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Probability of Occurrence: OCCASIONAL
Risk Analysis
The planning sub-team created a worst-case scenario for this hazard to depict the impacts of both river
flooding and flash flooding.
Excessive flooding in northern Mexico on the Rio Grande River water shed causing river to reach record
flood stage reading of 65 ft on the IBWC river gauge at the Bravo & Roma Suspension Bridge. In
combination with heavy rains throughout the City of Roma (10-15 inches in a matter of an hour) causing
flash flooding and major backflow.
Impacts from the combination of river flood and flash flood within the city would include a lot of
structural damage to critical facilities and infrastructure. Part of these damages consist of complete
paralysis of waste water collection system. All (29) lift stations become inoperable, while 23 of them are
damaged by inflow of stormwater in amounts of $30K per lift station and $100k to the Lift Station K.
Waste water treatment plant inoperable for 12 hours. 3 submersible pumps would become inoperable
due to debris and mud accumulation. Damages to streets in amounts of over $5 million to streets
located within the 100-year floodplains and low-lying neighborhoods within Roma Creek, Rau-Con, De la
Cruz Subdivision., Escandon, El Bosque, Robinson, Las Flores, Hillside Terrace, Mi Ranchito, Margarita
Subdivision, Los Saenz, Hacienda, and Mesquite. The fire station would be under 18 in. of water causing
$100K in structural damage and $30K loss of cascade system. $1,000 K to air compressor. Facility would
become inoperable for 2 days. The police station would be under 18 in. of water causing $100K in
structural damage and $150K in equipment loss/damage (computers and generator).
Problem Statements
De La Cruz Subdivision is susceptible to major river flooding based on its proximity to the Rio
Grande River. Flooding would cause 80 residences to become uninhabitable due to 10 ft. of
inundation for a time of approximately 2 weeks and the evacuation of 320 people.
Over 2,730 acres of water shed of Arroyo Roma makes it prone to major river flooding and flash
flooding causing 400 homes to become uninhabitable and the evacuation 1600 people within 51
blocks of Roma Creek Subdivision, Rau- Con 1,2, &3, and Madrigal Subdivision.
Overflow of Arroyo Roma (creek) cause flood damages to 17 streets within its vicinity, racking
up repair costs of approximately $3 million.
Heavy rains over the 4,000 acres of watershed of Los Morenos Creek & Gongora Creek cause
inaccessibility of 6 streets (Escandon St., Ebony St., Obregon St., Robert Lee St., Efren Ramirez
St., & Eagle St.) of neighborhood exits due to flooding, preventing the prompt evacuation of
4800 people in the surrounding subdivisions (Escandon, Humberto Saenz, El Bosque, Mirasoles,
Robinson, Las Flores, Hillside Terrace, & Margarita).
Watershed overflow of Los Morenos Creek and Gongora Creek cause flood damage to roads,
streets, and exits costing approximately $2.5 million in repairs.
Residences on 6th and 7th street in Los Saenz subdivision are located within the 100-year
floodplain and have been subject to inundation of up to 3ft., resulting in the immediate