs are
the costs (both perceived and real) incurred by
customers when they switch brands or suppli-
ers. Network effects occur when the usefulness
of a product, service or platform increases as
more people use it. Historically, switching costs
and network effects have been highlighted by
30 http://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/data-at-the-heart-of-the-
sharing-economy/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_
campaign=sm-direct
31 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tinder_(app)
32 https://www.quora.com/How-did-Tinder-grow-so-quickly
economists as potential sources of incumbent
competitive advantage, especially in digital
environments (Farrell and Klemperer, 2007).
Therefore it is natural to ask whether big data, in
combination with switching costs and network
effects, might lead to a setting where poten-
tial rivals struggle to compete or nd sufcient
substitutes to compete with. Social network sites
exhibit both potential network effects, because
consumers value being able to communicate
with their friends, and switching costs, as cus-
tomers invest time and money in curating their
online proles.
However, the history of social networking sites
suggests that big data has not protected larg-
er rms in this industry (Tucker and Marthews,
2011). Rather, this industry has experienced a
succession of large rms, even though at each
point in time the incumbent had access to big
data whereas the new entrant was, in terms of
data availability, at a disadvantage. For exam-
ple, MySpace replaced Friendster and was then
replaced by Facebook as the leading social
network site. What ultimately made Facebook
successful was the ability to build a product that
was more focused on customer needs. This in-
cluded giving customers more control over their
social media interactions. For example, Face-
book allowed users more control over what
content observers could see about a user, rela-
tive to the public nature of MySpace. MySpace
was seen by many as too cluttered, and Face-
book offered a much cleaner design.
33
Fifth, one potential way that big data could
be non-substitutable is if it is necessary for at-
tracting capital investment. However, it is nota-
ble that venture capital does not view big data
as ‘non-substitutable’, in that it continues to fund
startups to compete in spaces where other rms
33 Decisions on the size, quality and placement of ads on MyS-
pacewerelessinuencedbyneedsoftheusersandmorebytheimper-
ative to monetize the site, leading to an even more ad-cluttered site. For
a comprehensive account of what happened to MySpace, see http://
www.bloomberg.com/bw/magazine/content/11_27/b4235053917570.
htm#p3
163
are demonstrably in possession of ‘big data’. For
example, despite ‘Amazon Fresh’ and ‘Google
Express’ having access through their parent
companies to big data about potential custom-
ers, there is vibrant funding of new startups that
are trying to compete in the local delivery
space who do not have this data advantage.
For example, Instacart has received $275M in
funding
34
, Jet has received $220M in fund-
ing,
35
and Postmates has received $138M in
venture capital funding.
36
Overall, big data is not a non-substitutable
requirement for offering online services, though
ownership of big data is often the natural con-
sequence of being successful in offering such
online services. Instead, in a similar manner to
the ofine world, what determines success on-
line is a superior ability to understand and meet
customer needs. The unstable history of digital
business offers little evidence that the mere pos-
session of big data is sufcient protection for an
incumbent against a superior product offering.
VI. Implications
Can big data confer a sustainable competi-
tive advantage for rms, which can help them
persistently deect current and future competi-
tion? To analyze whether big data can act as a
barrier of entry in this manner, we use the classic
resource-based view of strategic management,
which emphasizes that to qualify as a sustain-
able competitive advantage a resource needs
to meet four criteria. It has to be inimitable,
rare, valuable and non-substitutable. For a wide
range of examples from the digital economy
we demonstrate that when rms have access
to big data, at least one, and often more, of the
34 https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/instacart\#/entity
35 https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/jet\#/entity
36 https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/postmates\#/entity
four criteria which are required for a resource
to constitute a sustainable competitive advan-
tage are not met.
Our aim is not to suggest that rms cannot
derive benets from owning and evaluating big
data. Instead, we highlight that the simple act
of amassing big data by itself does not confer
a long-term competitive advantage. We con-
clude that to build up a competitive advan-
tage related to big data rms need to develop
two new competencies.
First, rms need to attract employees who
have the ability to develop and train algorithms
or to design and/or to set up and run meaning-
ful experiments, since it is insights from such ef-
forts that may be able to turn big data into a
meaningful competitive advantage. This builds
on earlier work such as Porter and Millar (1985)
who argued that information technology can
confer a competitive advantage but that the
simple presence of data is not sufcient for com-
petitive success. Instead rms needs to develop
complementary organizational skills.
Second, rms need to use big data to look
forward and understand evolving customer
needs rather than simply use past historic big
data to make incremental improvements to
their current product offering or service. The un-
stable history of digital business offers little evi-
dence that the mere possession of big data is a
sufcient protection for an incumbent against a
superior product offering. To build a sustainable
competitive advantage, the focus of a digital
strategy should therefore be on how to use dig-
ital technologies to provide value to customers
in ways that were previously impossible.
In addition to our managerial implications
this paper also contributes to a policy literature.
This literature is concerned with the question
whether big data can constitute a barrier of en-
164
try which is in a sense the ipside of the ques-
tion we focus on whether big data constitutes
a competitive advantage. In contrast to this
largely legal literature, which grapples with how
to frame big data in the context of traditional
antitrust analysis (Stucke et al., 2015; Grunes and
Stucke, 2015; Tucker and Wellford, 2014), we use
a long-established strategic framework to eval-
uate whether big data indeed merits consid-
eration as a source of sustainable competitive
advantage
.
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